Analyzing GRB 080916C with Fermi-GBM
(NASA/Swift/Cruz deWilde)
To demonstrate the capabilities and features of 3ML in, we will go through a time-integrated and time-resolved analysis. This example serves as a standard way to analyze Fermi-GBM data with 3ML as well as a template for how you can design your instrument’s analysis pipeline with 3ML if you have similar data.
3ML provides utilities to reduce time series data to plugins in a correct and statistically justified way (e.g., background fitting of Poisson data is done with a Poisson likelihood). The approach is generic and can be extended. For more details, see the time series documentation.
[1]:
import warnings
warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
[2]:
%%capture
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
np.seterr(all="ignore")
from threeML import *
from threeML.io.package_data import get_path_of_data_file
[3]:
silence_warnings()
%matplotlib inline
from jupyterthemes import jtplot
jtplot.style(context="talk", fscale=1, ticks=True, grid=False)
set_threeML_style()
Examining the catalog
As with Swift and Fermi-LAT, 3ML provides a simple interface to the on-line Fermi-GBM catalog. Let’s get the information for GRB 080916C.
[4]:
gbm_catalog = FermiGBMBurstCatalog()
gbm_catalog.query_sources("GRB080916009")
[4]:
Table length=1
| name | ra | dec | trigger_time | t90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| object | float64 | float64 | float64 | float64 |
| GRB080916009 | 119.800 | -56.600 | 54725.0088613 | 62.977 |
To aid in quickly replicating the catalog analysis, and thanks to the tireless efforts of the Fermi-GBM team, we have added the ability to extract the analysis parameters from the catalog as well as build an astromodels model with the best fit parameters baked in. Using this information, one can quickly run through the catalog an replicate the entire analysis with a script. Let’s give it a try.
[5]:
grb_info = gbm_catalog.get_detector_information()["GRB080916009"]
gbm_detectors = grb_info["detectors"]
source_interval = grb_info["source"]["fluence"]
background_interval = grb_info["background"]["full"]
best_fit_model = grb_info["best fit model"]["fluence"]
model = gbm_catalog.get_model(best_fit_model, "fluence")["GRB080916009"]
[6]:
model
[6]:
Model summary:
Free parameters (5):
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
| N | |
|---|---|
| Point sources | 1 |
| Extended sources | 0 |
| Particle sources | 0 |
Free parameters (5):
| value | min_value | max_value | unit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.K | 0.012255 | 0.0 | None | keV-1 s-1 cm-2 |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.alpha | -1.130424 | -1.5 | 2.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy | 309.2031 | 10.0 | None | keV |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_scale | 0.3 | 0.0 | 10.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.beta | -2.096931 | -5.0 | -1.6 |
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
Downloading the data
We provide a simple interface to download the Fermi-GBM data. Using the information from the catalog that we have extracted, we can download just the data from the detectors that were used for the catalog analysis. This will download the CSPEC, TTE and instrument response files from the on-line database.
[7]:
dload = download_GBM_trigger_data("bn080916009", detectors=gbm_detectors)
Let’s first examine the catalog fluence fit. Using the TimeSeriesBuilder, we can fit the background, set the source interval, and create a 3ML plugin for the analysis. We will loop through the detectors, set their appropriate channel selections, and ensure there are enough counts in each bin to make the PGStat profile likelihood valid.
First we use the CSPEC data to fit the background using the background selections. We use CSPEC because it has a longer duration for fitting the background.
The background is saved to an HDF5 file that stores the polynomial coefficients and selections which we can read in to the TTE file later.
The light curve is plotted.
The source selection from the catalog is set and DispersionSpectrumLike plugin is created.
The plugin has the standard GBM channel selections for spectral analysis set.
[8]:
fluence_plugins = []
time_series = {}
for det in gbm_detectors:
ts_cspec = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_cspec_or_ctime(
det, cspec_or_ctime_file=dload[det]["cspec"], rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"]
)
ts_cspec.set_background_interval(*background_interval.split(","))
ts_cspec.save_background(f"{det}_bkg.h5", overwrite=True)
ts_tte = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_tte(
det,
tte_file=dload[det]["tte"],
rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"],
restore_background=f"{det}_bkg.h5",
)
time_series[det] = ts_tte
ts_tte.set_active_time_interval(source_interval)
ts_tte.view_lightcurve(-40, 100)
fluence_plugin = ts_tte.to_spectrumlike()
if det.startswith("b"):
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("9-900")
fluence_plugin.rebin_on_background(1.0)
fluence_plugins.append(fluence_plugin)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n4_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Setting up the fit
Let’s see if we can reproduce the results from the catalog.
Set priors for the model
We will fit the spectrum using Bayesian analysis, so we must set priors on the model parameters.
[9]:
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2.25, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.bounds = (None, None)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-3, upper_bound=1e1
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_scale.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-4, upper_bound=10
)
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Clone the model and setup the Bayesian analysis class
Next, we clone the model we built from the catalog so that we can look at the results later and fit the cloned model. We pass this model and the DataList of the plugins to a BayesianAnalysis class and set the sampler to MultiNest.
[10]:
new_model = clone_model(model)
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(new_model, DataList(*fluence_plugins))
# share spectrum gives a linear speed up when
# spectrumlike plugins have the same RSP input energies
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
Examine at the catalog fitted model
We can quickly examine how well the catalog fit matches the data. There appears to be a discrepancy between the data and the model! Let’s refit to see if we can fix it.
[11]:
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20, step=False)
Run the sampler
We let MultiNest condition the model on the data
[12]:
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=400)
bayes.sample()
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 400
dimensionality = 5
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.993377
Replacements: 450
Total Samples: 453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.972763
Replacements: 500
Total Samples: 514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.930626
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.883652
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.857520
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.826446
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 847
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -477070.594448
Acceptance Rate: 0.791139
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -249521.718953
Acceptance Rate: 0.789733
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 1013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -115367.446175
Acceptance Rate: 0.779102
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -62168.256578
Acceptance Rate: 0.771208
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -30088.296404
Acceptance Rate: 0.770479
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -15106.631295
Acceptance Rate: 0.767460
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -11472.287913
Acceptance Rate: 0.762527
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1377
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10704.975402
Acceptance Rate: 0.756534
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10264.224691
Acceptance Rate: 0.755585
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9945.690497
Acceptance Rate: 0.750939
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1598
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9624.561075
Acceptance Rate: 0.745823
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9267.927711
Acceptance Rate: 0.737798
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8992.972335
Acceptance Rate: 0.733696
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8662.358050
Acceptance Rate: 0.726141
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8254.396805
Acceptance Rate: 0.722832
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 2006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7931.552251
Acceptance Rate: 0.718735
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7582.695546
Acceptance Rate: 0.718591
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7275.306299
Acceptance Rate: 0.709534
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6993.295367
Acceptance Rate: 0.705128
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6742.270903
Acceptance Rate: 0.700742
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6501.594085
Acceptance Rate: 0.689791
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6244.743901
Acceptance Rate: 0.689127
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6075.327485
Acceptance Rate: 0.682657
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5909.831252
Acceptance Rate: 0.675435
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5716.395242
Acceptance Rate: 0.668954
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5560.072228
Acceptance Rate: 0.660720
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 3027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5405.450570
Acceptance Rate: 0.648940
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 3159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5239.910544
Acceptance Rate: 0.644172
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5127.239614
Acceptance Rate: 0.638172
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5019.809077
Acceptance Rate: 0.629831
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4905.058326
Acceptance Rate: 0.628843
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4776.710216
Acceptance Rate: 0.626021
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4670.761720
Acceptance Rate: 0.621364
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4556.546426
Acceptance Rate: 0.617443
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4470.755548
Acceptance Rate: 0.616352
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4389.487887
Acceptance Rate: 0.611995
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 4085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4291.174970
Acceptance Rate: 0.608737
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 4189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4215.814336
Acceptance Rate: 0.606485
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 4287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4126.149817
Acceptance Rate: 0.601316
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 4407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4064.665201
Acceptance Rate: 0.597874
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4003.936495
Acceptance Rate: 0.592545
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3948.201731
Acceptance Rate: 0.586879
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4771
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3897.552400
Acceptance Rate: 0.583061
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3845.391404
Acceptance Rate: 0.579305
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 5006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3804.804888
Acceptance Rate: 0.574937
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 5131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3773.382673
Acceptance Rate: 0.570451
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 5259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3736.694038
Acceptance Rate: 0.568500
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 5365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3706.136682
Acceptance Rate: 0.563944
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 5497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3681.709814
Acceptance Rate: 0.558709
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 5638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3651.885583
Acceptance Rate: 0.555170
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 5764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3630.711241
Acceptance Rate: 0.551128
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3612.102491
Acceptance Rate: 0.546177
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 6042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3589.866143
Acceptance Rate: 0.543655
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 6162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3570.759963
Acceptance Rate: 0.542178
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 6271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.221617
Acceptance Rate: 0.538978
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 6401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3530.944067
Acceptance Rate: 0.534433
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 6549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3510.964655
Acceptance Rate: 0.531119
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 6684
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3491.841204
Acceptance Rate: 0.528169
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 6816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3472.619205
Acceptance Rate: 0.525180
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 6950
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3453.830553
Acceptance Rate: 0.522451
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 7082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3437.326993
Acceptance Rate: 0.519175
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 7223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3423.495807
Acceptance Rate: 0.515674
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 7369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3407.234527
Acceptance Rate: 0.512172
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 7517
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3393.911322
Acceptance Rate: 0.507548
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 7684
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3379.113742
Acceptance Rate: 0.503505
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 7845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3366.807696
Acceptance Rate: 0.498753
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 8020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3354.992160
Acceptance Rate: 0.496750
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 8153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3344.587537
Acceptance Rate: 0.494333
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 8294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3335.421796
Acceptance Rate: 0.491998
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 8435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3323.255423
Acceptance Rate: 0.488372
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 8600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3314.549124
Acceptance Rate: 0.486381
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 8738
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3305.945729
Acceptance Rate: 0.483472
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 8894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3296.345657
Acceptance Rate: 0.480982
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 9044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3288.204132
Acceptance Rate: 0.477275
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 9219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3280.212633
Acceptance Rate: 0.473555
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 9397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3273.366905
Acceptance Rate: 0.471995
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 9534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3266.626536
Acceptance Rate: 0.469508
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 9691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3259.647993
Acceptance Rate: 0.467290
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 9844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3251.343063
Acceptance Rate: 0.465512
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 9989
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3244.478338
Acceptance Rate: 0.463100
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 10149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3237.265786
Acceptance Rate: 0.460718
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 10310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3231.878508
Acceptance Rate: 0.459418
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 10448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3226.571435
Acceptance Rate: 0.456987
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 10613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3221.236984
Acceptance Rate: 0.454208
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 10788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3215.914209
Acceptance Rate: 0.452468
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 10940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3210.651941
Acceptance Rate: 0.450938
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 11088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3206.566659
Acceptance Rate: 0.448251
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 11266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3202.447670
Acceptance Rate: 0.445726
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 11442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3198.203494
Acceptance Rate: 0.444387
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 11589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3194.138223
Acceptance Rate: 0.441164
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 11787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3189.122620
Acceptance Rate: 0.437828
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 11991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3185.419906
Acceptance Rate: 0.436897
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 12131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3182.828835
Acceptance Rate: 0.435420
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 12287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3179.703829
Acceptance Rate: 0.434293
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 12434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3176.875803
Acceptance Rate: 0.432437
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 12603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3174.159532
Acceptance Rate: 0.431136
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 12757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3171.639399
Acceptance Rate: 0.426464
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 13014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3169.011790
Acceptance Rate: 0.422482
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 13255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3166.688257
Acceptance Rate: 0.420449
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 13438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3164.638042
Acceptance Rate: 0.418226
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 13629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3162.628441
Acceptance Rate: 0.416365
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 13810
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3160.927226
Acceptance Rate: 0.412811
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 14050
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3159.039264
Acceptance Rate: 0.410296
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 14258
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3157.308111
Acceptance Rate: 0.408870
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 14430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3155.854415
Acceptance Rate: 0.406227
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 14647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3154.327320
Acceptance Rate: 0.403741
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 14861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3152.991272
Acceptance Rate: 0.402074
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 15047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3151.718377
Acceptance Rate: 0.400657
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 15225
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3150.431695
Acceptance Rate: 0.398110
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 15448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3148.904415
Acceptance Rate: 0.396495
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 15637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3147.675321
Acceptance Rate: 0.393577
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 15880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3146.623522
Acceptance Rate: 0.392891
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 16035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3145.595067
Acceptance Rate: 0.390914
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 16244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3144.644400
Acceptance Rate: 0.389745
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 16421
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3143.820596
Acceptance Rate: 0.387713
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 16636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3142.917043
Acceptance Rate: 0.385757
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 16850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3142.036344
Acceptance Rate: 0.384751
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 17024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3141.261714
Acceptance Rate: 0.383053
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 17230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3140.529570
Acceptance Rate: 0.379870
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 17506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3139.900494
Acceptance Rate: 0.378617
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 17696
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3139.205268
Acceptance Rate: 0.376233
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 17941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3138.492344
Acceptance Rate: 0.375380
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 18115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3137.856108
Acceptance Rate: 0.374542
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 18289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3137.285605
Acceptance Rate: 0.373377
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 18480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3136.766805
Acceptance Rate: 0.372195
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 18673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3136.259858
Acceptance Rate: 0.370979
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 18869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3135.789314
Acceptance Rate: 0.370176
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 19045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3135.349386
Acceptance Rate: 0.369388
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 19221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3134.904532
Acceptance Rate: 0.368462
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 19405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3134.425531
Acceptance Rate: 0.367347
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 19600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3133.952291
Acceptance Rate: 0.367126
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 19748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3133.531347
Acceptance Rate: 0.366779
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 19903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3133.118630
Acceptance Rate: 0.365817
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 20092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3132.735791
Acceptance Rate: 0.365306
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 20257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3132.379289
Acceptance Rate: 0.364838
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 20420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3132.042616
Acceptance Rate: 0.364467
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 20578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3131.695242
Acceptance Rate: 0.364277
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 20726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3131.365752
Acceptance Rate: 0.363914
Replacements: 7616
Total Samples: 20928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3122.443146
Acceptance Rate: 0.364633
Replacements: 7716
Total Samples: 21161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.220716
Acceptance Rate: 0.365165
Replacements: 7774
Total Samples: 21289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056586
Acceptance Rate: 0.364874
Replacements: 7824
Total Samples: 21443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056586
Acceptance Rate: 0.365349
Replacements: 7874
Total Samples: 21552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056586
Acceptance Rate: 0.365937
Replacements: 7924
Total Samples: 21654
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056586
Acceptance Rate: 0.366233
Replacements: 7974
Total Samples: 21773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056586
Acceptance Rate: 0.366309
Replacements: 8024
Total Samples: 21905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056586
Acceptance Rate: 0.366667
Replacements: 8074
Total Samples: 22020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056586
Acceptance Rate: 0.367286
Replacements: 8124
Total Samples: 22119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056586
Acceptance Rate: 0.367883
Replacements: 8174
Total Samples: 22219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056586
Acceptance Rate: 0.368393
Replacements: 8224
Total Samples: 22324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056585
Acceptance Rate: 0.369013
Replacements: 8274
Total Samples: 22422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056585
Acceptance Rate: 0.369627
Replacements: 8324
Total Samples: 22520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056585
Acceptance Rate: 0.370351
Replacements: 8374
Total Samples: 22611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056585
Acceptance Rate: 0.371101
Replacements: 8424
Total Samples: 22700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056585
Acceptance Rate: 0.371748
Replacements: 8474
Total Samples: 22795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056585
Acceptance Rate: 0.372520
Replacements: 8524
Total Samples: 22882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056584
Acceptance Rate: 0.373497
Replacements: 8574
Total Samples: 22956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056584
Acceptance Rate: 0.374176
Replacements: 8624
Total Samples: 23048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056583
Acceptance Rate: 0.374816
Replacements: 8674
Total Samples: 23142
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056582
Acceptance Rate: 0.375403
Replacements: 8724
Total Samples: 23239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056580
Acceptance Rate: 0.376211
Replacements: 8774
Total Samples: 23322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056578
Acceptance Rate: 0.376869
Replacements: 8824
Total Samples: 23414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056574
Acceptance Rate: 0.377665
Replacements: 8874
Total Samples: 23497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056568
Acceptance Rate: 0.378537
Replacements: 8924
Total Samples: 23575
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056558
Acceptance Rate: 0.379114
Replacements: 8974
Total Samples: 23671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056544
Acceptance Rate: 0.380038
Replacements: 9024
Total Samples: 23745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056524
Acceptance Rate: 0.380924
Replacements: 9074
Total Samples: 23821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056496
Acceptance Rate: 0.381709
Replacements: 9124
Total Samples: 23903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056456
Acceptance Rate: 0.382601
Replacements: 9174
Total Samples: 23978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056400
Acceptance Rate: 0.383311
Replacements: 9224
Total Samples: 24064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056320
Acceptance Rate: 0.384192
Replacements: 9274
Total Samples: 24139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056216
Acceptance Rate: 0.384939
Replacements: 9324
Total Samples: 24222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.056074
Acceptance Rate: 0.385714
Replacements: 9374
Total Samples: 24303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.055890
Acceptance Rate: 0.386673
Replacements: 9424
Total Samples: 24372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.055643
Acceptance Rate: 0.387611
Replacements: 9474
Total Samples: 24442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.055324
Acceptance Rate: 0.388433
Replacements: 9524
Total Samples: 24519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.054924
Acceptance Rate: 0.389124
Replacements: 9574
Total Samples: 24604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.054451
Acceptance Rate: 0.389872
Replacements: 9624
Total Samples: 24685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.053874
Acceptance Rate: 0.390774
Replacements: 9674
Total Samples: 24756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.053167
Acceptance Rate: 0.391765
Replacements: 9724
Total Samples: 24821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.052266
Acceptance Rate: 0.392641
Replacements: 9774
Total Samples: 24893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.051158
Acceptance Rate: 0.393432
Replacements: 9824
Total Samples: 24970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.049812
Acceptance Rate: 0.394235
Replacements: 9874
Total Samples: 25046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.048271
Acceptance Rate: 0.395048
Replacements: 9924
Total Samples: 25121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.046396
Acceptance Rate: 0.395919
Replacements: 9974
Total Samples: 25192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.044138
Acceptance Rate: 0.396754
Replacements: 10024
Total Samples: 25265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.041478
Acceptance Rate: 0.397710
Replacements: 10074
Total Samples: 25330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.038535
Acceptance Rate: 0.398473
Replacements: 10124
Total Samples: 25407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.035293
Acceptance Rate: 0.399309
Replacements: 10174
Total Samples: 25479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.031707
Acceptance Rate: 0.400172
Replacements: 10224
Total Samples: 25549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.027791
Acceptance Rate: 0.400655
Replacements: 10274
Total Samples: 25643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.023574
Acceptance Rate: 0.401244
Replacements: 10324
Total Samples: 25730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.019180
Acceptance Rate: 0.402031
Replacements: 10374
Total Samples: 25804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.014603
Acceptance Rate: 0.402704
Replacements: 10424
Total Samples: 25885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.009961
Acceptance Rate: 0.403529
Replacements: 10474
Total Samples: 25956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.005306
Acceptance Rate: 0.404272
Replacements: 10524
Total Samples: 26032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.000541
Acceptance Rate: 0.405057
Replacements: 10574
Total Samples: 26105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.995804
Acceptance Rate: 0.405837
Replacements: 10624
Total Samples: 26178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.991135
Acceptance Rate: 0.406598
Replacements: 10674
Total Samples: 26252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.986540
Acceptance Rate: 0.407385
Replacements: 10724
Total Samples: 26324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.981948
Acceptance Rate: 0.408245
Replacements: 10774
Total Samples: 26391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.977307
Acceptance Rate: 0.409148
Replacements: 10824
Total Samples: 26455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.972781
Acceptance Rate: 0.409845
Replacements: 10874
Total Samples: 26532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.968352
Acceptance Rate: 0.410661
Replacements: 10924
Total Samples: 26601
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.964090
Acceptance Rate: 0.411396
Replacements: 10974
Total Samples: 26675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.960059
Acceptance Rate: 0.412128
Replacements: 11024
Total Samples: 26749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.956245
Acceptance Rate: 0.412870
Replacements: 11074
Total Samples: 26822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.952566
Acceptance Rate: 0.413593
Replacements: 11124
Total Samples: 26896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.949051
Acceptance Rate: 0.414420
Replacements: 11174
Total Samples: 26963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.945682
Acceptance Rate: 0.415135
Replacements: 11224
Total Samples: 27037
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.942420
Acceptance Rate: 0.415877
Replacements: 11274
Total Samples: 27109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.939216
Acceptance Rate: 0.416707
Replacements: 11324
Total Samples: 27175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.936167
Acceptance Rate: 0.417486
Replacements: 11374
Total Samples: 27244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.933264
Acceptance Rate: 0.418262
Replacements: 11424
Total Samples: 27313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.930531
Acceptance Rate: 0.419019
Replacements: 11474
Total Samples: 27383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.927949
Acceptance Rate: 0.419726
Replacements: 11524
Total Samples: 27456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.925506
Acceptance Rate: 0.420536
Replacements: 11574
Total Samples: 27522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.923209
Acceptance Rate: 0.421190
Replacements: 11624
Total Samples: 27598
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.921042
Acceptance Rate: 0.421840
Replacements: 11674
Total Samples: 27674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.918988
Acceptance Rate: 0.422654
Replacements: 11724
Total Samples: 27739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.917047
Acceptance Rate: 0.423449
Replacements: 11774
Total Samples: 27805
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.915198
Acceptance Rate: 0.424230
Replacements: 11825
Total Samples: 27874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.913411
Acceptance Rate: 0.425301
Replacements: 11891
Total Samples: 27959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.911172
Acceptance Rate: 0.426003
Replacements: 11940
Total Samples: 28028
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.909503
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -3112.6587164653442 +/- 0.24691901839608082
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 28028
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| GRB080916009...K | (1.450 -0.010 +0.007) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| GRB080916009...alpha | -1.088 -0.012 +0.010 | |
| GRB080916009...break_energy | (1.80 -0.07 +0.05) x 10^2 | keV |
| GRB080916009...break_scale | (1.37 +0.11 +1.2) x 10^-2 | |
| GRB080916009...beta | -1.910 -0.004 +0.034 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3 | -1023.141825 |
| n4 | -1016.360361 |
| b0 | -1056.098450 |
| total | -3095.600637 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 6201.371728 |
| BIC | 6220.603939 |
| DIC | 6185.545313 |
| PDIC | 1.536792 |
| log(Z) | -1351.810505 |
Now our model seems to match much better with the data!
[13]:
bayes.restore_median_fit()
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20)
But how different are we from the catalog model? Let’s plot our fit along with the catalog model. Luckily, 3ML can handle all the units for is
[14]:
conversion = u.Unit("keV2/(cm2 s keV)").to("erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
energy_grid = np.logspace(1, 4, 100) * u.keV
vFv = (energy_grid**2 * model.get_point_source_fluxes(0, energy_grid)).to(
"erg2/(cm2 s keV)"
)
[15]:
fig = plot_spectra(bayes.results, flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
ax = fig.get_axes()[0]
_ = ax.loglog(energy_grid, vFv, color="blue", label="catalog model")
Time Resolved Analysis
Now that we have examined fluence fit, we can move to performing a time-resolved analysis.
Selecting a temporal binning
We first get the brightest NaI detector and create time bins via the Bayesian blocks algorithm. We can use the fitted background to make sure that our intervals are chosen in an unbiased way.
[16]:
n3 = time_series["n3"]
[17]:
n3.create_time_bins(0, 60, method="bayesblocks", use_background=True, p0=0.2)
Sometimes, glitches in the GBM data cause spikes in the data that the Bayesian blocks algorithm detects as fast changes in the count rate. We will have to remove those intervals manually.
Note: In the future, 3ML will provide an automated method to remove these unwanted spikes.
[18]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
[19]:
bad_bins = []
for i, w in enumerate(n3.bins.widths):
if w < 5e-2:
bad_bins.append(i)
edges = [n3.bins.starts[0]]
for i, b in enumerate(n3.bins):
if i not in bad_bins:
edges.append(b.stop)
starts = edges[:-1]
stops = edges[1:]
n3.create_time_bins(starts, stops, method="custom")
Now our light curve looks much more acceptable.
[20]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
The time series objects can read time bins from each other, so we will map these time bins onto the other detectors’ time series and create a list of time plugins for each detector and each time bin created above.
[21]:
time_resolved_plugins = {}
for k, v in time_series.items():
v.read_bins(n3)
time_resolved_plugins[k] = v.to_spectrumlike(from_bins=True)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Setting up the model
For the time-resolved analysis, we will fit the classic Band function to the data. We will set some principled priors.
[22]:
band = Band()
band.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5)
band.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2, sigma=0.5)
band.xp.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
band.xp.bounds = (None, None)
band.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(lower_bound=1e-10, upper_bound=1e3)
ps = PointSource("grb", 0, 0, spectral_shape=band)
band_model = Model(ps)
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Perform the fits
One way to perform Bayesian spectral fits to all the intervals is to loop through each one. There can are many ways to do this, so find an analysis pattern that works for you.
[23]:
models = []
results = []
analysis = []
for interval in range(12):
# clone the model above so that we have a separate model
# for each fit
this_model = clone_model(band_model)
# for each detector set up the plugin
# for this time interval
this_data_list = []
for k, v in time_resolved_plugins.items():
pi = v[interval]
if k.startswith("b"):
pi.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
pi.set_active_measurements("9-900")
pi.rebin_on_background(1.0)
this_data_list.append(pi)
# create a data list
dlist = DataList(*this_data_list)
# set up the sampler and fit
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(this_model, dlist)
# get some speed with share spectrum
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=500)
bayes.sample()
# at this stage we coudl also
# save the analysis result to
# disk but we will simply hold
# onto them in memory
analysis.append(bayes)
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -117763.373173
Acceptance Rate: 0.990099
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4828.096111
Acceptance Rate: 0.967262
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1245.171795
Acceptance Rate: 0.933333
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1244.002871
Acceptance Rate: 0.901442
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.518158
Acceptance Rate: 0.865801
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 924
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.219848
Acceptance Rate: 0.855131
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.010064
Acceptance Rate: 0.840336
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.851926
Acceptance Rate: 0.830420
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.727360
Acceptance Rate: 0.822368
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.626002
Acceptance Rate: 0.810185
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.540782
Acceptance Rate: 0.802920
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.465843
Acceptance Rate: 0.794748
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.395158
Acceptance Rate: 0.784827
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.314643
Acceptance Rate: 0.780762
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1601
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.189217
Acceptance Rate: 0.776583
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1241.761366
Acceptance Rate: 0.776308
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1240.629528
Acceptance Rate: 0.767965
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1237.293775
Acceptance Rate: 0.763962
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1231.984399
Acceptance Rate: 0.757959
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1226.414777
Acceptance Rate: 0.753891
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1219.154552
Acceptance Rate: 0.750117
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1208.965140
Acceptance Rate: 0.742909
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1198.887200
Acceptance Rate: 0.740096
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1188.521456
Acceptance Rate: 0.734985
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1176.326252
Acceptance Rate: 0.730816
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1164.640468
Acceptance Rate: 0.727201
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1152.153293
Acceptance Rate: 0.724914
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1143.009896
Acceptance Rate: 0.724368
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1131.565960
Acceptance Rate: 0.724900
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1118.593833
Acceptance Rate: 0.723104
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1109.788214
Acceptance Rate: 0.721154
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1099.484381
Acceptance Rate: 0.719545
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1086.911227
Acceptance Rate: 0.717080
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1076.436955
Acceptance Rate: 0.713606
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1064.734196
Acceptance Rate: 0.711194
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1057.282570
Acceptance Rate: 0.709755
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3311
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1046.385180
Acceptance Rate: 0.707965
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1037.548010
Acceptance Rate: 0.704630
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1029.667907
Acceptance Rate: 0.699888
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1022.225711
Acceptance Rate: 0.695391
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1016.001387
Acceptance Rate: 0.694259
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1008.531994
Acceptance Rate: 0.691725
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1000.407725
Acceptance Rate: 0.690890
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -994.436650
Acceptance Rate: 0.690781
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -988.180899
Acceptance Rate: 0.688468
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -982.050481
Acceptance Rate: 0.685756
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -975.475623
Acceptance Rate: 0.686228
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4226
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -969.304256
Acceptance Rate: 0.684614
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -964.180610
Acceptance Rate: 0.683216
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.760327
Acceptance Rate: 0.680196
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.588224
Acceptance Rate: 0.678783
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4567
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -945.705430
Acceptance Rate: 0.677128
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -939.268039
Acceptance Rate: 0.676962
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.982050
Acceptance Rate: 0.677083
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.035530
Acceptance Rate: 0.673607
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.495018
Acceptance Rate: 0.670671
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 4995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.405135
Acceptance Rate: 0.669687
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5077
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.991536
Acceptance Rate: 0.669253
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.234301
Acceptance Rate: 0.667302
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.281926
Acceptance Rate: 0.666667
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.801952
Acceptance Rate: 0.665804
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.329887
Acceptance Rate: 0.663999
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.033966
Acceptance Rate: 0.664154
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -902.517465
Acceptance Rate: 0.663130
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -899.859310
Acceptance Rate: 0.662829
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -897.738832
Acceptance Rate: 0.662309
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -895.792503
Acceptance Rate: 0.662139
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -893.963340
Acceptance Rate: 0.660094
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 5984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -892.384921
Acceptance Rate: 0.660284
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6058
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -890.806538
Acceptance Rate: 0.659824
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -889.249882
Acceptance Rate: 0.657262
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -887.556154
Acceptance Rate: 0.655091
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -885.938899
Acceptance Rate: 0.654206
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -884.581278
Acceptance Rate: 0.653042
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -883.352342
Acceptance Rate: 0.651022
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -882.197343
Acceptance Rate: 0.649836
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -881.179790
Acceptance Rate: 0.648298
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -880.207185
Acceptance Rate: 0.647179
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -879.303457
Acceptance Rate: 0.645717
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 6969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -878.575164
Acceptance Rate: 0.644476
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -877.847804
Acceptance Rate: 0.642727
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -877.121905
Acceptance Rate: 0.642088
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -876.385919
Acceptance Rate: 0.640938
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.726033
Acceptance Rate: 0.638784
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7436
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.030864
Acceptance Rate: 0.637366
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -874.433200
Acceptance Rate: 0.635982
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.823177
Acceptance Rate: 0.636198
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7702
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.196086
Acceptance Rate: 0.636329
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.598167
Acceptance Rate: 0.634840
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.019257
Acceptance Rate: 0.633467
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 7972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.390084
Acceptance Rate: 0.632205
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -870.737459
Acceptance Rate: 0.631592
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -869.673046
Acceptance Rate: 0.631912
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -867.472874
Acceptance Rate: 0.632683
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8298
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -865.082917
Acceptance Rate: 0.632760
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -862.635299
Acceptance Rate: 0.632687
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -860.312712
Acceptance Rate: 0.632541
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -858.103665
Acceptance Rate: 0.632031
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -855.807268
Acceptance Rate: 0.631676
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -853.207715
Acceptance Rate: 0.632190
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 8779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.600982
Acceptance Rate: 0.631840
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 8863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.558608
Acceptance Rate: 0.631708
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 8944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.473570
Acceptance Rate: 0.631229
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.403328
Acceptance Rate: 0.630068
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9126
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.218333
Acceptance Rate: 0.629955
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -840.129266
Acceptance Rate: 0.629438
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.148570
Acceptance Rate: 0.629535
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.237438
Acceptance Rate: 0.629363
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.558494
Acceptance Rate: 0.629327
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.086251
Acceptance Rate: 0.628702
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.538213
Acceptance Rate: 0.628931
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.721815
Acceptance Rate: 0.629092
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 9776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.125224
Acceptance Rate: 0.629314
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 9852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.580381
Acceptance Rate: 0.629533
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 9928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.895373
Acceptance Rate: 0.630189
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 9997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.446330
Acceptance Rate: 0.630461
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10072
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.004655
Acceptance Rate: 0.630604
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.666498
Acceptance Rate: 0.630437
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.549074
Acceptance Rate: 0.629662
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.342879
Acceptance Rate: 0.629989
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.137276
Acceptance Rate: 0.629351
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.832911
Acceptance Rate: 0.628842
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10575
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.565042
Acceptance Rate: 0.628695
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10657
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.380159
Acceptance Rate: 0.629136
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 10729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.188906
Acceptance Rate: 0.628466
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 10820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.221698
Acceptance Rate: 0.628729
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 10895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.366782
Acceptance Rate: 0.628702
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 10975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.470830
Acceptance Rate: 0.628391
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.522476
Acceptance Rate: 0.628761
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.564675
Acceptance Rate: 0.628342
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.648286
Acceptance Rate: 0.628652
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.747960
Acceptance Rate: 0.629401
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.943904
Acceptance Rate: 0.629261
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.103233
Acceptance Rate: 0.629450
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.316167
Acceptance Rate: 0.628660
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.496540
Acceptance Rate: 0.628581
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 11693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.665989
Acceptance Rate: 0.628237
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 11779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.881866
Acceptance Rate: 0.627686
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 11869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.213508
Acceptance Rate: 0.628404
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 11935
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.607561
Acceptance Rate: 0.627963
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.035601
Acceptance Rate: 0.628463
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.482475
Acceptance Rate: 0.628130
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.902694
Acceptance Rate: 0.628212
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.390514
Acceptance Rate: 0.629110
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.899562
Acceptance Rate: 0.629489
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.443216
Acceptance Rate: 0.630320
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.039359
Acceptance Rate: 0.630085
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.663675
Acceptance Rate: 0.630252
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.302219
Acceptance Rate: 0.630965
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 12679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.959312
Acceptance Rate: 0.631422
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 12749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.638543
Acceptance Rate: 0.631333
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 12830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.327506
Acceptance Rate: 0.631049
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 12915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.025012
Acceptance Rate: 0.630769
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.718269
Acceptance Rate: 0.630686
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.427072
Acceptance Rate: 0.631035
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.142354
Acceptance Rate: 0.631523
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.870229
Acceptance Rate: 0.631626
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.616012
Acceptance Rate: 0.631870
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.364265
Acceptance Rate: 0.632676
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.130453
Acceptance Rate: 0.632630
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.917067
Acceptance Rate: 0.632632
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 13594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.715452
Acceptance Rate: 0.633189
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 13661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.521483
Acceptance Rate: 0.633003
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 13744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.336118
Acceptance Rate: 0.633186
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 13819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.157695
Acceptance Rate: 0.633002
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 13902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.993844
Acceptance Rate: 0.633047
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 13980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.845491
Acceptance Rate: 0.633091
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14058
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.703583
Acceptance Rate: 0.632777
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.573923
Acceptance Rate: 0.632867
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.455389
Acceptance Rate: 0.632557
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.346941
Acceptance Rate: 0.632955
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14377
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.247928
Acceptance Rate: 0.633043
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.156282
Acceptance Rate: 0.632911
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 14536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.072099
Acceptance Rate: 0.633171
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 14609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.992708
Acceptance Rate: 0.633515
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 14680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.917781
Acceptance Rate: 0.633254
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 14765
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.848016
Acceptance Rate: 0.633466
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 14839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.781919
Acceptance Rate: 0.633845
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 14909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.721080
Acceptance Rate: 0.634094
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 14982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.664472
Acceptance Rate: 0.633793
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.611798
Acceptance Rate: 0.633538
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.563241
Acceptance Rate: 0.633368
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.518151
Acceptance Rate: 0.633490
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.476624
Acceptance Rate: 0.633281
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.438250
Acceptance Rate: 0.632830
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 15486
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.402969
Acceptance Rate: 0.632667
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 15569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.370465
Acceptance Rate: 0.632709
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 15647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.340426
Acceptance Rate: 0.633072
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 15717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.312716
Acceptance Rate: 0.633085
Replacements: 9954
Total Samples: 15723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.310609
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -789.01588439356283 +/- 0.18079399452276307
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 15723
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (3.51 -0.5 +0.34) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-5.7 -1.5 +0.6) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.19 -0.28 +0.8) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.07 -0.5 +0.14 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval0 | -250.196669 |
| n4_interval0 | -268.039014 |
| b0_interval0 | -285.679548 |
| total | -803.915230 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1615.943775 |
| BIC | 1631.352593 |
| DIC | 1570.607059 |
| PDIC | 2.518454 |
| log(Z) | -342.665245 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.990991
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -362784.117660
Acceptance Rate: 0.985222
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -15736.577496
Acceptance Rate: 0.967262
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10225.437931
Acceptance Rate: 0.939597
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.661780
Acceptance Rate: 0.904704
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.263998
Acceptance Rate: 0.883002
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.003785
Acceptance Rate: 0.867347
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.814480
Acceptance Rate: 0.846660
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.664841
Acceptance Rate: 0.841453
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.528968
Acceptance Rate: 0.824402
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.383920
Acceptance Rate: 0.808937
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1298
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.143105
Acceptance Rate: 0.797679
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10222.323675
Acceptance Rate: 0.788752
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1458
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10217.808638
Acceptance Rate: 0.781250
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10206.595440
Acceptance Rate: 0.775916
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10186.877276
Acceptance Rate: 0.770142
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10141.183085
Acceptance Rate: 0.765740
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10069.520739
Acceptance Rate: 0.763775
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9979.206965
Acceptance Rate: 0.756785
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9839.836514
Acceptance Rate: 0.748130
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2005
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9662.822625
Acceptance Rate: 0.747348
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9461.325784
Acceptance Rate: 0.743840
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9261.196977
Acceptance Rate: 0.733986
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9051.313826
Acceptance Rate: 0.731183
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8802.112729
Acceptance Rate: 0.726141
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8536.660971
Acceptance Rate: 0.721732
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8282.916081
Acceptance Rate: 0.720686
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2567
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8031.503563
Acceptance Rate: 0.718608
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2644
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7784.475294
Acceptance Rate: 0.715596
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7571.639454
Acceptance Rate: 0.709723
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7373.445738
Acceptance Rate: 0.705194
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7161.041605
Acceptance Rate: 0.703047
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6946.490917
Acceptance Rate: 0.696469
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6773.069137
Acceptance Rate: 0.691606
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6554.697093
Acceptance Rate: 0.685349
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6401.561044
Acceptance Rate: 0.682493
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6219.045845
Acceptance Rate: 0.679387
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6085.782524
Acceptance Rate: 0.676628
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5939.874412
Acceptance Rate: 0.674003
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5769.195725
Acceptance Rate: 0.672585
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5607.127429
Acceptance Rate: 0.670876
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5453.009485
Acceptance Rate: 0.669068
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5285.713692
Acceptance Rate: 0.664827
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3986
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5165.636202
Acceptance Rate: 0.663391
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5025.492862
Acceptance Rate: 0.662331
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4923.276085
Acceptance Rate: 0.659134
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4805.878949
Acceptance Rate: 0.655323
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4349
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4701.472105
Acceptance Rate: 0.651539
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4596.777781
Acceptance Rate: 0.649208
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4516.744876
Acceptance Rate: 0.646831
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4453.047864
Acceptance Rate: 0.644275
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4371.501129
Acceptance Rate: 0.640364
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4300.647468
Acceptance Rate: 0.638686
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4218.256425
Acceptance Rate: 0.636436
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 5028
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4152.662352
Acceptance Rate: 0.633281
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4096.888739
Acceptance Rate: 0.632063
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4017.353156
Acceptance Rate: 0.631837
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3960.384760
Acceptance Rate: 0.629047
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3920.171674
Acceptance Rate: 0.625227
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3876.362500
Acceptance Rate: 0.623219
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3832.580943
Acceptance Rate: 0.622152
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3797.428021
Acceptance Rate: 0.619515
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3762.444835
Acceptance Rate: 0.617284
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3728.355360
Acceptance Rate: 0.615538
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 6011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3693.066557
Acceptance Rate: 0.613346
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3658.230998
Acceptance Rate: 0.611326
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3627.038558
Acceptance Rate: 0.609370
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3598.762018
Acceptance Rate: 0.608424
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3570.111157
Acceptance Rate: 0.607599
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3551.282408
Acceptance Rate: 0.605969
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6601
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3528.288389
Acceptance Rate: 0.604748
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3505.516331
Acceptance Rate: 0.604452
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6783
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3487.652454
Acceptance Rate: 0.604076
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3465.696787
Acceptance Rate: 0.601805
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3447.599638
Acceptance Rate: 0.601813
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 7062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3429.846339
Acceptance Rate: 0.601146
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3415.480100
Acceptance Rate: 0.598761
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3399.947892
Acceptance Rate: 0.598232
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3384.109176
Acceptance Rate: 0.597396
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3372.970706
Acceptance Rate: 0.597451
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3357.838632
Acceptance Rate: 0.596018
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3344.794394
Acceptance Rate: 0.594776
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3331.350749
Acceptance Rate: 0.593642
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3321.876989
Acceptance Rate: 0.592537
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3310.191538
Acceptance Rate: 0.591753
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 8027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3299.010540
Acceptance Rate: 0.591351
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 8117
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3289.194732
Acceptance Rate: 0.591031
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8206
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3279.799015
Acceptance Rate: 0.589509
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3269.613443
Acceptance Rate: 0.588865
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3262.124338
Acceptance Rate: 0.589345
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3251.322352
Acceptance Rate: 0.588235
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3242.820184
Acceptance Rate: 0.588303
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3234.088928
Acceptance Rate: 0.588975
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3223.026382
Acceptance Rate: 0.588502
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3212.335893
Acceptance Rate: 0.587643
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8934
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3192.503240
Acceptance Rate: 0.586867
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 9031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3160.894819
Acceptance Rate: 0.586430
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9123
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3130.492407
Acceptance Rate: 0.584669
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3090.275707
Acceptance Rate: 0.584701
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3054.364372
Acceptance Rate: 0.585044
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3019.263086
Acceptance Rate: 0.583780
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2989.541940
Acceptance Rate: 0.584063
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2959.283572
Acceptance Rate: 0.583617
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2924.403455
Acceptance Rate: 0.583777
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2898.150461
Acceptance Rate: 0.583993
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2861.898958
Acceptance Rate: 0.583618
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2835.059479
Acceptance Rate: 0.583541
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2806.676162
Acceptance Rate: 0.583119
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2767.678288
Acceptance Rate: 0.583162
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2737.468438
Acceptance Rate: 0.582411
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2709.673479
Acceptance Rate: 0.581563
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2686.760285
Acceptance Rate: 0.581229
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2661.576709
Acceptance Rate: 0.581560
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10575
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2633.174691
Acceptance Rate: 0.581450
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10663
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2607.002500
Acceptance Rate: 0.581449
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2581.266564
Acceptance Rate: 0.580699
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2560.309322
Acceptance Rate: 0.580598
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2537.984469
Acceptance Rate: 0.580446
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2515.575529
Acceptance Rate: 0.580610
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2494.859126
Acceptance Rate: 0.580772
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2476.008892
Acceptance Rate: 0.580571
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11282
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2460.155452
Acceptance Rate: 0.580679
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11366
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2442.440915
Acceptance Rate: 0.580786
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2424.121760
Acceptance Rate: 0.580539
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2406.010725
Acceptance Rate: 0.581696
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2390.583196
Acceptance Rate: 0.581843
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2372.047578
Acceptance Rate: 0.581692
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2353.822595
Acceptance Rate: 0.582278
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2339.447799
Acceptance Rate: 0.582663
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2326.966143
Acceptance Rate: 0.582799
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2314.345057
Acceptance Rate: 0.583658
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2299.581438
Acceptance Rate: 0.583210
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.675372
Acceptance Rate: 0.583578
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.908558
Acceptance Rate: 0.583421
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2260.181046
Acceptance Rate: 0.582844
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2244.906648
Acceptance Rate: 0.582927
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12523
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2234.416761
Acceptance Rate: 0.582871
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2222.535590
Acceptance Rate: 0.583090
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2211.041566
Acceptance Rate: 0.583079
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2199.776290
Acceptance Rate: 0.583249
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12859
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2189.850566
Acceptance Rate: 0.583372
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2179.445751
Acceptance Rate: 0.584211
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2170.014436
Acceptance Rate: 0.584773
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2161.170623
Acceptance Rate: 0.584485
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2151.189016
Acceptance Rate: 0.584376
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2142.705611
Acceptance Rate: 0.584664
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2137.046076
Acceptance Rate: 0.585078
Replacements: 7881
Total Samples: 13470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.813779
Acceptance Rate: 0.584047
Replacements: 7981
Total Samples: 13665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2030.615957
Acceptance Rate: 0.584056
Replacements: 8081
Total Samples: 13836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2025.162392
Acceptance Rate: 0.584452
Replacements: 8142
Total Samples: 13931
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.584767
Replacements: 8192
Total Samples: 14009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.584995
Replacements: 8242
Total Samples: 14089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.585511
Replacements: 8292
Total Samples: 14162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.585568
Replacements: 8342
Total Samples: 14246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.585298
Replacements: 8392
Total Samples: 14338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.585234
Replacements: 8442
Total Samples: 14425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.585938
Replacements: 8492
Total Samples: 14493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.586474
Replacements: 8542
Total Samples: 14565
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.586485
Replacements: 8592
Total Samples: 14650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.587132
Replacements: 8642
Total Samples: 14719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.587229
Replacements: 8718
Total Samples: 14846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.587154
Replacements: 8812
Total Samples: 15008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.587588
Replacements: 8862
Total Samples: 15082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897170
Acceptance Rate: 0.587902
Replacements: 8912
Total Samples: 15159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897169
Acceptance Rate: 0.588135
Replacements: 8962
Total Samples: 15238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.897156
Acceptance Rate: 0.588481
Replacements: 9012
Total Samples: 15314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.895939
Acceptance Rate: 0.588594
Replacements: 9062
Total Samples: 15396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.867741
Acceptance Rate: 0.588859
Replacements: 9112
Total Samples: 15474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2023.872351
Acceptance Rate: 0.589120
Replacements: 9162
Total Samples: 15552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2020.777226
Acceptance Rate: 0.589342
Replacements: 9212
Total Samples: 15631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2018.171569
Acceptance Rate: 0.589523
Replacements: 9262
Total Samples: 15711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2015.746749
Acceptance Rate: 0.589890
Replacements: 9312
Total Samples: 15786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2013.577669
Acceptance Rate: 0.590067
Replacements: 9362
Total Samples: 15866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2011.050255
Acceptance Rate: 0.590279
Replacements: 9412
Total Samples: 15945
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2008.308706
Acceptance Rate: 0.590416
Replacements: 9462
Total Samples: 16026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2006.147603
Acceptance Rate: 0.590514
Replacements: 9512
Total Samples: 16108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2004.048883
Acceptance Rate: 0.590429
Replacements: 9562
Total Samples: 16195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2002.122621
Acceptance Rate: 0.590309
Replacements: 9612
Total Samples: 16283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2000.295372
Acceptance Rate: 0.590948
Replacements: 9662
Total Samples: 16350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1998.177482
Acceptance Rate: 0.590862
Replacements: 9712
Total Samples: 16437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1996.272017
Acceptance Rate: 0.590706
Replacements: 9762
Total Samples: 16526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1994.464847
Acceptance Rate: 0.591227
Replacements: 9812
Total Samples: 16596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1993.011463
Acceptance Rate: 0.591318
Replacements: 9862
Total Samples: 16678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1991.436157
Acceptance Rate: 0.591585
Replacements: 9912
Total Samples: 16755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1989.813673
Acceptance Rate: 0.591814
Replacements: 9962
Total Samples: 16833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1988.301399
Acceptance Rate: 0.592251
Replacements: 10012
Total Samples: 16905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1986.903801
Acceptance Rate: 0.592824
Replacements: 10062
Total Samples: 16973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1985.676266
Acceptance Rate: 0.593079
Replacements: 10112
Total Samples: 17050
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1984.316077
Acceptance Rate: 0.593263
Replacements: 10162
Total Samples: 17129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1983.111371
Acceptance Rate: 0.593755
Replacements: 10212
Total Samples: 17199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1981.861214
Acceptance Rate: 0.594038
Replacements: 10262
Total Samples: 17275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1980.795801
Acceptance Rate: 0.594215
Replacements: 10312
Total Samples: 17354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.773889
Acceptance Rate: 0.594390
Replacements: 10362
Total Samples: 17433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.923714
Acceptance Rate: 0.594700
Replacements: 10412
Total Samples: 17508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.042188
Acceptance Rate: 0.594837
Replacements: 10462
Total Samples: 17588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1977.123747
Acceptance Rate: 0.595075
Replacements: 10512
Total Samples: 17665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1976.291167
Acceptance Rate: 0.595378
Replacements: 10562
Total Samples: 17740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1975.491852
Acceptance Rate: 0.595945
Replacements: 10612
Total Samples: 17807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1974.670825
Acceptance Rate: 0.596442
Replacements: 10662
Total Samples: 17876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.828791
Acceptance Rate: 0.596702
Replacements: 10712
Total Samples: 17952
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.025275
Acceptance Rate: 0.596861
Replacements: 10762
Total Samples: 18031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1972.234602
Acceptance Rate: 0.596886
Replacements: 10812
Total Samples: 18114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1971.520838
Acceptance Rate: 0.597076
Replacements: 10862
Total Samples: 18192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.909431
Acceptance Rate: 0.597220
Replacements: 10913
Total Samples: 18273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1969.973680
Acceptance Rate: 0.597105
Replacements: 11013
Total Samples: 18444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.536487
Acceptance Rate: 0.597604
Replacements: 11073
Total Samples: 18529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231381
Acceptance Rate: 0.597754
Replacements: 11123
Total Samples: 18608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231379
Acceptance Rate: 0.598286
Replacements: 11173
Total Samples: 18675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231375
Acceptance Rate: 0.598464
Replacements: 11223
Total Samples: 18753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231369
Acceptance Rate: 0.598959
Replacements: 11273
Total Samples: 18821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231357
Acceptance Rate: 0.599291
Replacements: 11323
Total Samples: 18894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231337
Acceptance Rate: 0.599399
Replacements: 11373
Total Samples: 18974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231304
Acceptance Rate: 0.599947
Replacements: 11423
Total Samples: 19040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231253
Acceptance Rate: 0.600555
Replacements: 11473
Total Samples: 19104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231171
Acceptance Rate: 0.600688
Replacements: 11523
Total Samples: 19183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.231057
Acceptance Rate: 0.601070
Replacements: 11573
Total Samples: 19254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.230898
Acceptance Rate: 0.601324
Replacements: 11623
Total Samples: 19329
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.230692
Acceptance Rate: 0.601670
Replacements: 11673
Total Samples: 19401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.230415
Acceptance Rate: 0.602106
Replacements: 11723
Total Samples: 19470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.230054
Acceptance Rate: 0.602446
Replacements: 11773
Total Samples: 19542
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.229593
Acceptance Rate: 0.602507
Replacements: 11823
Total Samples: 19623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.228950
Acceptance Rate: 0.602935
Replacements: 11873
Total Samples: 19692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.228112
Acceptance Rate: 0.603177
Replacements: 11923
Total Samples: 19767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.227046
Acceptance Rate: 0.603387
Replacements: 11973
Total Samples: 19843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.225618
Acceptance Rate: 0.603807
Replacements: 12023
Total Samples: 19912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.223768
Acceptance Rate: 0.604194
Replacements: 12073
Total Samples: 19982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.221224
Acceptance Rate: 0.604548
Replacements: 12123
Total Samples: 20053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.218082
Acceptance Rate: 0.604840
Replacements: 12173
Total Samples: 20126
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.214296
Acceptance Rate: 0.605189
Replacements: 12223
Total Samples: 20197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.209803
Acceptance Rate: 0.605297
Replacements: 12273
Total Samples: 20276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.204508
Acceptance Rate: 0.605672
Replacements: 12323
Total Samples: 20346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.197700
Acceptance Rate: 0.605926
Replacements: 12373
Total Samples: 20420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.189306
Acceptance Rate: 0.606148
Replacements: 12423
Total Samples: 20495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.179568
Acceptance Rate: 0.606339
Replacements: 12473
Total Samples: 20571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.168080
Acceptance Rate: 0.606499
Replacements: 12523
Total Samples: 20648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.155158
Acceptance Rate: 0.606922
Replacements: 12573
Total Samples: 20716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.140653
Acceptance Rate: 0.607109
Replacements: 12623
Total Samples: 20792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.124435
Acceptance Rate: 0.607614
Replacements: 12673
Total Samples: 20857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.106649
Acceptance Rate: 0.607971
Replacements: 12723
Total Samples: 20927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.086394
Acceptance Rate: 0.608344
Replacements: 12774
Total Samples: 20998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.063241
Acceptance Rate: 0.608988
Replacements: 12874
Total Samples: 21140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.015352
Acceptance Rate: 0.609566
Replacements: 12974
Total Samples: 21284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.966595
Acceptance Rate: 0.610250
Replacements: 13074
Total Samples: 21424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.920044
Acceptance Rate: 0.610626
Replacements: 13137
Total Samples: 21514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.882860
Acceptance Rate: 0.610820
Replacements: 13187
Total Samples: 21589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.845690
Acceptance Rate: 0.611296
Replacements: 13237
Total Samples: 21654
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.805342
Acceptance Rate: 0.611740
Replacements: 13287
Total Samples: 21720
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.763049
Acceptance Rate: 0.612238
Replacements: 13337
Total Samples: 21784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.717002
Acceptance Rate: 0.612846
Replacements: 13387
Total Samples: 21844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.669534
Acceptance Rate: 0.613058
Replacements: 13437
Total Samples: 21918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.620804
Acceptance Rate: 0.613631
Replacements: 13487
Total Samples: 21979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.572265
Acceptance Rate: 0.613951
Replacements: 13537
Total Samples: 22049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.523821
Acceptance Rate: 0.613935
Replacements: 13587
Total Samples: 22131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.476121
Acceptance Rate: 0.614224
Replacements: 13637
Total Samples: 22202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.430065
Acceptance Rate: 0.614483
Replacements: 13687
Total Samples: 22274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.384722
Acceptance Rate: 0.614796
Replacements: 13737
Total Samples: 22344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.339446
Acceptance Rate: 0.615107
Replacements: 13787
Total Samples: 22414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.296214
Acceptance Rate: 0.615607
Replacements: 13837
Total Samples: 22477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.254716
Acceptance Rate: 0.615777
Replacements: 13887
Total Samples: 22552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.214906
Acceptance Rate: 0.616245
Replacements: 13937
Total Samples: 22616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.176979
Acceptance Rate: 0.616656
Replacements: 13987
Total Samples: 22682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.141402
Acceptance Rate: 0.617092
Replacements: 14037
Total Samples: 22747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.107266
Acceptance Rate: 0.617553
Replacements: 14087
Total Samples: 22811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.074455
Acceptance Rate: 0.617687
Replacements: 14137
Total Samples: 22887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.043047
Acceptance Rate: 0.618035
Replacements: 14187
Total Samples: 22955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.013544
Acceptance Rate: 0.618435
Replacements: 14237
Total Samples: 23021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.985981
Acceptance Rate: 0.618592
Replacements: 14287
Total Samples: 23096
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.960165
Acceptance Rate: 0.618774
Replacements: 14337
Total Samples: 23170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.936083
Acceptance Rate: 0.619089
Replacements: 14387
Total Samples: 23239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.913294
Acceptance Rate: 0.619534
Replacements: 14437
Total Samples: 23303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.891979
Acceptance Rate: 0.619871
Replacements: 14487
Total Samples: 23371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.872061
Acceptance Rate: 0.620364
Replacements: 14537
Total Samples: 23433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.853538
Acceptance Rate: 0.620681
Replacements: 14586
Total Samples: 23500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.836904
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1954.6027636825308 +/- 0.22482858352991936
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 23500
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (4.50 -0.21 +0.12) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-7.99 -0.8 +0.18) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.86 -0.27 +0.8) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.900 -0.10 +0.021 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval1 | -642.213725 |
| n4_interval1 | -643.143245 |
| b0_interval1 | -680.372242 |
| total | -1965.729212 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3939.571739 |
| BIC | 3954.980557 |
| DIC | 3890.016437 |
| PDIC | 5.261337 |
| log(Z) | -848.873195 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -212789.879089
Acceptance Rate: 0.986842
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -12186.172517
Acceptance Rate: 0.961538
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1562.958719
Acceptance Rate: 0.943396
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1561.488242
Acceptance Rate: 0.905797
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.959439
Acceptance Rate: 0.869565
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.643432
Acceptance Rate: 0.850000
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.424097
Acceptance Rate: 0.841121
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.259865
Acceptance Rate: 0.820380
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.130600
Acceptance Rate: 0.803213
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.023807
Acceptance Rate: 0.797872
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.931214
Acceptance Rate: 0.782918
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.843844
Acceptance Rate: 0.774411
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.742496
Acceptance Rate: 0.770713
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.576997
Acceptance Rate: 0.759417
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.099656
Acceptance Rate: 0.747556
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1557.258664
Acceptance Rate: 0.740944
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1552.406153
Acceptance Rate: 0.734908
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1543.955044
Acceptance Rate: 0.731584
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1532.434048
Acceptance Rate: 0.731351
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1519.696274
Acceptance Rate: 0.726676
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1506.726031
Acceptance Rate: 0.724310
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1487.704469
Acceptance Rate: 0.722417
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1458.943449
Acceptance Rate: 0.717300
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1437.100128
Acceptance Rate: 0.713412
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1415.785624
Acceptance Rate: 0.710059
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2535
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1392.633101
Acceptance Rate: 0.708812
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1369.197306
Acceptance Rate: 0.706320
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1347.446429
Acceptance Rate: 0.702956
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2774
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.170770
Acceptance Rate: 0.700035
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1296.823584
Acceptance Rate: 0.699898
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1281.984146
Acceptance Rate: 0.699534
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1266.435677
Acceptance Rate: 0.698733
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3077
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1247.178223
Acceptance Rate: 0.698634
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1230.629359
Acceptance Rate: 0.694230
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1215.143615
Acceptance Rate: 0.692146
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1198.102918
Acceptance Rate: 0.690770
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1182.431290
Acceptance Rate: 0.687482
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1166.731128
Acceptance Rate: 0.687430
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1154.192867
Acceptance Rate: 0.683995
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1145.146125
Acceptance Rate: 0.683646
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1135.564488
Acceptance Rate: 0.681520
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1125.315361
Acceptance Rate: 0.678096
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1116.440711
Acceptance Rate: 0.675507
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1109.242045
Acceptance Rate: 0.670895
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1101.504084
Acceptance Rate: 0.671141
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1091.748301
Acceptance Rate: 0.671853
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1083.247920
Acceptance Rate: 0.667895
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1074.932827
Acceptance Rate: 0.665914
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1065.753852
Acceptance Rate: 0.664011
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1058.616866
Acceptance Rate: 0.663188
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1051.503536
Acceptance Rate: 0.661122
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1044.014129
Acceptance Rate: 0.660101
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1039.026668
Acceptance Rate: 0.660338
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1033.343631
Acceptance Rate: 0.659096
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4931
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1027.824618
Acceptance Rate: 0.656586
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1023.574904
Acceptance Rate: 0.655834
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1018.834172
Acceptance Rate: 0.656371
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5180
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1013.576018
Acceptance Rate: 0.654897
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1008.766297
Acceptance Rate: 0.652255
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5366
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1004.736792
Acceptance Rate: 0.652574
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1001.077018
Acceptance Rate: 0.649234
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -998.314767
Acceptance Rate: 0.649351
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -994.697543
Acceptance Rate: 0.648327
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -991.724727
Acceptance Rate: 0.645328
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -988.762891
Acceptance Rate: 0.643305
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -986.247634
Acceptance Rate: 0.641988
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -984.094409
Acceptance Rate: 0.638821
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -982.208149
Acceptance Rate: 0.636686
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -979.832766
Acceptance Rate: 0.635930
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -977.867772
Acceptance Rate: 0.635294
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -975.770052
Acceptance Rate: 0.633400
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6473
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -973.508561
Acceptance Rate: 0.631948
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6567
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -971.839150
Acceptance Rate: 0.631010
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6656
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -970.214733
Acceptance Rate: 0.630096
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -968.866746
Acceptance Rate: 0.629852
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -967.304085
Acceptance Rate: 0.628431
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -965.977479
Acceptance Rate: 0.627585
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -964.632394
Acceptance Rate: 0.627379
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -963.485250
Acceptance Rate: 0.624306
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -962.422660
Acceptance Rate: 0.622861
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -961.364705
Acceptance Rate: 0.619863
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7421
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -960.453255
Acceptance Rate: 0.618762
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -959.579180
Acceptance Rate: 0.616636
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.749895
Acceptance Rate: 0.614966
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7724
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.991676
Acceptance Rate: 0.611855
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.264527
Acceptance Rate: 0.610524
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.623331
Acceptance Rate: 0.610364
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8028
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.993836
Acceptance Rate: 0.609006
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.368245
Acceptance Rate: 0.606722
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.774586
Acceptance Rate: 0.606315
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8329
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.206386
Acceptance Rate: 0.605126
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.631469
Acceptance Rate: 0.602692
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.086202
Acceptance Rate: 0.600670
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8657
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.563061
Acceptance Rate: 0.598018
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.050588
Acceptance Rate: 0.595974
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.570761
Acceptance Rate: 0.594180
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.044152
Acceptance Rate: 0.593733
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -950.223312
Acceptance Rate: 0.592778
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -949.174239
Acceptance Rate: 0.591589
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -947.791710
Acceptance Rate: 0.590866
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -946.446311
Acceptance Rate: 0.590033
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -945.278380
Acceptance Rate: 0.589586
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9583
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -944.124764
Acceptance Rate: 0.587145
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -943.072149
Acceptance Rate: 0.585957
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -942.098188
Acceptance Rate: 0.585031
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -941.094846
Acceptance Rate: 0.584357
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -940.091674
Acceptance Rate: 0.583062
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -938.885876
Acceptance Rate: 0.582192
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -937.776367
Acceptance Rate: 0.581226
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -936.756704
Acceptance Rate: 0.579835
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -935.813972
Acceptance Rate: 0.579517
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -934.856744
Acceptance Rate: 0.578824
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.920613
Acceptance Rate: 0.577819
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -932.993015
Acceptance Rate: 0.577634
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -932.071786
Acceptance Rate: 0.577982
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -931.118511
Acceptance Rate: 0.576434
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 11016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.222627
Acceptance Rate: 0.575591
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.354404
Acceptance Rate: 0.575020
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -928.511124
Acceptance Rate: 0.573698
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -927.650148
Acceptance Rate: 0.572653
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.909378
Acceptance Rate: 0.571577
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.231837
Acceptance Rate: 0.571208
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.545652
Acceptance Rate: 0.570553
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.892109
Acceptance Rate: 0.569092
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.281636
Acceptance Rate: 0.567471
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.682299
Acceptance Rate: 0.567241
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 12076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.163659
Acceptance Rate: 0.566875
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 12172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.696585
Acceptance Rate: 0.566653
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.209183
Acceptance Rate: 0.566618
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.738116
Acceptance Rate: 0.563600
Replacements: 7076
Total Samples: 12555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.700874
Acceptance Rate: 0.561810
Replacements: 7176
Total Samples: 12773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.320117
Acceptance Rate: 0.561845
Replacements: 7236
Total Samples: 12879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047698
Acceptance Rate: 0.561239
Replacements: 7286
Total Samples: 12982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047696
Acceptance Rate: 0.561586
Replacements: 7336
Total Samples: 13063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047694
Acceptance Rate: 0.561801
Replacements: 7386
Total Samples: 13147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047690
Acceptance Rate: 0.561081
Replacements: 7436
Total Samples: 13253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047685
Acceptance Rate: 0.561422
Replacements: 7486
Total Samples: 13334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047677
Acceptance Rate: 0.561466
Replacements: 7536
Total Samples: 13422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047664
Acceptance Rate: 0.561302
Replacements: 7586
Total Samples: 13515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047646
Acceptance Rate: 0.560317
Replacements: 7636
Total Samples: 13628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047621
Acceptance Rate: 0.559878
Replacements: 7686
Total Samples: 13728
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047588
Acceptance Rate: 0.559526
Replacements: 7736
Total Samples: 13826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047543
Acceptance Rate: 0.559219
Replacements: 7786
Total Samples: 13923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047483
Acceptance Rate: 0.559275
Replacements: 7836
Total Samples: 14011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047403
Acceptance Rate: 0.559648
Replacements: 7886
Total Samples: 14091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047297
Acceptance Rate: 0.559543
Replacements: 7936
Total Samples: 14183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.047164
Acceptance Rate: 0.560421
Replacements: 7986
Total Samples: 14250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.046991
Acceptance Rate: 0.560351
Replacements: 8036
Total Samples: 14341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.046768
Acceptance Rate: 0.560166
Replacements: 8086
Total Samples: 14435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.046473
Acceptance Rate: 0.558753
Replacements: 8136
Total Samples: 14561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.046117
Acceptance Rate: 0.559268
Replacements: 8186
Total Samples: 14637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.045672
Acceptance Rate: 0.559169
Replacements: 8236
Total Samples: 14729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.045081
Acceptance Rate: 0.559147
Replacements: 8286
Total Samples: 14819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.044333
Acceptance Rate: 0.558938
Replacements: 8336
Total Samples: 14914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.043417
Acceptance Rate: 0.558806
Replacements: 8386
Total Samples: 15007
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.042354
Acceptance Rate: 0.558861
Replacements: 8436
Total Samples: 15095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.041070
Acceptance Rate: 0.558620
Replacements: 8486
Total Samples: 15191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.039617
Acceptance Rate: 0.558712
Replacements: 8536
Total Samples: 15278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.037980
Acceptance Rate: 0.558693
Replacements: 8586
Total Samples: 15368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.036032
Acceptance Rate: 0.558747
Replacements: 8636
Total Samples: 15456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.033656
Acceptance Rate: 0.559197
Replacements: 8686
Total Samples: 15533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.030808
Acceptance Rate: 0.559176
Replacements: 8736
Total Samples: 15623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.027400
Acceptance Rate: 0.559618
Replacements: 8786
Total Samples: 15700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.023239
Acceptance Rate: 0.559524
Replacements: 8836
Total Samples: 15792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.018334
Acceptance Rate: 0.558938
Replacements: 8886
Total Samples: 15898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.012733
Acceptance Rate: 0.558675
Replacements: 8936
Total Samples: 15995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.006527
Acceptance Rate: 0.558622
Replacements: 8986
Total Samples: 16086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.999615
Acceptance Rate: 0.558674
Replacements: 9036
Total Samples: 16174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.991932
Acceptance Rate: 0.558726
Replacements: 9086
Total Samples: 16262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.983467
Acceptance Rate: 0.559016
Replacements: 9136
Total Samples: 16343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.974212
Acceptance Rate: 0.558929
Replacements: 9186
Total Samples: 16435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.964153
Acceptance Rate: 0.558877
Replacements: 9236
Total Samples: 16526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.953272
Acceptance Rate: 0.558724
Replacements: 9286
Total Samples: 16620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.941926
Acceptance Rate: 0.558741
Replacements: 9336
Total Samples: 16709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.929791
Acceptance Rate: 0.559090
Replacements: 9386
Total Samples: 16788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.916789
Acceptance Rate: 0.559071
Replacements: 9436
Total Samples: 16878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.902967
Acceptance Rate: 0.558921
Replacements: 9486
Total Samples: 16972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.888453
Acceptance Rate: 0.558936
Replacements: 9536
Total Samples: 17061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.872944
Acceptance Rate: 0.558918
Replacements: 9586
Total Samples: 17151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.856162
Acceptance Rate: 0.558544
Replacements: 9636
Total Samples: 17252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.838482
Acceptance Rate: 0.558722
Replacements: 9686
Total Samples: 17336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.820398
Acceptance Rate: 0.558545
Replacements: 9736
Total Samples: 17431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.802262
Acceptance Rate: 0.558817
Replacements: 9786
Total Samples: 17512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.784181
Acceptance Rate: 0.559372
Replacements: 9836
Total Samples: 17584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.766263
Acceptance Rate: 0.560018
Replacements: 9886
Total Samples: 17653
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.747970
Acceptance Rate: 0.559964
Replacements: 9936
Total Samples: 17744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.729963
Acceptance Rate: 0.559722
Replacements: 9986
Total Samples: 17841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.711859
Acceptance Rate: 0.559982
Replacements: 10036
Total Samples: 17922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.693903
Acceptance Rate: 0.560271
Replacements: 10086
Total Samples: 18002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.675796
Acceptance Rate: 0.560526
Replacements: 10136
Total Samples: 18083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.657502
Acceptance Rate: 0.561088
Replacements: 10186
Total Samples: 18154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.639415
Acceptance Rate: 0.561400
Replacements: 10236
Total Samples: 18233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.621382
Acceptance Rate: 0.561555
Replacements: 10286
Total Samples: 18317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.603633
Acceptance Rate: 0.561861
Replacements: 10336
Total Samples: 18396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.586167
Acceptance Rate: 0.562470
Replacements: 10386
Total Samples: 18465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.568934
Acceptance Rate: 0.562921
Replacements: 10436
Total Samples: 18539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.551610
Acceptance Rate: 0.563461
Replacements: 10486
Total Samples: 18610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.534235
Acceptance Rate: 0.563664
Replacements: 10536
Total Samples: 18692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.517050
Acceptance Rate: 0.564376
Replacements: 10586
Total Samples: 18757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.500481
Acceptance Rate: 0.564933
Replacements: 10636
Total Samples: 18827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.484447
Acceptance Rate: 0.565546
Replacements: 10686
Total Samples: 18895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.468877
Acceptance Rate: 0.565648
Replacements: 10736
Total Samples: 18980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.453997
Acceptance Rate: 0.565808
Replacements: 10786
Total Samples: 19063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.439635
Acceptance Rate: 0.565996
Replacements: 10836
Total Samples: 19145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.425693
Acceptance Rate: 0.566419
Replacements: 10886
Total Samples: 19219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.412235
Acceptance Rate: 0.566661
Replacements: 10936
Total Samples: 19299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.399342
Acceptance Rate: 0.566990
Replacements: 10986
Total Samples: 19376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.387015
Acceptance Rate: 0.567404
Replacements: 11036
Total Samples: 19450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.375235
Acceptance Rate: 0.567843
Replacements: 11086
Total Samples: 19523
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.363922
Acceptance Rate: 0.567902
Replacements: 11136
Total Samples: 19609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.353107
Acceptance Rate: 0.568134
Replacements: 11186
Total Samples: 19689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.342863
Acceptance Rate: 0.568537
Replacements: 11236
Total Samples: 19763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.333039
Acceptance Rate: 0.568822
Replacements: 11286
Total Samples: 19841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.323728
Acceptance Rate: 0.569248
Replacements: 11336
Total Samples: 19914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.314856
Acceptance Rate: 0.569585
Replacements: 11386
Total Samples: 19990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.306288
Acceptance Rate: 0.569976
Replacements: 11436
Total Samples: 20064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.298129
Acceptance Rate: 0.570506
Replacements: 11486
Total Samples: 20133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.290346
Acceptance Rate: 0.570976
Replacements: 11536
Total Samples: 20204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.283003
Acceptance Rate: 0.571019
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 20227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.281018
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -907.04264546285197 +/- 0.19569912824033345
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 20227
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.6 +/- 0.4) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.04 +/- 0.11 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (5.3 -1.4 +5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.89 -0.6 +0.10 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval2 | -288.954162 |
| n4_interval2 | -311.902125 |
| b0_interval2 | -324.216282 |
| total | -925.072570 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1858.258454 |
| BIC | 1873.667271 |
| DIC | 1804.648942 |
| PDIC | 0.930489 |
| log(Z) | -393.923616 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.994575
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -133580.382910
Acceptance Rate: 0.978793
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6609.473575
Acceptance Rate: 0.951684
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1272.158896
Acceptance Rate: 0.927152
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1271.022489
Acceptance Rate: 0.905797
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.543516
Acceptance Rate: 0.883002
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.247588
Acceptance Rate: 0.854271
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.039089
Acceptance Rate: 0.834879
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.881691
Acceptance Rate: 0.831146
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.757592
Acceptance Rate: 0.821018
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.656243
Acceptance Rate: 0.810185
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.570111
Acceptance Rate: 0.797101
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.493597
Acceptance Rate: 0.783379
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.418811
Acceptance Rate: 0.778715
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.339149
Acceptance Rate: 0.773994
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1615
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.209107
Acceptance Rate: 0.769686
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1268.915710
Acceptance Rate: 0.767045
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1268.150257
Acceptance Rate: 0.758397
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1265.816657
Acceptance Rate: 0.757576
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1261.712287
Acceptance Rate: 0.750375
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1254.901501
Acceptance Rate: 0.751333
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.440783
Acceptance Rate: 0.749064
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1227.676630
Acceptance Rate: 0.745931
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2212
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1208.269792
Acceptance Rate: 0.740096
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1191.039134
Acceptance Rate: 0.737152
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1172.180047
Acceptance Rate: 0.732899
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1150.115325
Acceptance Rate: 0.732964
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1133.373204
Acceptance Rate: 0.730488
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2601
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1116.760710
Acceptance Rate: 0.727612
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1100.034621
Acceptance Rate: 0.727008
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1084.543141
Acceptance Rate: 0.724894
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1071.371418
Acceptance Rate: 0.724638
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1055.712185
Acceptance Rate: 0.722204
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2977
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1042.746899
Acceptance Rate: 0.720131
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1033.522508
Acceptance Rate: 0.718850
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1021.699988
Acceptance Rate: 0.718301
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1010.139306
Acceptance Rate: 0.713418
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1000.051243
Acceptance Rate: 0.711322
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -990.196883
Acceptance Rate: 0.709733
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -980.983577
Acceptance Rate: 0.708617
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -968.729572
Acceptance Rate: 0.707155
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -960.162693
Acceptance Rate: 0.704416
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -950.503143
Acceptance Rate: 0.702359
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -942.498362
Acceptance Rate: 0.701846
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3847
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -935.262869
Acceptance Rate: 0.699390
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -927.849959
Acceptance Rate: 0.694789
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.057689
Acceptance Rate: 0.692420
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.282149
Acceptance Rate: 0.689000
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.555379
Acceptance Rate: 0.685887
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.200994
Acceptance Rate: 0.684619
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898.478245
Acceptance Rate: 0.682327
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -893.032260
Acceptance Rate: 0.681468
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -887.755038
Acceptance Rate: 0.679026
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -883.301483
Acceptance Rate: 0.676819
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4728
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -879.103735
Acceptance Rate: 0.674134
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.251661
Acceptance Rate: 0.672783
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.033321
Acceptance Rate: 0.671747
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 4987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -869.271122
Acceptance Rate: 0.668896
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -865.382150
Acceptance Rate: 0.666280
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -862.354295
Acceptance Rate: 0.664515
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -859.863993
Acceptance Rate: 0.661943
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -857.322314
Acceptance Rate: 0.660308
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -854.740902
Acceptance Rate: 0.656711
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -852.348233
Acceptance Rate: 0.656261
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -849.929550
Acceptance Rate: 0.654222
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -847.841919
Acceptance Rate: 0.652137
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.060926
Acceptance Rate: 0.650338
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.277028
Acceptance Rate: 0.649026
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.708793
Acceptance Rate: 0.647860
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -841.262103
Acceptance Rate: 0.648403
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6169
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.740665
Acceptance Rate: 0.647275
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.302005
Acceptance Rate: 0.644350
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.999436
Acceptance Rate: 0.643112
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.856392
Acceptance Rate: 0.641221
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.703248
Acceptance Rate: 0.639290
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.685092
Acceptance Rate: 0.637793
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.894127
Acceptance Rate: 0.634296
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6858
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.131517
Acceptance Rate: 0.632820
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.373030
Acceptance Rate: 0.631654
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.618970
Acceptance Rate: 0.631313
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.938866
Acceptance Rate: 0.630281
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.342168
Acceptance Rate: 0.629792
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.812204
Acceptance Rate: 0.627361
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7412
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.250512
Acceptance Rate: 0.626249
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7505
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.714227
Acceptance Rate: 0.625329
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.207757
Acceptance Rate: 0.623215
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7702
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.747455
Acceptance Rate: 0.621954
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.332424
Acceptance Rate: 0.621354
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.961414
Acceptance Rate: 0.620767
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.583300
Acceptance Rate: 0.618812
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8080
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.241113
Acceptance Rate: 0.616530
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.935570
Acceptance Rate: 0.614976
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.657830
Acceptance Rate: 0.612803
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.404127
Acceptance Rate: 0.611909
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.167865
Acceptance Rate: 0.611247
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.931873
Acceptance Rate: 0.610740
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.698954
Acceptance Rate: 0.608646
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.458815
Acceptance Rate: 0.606605
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.214397
Acceptance Rate: 0.606769
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.961057
Acceptance Rate: 0.605593
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.597773
Acceptance Rate: 0.603720
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.086280
Acceptance Rate: 0.602993
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.467437
Acceptance Rate: 0.602988
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.827729
Acceptance Rate: 0.602537
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.026648
Acceptance Rate: 0.602283
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.168026
Acceptance Rate: 0.602159
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.221509
Acceptance Rate: 0.602100
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.350994
Acceptance Rate: 0.602102
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9799
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.456426
Acceptance Rate: 0.601800
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.696657
Acceptance Rate: 0.601022
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.845534
Acceptance Rate: 0.600318
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.030334
Acceptance Rate: 0.600453
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.277630
Acceptance Rate: 0.600176
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.512077
Acceptance Rate: 0.599671
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.843938
Acceptance Rate: 0.600211
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.176437
Acceptance Rate: 0.600629
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.443070
Acceptance Rate: 0.600530
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10574
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.724308
Acceptance Rate: 0.599981
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.015573
Acceptance Rate: 0.600223
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.335045
Acceptance Rate: 0.599963
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.681816
Acceptance Rate: 0.599707
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.064468
Acceptance Rate: 0.598965
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.450741
Acceptance Rate: 0.599585
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.804797
Acceptance Rate: 0.599821
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.153767
Acceptance Rate: 0.599520
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.549799
Acceptance Rate: 0.600335
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.990810
Acceptance Rate: 0.600508
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.402259
Acceptance Rate: 0.601098
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.803038
Acceptance Rate: 0.601575
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.212493
Acceptance Rate: 0.600498
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11657
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.662515
Acceptance Rate: 0.599643
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.151673
Acceptance Rate: 0.600118
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.685641
Acceptance Rate: 0.599883
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.258307
Acceptance Rate: 0.599950
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.857446
Acceptance Rate: 0.599818
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.494919
Acceptance Rate: 0.599885
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12169
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.153949
Acceptance Rate: 0.599608
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12258
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.790334
Acceptance Rate: 0.599336
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.469658
Acceptance Rate: 0.599646
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.188145
Acceptance Rate: 0.599664
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.901607
Acceptance Rate: 0.600207
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12579
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.626234
Acceptance Rate: 0.600363
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.353582
Acceptance Rate: 0.600660
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12736
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.084712
Acceptance Rate: 0.601046
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.823736
Acceptance Rate: 0.601195
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.575724
Acceptance Rate: 0.601295
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.347910
Acceptance Rate: 0.601026
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.128458
Acceptance Rate: 0.601218
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.931998
Acceptance Rate: 0.601362
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.738540
Acceptance Rate: 0.601007
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13311
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.557626
Acceptance Rate: 0.600388
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.389463
Acceptance Rate: 0.599956
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.232442
Acceptance Rate: 0.600015
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13583
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.083929
Acceptance Rate: 0.599371
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.941633
Acceptance Rate: 0.599608
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.802502
Acceptance Rate: 0.599365
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.669904
Acceptance Rate: 0.599340
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.541071
Acceptance Rate: 0.599016
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.415112
Acceptance Rate: 0.598696
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.293207
Acceptance Rate: 0.598297
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.177245
Acceptance Rate: 0.597735
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.066660
Acceptance Rate: 0.597056
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.960428
Acceptance Rate: 0.596552
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.860109
Acceptance Rate: 0.597199
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.766169
Acceptance Rate: 0.597474
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14645
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.676320
Acceptance Rate: 0.597542
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.591358
Acceptance Rate: 0.597569
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14810
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.510988
Acceptance Rate: 0.597636
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.435644
Acceptance Rate: 0.597344
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.363622
Acceptance Rate: 0.597729
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.293649
Acceptance Rate: 0.597833
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.225192
Acceptance Rate: 0.598015
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.159678
Acceptance Rate: 0.598117
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15298
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.096636
Acceptance Rate: 0.598218
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.036600
Acceptance Rate: 0.597816
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15473
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.977934
Acceptance Rate: 0.598725
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.921550
Acceptance Rate: 0.598630
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.868148
Acceptance Rate: 0.598688
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.817059
Acceptance Rate: 0.598821
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.768509
Acceptance Rate: 0.599407
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.722543
Acceptance Rate: 0.599197
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.678859
Acceptance Rate: 0.599588
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.638011
Acceptance Rate: 0.599826
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.599739
Acceptance Rate: 0.599617
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16177
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.563114
Acceptance Rate: 0.598968
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.528569
Acceptance Rate: 0.598949
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.496182
Acceptance Rate: 0.599221
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.465731
Acceptance Rate: 0.599237
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16521
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.437189
Acceptance Rate: 0.599217
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.410598
Acceptance Rate: 0.599520
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.385765
Acceptance Rate: 0.599678
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.362589
Acceptance Rate: 0.599941
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.340681
Acceptance Rate: 0.600556
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.319914
Acceptance Rate: 0.600954
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.300199
Acceptance Rate: 0.601138
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 17051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.281800
Acceptance Rate: 0.601004
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 17138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.264694
Acceptance Rate: 0.601534
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 17206
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.248737
Acceptance Rate: 0.601556
Replacements: 10360
Total Samples: 17222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.245648
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -792.03918523780783 +/- 0.17947693456093539
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 17222
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (3.24 -0.19 +0.7) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.6 -1.1 +1.3) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (2.76 -0.7 +0.09) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.907 +0.022 +0.14 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval3 | -241.827156 |
| n4_interval3 | -262.179746 |
| b0_interval3 | -298.579779 |
| total | -802.586680 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1613.286675 |
| BIC | 1628.695492 |
| DIC | 1572.835298 |
| PDIC | 2.236817 |
| log(Z) | -343.978248 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.990991
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.978793
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -102764.266755
Acceptance Rate: 0.957290
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6233.880557
Acceptance Rate: 0.923483
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.847919
Acceptance Rate: 0.891795
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.388787
Acceptance Rate: 0.870511
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.101135
Acceptance Rate: 0.853414
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.896862
Acceptance Rate: 0.838770
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.741100
Acceptance Rate: 0.837004
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.615130
Acceptance Rate: 0.836820
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.501832
Acceptance Rate: 0.824823
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.379047
Acceptance Rate: 0.811808
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.168798
Acceptance Rate: 0.801953
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6230.474816
Acceptance Rate: 0.791035
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1517
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6227.696524
Acceptance Rate: 0.786164
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6219.882476
Acceptance Rate: 0.778443
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1670
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6208.213812
Acceptance Rate: 0.775416
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6179.489849
Acceptance Rate: 0.772201
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6147.127408
Acceptance Rate: 0.765576
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6086.865237
Acceptance Rate: 0.761421
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6022.072449
Acceptance Rate: 0.758317
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5959.798276
Acceptance Rate: 0.754361
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5863.331861
Acceptance Rate: 0.748299
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5781.171686
Acceptance Rate: 0.743332
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5672.545475
Acceptance Rate: 0.735913
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5539.879169
Acceptance Rate: 0.730519
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5420.270208
Acceptance Rate: 0.724922
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5316.012111
Acceptance Rate: 0.720516
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5182.331807
Acceptance Rate: 0.718762
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5051.280043
Acceptance Rate: 0.712504
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4934.030089
Acceptance Rate: 0.711806
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4840.022518
Acceptance Rate: 0.707071
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4741.041360
Acceptance Rate: 0.705149
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4597.968206
Acceptance Rate: 0.704451
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3123
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4461.412764
Acceptance Rate: 0.702247
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4339.463408
Acceptance Rate: 0.699939
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3286
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4246.972288
Acceptance Rate: 0.698158
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3366
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4149.643988
Acceptance Rate: 0.694847
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4062.312268
Acceptance Rate: 0.693265
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3993.005858
Acceptance Rate: 0.689465
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3900.831267
Acceptance Rate: 0.687517
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3834.258669
Acceptance Rate: 0.685293
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3781.989766
Acceptance Rate: 0.682286
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3712.621394
Acceptance Rate: 0.675338
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3656.188462
Acceptance Rate: 0.673030
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3596.205228
Acceptance Rate: 0.672430
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3545.990096
Acceptance Rate: 0.672328
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3489.520873
Acceptance Rate: 0.670520
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3433.227503
Acceptance Rate: 0.670455
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3386.921064
Acceptance Rate: 0.668300
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3338.059547
Acceptance Rate: 0.664923
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3294.883583
Acceptance Rate: 0.663812
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4670
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3255.179630
Acceptance Rate: 0.660932
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4766
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3207.307979
Acceptance Rate: 0.661704
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3169.463051
Acceptance Rate: 0.659898
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3127.676766
Acceptance Rate: 0.657633
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3099.745401
Acceptance Rate: 0.656091
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3072.154616
Acceptance Rate: 0.653972
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3040.172875
Acceptance Rate: 0.653533
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5279
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3019.188074
Acceptance Rate: 0.652985
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2992.333679
Acceptance Rate: 0.651376
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2968.954824
Acceptance Rate: 0.650289
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2942.286861
Acceptance Rate: 0.648082
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2923.300133
Acceptance Rate: 0.645386
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2900.787793
Acceptance Rate: 0.643777
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2884.646209
Acceptance Rate: 0.640593
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2864.131841
Acceptance Rate: 0.640067
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2847.152878
Acceptance Rate: 0.637880
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2831.491421
Acceptance Rate: 0.636173
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2818.556155
Acceptance Rate: 0.633613
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2806.734128
Acceptance Rate: 0.631234
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2796.127644
Acceptance Rate: 0.629510
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2782.973964
Acceptance Rate: 0.629265
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6595
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2771.718243
Acceptance Rate: 0.628837
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2761.915735
Acceptance Rate: 0.629350
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2749.526130
Acceptance Rate: 0.626548
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2741.666841
Acceptance Rate: 0.625539
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2733.888606
Acceptance Rate: 0.624202
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2724.751335
Acceptance Rate: 0.622639
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2717.989502
Acceptance Rate: 0.621204
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2711.780675
Acceptance Rate: 0.619975
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2705.453970
Acceptance Rate: 0.618113
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2699.866361
Acceptance Rate: 0.617366
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2692.931592
Acceptance Rate: 0.616313
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2687.016256
Acceptance Rate: 0.613378
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2681.968883
Acceptance Rate: 0.613732
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2677.025165
Acceptance Rate: 0.613148
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2673.004672
Acceptance Rate: 0.613420
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2668.777472
Acceptance Rate: 0.612775
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2665.218609
Acceptance Rate: 0.612145
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2661.272617
Acceptance Rate: 0.611158
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8263
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2657.782119
Acceptance Rate: 0.610267
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2654.131766
Acceptance Rate: 0.610262
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2650.048960
Acceptance Rate: 0.609185
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2645.930209
Acceptance Rate: 0.607639
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2640.175081
Acceptance Rate: 0.607171
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2627.228790
Acceptance Rate: 0.605752
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2616.282141
Acceptance Rate: 0.605042
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2601.186498
Acceptance Rate: 0.603744
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2592.014177
Acceptance Rate: 0.603136
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2578.708716
Acceptance Rate: 0.603195
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2564.997888
Acceptance Rate: 0.602993
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2550.440916
Acceptance Rate: 0.602281
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2538.530679
Acceptance Rate: 0.601964
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2525.489822
Acceptance Rate: 0.601276
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2515.597284
Acceptance Rate: 0.601785
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2505.725951
Acceptance Rate: 0.601419
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2495.096739
Acceptance Rate: 0.601427
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9810
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2483.804122
Acceptance Rate: 0.601132
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2472.896764
Acceptance Rate: 0.600180
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2466.527598
Acceptance Rate: 0.600258
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2456.512320
Acceptance Rate: 0.599214
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10180
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2449.049307
Acceptance Rate: 0.598948
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2439.348730
Acceptance Rate: 0.598109
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10366
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2431.391581
Acceptance Rate: 0.598143
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2422.420754
Acceptance Rate: 0.597950
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2415.554648
Acceptance Rate: 0.597703
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2408.301683
Acceptance Rate: 0.597740
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2402.586102
Acceptance Rate: 0.597554
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2397.633220
Acceptance Rate: 0.597866
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2392.807138
Acceptance Rate: 0.597083
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2387.119802
Acceptance Rate: 0.596044
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2382.119541
Acceptance Rate: 0.595878
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2376.709748
Acceptance Rate: 0.596510
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2372.606083
Acceptance Rate: 0.596132
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2368.060901
Acceptance Rate: 0.595707
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11415
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2362.682982
Acceptance Rate: 0.594876
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2358.559443
Acceptance Rate: 0.594469
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2354.726900
Acceptance Rate: 0.594322
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2350.501524
Acceptance Rate: 0.594026
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2346.602378
Acceptance Rate: 0.593934
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2342.822239
Acceptance Rate: 0.593150
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2339.838891
Acceptance Rate: 0.592623
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12065
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2336.592632
Acceptance Rate: 0.592398
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2333.103773
Acceptance Rate: 0.591547
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2330.496661
Acceptance Rate: 0.591380
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2328.429282
Acceptance Rate: 0.591311
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2326.078646
Acceptance Rate: 0.591527
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2323.485338
Acceptance Rate: 0.590895
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2321.333834
Acceptance Rate: 0.590877
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2319.154834
Acceptance Rate: 0.591044
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12774
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2316.955244
Acceptance Rate: 0.590934
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2314.487408
Acceptance Rate: 0.590597
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2312.089087
Acceptance Rate: 0.590763
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2310.218625
Acceptance Rate: 0.590296
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2308.535637
Acceptance Rate: 0.590283
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2306.776797
Acceptance Rate: 0.590359
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2304.595953
Acceptance Rate: 0.589772
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2302.581295
Acceptance Rate: 0.588845
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2300.712323
Acceptance Rate: 0.588279
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2299.149482
Acceptance Rate: 0.588149
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2297.632045
Acceptance Rate: 0.587894
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2296.312997
Acceptance Rate: 0.588023
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2295.009243
Acceptance Rate: 0.587729
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13952
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2293.779188
Acceptance Rate: 0.587189
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14050
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2292.570508
Acceptance Rate: 0.586863
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.408582
Acceptance Rate: 0.586459
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2290.384104
Acceptance Rate: 0.585897
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2289.303468
Acceptance Rate: 0.586032
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2288.327224
Acceptance Rate: 0.584876
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.386582
Acceptance Rate: 0.583817
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14645
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2286.591147
Acceptance Rate: 0.583684
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2285.791118
Acceptance Rate: 0.583120
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2284.972580
Acceptance Rate: 0.583305
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2284.181105
Acceptance Rate: 0.583022
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2283.502061
Acceptance Rate: 0.582589
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 15105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.869767
Acceptance Rate: 0.582966
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 15181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.198699
Acceptance Rate: 0.581509
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 15305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.585483
Acceptance Rate: 0.581169
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 15400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.054872
Acceptance Rate: 0.579673
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.537109
Acceptance Rate: 0.578497
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15644
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.047459
Acceptance Rate: 0.577521
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.576146
Acceptance Rate: 0.576850
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.082867
Acceptance Rate: 0.575972
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.596421
Acceptance Rate: 0.575607
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 16070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.144763
Acceptance Rate: 0.574606
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 16185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.728498
Acceptance Rate: 0.574642
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 16271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.332256
Acceptance Rate: 0.574151
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 16372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.956013
Acceptance Rate: 0.573318
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 16483
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.582862
Acceptance Rate: 0.573394
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 16568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.215617
Acceptance Rate: 0.572542
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.862451
Acceptance Rate: 0.572519
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.527650
Acceptance Rate: 0.572429
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16858
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.206433
Acceptance Rate: 0.572271
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16950
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.884551
Acceptance Rate: 0.571546
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 17059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.574474
Acceptance Rate: 0.570630
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 17174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.278898
Acceptance Rate: 0.569661
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 17291
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.012213
Acceptance Rate: 0.568019
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 17429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.762721
Acceptance Rate: 0.567372
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 17537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.527219
Acceptance Rate: 0.566444
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17654
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.304817
Acceptance Rate: 0.565210
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.103620
Acceptance Rate: 0.564183
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.920246
Acceptance Rate: 0.563513
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 18012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.745813
Acceptance Rate: 0.562665
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 18128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.582577
Acceptance Rate: 0.562322
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 18228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.429178
Acceptance Rate: 0.561002
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 18360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.280992
Acceptance Rate: 0.560277
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 18473
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.142301
Acceptance Rate: 0.559230
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 18597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.011722
Acceptance Rate: 0.557869
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 18732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.891361
Acceptance Rate: 0.556941
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 18853
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.783028
Acceptance Rate: 0.556083
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 18972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.685568
Acceptance Rate: 0.555614
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 19078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.594769
Acceptance Rate: 0.554312
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 19213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.506996
Acceptance Rate: 0.554002
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 19314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.424597
Acceptance Rate: 0.552955
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 19441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.348490
Acceptance Rate: 0.551471
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 19584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.278223
Acceptance Rate: 0.550482
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 19710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.212970
Acceptance Rate: 0.549312
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 19843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.151488
Acceptance Rate: 0.549065
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 19943
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.094035
Acceptance Rate: 0.548464
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 20056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.041059
Acceptance Rate: 0.547925
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 20167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.991346
Acceptance Rate: 0.547607
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 20270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.945618
Acceptance Rate: 0.546837
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 20390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.903549
Acceptance Rate: 0.546075
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 20510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.864539
Acceptance Rate: 0.545349
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 20629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.828664
Acceptance Rate: 0.545130
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 20729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.795716
Acceptance Rate: 0.544025
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 20863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.765292
Acceptance Rate: 0.543634
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 20970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.736746
Acceptance Rate: 0.542937
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 21089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.709658
Acceptance Rate: 0.542530
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 21197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.684368
Acceptance Rate: 0.541974
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 21311
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.661203
Acceptance Rate: 0.541421
Replacements: 11594
Total Samples: 21414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.642327
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -2270.3883817214514 +/- 0.19656525569028527
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 21414
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.04 -0.12 +0.10) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.83 -0.4 +0.33) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.00 -0.35 +0.7) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.97 -0.13 +0.07 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval4 | -757.045693 |
| n4_interval4 | -746.835524 |
| b0_interval4 | -778.487615 |
| total | -2282.368832 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4572.850979 |
| BIC | 4588.259796 |
| DIC | 4528.088526 |
| PDIC | 3.558742 |
| log(Z) | -986.017146 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -497375.173127
Acceptance Rate: 0.985222
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -14578.672808
Acceptance Rate: 0.953079
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3700.931298
Acceptance Rate: 0.923483
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.978242
Acceptance Rate: 0.899281
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.536131
Acceptance Rate: 0.890869
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.255901
Acceptance Rate: 0.874486
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.055767
Acceptance Rate: 0.854701
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.902947
Acceptance Rate: 0.845196
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.779791
Acceptance Rate: 0.829876
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.675184
Acceptance Rate: 0.819033
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1282
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.580013
Acceptance Rate: 0.816630
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.465270
Acceptance Rate: 0.810430
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.216430
Acceptance Rate: 0.807537
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1486
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3697.294776
Acceptance Rate: 0.806452
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3693.897220
Acceptance Rate: 0.800000
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3686.709558
Acceptance Rate: 0.796460
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3676.272806
Acceptance Rate: 0.786959
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3658.433734
Acceptance Rate: 0.781250
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3634.956746
Acceptance Rate: 0.773196
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3602.720218
Acceptance Rate: 0.768087
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3553.679973
Acceptance Rate: 0.765550
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3498.808182
Acceptance Rate: 0.763182
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3446.017234
Acceptance Rate: 0.755892
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3380.660281
Acceptance Rate: 0.750107
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3308.976766
Acceptance Rate: 0.748752
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3242.930892
Acceptance Rate: 0.746269
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3157.647923
Acceptance Rate: 0.744514
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3094.399096
Acceptance Rate: 0.741445
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3012.410057
Acceptance Rate: 0.738825
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2947.411650
Acceptance Rate: 0.737145
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2851.652001
Acceptance Rate: 0.732729
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2796.251758
Acceptance Rate: 0.730299
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2740.287433
Acceptance Rate: 0.723208
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2696.200229
Acceptance Rate: 0.718850
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2649.658790
Acceptance Rate: 0.716511
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3210
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2608.697321
Acceptance Rate: 0.713635
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2571.406527
Acceptance Rate: 0.711322
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2522.432700
Acceptance Rate: 0.708502
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3458
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2482.337260
Acceptance Rate: 0.706414
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2434.344085
Acceptance Rate: 0.703060
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2395.824157
Acceptance Rate: 0.700998
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2351.613733
Acceptance Rate: 0.699024
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2310.649730
Acceptance Rate: 0.695160
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.876371
Acceptance Rate: 0.694094
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2244.715522
Acceptance Rate: 0.691529
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2216.001261
Acceptance Rate: 0.688739
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2187.131685
Acceptance Rate: 0.686553
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2162.067088
Acceptance Rate: 0.681136
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4331
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2139.815541
Acceptance Rate: 0.678887
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2116.509770
Acceptance Rate: 0.675526
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.994409
Acceptance Rate: 0.672597
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.340490
Acceptance Rate: 0.668932
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.303429
Acceptance Rate: 0.667501
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2045.093342
Acceptance Rate: 0.664622
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2032.189670
Acceptance Rate: 0.662917
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2019.003368
Acceptance Rate: 0.659709
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2003.503329
Acceptance Rate: 0.656878
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1992.266691
Acceptance Rate: 0.655271
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.369405
Acceptance Rate: 0.653107
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.208662
Acceptance Rate: 0.650183
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.681838
Acceptance Rate: 0.648298
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.384287
Acceptance Rate: 0.646132
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1931.111357
Acceptance Rate: 0.644375
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1921.433094
Acceptance Rate: 0.643887
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1914.288064
Acceptance Rate: 0.643631
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1907.981598
Acceptance Rate: 0.642095
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1899.027406
Acceptance Rate: 0.640394
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.791238
Acceptance Rate: 0.640194
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.762923
Acceptance Rate: 0.638060
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1876.411115
Acceptance Rate: 0.635992
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1870.381954
Acceptance Rate: 0.633890
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1864.828911
Acceptance Rate: 0.632815
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1860.466901
Acceptance Rate: 0.631010
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6656
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1855.419128
Acceptance Rate: 0.629910
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1850.889019
Acceptance Rate: 0.628563
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1845.945391
Acceptance Rate: 0.625359
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1841.944585
Acceptance Rate: 0.624911
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1838.553688
Acceptance Rate: 0.623337
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1834.904841
Acceptance Rate: 0.622493
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1831.620809
Acceptance Rate: 0.622435
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1828.270716
Acceptance Rate: 0.620280
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1825.284458
Acceptance Rate: 0.618927
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1822.094789
Acceptance Rate: 0.618665
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1818.688972
Acceptance Rate: 0.616163
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1815.965699
Acceptance Rate: 0.616016
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1813.700649
Acceptance Rate: 0.614858
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1811.483968
Acceptance Rate: 0.614112
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1809.265077
Acceptance Rate: 0.613003
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1806.610186
Acceptance Rate: 0.613648
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1804.431253
Acceptance Rate: 0.613013
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1802.694251
Acceptance Rate: 0.611364
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1800.803852
Acceptance Rate: 0.609828
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1798.528750
Acceptance Rate: 0.607619
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1795.561075
Acceptance Rate: 0.606166
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1787.963173
Acceptance Rate: 0.604954
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.814223
Acceptance Rate: 0.604862
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1774.752304
Acceptance Rate: 0.605245
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.989061
Acceptance Rate: 0.604548
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.545653
Acceptance Rate: 0.603865
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1751.225266
Acceptance Rate: 0.602802
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1744.509281
Acceptance Rate: 0.602086
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1738.437357
Acceptance Rate: 0.601384
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1732.700837
Acceptance Rate: 0.599558
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1726.805526
Acceptance Rate: 0.600522
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9575
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1721.590961
Acceptance Rate: 0.599421
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1716.984734
Acceptance Rate: 0.598588
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1711.952007
Acceptance Rate: 0.598195
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1706.364275
Acceptance Rate: 0.597930
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1700.172956
Acceptance Rate: 0.596303
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1695.431349
Acceptance Rate: 0.596647
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1690.983553
Acceptance Rate: 0.596227
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1685.374315
Acceptance Rate: 0.596219
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1680.694100
Acceptance Rate: 0.596441
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1676.211355
Acceptance Rate: 0.596147
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1672.429262
Acceptance Rate: 0.596365
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1669.141129
Acceptance Rate: 0.596132
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1665.316075
Acceptance Rate: 0.595293
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1661.271917
Acceptance Rate: 0.595733
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1657.931451
Acceptance Rate: 0.595347
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1653.543782
Acceptance Rate: 0.595617
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1649.923121
Acceptance Rate: 0.595131
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1646.972921
Acceptance Rate: 0.595505
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1643.841319
Acceptance Rate: 0.594868
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11263
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1640.943311
Acceptance Rate: 0.594504
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1638.000653
Acceptance Rate: 0.593679
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1635.636226
Acceptance Rate: 0.593176
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1632.778401
Acceptance Rate: 0.593702
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1630.492954
Acceptance Rate: 0.593105
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1628.285387
Acceptance Rate: 0.593421
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1626.090589
Acceptance Rate: 0.592828
Replacements: 7076
Total Samples: 11936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1622.492136
Acceptance Rate: 0.592936
Replacements: 7152
Total Samples: 12062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1620.833569
Acceptance Rate: 0.593637
Replacements: 7202
Total Samples: 12132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1618.943439
Acceptance Rate: 0.594378
Replacements: 7252
Total Samples: 12201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1617.020786
Acceptance Rate: 0.594771
Replacements: 7302
Total Samples: 12277
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1615.204360
Acceptance Rate: 0.594437
Replacements: 7352
Total Samples: 12368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1613.473380
Acceptance Rate: 0.595112
Replacements: 7402
Total Samples: 12438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1611.800709
Acceptance Rate: 0.594590
Replacements: 7452
Total Samples: 12533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1610.148111
Acceptance Rate: 0.593983
Replacements: 7502
Total Samples: 12630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1608.650993
Acceptance Rate: 0.594412
Replacements: 7552
Total Samples: 12705
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1607.383631
Acceptance Rate: 0.594510
Replacements: 7602
Total Samples: 12787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1606.178093
Acceptance Rate: 0.594607
Replacements: 7652
Total Samples: 12869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1604.751139
Acceptance Rate: 0.594153
Replacements: 7702
Total Samples: 12963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1603.340048
Acceptance Rate: 0.594251
Replacements: 7752
Total Samples: 13045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1601.983735
Acceptance Rate: 0.594529
Replacements: 7802
Total Samples: 13123
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1600.684486
Acceptance Rate: 0.594533
Replacements: 7852
Total Samples: 13207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1599.510176
Acceptance Rate: 0.594717
Replacements: 7902
Total Samples: 13287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1598.403543
Acceptance Rate: 0.595076
Replacements: 7952
Total Samples: 13363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1597.443304
Acceptance Rate: 0.595520
Replacements: 8002
Total Samples: 13437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1596.459561
Acceptance Rate: 0.594770
Replacements: 8052
Total Samples: 13538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1595.471395
Acceptance Rate: 0.595035
Replacements: 8102
Total Samples: 13616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1594.496714
Acceptance Rate: 0.595341
Replacements: 8152
Total Samples: 13693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1593.558393
Acceptance Rate: 0.595772
Replacements: 8202
Total Samples: 13767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1592.670698
Acceptance Rate: 0.595382
Replacements: 8252
Total Samples: 13860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1591.956566
Acceptance Rate: 0.595681
Replacements: 8302
Total Samples: 13937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1591.300593
Acceptance Rate: 0.595720
Replacements: 8352
Total Samples: 14020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1590.673548
Acceptance Rate: 0.596056
Replacements: 8402
Total Samples: 14096
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1589.921712
Acceptance Rate: 0.596303
Replacements: 8452
Total Samples: 14174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1589.155761
Acceptance Rate: 0.596673
Replacements: 8502
Total Samples: 14249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1588.431719
Acceptance Rate: 0.597499
Replacements: 8552
Total Samples: 14313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1587.693999
Acceptance Rate: 0.597818
Replacements: 8602
Total Samples: 14389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1587.022769
Acceptance Rate: 0.598092
Replacements: 8652
Total Samples: 14466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1586.419271
Acceptance Rate: 0.598199
Replacements: 8702
Total Samples: 14547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1585.808216
Acceptance Rate: 0.598714
Replacements: 8752
Total Samples: 14618
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1585.205539
Acceptance Rate: 0.598898
Replacements: 8802
Total Samples: 14697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1584.594333
Acceptance Rate: 0.598958
Replacements: 8852
Total Samples: 14779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1583.991328
Acceptance Rate: 0.598897
Replacements: 8902
Total Samples: 14864
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1583.381864
Acceptance Rate: 0.599317
Replacements: 8952
Total Samples: 14937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1582.786837
Acceptance Rate: 0.598696
Replacements: 9002
Total Samples: 15036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1582.208933
Acceptance Rate: 0.598875
Replacements: 9052
Total Samples: 15115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1581.672889
Acceptance Rate: 0.598698
Replacements: 9102
Total Samples: 15203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1581.181839
Acceptance Rate: 0.598600
Replacements: 9152
Total Samples: 15289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.684490
Acceptance Rate: 0.598154
Replacements: 9202
Total Samples: 15384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.216876
Acceptance Rate: 0.598215
Replacements: 9252
Total Samples: 15466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.793626
Acceptance Rate: 0.598122
Replacements: 9302
Total Samples: 15552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.384598
Acceptance Rate: 0.598145
Replacements: 9352
Total Samples: 15635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.965828
Acceptance Rate: 0.598472
Replacements: 9402
Total Samples: 15710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.575019
Acceptance Rate: 0.598758
Replacements: 9452
Total Samples: 15786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.192009
Acceptance Rate: 0.598815
Replacements: 9502
Total Samples: 15868
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.833541
Acceptance Rate: 0.598984
Replacements: 9552
Total Samples: 15947
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.524384
Acceptance Rate: 0.599077
Replacements: 9602
Total Samples: 16028
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.237052
Acceptance Rate: 0.598908
Replacements: 9652
Total Samples: 16116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.970311
Acceptance Rate: 0.598852
Replacements: 9702
Total Samples: 16201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.723203
Acceptance Rate: 0.599054
Replacements: 9752
Total Samples: 16279
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.494045
Acceptance Rate: 0.598961
Replacements: 9802
Total Samples: 16365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.287516
Acceptance Rate: 0.598869
Replacements: 9852
Total Samples: 16451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.090151
Acceptance Rate: 0.598851
Replacements: 9902
Total Samples: 16535
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.905193
Acceptance Rate: 0.598761
Replacements: 9952
Total Samples: 16621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.735829
Acceptance Rate: 0.598922
Replacements: 10002
Total Samples: 16700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.580748
Acceptance Rate: 0.599189
Replacements: 10052
Total Samples: 16776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.436404
Acceptance Rate: 0.599170
Replacements: 10102
Total Samples: 16860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.302818
Acceptance Rate: 0.599009
Replacements: 10152
Total Samples: 16948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.180257
Acceptance Rate: 0.598604
Replacements: 10202
Total Samples: 17043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.064311
Acceptance Rate: 0.598587
Replacements: 10252
Total Samples: 17127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.953592
Acceptance Rate: 0.598849
Replacements: 10302
Total Samples: 17203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.849158
Acceptance Rate: 0.598451
Replacements: 10352
Total Samples: 17298
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.749860
Acceptance Rate: 0.597919
Replacements: 10402
Total Samples: 17397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.656537
Acceptance Rate: 0.598112
Replacements: 10452
Total Samples: 17475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.569815
Acceptance Rate: 0.597996
Replacements: 10502
Total Samples: 17562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.490448
Acceptance Rate: 0.597881
Replacements: 10552
Total Samples: 17649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.416079
Acceptance Rate: 0.598071
Replacements: 10602
Total Samples: 17727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.346399
Acceptance Rate: 0.597521
Replacements: 10652
Total Samples: 17827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.281476
Acceptance Rate: 0.597276
Replacements: 10702
Total Samples: 17918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.220626
Acceptance Rate: 0.596737
Replacements: 10752
Total Samples: 18018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.164398
Acceptance Rate: 0.595348
Replacements: 10802
Total Samples: 18144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.112487
Acceptance Rate: 0.594728
Replacements: 10852
Total Samples: 18247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.064940
Acceptance Rate: 0.594568
Replacements: 10902
Total Samples: 18336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.021281
Acceptance Rate: 0.594345
Replacements: 10952
Total Samples: 18427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.980879
Acceptance Rate: 0.594542
Replacements: 11002
Total Samples: 18505
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.943551
Acceptance Rate: 0.594705
Replacements: 11052
Total Samples: 18584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.909104
Acceptance Rate: 0.593944
Replacements: 11102
Total Samples: 18692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.877558
Acceptance Rate: 0.593255
Replacements: 11152
Total Samples: 18798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.848477
Acceptance Rate: 0.593075
Replacements: 11202
Total Samples: 18888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.821834
Acceptance Rate: 0.593313
Replacements: 11251
Total Samples: 18963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.797668
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt ln(ev)= -1573.5211091859251 +/- 0.19429385457059578
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 18963
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.80 -0.20 +0.19) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.1 -0.6 +0.5) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.2 -0.4 +0.7) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.11 -0.22 +0.07 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval5 | -523.567687 |
| n4_interval5 | -527.533085 |
| b0_interval5 | -536.918923 |
| total | -1588.019695 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3184.152704 |
| BIC | 3199.561522 |
| DIC | 3136.122955 |
| PDIC | 3.134547 |
| log(Z) | -683.371535 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.994575
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -869389.767029
Acceptance Rate: 0.978793
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -11044.891870
Acceptance Rate: 0.954479
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3558.819208
Acceptance Rate: 0.934579
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.927271
Acceptance Rate: 0.902527
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.499392
Acceptance Rate: 0.885936
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.225496
Acceptance Rate: 0.871795
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.029057
Acceptance Rate: 0.858779
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.879044
Acceptance Rate: 0.845196
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.759292
Acceptance Rate: 0.836120
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.658576
Acceptance Rate: 0.826121
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.565830
Acceptance Rate: 0.825206
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.466053
Acceptance Rate: 0.819088
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.306366
Acceptance Rate: 0.815772
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3555.917150
Acceptance Rate: 0.806972
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3553.477984
Acceptance Rate: 0.800986
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.210520
Acceptance Rate: 0.798817
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3537.074153
Acceptance Rate: 0.797721
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3519.863484
Acceptance Rate: 0.790622
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3498.640567
Acceptance Rate: 0.779626
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1924
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3468.652263
Acceptance Rate: 0.775776
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 1998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3419.833333
Acceptance Rate: 0.768861
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3368.504493
Acceptance Rate: 0.768156
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3306.494921
Acceptance Rate: 0.761990
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3234.931957
Acceptance Rate: 0.760539
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3180.279421
Acceptance Rate: 0.752194
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3100.152897
Acceptance Rate: 0.750507
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3045.711260
Acceptance Rate: 0.746855
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2961.899939
Acceptance Rate: 0.744559
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2912.604349
Acceptance Rate: 0.743494
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2857.256987
Acceptance Rate: 0.739005
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2774
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2800.509466
Acceptance Rate: 0.736842
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2756.969364
Acceptance Rate: 0.731541
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2939
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2698.197768
Acceptance Rate: 0.726312
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3029
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2637.522695
Acceptance Rate: 0.720000
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2598.514022
Acceptance Rate: 0.714730
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2567.549530
Acceptance Rate: 0.710829
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3306
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2530.993334
Acceptance Rate: 0.708174
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2498.975212
Acceptance Rate: 0.703013
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2459.153702
Acceptance Rate: 0.701459
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2424.130718
Acceptance Rate: 0.699013
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2383.056090
Acceptance Rate: 0.699301
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2356.337125
Acceptance Rate: 0.697919
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3797
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2330.135556
Acceptance Rate: 0.694981
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2295.251687
Acceptance Rate: 0.691650
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2268.148102
Acceptance Rate: 0.685938
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2246.715544
Acceptance Rate: 0.683126
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2223.222693
Acceptance Rate: 0.680432
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2195.152811
Acceptance Rate: 0.679724
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2179.449204
Acceptance Rate: 0.676590
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2164.535917
Acceptance Rate: 0.673884
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2150.778845
Acceptance Rate: 0.670996
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2136.354527
Acceptance Rate: 0.667797
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2119.184497
Acceptance Rate: 0.663350
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.932395
Acceptance Rate: 0.659765
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2090.135015
Acceptance Rate: 0.655803
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.405146
Acceptance Rate: 0.654297
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.487806
Acceptance Rate: 0.650842
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.499609
Acceptance Rate: 0.647766
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2048.081612
Acceptance Rate: 0.646472
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2037.409546
Acceptance Rate: 0.644400
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5509
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2028.292209
Acceptance Rate: 0.644238
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2018.905869
Acceptance Rate: 0.641815
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2012.291614
Acceptance Rate: 0.639475
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2004.272415
Acceptance Rate: 0.638189
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1998.383298
Acceptance Rate: 0.637798
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1991.323687
Acceptance Rate: 0.636258
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1985.887289
Acceptance Rate: 0.634766
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1980.687430
Acceptance Rate: 0.631697
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1976.150226
Acceptance Rate: 0.628141
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1971.777597
Acceptance Rate: 0.626256
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6467
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.851136
Acceptance Rate: 0.624429
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6566
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.353964
Acceptance Rate: 0.623498
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6656
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.510700
Acceptance Rate: 0.622038
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.461125
Acceptance Rate: 0.621982
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.903849
Acceptance Rate: 0.619597
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.076492
Acceptance Rate: 0.617372
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.243605
Acceptance Rate: 0.616678
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.650029
Acceptance Rate: 0.615576
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.017347
Acceptance Rate: 0.614418
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1936.850293
Acceptance Rate: 0.612053
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1934.786760
Acceptance Rate: 0.610241
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1932.295392
Acceptance Rate: 0.608718
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1929.943418
Acceptance Rate: 0.608257
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1928.068187
Acceptance Rate: 0.606099
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1926.501517
Acceptance Rate: 0.605678
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1924.954364
Acceptance Rate: 0.604814
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1923.342712
Acceptance Rate: 0.601006
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1921.694184
Acceptance Rate: 0.598187
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1920.236282
Acceptance Rate: 0.596516
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1918.582055
Acceptance Rate: 0.595730
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1917.185300
Acceptance Rate: 0.596003
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1915.856202
Acceptance Rate: 0.594826
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1914.467532
Acceptance Rate: 0.592593
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1912.853201
Acceptance Rate: 0.591283
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1911.348912
Acceptance Rate: 0.590463
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1909.738674
Acceptance Rate: 0.588948
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1905.833275
Acceptance Rate: 0.588620
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1900.738871
Acceptance Rate: 0.587095
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1896.374184
Acceptance Rate: 0.587419
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.759926
Acceptance Rate: 0.586681
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.360913
Acceptance Rate: 0.586879
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9542
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.463698
Acceptance Rate: 0.586465
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.710190
Acceptance Rate: 0.585516
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1877.186178
Acceptance Rate: 0.585659
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1873.860383
Acceptance Rate: 0.585740
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1870.140164
Acceptance Rate: 0.585703
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1866.909191
Acceptance Rate: 0.586889
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1862.879347
Acceptance Rate: 0.587712
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1859.065980
Acceptance Rate: 0.587774
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1856.157028
Acceptance Rate: 0.588064
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1852.791826
Acceptance Rate: 0.588689
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1850.138493
Acceptance Rate: 0.588911
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1846.431064
Acceptance Rate: 0.589746
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1843.623007
Acceptance Rate: 0.590402
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10586
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1840.135820
Acceptance Rate: 0.590330
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1836.462108
Acceptance Rate: 0.590973
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1832.480942
Acceptance Rate: 0.591497
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1829.869881
Acceptance Rate: 0.592015
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1827.013941
Acceptance Rate: 0.592633
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1824.242960
Acceptance Rate: 0.591796
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1820.868204
Acceptance Rate: 0.592460
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1818.603167
Acceptance Rate: 0.592586
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1816.218402
Acceptance Rate: 0.592553
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1813.868051
Acceptance Rate: 0.592417
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1811.599098
Acceptance Rate: 0.593006
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11467
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1809.434001
Acceptance Rate: 0.593588
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1807.891201
Acceptance Rate: 0.593702
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1806.677296
Acceptance Rate: 0.593713
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1805.402284
Acceptance Rate: 0.594581
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1804.151444
Acceptance Rate: 0.595389
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1802.348177
Acceptance Rate: 0.595988
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1800.838942
Acceptance Rate: 0.596430
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1799.230243
Acceptance Rate: 0.596866
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1797.777736
Acceptance Rate: 0.597347
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1796.212044
Acceptance Rate: 0.597626
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1794.807313
Acceptance Rate: 0.598729
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1793.580604
Acceptance Rate: 0.598996
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1792.230378
Acceptance Rate: 0.599549
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1790.974180
Acceptance Rate: 0.599281
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1789.715368
Acceptance Rate: 0.598969
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1788.202987
Acceptance Rate: 0.598378
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1786.728669
Acceptance Rate: 0.597890
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1785.300942
Acceptance Rate: 0.597223
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.719552
Acceptance Rate: 0.596843
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.394317
Acceptance Rate: 0.596969
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.146967
Acceptance Rate: 0.596913
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.963554
Acceptance Rate: 0.596316
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1778.556137
Acceptance Rate: 0.596444
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13329
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1777.330678
Acceptance Rate: 0.596614
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1776.051332
Acceptance Rate: 0.596827
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1774.930347
Acceptance Rate: 0.597257
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1773.933258
Acceptance Rate: 0.597376
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1773.073087
Acceptance Rate: 0.597406
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1772.084147
Acceptance Rate: 0.597134
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1771.245811
Acceptance Rate: 0.596007
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.456267
Acceptance Rate: 0.596429
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.724773
Acceptance Rate: 0.595956
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.025897
Acceptance Rate: 0.595910
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14180
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.320932
Acceptance Rate: 0.596115
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.650871
Acceptance Rate: 0.596110
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1766.948981
Acceptance Rate: 0.596022
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1766.348123
Acceptance Rate: 0.596223
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.815660
Acceptance Rate: 0.596585
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14583
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.298121
Acceptance Rate: 0.597066
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.798554
Acceptance Rate: 0.597299
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.317966
Acceptance Rate: 0.597690
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.845479
Acceptance Rate: 0.597757
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14889
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.404615
Acceptance Rate: 0.597423
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.008211
Acceptance Rate: 0.597491
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.626250
Acceptance Rate: 0.597912
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.278263
Acceptance Rate: 0.597937
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.965390
Acceptance Rate: 0.597766
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.664366
Acceptance Rate: 0.597635
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.360352
Acceptance Rate: 0.597159
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.059039
Acceptance Rate: 0.596383
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.771388
Acceptance Rate: 0.596643
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.498869
Acceptance Rate: 0.596712
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.225522
Acceptance Rate: 0.596779
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.971001
Acceptance Rate: 0.596809
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.740877
Acceptance Rate: 0.596353
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.533187
Acceptance Rate: 0.596273
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.322204
Acceptance Rate: 0.595826
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.117571
Acceptance Rate: 0.595860
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16279
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.925798
Acceptance Rate: 0.595274
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.741581
Acceptance Rate: 0.595166
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.571782
Acceptance Rate: 0.595166
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.417891
Acceptance Rate: 0.595059
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.273609
Acceptance Rate: 0.594527
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16736
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.133466
Acceptance Rate: 0.594601
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.002062
Acceptance Rate: 0.594112
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.873649
Acceptance Rate: 0.593803
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.752613
Acceptance Rate: 0.594088
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 17085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.640254
Acceptance Rate: 0.593956
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 17173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.535999
Acceptance Rate: 0.593996
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 17256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.438499
Acceptance Rate: 0.594517
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 17325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.345818
Acceptance Rate: 0.594520
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 17409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.256916
Acceptance Rate: 0.594524
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 17493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.172975
Acceptance Rate: 0.594425
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 17580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.092799
Acceptance Rate: 0.594059
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 17675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.018447
Acceptance Rate: 0.593597
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 17773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.949222
Acceptance Rate: 0.593904
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 17848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.885716
Acceptance Rate: 0.594175
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 17924
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.826017
Acceptance Rate: 0.594577
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 17996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.769483
Acceptance Rate: 0.594711
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 18076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.715658
Acceptance Rate: 0.594845
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 18156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.665506
Acceptance Rate: 0.594521
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 18250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.618225
Acceptance Rate: 0.594946
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 18321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.572878
Acceptance Rate: 0.595335
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 18393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.530720
Acceptance Rate: 0.595818
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 18462
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.491124
Acceptance Rate: 0.595784
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 18547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.454408
Acceptance Rate: 0.595813
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 18630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.420397
Acceptance Rate: 0.596161
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 18703
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.388894
Acceptance Rate: 0.596252
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 18784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.359327
Acceptance Rate: 0.596627
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 18856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.331649
Acceptance Rate: 0.596652
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 18939
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.305555
Acceptance Rate: 0.596615
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 19024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.281357
Acceptance Rate: 0.596390
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 19115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.258859
Acceptance Rate: 0.596634
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 19191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.237784
Acceptance Rate: 0.596535
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 19278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.218169
Acceptance Rate: 0.596517
Replacements: 11508
Total Samples: 19292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.215157
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1755.9820962560993 +/- 0.19425318765955327
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19292
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.924 -0.027 +0.22) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.022 -0.022 +0.08 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.62 -0.9 +0.14) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.35 -0.23 +0.20 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval6 | -584.302669 |
| n4_interval6 | -576.993187 |
| b0_interval6 | -609.691906 |
| total | -1770.987763 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3550.088840 |
| BIC | 3565.497657 |
| DIC | 3500.564701 |
| PDIC | 2.995348 |
| log(Z) | -762.613335 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.992780
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914920.181051
Acceptance Rate: 0.981997
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -29433.908417
Acceptance Rate: 0.955882
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3823.306999
Acceptance Rate: 0.943396
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3822.230168
Acceptance Rate: 0.903614
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.762290
Acceptance Rate: 0.880088
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.471000
Acceptance Rate: 0.855131
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.264981
Acceptance Rate: 0.815956
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.108913
Acceptance Rate: 0.793651
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.985174
Acceptance Rate: 0.786782
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.882553
Acceptance Rate: 0.781250
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.790847
Acceptance Rate: 0.775194
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.690522
Acceptance Rate: 0.771812
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.512806
Acceptance Rate: 0.767263
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3819.859385
Acceptance Rate: 0.762660
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3816.942876
Acceptance Rate: 0.760234
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3810.054683
Acceptance Rate: 0.755456
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3799.176097
Acceptance Rate: 0.752688
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3782.754136
Acceptance Rate: 0.750518
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3752.247847
Acceptance Rate: 0.740375
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3702.217319
Acceptance Rate: 0.729755
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3655.385425
Acceptance Rate: 0.726282
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3598.944012
Acceptance Rate: 0.720839
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3537.809178
Acceptance Rate: 0.714586
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3462.528670
Acceptance Rate: 0.711671
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3395.599801
Acceptance Rate: 0.708661
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3338.545223
Acceptance Rate: 0.705030
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3258.675779
Acceptance Rate: 0.702143
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3203.261100
Acceptance Rate: 0.697425
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3119.275821
Acceptance Rate: 0.695652
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2875
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3066.268802
Acceptance Rate: 0.694680
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3016.043096
Acceptance Rate: 0.694674
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2965.541806
Acceptance Rate: 0.690430
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2913.329692
Acceptance Rate: 0.688360
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2868.294832
Acceptance Rate: 0.681612
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2830.547347
Acceptance Rate: 0.680071
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2799.987379
Acceptance Rate: 0.676259
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2757.251143
Acceptance Rate: 0.676247
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2723.836897
Acceptance Rate: 0.676422
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2691.741690
Acceptance Rate: 0.677507
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2662.912030
Acceptance Rate: 0.674068
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3783
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2629.704018
Acceptance Rate: 0.672356
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3867
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2589.869345
Acceptance Rate: 0.669530
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2555.528201
Acceptance Rate: 0.666996
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2531.439000
Acceptance Rate: 0.663930
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4142
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2507.111160
Acceptance Rate: 0.662879
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2483.797158
Acceptance Rate: 0.660640
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2457.416826
Acceptance Rate: 0.658791
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2438.330426
Acceptance Rate: 0.657601
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4486
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2415.804157
Acceptance Rate: 0.655594
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4576
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2388.670179
Acceptance Rate: 0.654647
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2367.242750
Acceptance Rate: 0.652632
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2347.507106
Acceptance Rate: 0.649752
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2328.203528
Acceptance Rate: 0.647511
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2309.919254
Acceptance Rate: 0.646766
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2293.512599
Acceptance Rate: 0.644154
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5123
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.109125
Acceptance Rate: 0.642871
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5211
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2265.153108
Acceptance Rate: 0.641630
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2251.699833
Acceptance Rate: 0.638416
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2238.819339
Acceptance Rate: 0.639737
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2224.811308
Acceptance Rate: 0.640447
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2215.742650
Acceptance Rate: 0.638638
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2206.245588
Acceptance Rate: 0.637332
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2197.155579
Acceptance Rate: 0.635084
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2188.494069
Acceptance Rate: 0.634089
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2179.295425
Acceptance Rate: 0.633439
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2172.542682
Acceptance Rate: 0.632911
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2166.487781
Acceptance Rate: 0.630762
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2161.084474
Acceptance Rate: 0.628181
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2154.549803
Acceptance Rate: 0.627254
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6377
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2149.359183
Acceptance Rate: 0.626644
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2144.096616
Acceptance Rate: 0.625859
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2139.407732
Acceptance Rate: 0.625848
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2134.425820
Acceptance Rate: 0.625559
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2130.251205
Acceptance Rate: 0.624357
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2126.968956
Acceptance Rate: 0.622737
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2123.162685
Acceptance Rate: 0.620365
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2119.806524
Acceptance Rate: 0.619282
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2117.014897
Acceptance Rate: 0.618227
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2114.086028
Acceptance Rate: 0.617792
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2111.824330
Acceptance Rate: 0.616281
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2109.248746
Acceptance Rate: 0.614973
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.682149
Acceptance Rate: 0.614186
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.234184
Acceptance Rate: 0.611740
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.916449
Acceptance Rate: 0.609991
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2099.813709
Acceptance Rate: 0.607826
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.973751
Acceptance Rate: 0.606250
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2096.092043
Acceptance Rate: 0.604118
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.952512
Acceptance Rate: 0.601824
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8225
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2092.170552
Acceptance Rate: 0.600384
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8328
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2090.550746
Acceptance Rate: 0.598838
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2088.994012
Acceptance Rate: 0.596631
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2087.288734
Acceptance Rate: 0.594208
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2085.021863
Acceptance Rate: 0.592930
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8770
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.741237
Acceptance Rate: 0.591683
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2076.753855
Acceptance Rate: 0.591584
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2072.257053
Acceptance Rate: 0.590638
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9058
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.585194
Acceptance Rate: 0.590293
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.945328
Acceptance Rate: 0.588616
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.922656
Acceptance Rate: 0.588487
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.597449
Acceptance Rate: 0.587364
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2051.164758
Acceptance Rate: 0.586449
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2047.854415
Acceptance Rate: 0.585189
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2043.787984
Acceptance Rate: 0.584855
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2040.144572
Acceptance Rate: 0.585242
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2036.914025
Acceptance Rate: 0.585918
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2033.386950
Acceptance Rate: 0.585410
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2029.995183
Acceptance Rate: 0.585201
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2026.128744
Acceptance Rate: 0.584824
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2022.550298
Acceptance Rate: 0.584738
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2019.323766
Acceptance Rate: 0.584202
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2015.873555
Acceptance Rate: 0.584291
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2013.062402
Acceptance Rate: 0.584768
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10517
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2010.270512
Acceptance Rate: 0.584575
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2007.501316
Acceptance Rate: 0.583676
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2004.863542
Acceptance Rate: 0.583279
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2002.359222
Acceptance Rate: 0.581822
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2000.150923
Acceptance Rate: 0.581395
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1998.235174
Acceptance Rate: 0.580924
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1996.333276
Acceptance Rate: 0.581291
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11182
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1994.311484
Acceptance Rate: 0.581292
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1992.273885
Acceptance Rate: 0.581293
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1990.040011
Acceptance Rate: 0.581192
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1988.286025
Acceptance Rate: 0.580589
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1986.932993
Acceptance Rate: 0.580645
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1985.468662
Acceptance Rate: 0.580106
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1983.851948
Acceptance Rate: 0.580312
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1982.385261
Acceptance Rate: 0.579783
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1981.115659
Acceptance Rate: 0.579698
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11989
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.885395
Acceptance Rate: 0.579710
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.617068
Acceptance Rate: 0.579484
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12166
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1977.459296
Acceptance Rate: 0.579497
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1976.339189
Acceptance Rate: 0.579088
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1975.257886
Acceptance Rate: 0.579151
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12432
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1974.283078
Acceptance Rate: 0.578427
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.275169
Acceptance Rate: 0.578355
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1972.175791
Acceptance Rate: 0.577876
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1971.110806
Acceptance Rate: 0.577223
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.008218
Acceptance Rate: 0.576938
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1968.959313
Acceptance Rate: 0.577590
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.971124
Acceptance Rate: 0.577659
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 13070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.126669
Acceptance Rate: 0.576806
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.264129
Acceptance Rate: 0.576662
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1965.444876
Acceptance Rate: 0.576218
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.756038
Acceptance Rate: 0.575353
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.053396
Acceptance Rate: 0.574332
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.290098
Acceptance Rate: 0.573453
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1962.521662
Acceptance Rate: 0.572298
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.783273
Acceptance Rate: 0.570752
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.069374
Acceptance Rate: 0.569314
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 14052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.326775
Acceptance Rate: 0.569387
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 14138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.603858
Acceptance Rate: 0.569060
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 14234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.906009
Acceptance Rate: 0.568301
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 14341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.250936
Acceptance Rate: 0.567317
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.544603
Acceptance Rate: 0.567166
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.881463
Acceptance Rate: 0.566669
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.232340
Acceptance Rate: 0.565872
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.612064
Acceptance Rate: 0.566190
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.021378
Acceptance Rate: 0.566278
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.448470
Acceptance Rate: 0.565724
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 15025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.914786
Acceptance Rate: 0.565813
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 15111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.397052
Acceptance Rate: 0.565157
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 15217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1952.848267
Acceptance Rate: 0.564474
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 15324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1952.341433
Acceptance Rate: 0.564239
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 15419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.819720
Acceptance Rate: 0.564553
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15499
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.369267
Acceptance Rate: 0.564501
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 15589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.917606
Acceptance Rate: 0.564954
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 15665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.513356
Acceptance Rate: 0.565151
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 15748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.157012
Acceptance Rate: 0.564990
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 15841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.824416
Acceptance Rate: 0.564936
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15931
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.506280
Acceptance Rate: 0.564672
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 16027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.192401
Acceptance Rate: 0.564831
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 16111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.873389
Acceptance Rate: 0.564815
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 16200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.576490
Acceptance Rate: 0.565284
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 16275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.302166
Acceptance Rate: 0.565749
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 16350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.030897
Acceptance Rate: 0.566072
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 16429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.761462
Acceptance Rate: 0.566598
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 16502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.492511
Acceptance Rate: 0.567051
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 16577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.225648
Acceptance Rate: 0.567397
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 16655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.976809
Acceptance Rate: 0.568046
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 16724
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.735683
Acceptance Rate: 0.568419
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.494850
Acceptance Rate: 0.568619
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.249001
Acceptance Rate: 0.569120
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.013309
Acceptance Rate: 0.569650
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 17028
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.792991
Acceptance Rate: 0.569975
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 17106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.576668
Acceptance Rate: 0.570298
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 17184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.369710
Acceptance Rate: 0.570915
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 17253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.172789
Acceptance Rate: 0.571297
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 17329
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.985679
Acceptance Rate: 0.571150
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 17421
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.811748
Acceptance Rate: 0.571494
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.646854
Acceptance Rate: 0.572128
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17566
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.492001
Acceptance Rate: 0.571979
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.343711
Acceptance Rate: 0.571895
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 17748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.188613
Acceptance Rate: 0.571749
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 17840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.039199
Acceptance Rate: 0.572210
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 17913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.898040
Acceptance Rate: 0.572477
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 17992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.765082
Acceptance Rate: 0.572804
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 18069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.641537
Acceptance Rate: 0.573319
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 18140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.525644
Acceptance Rate: 0.573546
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 18220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.414931
Acceptance Rate: 0.573896
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 18296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.312217
Acceptance Rate: 0.574243
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 18372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.217471
Acceptance Rate: 0.574339
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 18456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.127673
Acceptance Rate: 0.574806
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 18528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.042838
Acceptance Rate: 0.575176
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 18603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.965853
Acceptance Rate: 0.575235
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 18688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.893994
Acceptance Rate: 0.575172
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 18777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.825616
Acceptance Rate: 0.575414
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 18856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.760968
Acceptance Rate: 0.575745
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 18932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.699284
Acceptance Rate: 0.575831
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 19016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.640547
Acceptance Rate: 0.576278
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 19088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.585428
Acceptance Rate: 0.576722
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 19160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.534926
Acceptance Rate: 0.576923
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 19240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.487886
Acceptance Rate: 0.577391
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 19311
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.444166
Acceptance Rate: 0.577737
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 19386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.402732
Acceptance Rate: 0.577871
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 19468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.363410
Acceptance Rate: 0.578449
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 19535
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.326382
Acceptance Rate: 0.578668
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 19614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.291943
Acceptance Rate: 0.579092
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 19686
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.259756
Acceptance Rate: 0.579248
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 19767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.229461
Acceptance Rate: 0.579462
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 19846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.200978
Acceptance Rate: 0.579557
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 19929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.174439
Acceptance Rate: 0.580087
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 19997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.149503
Acceptance Rate: 0.580584
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 20066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.126186
Acceptance Rate: 0.580905
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 20141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.104379
Acceptance Rate: 0.580907
Replacements: 11750
Total Samples: 20227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.083899
Acceptance Rate: 0.581206
Replacements: 11770
Total Samples: 20251
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.076102
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1941.8342201492503 +/- 0.19696095246036421
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 20251
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.75 -0.05 +0.15) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.013 -0.034 +0.05 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.89 -0.6 +0.16) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.195 +0.011 +0.21 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval7 | -641.405807 |
| n4_interval7 | -649.575017 |
| b0_interval7 | -661.750836 |
| total | -1952.731660 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3913.576635 |
| BIC | 3928.985453 |
| DIC | 3868.375304 |
| PDIC | 2.553308 |
| log(Z) | -843.327887 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.990991
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -667206.042172
Acceptance Rate: 0.977199
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -54768.846443
Acceptance Rate: 0.962963
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3673.216542
Acceptance Rate: 0.943396
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.936652
Acceptance Rate: 0.920245
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.282114
Acceptance Rate: 0.898876
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.921199
Acceptance Rate: 0.888192
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.678842
Acceptance Rate: 0.874636
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1029
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.500550
Acceptance Rate: 0.858951
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.361963
Acceptance Rate: 0.845309
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.249799
Acceptance Rate: 0.837989
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.152848
Acceptance Rate: 0.827068
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.058636
Acceptance Rate: 0.817923
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.931318
Acceptance Rate: 0.805910
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.656973
Acceptance Rate: 0.799233
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3547.053451
Acceptance Rate: 0.791717
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3541.693870
Acceptance Rate: 0.783972
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3532.436012
Acceptance Rate: 0.781250
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3523.414098
Acceptance Rate: 0.770867
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3509.178579
Acceptance Rate: 0.763359
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1965
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3487.443108
Acceptance Rate: 0.757946
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3457.593818
Acceptance Rate: 0.754006
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3425.218389
Acceptance Rate: 0.750000
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3387.218483
Acceptance Rate: 0.744634
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3326.163438
Acceptance Rate: 0.740271
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2364
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3282.304858
Acceptance Rate: 0.735595
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3226.115837
Acceptance Rate: 0.728346
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3181.463093
Acceptance Rate: 0.721336
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3139.986108
Acceptance Rate: 0.718497
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.240772
Acceptance Rate: 0.716076
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3052.088433
Acceptance Rate: 0.712300
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3018.003968
Acceptance Rate: 0.709220
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2981.833280
Acceptance Rate: 0.704687
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2945.576321
Acceptance Rate: 0.704676
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2919.494972
Acceptance Rate: 0.696810
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2882.216237
Acceptance Rate: 0.694444
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2860.802717
Acceptance Rate: 0.691583
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2826.603563
Acceptance Rate: 0.690449
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3476
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2806.115030
Acceptance Rate: 0.689170
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2778.056603
Acceptance Rate: 0.687002
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2749.440894
Acceptance Rate: 0.683829
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2712.256115
Acceptance Rate: 0.682773
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2688.244963
Acceptance Rate: 0.683695
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2663.554057
Acceptance Rate: 0.681130
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2633.240910
Acceptance Rate: 0.678510
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2610.944849
Acceptance Rate: 0.674374
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2588.176282
Acceptance Rate: 0.669643
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2566.536000
Acceptance Rate: 0.666207
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2546.982943
Acceptance Rate: 0.665764
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2530.384454
Acceptance Rate: 0.663717
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2513.473975
Acceptance Rate: 0.659317
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2496.129316
Acceptance Rate: 0.656919
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2484.201240
Acceptance Rate: 0.655977
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2471.259173
Acceptance Rate: 0.653595
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2457.525148
Acceptance Rate: 0.652479
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2441.790624
Acceptance Rate: 0.651273
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2431.076422
Acceptance Rate: 0.648220
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2421.918727
Acceptance Rate: 0.645161
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2413.406117
Acceptance Rate: 0.643537
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2404.263115
Acceptance Rate: 0.642320
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2394.770517
Acceptance Rate: 0.641373
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5535
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2386.614756
Acceptance Rate: 0.639432
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2376.425841
Acceptance Rate: 0.639117
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2366.958351
Acceptance Rate: 0.638812
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2359.413809
Acceptance Rate: 0.637864
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2351.072531
Acceptance Rate: 0.636409
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2343.829560
Acceptance Rate: 0.634685
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2337.778606
Acceptance Rate: 0.634662
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2332.211115
Acceptance Rate: 0.633724
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2326.322396
Acceptance Rate: 0.633413
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2320.280027
Acceptance Rate: 0.631924
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2315.297535
Acceptance Rate: 0.629607
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2311.109378
Acceptance Rate: 0.629169
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2306.935986
Acceptance Rate: 0.628931
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2302.361465
Acceptance Rate: 0.626936
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2297.789444
Acceptance Rate: 0.625000
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2294.831325
Acceptance Rate: 0.623298
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.653478
Acceptance Rate: 0.622348
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2288.919265
Acceptance Rate: 0.622030
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2285.808117
Acceptance Rate: 0.619067
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.657700
Acceptance Rate: 0.618879
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.172963
Acceptance Rate: 0.617864
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.276951
Acceptance Rate: 0.617366
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.194753
Acceptance Rate: 0.617365
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.245015
Acceptance Rate: 0.616323
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2269.968079
Acceptance Rate: 0.613340
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2268.108628
Acceptance Rate: 0.611679
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2266.028849
Acceptance Rate: 0.612041
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2264.025280
Acceptance Rate: 0.613003
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2261.917296
Acceptance Rate: 0.612820
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2260.339298
Acceptance Rate: 0.611899
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2258.802119
Acceptance Rate: 0.610705
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8351
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2256.755156
Acceptance Rate: 0.609251
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2254.842036
Acceptance Rate: 0.608329
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2252.624338
Acceptance Rate: 0.607920
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2247.073312
Acceptance Rate: 0.607868
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2241.344957
Acceptance Rate: 0.607678
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2235.318452
Acceptance Rate: 0.606946
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2230.175441
Acceptance Rate: 0.606972
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2223.958381
Acceptance Rate: 0.606261
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9072
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2218.374969
Acceptance Rate: 0.605565
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2212.695565
Acceptance Rate: 0.605144
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2207.156959
Acceptance Rate: 0.604796
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2201.285707
Acceptance Rate: 0.604518
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2195.926860
Acceptance Rate: 0.604627
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2190.635696
Acceptance Rate: 0.604734
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2185.777779
Acceptance Rate: 0.604589
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2182.050498
Acceptance Rate: 0.604632
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2177.890907
Acceptance Rate: 0.604921
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2173.283557
Acceptance Rate: 0.604351
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2167.657078
Acceptance Rate: 0.603973
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2163.040401
Acceptance Rate: 0.604260
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2158.018628
Acceptance Rate: 0.603711
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10187
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2153.427894
Acceptance Rate: 0.603348
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2149.468099
Acceptance Rate: 0.602875
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2145.378870
Acceptance Rate: 0.602871
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2142.180132
Acceptance Rate: 0.603211
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2138.254693
Acceptance Rate: 0.603375
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2134.577317
Acceptance Rate: 0.603311
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2130.474751
Acceptance Rate: 0.603696
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2127.711191
Acceptance Rate: 0.603131
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2124.430392
Acceptance Rate: 0.604008
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2121.092811
Acceptance Rate: 0.604436
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2118.103104
Acceptance Rate: 0.604584
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2115.630616
Acceptance Rate: 0.604460
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2113.150340
Acceptance Rate: 0.604713
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2109.711826
Acceptance Rate: 0.604803
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.846683
Acceptance Rate: 0.604945
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.188071
Acceptance Rate: 0.604979
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.783140
Acceptance Rate: 0.604752
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11575
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2099.516085
Acceptance Rate: 0.604787
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11657
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.025501
Acceptance Rate: 0.604770
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.139754
Acceptance Rate: 0.605265
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.164060
Acceptance Rate: 0.605296
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2091.404503
Acceptance Rate: 0.605529
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2089.591499
Acceptance Rate: 0.606111
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2087.839701
Acceptance Rate: 0.606536
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2086.076351
Acceptance Rate: 0.606906
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2084.444769
Acceptance Rate: 0.606628
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2082.814913
Acceptance Rate: 0.606993
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.157076
Acceptance Rate: 0.607646
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.854952
Acceptance Rate: 0.608195
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2078.533428
Acceptance Rate: 0.608447
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12573
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.425774
Acceptance Rate: 0.608599
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2076.341602
Acceptance Rate: 0.609037
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2075.257103
Acceptance Rate: 0.608804
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12812
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.186464
Acceptance Rate: 0.609330
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2073.224773
Acceptance Rate: 0.609568
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12960
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2072.345411
Acceptance Rate: 0.610037
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2071.505398
Acceptance Rate: 0.610082
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2070.755809
Acceptance Rate: 0.610635
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.967085
Acceptance Rate: 0.610768
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.182046
Acceptance Rate: 0.611082
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.395912
Acceptance Rate: 0.611256
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13415
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.710762
Acceptance Rate: 0.610930
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.025024
Acceptance Rate: 0.611283
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.380417
Acceptance Rate: 0.611587
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13653
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.740192
Acceptance Rate: 0.611487
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.115368
Acceptance Rate: 0.611123
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.560635
Acceptance Rate: 0.610632
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.051742
Acceptance Rate: 0.610409
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14007
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.537948
Acceptance Rate: 0.610405
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.988516
Acceptance Rate: 0.610358
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.480502
Acceptance Rate: 0.610184
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14258
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.995913
Acceptance Rate: 0.610054
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.547984
Acceptance Rate: 0.609967
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.130102
Acceptance Rate: 0.609798
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.749587
Acceptance Rate: 0.610090
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.359247
Acceptance Rate: 0.609881
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.984408
Acceptance Rate: 0.610749
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14736
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.635590
Acceptance Rate: 0.610826
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.308848
Acceptance Rate: 0.610943
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.999380
Acceptance Rate: 0.611304
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.715217
Acceptance Rate: 0.611052
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.462673
Acceptance Rate: 0.610843
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.226812
Acceptance Rate: 0.610597
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.011298
Acceptance Rate: 0.610592
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.797288
Acceptance Rate: 0.610826
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.589529
Acceptance Rate: 0.611532
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.390863
Acceptance Rate: 0.611916
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.200771
Acceptance Rate: 0.612376
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15595
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.025553
Acceptance Rate: 0.612479
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.857292
Acceptance Rate: 0.612971
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.697626
Acceptance Rate: 0.612451
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.543428
Acceptance Rate: 0.611746
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.400534
Acceptance Rate: 0.611430
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16028
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.272394
Acceptance Rate: 0.611042
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.151843
Acceptance Rate: 0.611036
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.036544
Acceptance Rate: 0.611104
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16282
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.930074
Acceptance Rate: 0.611135
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.832569
Acceptance Rate: 0.611277
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.742555
Acceptance Rate: 0.610715
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.658632
Acceptance Rate: 0.610673
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.579040
Acceptance Rate: 0.610961
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.504643
Acceptance Rate: 0.611174
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16771
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.435035
Acceptance Rate: 0.610660
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16867
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.370093
Acceptance Rate: 0.610367
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 16957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.309149
Acceptance Rate: 0.609971
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 17050
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.251725
Acceptance Rate: 0.609116
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 17156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.197727
Acceptance Rate: 0.608132
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 17266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.147443
Acceptance Rate: 0.607404
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 17369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.100969
Acceptance Rate: 0.605887
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 17495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.057515
Acceptance Rate: 0.605251
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 17596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.017462
Acceptance Rate: 0.604315
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 17706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2054.980148
Acceptance Rate: 0.602680
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 17837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2054.945702
Acceptance Rate: 0.601604
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 17952
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2054.914248
Acceptance Rate: 0.600675
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 18063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2054.885171
Acceptance Rate: 0.599824
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 18172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2054.858296
Acceptance Rate: 0.600230
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 18243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2054.833557
Acceptance Rate: 0.599913
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 18336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2054.810614
Acceptance Rate: 0.599695
Replacements: 11017
Total Samples: 18371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2054.803181
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -2054.5472664364229 +/- 0.19073122351067720
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 18371
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.54 -0.11 +0.13) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.5 -0.6 +0.7) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.7 -0.4 +0.6) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.24 -0.25 +0.09 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval8 | -698.353912 |
| n4_interval8 | -666.035485 |
| b0_interval8 | -702.193585 |
| total | -2066.582981 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4141.279277 |
| BIC | 4156.688095 |
| DIC | 4097.206259 |
| PDIC | 2.969245 |
| log(Z) | -892.278541 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 1.000000
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -704742.971119
Acceptance Rate: 0.986842
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -32685.726672
Acceptance Rate: 0.968703
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2107.782116
Acceptance Rate: 0.939597
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.039772
Acceptance Rate: 0.916870
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.482217
Acceptance Rate: 0.896861
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.155264
Acceptance Rate: 0.880829
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 965
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.930212
Acceptance Rate: 0.863724
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.762603
Acceptance Rate: 0.846702
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.631654
Acceptance Rate: 0.829876
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.525643
Acceptance Rate: 0.803366
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.437213
Acceptance Rate: 0.801165
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.361241
Acceptance Rate: 0.790922
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.293114
Acceptance Rate: 0.780742
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.226106
Acceptance Rate: 0.777847
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.151135
Acceptance Rate: 0.770599
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.051985
Acceptance Rate: 0.765740
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.837619
Acceptance Rate: 0.765027
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.264000
Acceptance Rate: 0.749354
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1935
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.809429
Acceptance Rate: 0.743310
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2099.417913
Acceptance Rate: 0.738447
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.822787
Acceptance Rate: 0.733945
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2180
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2090.722634
Acceptance Rate: 0.728799
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2264
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2084.844263
Acceptance Rate: 0.727428
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.335299
Acceptance Rate: 0.727953
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.502205
Acceptance Rate: 0.727567
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.319120
Acceptance Rate: 0.728633
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2047.539143
Acceptance Rate: 0.727412
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2034.814636
Acceptance Rate: 0.725446
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.652095
Acceptance Rate: 0.723589
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2014.761507
Acceptance Rate: 0.721069
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2005.349508
Acceptance Rate: 0.720165
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1995.274398
Acceptance Rate: 0.720993
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1987.916262
Acceptance Rate: 0.718016
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1980.645113
Acceptance Rate: 0.712251
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.856194
Acceptance Rate: 0.709658
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1968.629486
Acceptance Rate: 0.708899
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.443551
Acceptance Rate: 0.702576
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.891178
Acceptance Rate: 0.704023
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.548426
Acceptance Rate: 0.699888
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.366064
Acceptance Rate: 0.696912
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.144593
Acceptance Rate: 0.691306
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1937.891222
Acceptance Rate: 0.691364
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1933.926327
Acceptance Rate: 0.691598
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1930.704237
Acceptance Rate: 0.689223
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1927.054331
Acceptance Rate: 0.689146
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1924.057232
Acceptance Rate: 0.687244
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1920.283419
Acceptance Rate: 0.686553
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1917.612863
Acceptance Rate: 0.682870
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1914.985923
Acceptance Rate: 0.679194
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1912.128755
Acceptance Rate: 0.677928
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4499
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1909.619236
Acceptance Rate: 0.676118
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1907.471281
Acceptance Rate: 0.675241
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1905.443379
Acceptance Rate: 0.672976
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1903.587076
Acceptance Rate: 0.671765
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1901.830983
Acceptance Rate: 0.667881
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1900.227847
Acceptance Rate: 0.667730
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1898.837360
Acceptance Rate: 0.661994
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1897.657456
Acceptance Rate: 0.659782
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1896.554667
Acceptance Rate: 0.656291
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1895.593799
Acceptance Rate: 0.652694
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1894.613540
Acceptance Rate: 0.651112
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1893.723336
Acceptance Rate: 0.647852
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.941476
Acceptance Rate: 0.644150
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.219790
Acceptance Rate: 0.642343
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1891.505519
Acceptance Rate: 0.640485
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5933
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.827823
Acceptance Rate: 0.635943
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6054
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.221521
Acceptance Rate: 0.633734
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.682549
Acceptance Rate: 0.628981
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.207743
Acceptance Rate: 0.626076
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.799876
Acceptance Rate: 0.623653
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.433906
Acceptance Rate: 0.621495
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.079909
Acceptance Rate: 0.618664
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.767017
Acceptance Rate: 0.617375
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.465348
Acceptance Rate: 0.617015
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.176585
Acceptance Rate: 0.614023
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.912036
Acceptance Rate: 0.612676
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.671244
Acceptance Rate: 0.611026
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.440581
Acceptance Rate: 0.608090
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.231474
Acceptance Rate: 0.605408
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.039351
Acceptance Rate: 0.603849
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7535
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.864858
Acceptance Rate: 0.602567
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.696733
Acceptance Rate: 0.600155
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.542710
Acceptance Rate: 0.597129
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.394345
Acceptance Rate: 0.593973
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.249712
Acceptance Rate: 0.591716
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 8112
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.099140
Acceptance Rate: 0.590240
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.922325
Acceptance Rate: 0.587460
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.702107
Acceptance Rate: 0.585868
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.432865
Acceptance Rate: 0.584044
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.141678
Acceptance Rate: 0.583276
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.840566
Acceptance Rate: 0.582657
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.507632
Acceptance Rate: 0.582052
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.157384
Acceptance Rate: 0.580163
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.823183
Acceptance Rate: 0.578640
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 9073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.508639
Acceptance Rate: 0.576463
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 9194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.234208
Acceptance Rate: 0.574651
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.988785
Acceptance Rate: 0.573370
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9418
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.761993
Acceptance Rate: 0.571938
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.543053
Acceptance Rate: 0.571607
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.328887
Acceptance Rate: 0.570225
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.124317
Acceptance Rate: 0.569337
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.931362
Acceptance Rate: 0.567554
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.743022
Acceptance Rate: 0.565869
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 10073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.571466
Acceptance Rate: 0.564223
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 10191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.415985
Acceptance Rate: 0.561907
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 10322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.268831
Acceptance Rate: 0.560184
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.132804
Acceptance Rate: 0.558606
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.007930
Acceptance Rate: 0.557743
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.893432
Acceptance Rate: 0.556225
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.788422
Acceptance Rate: 0.555760
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.692692
Acceptance Rate: 0.555202
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.602990
Acceptance Rate: 0.554004
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 11101
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.519349
Acceptance Rate: 0.554512
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 11181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.442597
Acceptance Rate: 0.552413
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 11314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.371383
Acceptance Rate: 0.551857
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 11416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.305764
Acceptance Rate: 0.551598
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 11512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.244389
Acceptance Rate: 0.549781
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.187586
Acceptance Rate: 0.550247
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.134158
Acceptance Rate: 0.548986
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.083887
Acceptance Rate: 0.546061
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.036665
Acceptance Rate: 0.544330
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 12125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.992168
Acceptance Rate: 0.543523
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 12235
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.951220
Acceptance Rate: 0.542554
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 12349
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.913300
Acceptance Rate: 0.542082
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 12452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.878313
Acceptance Rate: 0.541703
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 12553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.845448
Acceptance Rate: 0.539200
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 12704
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.814843
Acceptance Rate: 0.538474
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 12814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.786495
Acceptance Rate: 0.537260
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.760253
Acceptance Rate: 0.535250
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 13078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.735755
Acceptance Rate: 0.534577
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 13188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.712803
Acceptance Rate: 0.533967
Replacements: 7082
Total Samples: 13263
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.698848
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt ln(ev)= -1878.4354601807131 +/- 0.14348571272050004
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 13263
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.03 -0.29 +1.0) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.8 -1.7 +2.9) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.2 +/- 0.5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.90 -0.34 +0.17 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval9 | -617.098970 |
| n4_interval9 | -616.447043 |
| b0_interval9 | -648.422739 |
| total | -1881.968752 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3772.050819 |
| BIC | 3787.459636 |
| DIC | 3709.960965 |
| PDIC | -37.148707 |
| log(Z) | -815.794155 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.992780
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -302823.994510
Acceptance Rate: 0.983607
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -12379.745672
Acceptance Rate: 0.965825
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1773.479581
Acceptance Rate: 0.942127
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.657439
Acceptance Rate: 0.904704
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.041699
Acceptance Rate: 0.880088
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.693841
Acceptance Rate: 0.847458
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.458039
Acceptance Rate: 0.831025
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.283789
Acceptance Rate: 0.824653
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.148179
Acceptance Rate: 0.821693
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.038537
Acceptance Rate: 0.810811
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.946732
Acceptance Rate: 0.803506
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.865393
Acceptance Rate: 0.800836
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1436
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.786485
Acceptance Rate: 0.790514
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.693298
Acceptance Rate: 0.778331
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.556035
Acceptance Rate: 0.769231
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.255695
Acceptance Rate: 0.761851
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.012288
Acceptance Rate: 0.754717
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1855
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.897625
Acceptance Rate: 0.745118
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1946
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.022582
Acceptance Rate: 0.745527
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1752.623175
Acceptance Rate: 0.741272
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1743.748653
Acceptance Rate: 0.737327
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1735.088100
Acceptance Rate: 0.736936
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1723.094484
Acceptance Rate: 0.733391
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1707.470262
Acceptance Rate: 0.728863
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1689.704811
Acceptance Rate: 0.723473
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1672.143043
Acceptance Rate: 0.721529
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1656.864021
Acceptance Rate: 0.719697
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1642.421922
Acceptance Rate: 0.716385
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1629.840866
Acceptance Rate: 0.717618
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1615.282298
Acceptance Rate: 0.713540
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1601.052923
Acceptance Rate: 0.710179
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1588.176605
Acceptance Rate: 0.703764
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.280885
Acceptance Rate: 0.701978
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1568.998150
Acceptance Rate: 0.695948
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1562.971514
Acceptance Rate: 0.695284
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1554.460540
Acceptance Rate: 0.695472
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1544.863990
Acceptance Rate: 0.693642
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1537.246198
Acceptance Rate: 0.690919
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1529.621450
Acceptance Rate: 0.688895
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1522.798638
Acceptance Rate: 0.685853
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1514.931380
Acceptance Rate: 0.686197
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1505.602906
Acceptance Rate: 0.685818
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3864
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1498.680936
Acceptance Rate: 0.683198
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3952
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1491.565075
Acceptance Rate: 0.682044
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1485.204544
Acceptance Rate: 0.679942
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1477.240899
Acceptance Rate: 0.677926
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1471.044441
Acceptance Rate: 0.674105
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1465.351098
Acceptance Rate: 0.673824
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1459.679996
Acceptance Rate: 0.673552
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1454.752652
Acceptance Rate: 0.672844
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1450.822640
Acceptance Rate: 0.668824
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1445.893147
Acceptance Rate: 0.667373
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4720
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1441.042373
Acceptance Rate: 0.667501
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1437.173973
Acceptance Rate: 0.665030
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1433.559077
Acceptance Rate: 0.663317
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1429.110411
Acceptance Rate: 0.662055
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1424.639576
Acceptance Rate: 0.660451
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1421.459661
Acceptance Rate: 0.659908
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1418.654210
Acceptance Rate: 0.659258
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1416.261175
Acceptance Rate: 0.658749
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1413.880116
Acceptance Rate: 0.657654
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1411.304665
Acceptance Rate: 0.657184
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1408.512466
Acceptance Rate: 0.656844
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5633
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1406.177978
Acceptance Rate: 0.655938
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1403.573071
Acceptance Rate: 0.654947
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1401.594950
Acceptance Rate: 0.654428
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1399.482097
Acceptance Rate: 0.653376
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1397.186354
Acceptance Rate: 0.653000
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1395.054168
Acceptance Rate: 0.651997
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1393.019624
Acceptance Rate: 0.650916
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1391.158378
Acceptance Rate: 0.649556
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1389.578490
Acceptance Rate: 0.649046
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1387.999807
Acceptance Rate: 0.648649
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1386.493375
Acceptance Rate: 0.647372
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6565
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1385.113730
Acceptance Rate: 0.646519
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6651
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1383.749109
Acceptance Rate: 0.646648
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1382.349965
Acceptance Rate: 0.646678
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1380.952897
Acceptance Rate: 0.645770
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1379.732244
Acceptance Rate: 0.646366
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 6962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1378.609624
Acceptance Rate: 0.646766
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1377.503229
Acceptance Rate: 0.646249
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1376.417164
Acceptance Rate: 0.645296
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7206
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1375.412580
Acceptance Rate: 0.644896
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1374.546430
Acceptance Rate: 0.645117
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1373.666853
Acceptance Rate: 0.645161
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1372.749322
Acceptance Rate: 0.645033
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1371.700634
Acceptance Rate: 0.645501
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1370.761435
Acceptance Rate: 0.645287
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1369.949928
Acceptance Rate: 0.645494
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1369.221399
Acceptance Rate: 0.645863
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 7819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1368.587489
Acceptance Rate: 0.645651
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 7899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.932978
Acceptance Rate: 0.645121
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 7983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.316312
Acceptance Rate: 0.644601
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1366.640530
Acceptance Rate: 0.643698
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1365.812837
Acceptance Rate: 0.642814
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1364.412698
Acceptance Rate: 0.642952
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1362.655780
Acceptance Rate: 0.642781
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1361.086922
Acceptance Rate: 0.642764
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1359.660798
Acceptance Rate: 0.642749
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1357.967518
Acceptance Rate: 0.642138
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 8643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1356.046294
Acceptance Rate: 0.642423
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 8717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1354.371208
Acceptance Rate: 0.642045
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 8800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1352.847360
Acceptance Rate: 0.642181
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 8876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1351.366912
Acceptance Rate: 0.642099
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 8955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1349.954205
Acceptance Rate: 0.642090
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9033
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1348.464270
Acceptance Rate: 0.642645
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1347.155877
Acceptance Rate: 0.642632
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1345.747210
Acceptance Rate: 0.642826
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1344.419948
Acceptance Rate: 0.643363
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1343.000438
Acceptance Rate: 0.643412
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1341.624404
Acceptance Rate: 0.643392
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1340.351689
Acceptance Rate: 0.642700
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 9569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1339.255560
Acceptance Rate: 0.642354
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 9652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1338.285012
Acceptance Rate: 0.640960
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 9751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1337.379462
Acceptance Rate: 0.641287
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 9824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1336.368327
Acceptance Rate: 0.641738
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 9895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1335.518104
Acceptance Rate: 0.641026
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 9984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.785018
Acceptance Rate: 0.640962
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.130182
Acceptance Rate: 0.640268
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1333.533468
Acceptance Rate: 0.640149
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1332.980770
Acceptance Rate: 0.640839
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1332.326935
Acceptance Rate: 0.640902
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.749274
Acceptance Rate: 0.640719
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.218057
Acceptance Rate: 0.640053
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 10546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1330.667525
Acceptance Rate: 0.638738
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 10646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1330.140151
Acceptance Rate: 0.638159
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 10734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.605430
Acceptance Rate: 0.637001
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 10832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.111880
Acceptance Rate: 0.637205
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 10907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.684056
Acceptance Rate: 0.637639
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 10978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.310050
Acceptance Rate: 0.637894
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.970948
Acceptance Rate: 0.637515
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.648874
Acceptance Rate: 0.636914
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11226
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.342185
Acceptance Rate: 0.636042
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.042838
Acceptance Rate: 0.635686
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.756544
Acceptance Rate: 0.635280
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.493065
Acceptance Rate: 0.635154
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 11572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.239281
Acceptance Rate: 0.635630
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 11642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.001458
Acceptance Rate: 0.635232
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 11728
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.775910
Acceptance Rate: 0.635109
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 11809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.552570
Acceptance Rate: 0.634614
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 11897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.343219
Acceptance Rate: 0.635133
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 11966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.140086
Acceptance Rate: 0.634591
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.944238
Acceptance Rate: 0.634581
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.755589
Acceptance Rate: 0.633688
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.584000
Acceptance Rate: 0.633477
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.421764
Acceptance Rate: 0.632860
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.261799
Acceptance Rate: 0.632455
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.107105
Acceptance Rate: 0.631905
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.965556
Acceptance Rate: 0.631313
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 12672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.834631
Acceptance Rate: 0.631224
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 12753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.714022
Acceptance Rate: 0.631333
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 12830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.602561
Acceptance Rate: 0.631098
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 12914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.502418
Acceptance Rate: 0.630188
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.410631
Acceptance Rate: 0.629483
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.322679
Acceptance Rate: 0.628217
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13212
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.240150
Acceptance Rate: 0.627867
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.164407
Acceptance Rate: 0.626912
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13399
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.094311
Acceptance Rate: 0.626065
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.029567
Acceptance Rate: 0.624495
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.969932
Acceptance Rate: 0.623723
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.914359
Acceptance Rate: 0.623595
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 13791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.863433
Acceptance Rate: 0.622930
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 13886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.816909
Acceptance Rate: 0.622986
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 13965
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.774307
Acceptance Rate: 0.621758
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.734971
Acceptance Rate: 0.621118
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.698883
Acceptance Rate: 0.619748
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.665867
Acceptance Rate: 0.619346
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.635768
Acceptance Rate: 0.618350
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.608321
Acceptance Rate: 0.618374
Replacements: 8959
Total Samples: 14488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.603657
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt ln(ev)= -1322.3145635496012 +/- 0.16961885338377378
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 14488
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.06 -0.4 +0.28) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-7.3 -1.3 +0.8) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (2.16 -0.23 +0.7) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.94 -0.4 +0.04 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval10 | -437.607263 |
| n4_interval10 | -433.207753 |
| b0_interval10 | -460.863895 |
| total | -1331.678910 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 2671.471135 |
| BIC | 2686.879952 |
| DIC | 2635.171077 |
| PDIC | 1.808992 |
| log(Z) | -574.273918 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -120394.248586
Acceptance Rate: 0.988468
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10113.219006
Acceptance Rate: 0.977444
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.115167
Acceptance Rate: 0.949796
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -906.183617
Acceptance Rate: 0.929368
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.610546
Acceptance Rate: 0.904977
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.277867
Acceptance Rate: 0.888192
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.049875
Acceptance Rate: 0.872939
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.880568
Acceptance Rate: 0.853549
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.748685
Acceptance Rate: 0.840336
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.642600
Acceptance Rate: 0.832013
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.555038
Acceptance Rate: 0.825206
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.481093
Acceptance Rate: 0.821429
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.417028
Acceptance Rate: 0.815217
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.358466
Acceptance Rate: 0.804376
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.299288
Acceptance Rate: 0.798526
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.233357
Acceptance Rate: 0.796930
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.142677
Acceptance Rate: 0.794101
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.981801
Acceptance Rate: 0.787188
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.588901
Acceptance Rate: 0.780843
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -902.560287
Acceptance Rate: 0.778894
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 1990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -900.935983
Acceptance Rate: 0.768492
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898.771654
Acceptance Rate: 0.761773
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2166
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -896.252508
Acceptance Rate: 0.756564
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -893.097624
Acceptance Rate: 0.756266
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -890.350586
Acceptance Rate: 0.753138
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -886.459597
Acceptance Rate: 0.744767
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -883.134977
Acceptance Rate: 0.737291
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -879.964467
Acceptance Rate: 0.733083
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -876.904444
Acceptance Rate: 0.727537
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -874.218649
Acceptance Rate: 0.724126
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.850225
Acceptance Rate: 0.720659
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -869.522892
Acceptance Rate: 0.717863
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -867.044825
Acceptance Rate: 0.714286
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3080
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -864.741159
Acceptance Rate: 0.712476
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -862.305675
Acceptance Rate: 0.710315
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -860.016621
Acceptance Rate: 0.710399
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -858.289377
Acceptance Rate: 0.709849
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -856.323641
Acceptance Rate: 0.706867
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -854.599010
Acceptance Rate: 0.704821
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -852.628929
Acceptance Rate: 0.701320
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.726956
Acceptance Rate: 0.700054
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.559993
Acceptance Rate: 0.695356
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.826116
Acceptance Rate: 0.693731
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -845.242115
Acceptance Rate: 0.691302
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -843.672210
Acceptance Rate: 0.686611
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.291282
Acceptance Rate: 0.686251
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -840.820286
Acceptance Rate: 0.684932
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.492076
Acceptance Rate: 0.684137
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.320858
Acceptance Rate: 0.683371
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.163249
Acceptance Rate: 0.680652
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.076436
Acceptance Rate: 0.679080
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4565
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.098950
Acceptance Rate: 0.677565
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.169606
Acceptance Rate: 0.676104
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.234805
Acceptance Rate: 0.674274
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.405963
Acceptance Rate: 0.671687
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.614231
Acceptance Rate: 0.672286
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 4983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.863376
Acceptance Rate: 0.671008
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.169614
Acceptance Rate: 0.668605
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.480308
Acceptance Rate: 0.667939
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.832538
Acceptance Rate: 0.666291
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5328
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.265212
Acceptance Rate: 0.664697
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.733135
Acceptance Rate: 0.663154
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.245504
Acceptance Rate: 0.662607
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.817243
Acceptance Rate: 0.661142
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.391588
Acceptance Rate: 0.659036
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5766
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.969742
Acceptance Rate: 0.657782
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5853
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.593286
Acceptance Rate: 0.655903
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5946
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.255534
Acceptance Rate: 0.652569
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.947752
Acceptance Rate: 0.651890
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.655060
Acceptance Rate: 0.648623
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.377853
Acceptance Rate: 0.648119
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.128053
Acceptance Rate: 0.648438
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.896718
Acceptance Rate: 0.647449
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.686707
Acceptance Rate: 0.645504
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.485494
Acceptance Rate: 0.643520
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.291077
Acceptance Rate: 0.641877
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.098571
Acceptance Rate: 0.640559
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.913062
Acceptance Rate: 0.638176
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.739241
Acceptance Rate: 0.636222
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.579859
Acceptance Rate: 0.634058
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.422259
Acceptance Rate: 0.631940
Replacements: 4610
Total Samples: 7295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.245436
Acceptance Rate: 0.631779
Replacements: 4660
Total Samples: 7376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.043629
Acceptance Rate: 0.630944
Replacements: 4710
Total Samples: 7465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.792931
Acceptance Rate: 0.629380
Replacements: 4760
Total Samples: 7563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.479849
Acceptance Rate: 0.629334
Replacements: 4810
Total Samples: 7643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.137686
Acceptance Rate: 0.628719
Replacements: 4860
Total Samples: 7730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.768011
Acceptance Rate: 0.626276
Replacements: 4910
Total Samples: 7840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.364041
Acceptance Rate: 0.624606
Replacements: 4960
Total Samples: 7941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.955847
Acceptance Rate: 0.624455
Replacements: 5010
Total Samples: 8023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.516778
Acceptance Rate: 0.620770
Replacements: 5081
Total Samples: 8185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.474438
Acceptance Rate: 0.615881
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.564569
Acceptance Rate: 0.615968
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.394128
Acceptance Rate: 0.615042
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.186340
Acceptance Rate: 0.614137
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.953727
Acceptance Rate: 0.613743
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.691205
Acceptance Rate: 0.612384
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.392475
Acceptance Rate: 0.612016
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.099730
Acceptance Rate: 0.612199
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.826502
Acceptance Rate: 0.611435
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9077
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.562721
Acceptance Rate: 0.610221
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9177
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.310133
Acceptance Rate: 0.610085
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.055158
Acceptance Rate: 0.609495
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.803124
Acceptance Rate: 0.607373
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9467
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.570426
Acceptance Rate: 0.606061
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9570
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.355673
Acceptance Rate: 0.604839
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.144757
Acceptance Rate: 0.604075
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.941419
Acceptance Rate: 0.604122
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.751511
Acceptance Rate: 0.602652
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.578229
Acceptance Rate: 0.601033
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.423946
Acceptance Rate: 0.601222
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.285029
Acceptance Rate: 0.600527
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.161506
Acceptance Rate: 0.599845
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.050530
Acceptance Rate: 0.599176
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.948038
Acceptance Rate: 0.598347
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.851818
Acceptance Rate: 0.597310
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.762194
Acceptance Rate: 0.596181
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.678963
Acceptance Rate: 0.592940
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.601281
Acceptance Rate: 0.592201
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.528630
Acceptance Rate: 0.590835
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.461309
Acceptance Rate: 0.589602
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.400341
Acceptance Rate: 0.588235
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.344527
Acceptance Rate: 0.588649
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.293666
Acceptance Rate: 0.586548
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.247451
Acceptance Rate: 0.584946
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.205522
Acceptance Rate: 0.583873
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.167411
Acceptance Rate: 0.582967
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.132525
Acceptance Rate: 0.582175
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.100404
Acceptance Rate: 0.580191
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12065
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.071028
Acceptance Rate: 0.580084
Replacements: 7008
Total Samples: 12081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.066567
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -811.77449725407496 +/- 0.14606738088032070
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 12081
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.8 -0.8 +2.3) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-4.7 -2.0 +3.3) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.32 -0.34 +0.25) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.19 -0.4 +0.27 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval11 | -272.445568 |
| n4_interval11 | -255.999346 |
| b0_interval11 | -292.552863 |
| total | -820.997777 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1650.108869 |
| BIC | 1665.517686 |
| DIC | 1615.506220 |
| PDIC | -1.658463 |
| log(Z) | -352.549185 |
Examine the fits
Now we can look at the fits in count space to make sure they are ok.
[24]:
for a in analysis:
a.restore_median_fit()
_ = display_spectrum_model_counts(a, min_rate=[20, 20, 20], step=False)
Finally, we can plot the models together to see how the spectra evolve with time.
[25]:
fig = plot_spectra(
*[a.results for a in analysis[::1]],
flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)",
fit_cmap="viridis",
contour_cmap="viridis",
contour_style_kwargs=dict(alpha=0.1),
)
This example can serve as a template for performing analysis on GBM data. However, as 3ML provides an abstract interface and modular building blocks, similar analysis pipelines can be built for any time series data.