Analyzing GRB 080916C with Fermi-GBM
(NASA/Swift/Cruz deWilde)
To demonstrate the capabilities and features of 3ML in, we will go through a time-integrated and time-resolved analysis. This example serves as a standard way to analyze Fermi-GBM data with 3ML as well as a template for how you can design your instrument’s analysis pipeline with 3ML if you have similar data.
3ML provides utilities to reduce time series data to plugins in a correct and statistically justified way (e.g., background fitting of Poisson data is done with a Poisson likelihood). The approach is generic and can be extended. For more details, see the time series documentation.
[1]:
import warnings
warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
[2]:
%%capture
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
np.seterr(all="ignore")
from threeML import *
from threeML.io.package_data import get_path_of_data_file
[3]:
silence_warnings()
%matplotlib inline
from jupyterthemes import jtplot
jtplot.style(context="talk", fscale=1, ticks=True, grid=False)
set_threeML_style()
Examining the catalog
As with Swift and Fermi-LAT, 3ML provides a simple interface to the on-line Fermi-GBM catalog. Let’s get the information for GRB 080916C.
[4]:
gbm_catalog = FermiGBMBurstCatalog()
gbm_catalog.query_sources("GRB080916009")
[4]:
Table length=1
| name | ra | dec | trigger_time | t90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| object | float64 | float64 | float64 | float64 |
| GRB080916009 | 119.800 | -56.600 | 54725.0088613 | 62.977 |
To aid in quickly replicating the catalog analysis, and thanks to the tireless efforts of the Fermi-GBM team, we have added the ability to extract the analysis parameters from the catalog as well as build an astromodels model with the best fit parameters baked in. Using this information, one can quickly run through the catalog an replicate the entire analysis with a script. Let’s give it a try.
[5]:
grb_info = gbm_catalog.get_detector_information()["GRB080916009"]
gbm_detectors = grb_info["detectors"]
source_interval = grb_info["source"]["fluence"]
background_interval = grb_info["background"]["full"]
best_fit_model = grb_info["best fit model"]["fluence"]
model = gbm_catalog.get_model(best_fit_model, "fluence")["GRB080916009"]
[6]:
model
[6]:
Model summary:
Free parameters (5):
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
| N | |
|---|---|
| Point sources | 1 |
| Extended sources | 0 |
| Particle sources | 0 |
Free parameters (5):
| value | min_value | max_value | unit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.K | 0.012255 | 0.0 | None | keV-1 s-1 cm-2 |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.alpha | -1.130424 | -1.5 | 2.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy | 309.2031 | 10.0 | None | keV |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_scale | 0.3 | 0.0 | 10.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.beta | -2.096931 | -5.0 | -1.6 |
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
Downloading the data
We provide a simple interface to download the Fermi-GBM data. Using the information from the catalog that we have extracted, we can download just the data from the detectors that were used for the catalog analysis. This will download the CSPEC, TTE and instrument response files from the on-line database.
[7]:
dload = download_GBM_trigger_data("bn080916009", detectors=gbm_detectors)
Let’s first examine the catalog fluence fit. Using the TimeSeriesBuilder, we can fit the background, set the source interval, and create a 3ML plugin for the analysis. We will loop through the detectors, set their appropriate channel selections, and ensure there are enough counts in each bin to make the PGStat profile likelihood valid.
First we use the CSPEC data to fit the background using the background selections. We use CSPEC because it has a longer duration for fitting the background.
The background is saved to an HDF5 file that stores the polynomial coefficients and selections which we can read in to the TTE file later.
The light curve is plotted.
The source selection from the catalog is set and DispersionSpectrumLike plugin is created.
The plugin has the standard GBM channel selections for spectral analysis set.
[8]:
fluence_plugins = []
time_series = {}
for det in gbm_detectors:
ts_cspec = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_cspec_or_ctime(
det, cspec_or_ctime_file=dload[det]["cspec"], rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"]
)
ts_cspec.set_background_interval(*background_interval.split(","))
ts_cspec.save_background(f"{det}_bkg.h5", overwrite=True)
ts_tte = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_tte(
det,
tte_file=dload[det]["tte"],
rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"],
restore_background=f"{det}_bkg.h5",
)
time_series[det] = ts_tte
ts_tte.set_active_time_interval(source_interval)
ts_tte.view_lightcurve(-40, 100)
fluence_plugin = ts_tte.to_spectrumlike()
if det.startswith("b"):
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("9-900")
fluence_plugin.rebin_on_background(1.0)
fluence_plugins.append(fluence_plugin)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n4_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Setting up the fit
Let’s see if we can reproduce the results from the catalog.
Set priors for the model
We will fit the spectrum using Bayesian analysis, so we must set priors on the model parameters.
[9]:
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2.25, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.bounds = (None, None)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-3, upper_bound=1e1
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_scale.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-4, upper_bound=10
)
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Clone the model and setup the Bayesian analysis class
Next, we clone the model we built from the catalog so that we can look at the results later and fit the cloned model. We pass this model and the DataList of the plugins to a BayesianAnalysis class and set the sampler to MultiNest.
[10]:
new_model = clone_model(model)
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(new_model, DataList(*fluence_plugins))
# share spectrum gives a linear speed up when
# spectrumlike plugins have the same RSP input energies
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
Examine at the catalog fitted model
We can quickly examine how well the catalog fit matches the data. There appears to be a discrepancy between the data and the model! Let’s refit to see if we can fix it.
[11]:
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20, step=False)
Run the sampler
We let MultiNest condition the model on the data
[12]:
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=400)
bayes.sample()
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 400
dimensionality = 5
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.993377
Replacements: 450
Total Samples: 453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.961538
Replacements: 500
Total Samples: 520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.921273
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.907716
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.853018
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.835322
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -525650.494613
Acceptance Rate: 0.825991
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -283483.362626
Acceptance Rate: 0.821355
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -163102.979952
Acceptance Rate: 0.818094
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -96794.430664
Acceptance Rate: 0.816697
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1102
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -53816.380707
Acceptance Rate: 0.809889
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -25436.386287
Acceptance Rate: 0.800000
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -14880.670376
Acceptance Rate: 0.794852
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -11271.474782
Acceptance Rate: 0.787402
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10619.235223
Acceptance Rate: 0.771294
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10043.792171
Acceptance Rate: 0.764331
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1570
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9718.296326
Acceptance Rate: 0.759417
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9345.286386
Acceptance Rate: 0.751445
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8974.978214
Acceptance Rate: 0.745033
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1812
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8668.687825
Acceptance Rate: 0.739958
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8390.345482
Acceptance Rate: 0.728643
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8088.704588
Acceptance Rate: 0.722195
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2077
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7821.623208
Acceptance Rate: 0.712971
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7564.396574
Acceptance Rate: 0.707339
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7264.363225
Acceptance Rate: 0.701531
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7059.908057
Acceptance Rate: 0.698726
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6876.426460
Acceptance Rate: 0.693344
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6661.096426
Acceptance Rate: 0.688337
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2615
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6434.613491
Acceptance Rate: 0.683413
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6234.984129
Acceptance Rate: 0.679542
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6050.831920
Acceptance Rate: 0.675208
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5846.380792
Acceptance Rate: 0.670691
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5685.046845
Acceptance Rate: 0.664937
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 3083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5540.362649
Acceptance Rate: 0.662879
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5414.589036
Acceptance Rate: 0.660928
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5246.956297
Acceptance Rate: 0.659472
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5128.960615
Acceptance Rate: 0.656551
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5003.696317
Acceptance Rate: 0.653781
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4844.998756
Acceptance Rate: 0.650249
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4728.795898
Acceptance Rate: 0.647773
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3705
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4623.284679
Acceptance Rate: 0.641529
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4507.817989
Acceptance Rate: 0.638733
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4397.027132
Acceptance Rate: 0.634171
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 4021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4297.951844
Acceptance Rate: 0.631988
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 4114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4199.884346
Acceptance Rate: 0.629903
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 4207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4129.127101
Acceptance Rate: 0.624422
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4053.443853
Acceptance Rate: 0.622736
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3997.714191
Acceptance Rate: 0.619880
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4517
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3936.161988
Acceptance Rate: 0.615418
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3880.423132
Acceptance Rate: 0.612331
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4736
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3815.950672
Acceptance Rate: 0.609630
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3778.926148
Acceptance Rate: 0.603136
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3737.791981
Acceptance Rate: 0.602053
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 5066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3706.855882
Acceptance Rate: 0.599613
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 5170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3678.824678
Acceptance Rate: 0.595351
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 5291
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3655.453615
Acceptance Rate: 0.588560
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 5437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3637.798658
Acceptance Rate: 0.588235
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3613.172355
Acceptance Rate: 0.583967
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5651
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3593.869004
Acceptance Rate: 0.582103
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3571.366803
Acceptance Rate: 0.581296
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3551.262210
Acceptance Rate: 0.576827
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3527.047916
Acceptance Rate: 0.574430
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 6093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3507.253212
Acceptance Rate: 0.571383
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 6213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3489.354590
Acceptance Rate: 0.569981
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 6316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3472.156819
Acceptance Rate: 0.567917
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 6427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3457.239247
Acceptance Rate: 0.565836
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 6539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3442.776477
Acceptance Rate: 0.564079
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3424.504778
Acceptance Rate: 0.562047
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3411.869824
Acceptance Rate: 0.559512
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3398.556701
Acceptance Rate: 0.558259
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6986
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3382.352543
Acceptance Rate: 0.556338
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 7100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3367.231353
Acceptance Rate: 0.553403
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 7228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3355.598105
Acceptance Rate: 0.550272
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 7360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3344.503071
Acceptance Rate: 0.548202
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 7479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3335.278753
Acceptance Rate: 0.545407
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 7609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3323.244176
Acceptance Rate: 0.544182
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 7718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3311.131824
Acceptance Rate: 0.542507
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 7834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3298.829327
Acceptance Rate: 0.541221
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7945
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3291.438319
Acceptance Rate: 0.539635
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 8061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3282.524905
Acceptance Rate: 0.536716
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 8198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3273.615737
Acceptance Rate: 0.532807
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 8352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3265.351710
Acceptance Rate: 0.528914
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 8508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3257.884895
Acceptance Rate: 0.527353
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 8628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3251.140546
Acceptance Rate: 0.525474
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 8754
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3243.608016
Acceptance Rate: 0.523001
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 8891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3236.726378
Acceptance Rate: 0.522454
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 8996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3231.096490
Acceptance Rate: 0.519637
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 9141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3225.750721
Acceptance Rate: 0.516296
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 9297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3219.716153
Acceptance Rate: 0.513771
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 9440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3213.335950
Acceptance Rate: 0.512284
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 9565
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3208.402454
Acceptance Rate: 0.509836
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 9709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3202.648468
Acceptance Rate: 0.507511
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 9852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3197.374654
Acceptance Rate: 0.505860
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 9983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3192.533368
Acceptance Rate: 0.504202
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 10115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3188.415953
Acceptance Rate: 0.502930
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 10240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3183.254021
Acceptance Rate: 0.500819
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 10383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3179.441191
Acceptance Rate: 0.499477
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 10511
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3176.105400
Acceptance Rate: 0.497279
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 10658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3172.915189
Acceptance Rate: 0.494500
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 10819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3170.041095
Acceptance Rate: 0.493466
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 10943
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3166.889481
Acceptance Rate: 0.490947
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 11101
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3163.735093
Acceptance Rate: 0.489934
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 11226
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3161.350936
Acceptance Rate: 0.488427
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 11363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3158.772987
Acceptance Rate: 0.487126
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 11496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3156.439495
Acceptance Rate: 0.485854
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 11629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3153.636305
Acceptance Rate: 0.485024
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 11752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3151.323278
Acceptance Rate: 0.482099
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 11927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3149.173902
Acceptance Rate: 0.480610
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 12068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3147.428127
Acceptance Rate: 0.480217
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 12182
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3145.863351
Acceptance Rate: 0.478004
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 12343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3143.994162
Acceptance Rate: 0.476457
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 12488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3142.201819
Acceptance Rate: 0.473859
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 12662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3139.962443
Acceptance Rate: 0.471772
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 12824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3137.829698
Acceptance Rate: 0.469267
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 12999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3135.958248
Acceptance Rate: 0.468357
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 13131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3134.283536
Acceptance Rate: 0.468455
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 13235
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3132.400845
Acceptance Rate: 0.467919
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 13357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3130.787459
Acceptance Rate: 0.466736
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 13498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3129.026791
Acceptance Rate: 0.466089
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 13624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3127.318802
Acceptance Rate: 0.464880
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 13767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3125.825116
Acceptance Rate: 0.464396
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 13889
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3124.500625
Acceptance Rate: 0.463954
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 14010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3123.120471
Acceptance Rate: 0.462603
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 14159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3121.668769
Acceptance Rate: 0.462347
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 14275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3120.287119
Acceptance Rate: 0.462287
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 14385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3119.208014
Acceptance Rate: 0.460576
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 14547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3118.172052
Acceptance Rate: 0.459809
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 14680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3117.172119
Acceptance Rate: 0.458530
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 14830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3116.232842
Acceptance Rate: 0.457826
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 14962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3115.247597
Acceptance Rate: 0.457560
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 15080
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3114.323546
Acceptance Rate: 0.456097
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 15238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.484593
Acceptance Rate: 0.455018
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 15384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.756017
Acceptance Rate: 0.454048
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 15527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.014986
Acceptance Rate: 0.453124
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 15669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3111.378922
Acceptance Rate: 0.451703
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 15829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3110.840730
Acceptance Rate: 0.451015
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 15964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3110.275509
Acceptance Rate: 0.450115
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 16107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3109.745251
Acceptance Rate: 0.449868
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 16227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3109.254781
Acceptance Rate: 0.448362
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 16393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.794099
Acceptance Rate: 0.447996
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 16518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.379758
Acceptance Rate: 0.446509
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 16685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.002748
Acceptance Rate: 0.446190
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 16809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3107.657343
Acceptance Rate: 0.445401
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 16951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3107.340323
Acceptance Rate: 0.445408
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 17063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3107.047282
Acceptance Rate: 0.445026
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 17190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.773902
Acceptance Rate: 0.444727
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 17314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.530168
Acceptance Rate: 0.443846
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 17461
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.309979
Acceptance Rate: 0.443888
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 17572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.110315
Acceptance Rate: 0.443252
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 17710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.918711
Acceptance Rate: 0.443247
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 17823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.732765
Acceptance Rate: 0.443218
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 17937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.554087
Acceptance Rate: 0.443140
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 18053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.384484
Acceptance Rate: 0.442697
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 18184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.220890
Acceptance Rate: 0.442841
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 18291
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.069793
Acceptance Rate: 0.442358
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 18424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.931062
Acceptance Rate: 0.442550
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 18529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.793471
Acceptance Rate: 0.442217
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 18656
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.657208
Acceptance Rate: 0.442266
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 18767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.524149
Acceptance Rate: 0.441402
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 18917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.396529
Acceptance Rate: 0.441316
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 19034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.274599
Acceptance Rate: 0.441184
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 19153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.161367
Acceptance Rate: 0.440940
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 19277
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.050792
Acceptance Rate: 0.440903
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 19392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.943665
Acceptance Rate: 0.440732
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 19513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.833639
Acceptance Rate: 0.439957
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 19661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.713860
Acceptance Rate: 0.439216
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 19808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.598180
Acceptance Rate: 0.438443
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 19957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.482622
Acceptance Rate: 0.438182
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 20083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.373308
Acceptance Rate: 0.438358
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 20189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.267802
Acceptance Rate: 0.437389
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 20348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.164912
Acceptance Rate: 0.437012
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 20480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.064916
Acceptance Rate: 0.436575
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 20615
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.969269
Acceptance Rate: 0.436629
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 20727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.879398
Acceptance Rate: 0.436786
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 20834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.795123
Acceptance Rate: 0.436525
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 20961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.716320
Acceptance Rate: 0.436246
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 21089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.641779
Acceptance Rate: 0.436321
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 21200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.570854
Acceptance Rate: 0.435088
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 21375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.502797
Acceptance Rate: 0.433855
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 21551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.438683
Acceptance Rate: 0.433439
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 21687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.380651
Acceptance Rate: 0.433029
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 21823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.326587
Acceptance Rate: 0.432644
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 21958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.276473
Acceptance Rate: 0.432714
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 22070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.229459
Acceptance Rate: 0.432725
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 22185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.185474
Acceptance Rate: 0.432406
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 22317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.144305
Acceptance Rate: 0.432476
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 22429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.105747
Acceptance Rate: 0.432277
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 22555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.069628
Acceptance Rate: 0.432423
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 22663
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.036047
Acceptance Rate: 0.431431
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 22831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.004690
Acceptance Rate: 0.431034
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 22968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.975495
Acceptance Rate: 0.430829
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 23095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.948611
Acceptance Rate: 0.430608
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 23223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.924015
Acceptance Rate: 0.430556
Replacements: 10013
Total Samples: 23256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.917975
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -3101.6827126647549 +/- 0.22675488739619643
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 23256
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| GRB080916009...K | (1.472 -0.019 +0.016) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| GRB080916009...alpha | -1.09423 +0.00025 +0.04 | |
| GRB080916009...break_energy | (1.86 +0.13 +0.7) x 10^2 | keV |
| GRB080916009...break_scale | (0.0 +1.5 +3.2) x 10^-1 | |
| GRB080916009...beta | -1.96 -0.21 -0.04 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3 | -1019.621526 |
| n4 | -1009.799807 |
| b0 | -1049.626420 |
| total | -3079.047752 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 6168.265959 |
| BIC | 6187.498169 |
| DIC | 6179.270211 |
| PDIC | 4.122174 |
| log(Z) | -1347.043687 |
Now our model seems to match much better with the data!
[13]:
bayes.restore_median_fit()
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20)
But how different are we from the catalog model? Let’s plot our fit along with the catalog model. Luckily, 3ML can handle all the units for is
[14]:
conversion = u.Unit("keV2/(cm2 s keV)").to("erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
energy_grid = np.logspace(1, 4, 100) * u.keV
vFv = (energy_grid**2 * model.get_point_source_fluxes(0, energy_grid)).to(
"erg2/(cm2 s keV)"
)
[15]:
fig = plot_spectra(bayes.results, flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
ax = fig.get_axes()[0]
_ = ax.loglog(energy_grid, vFv, color="blue", label="catalog model")
Time Resolved Analysis
Now that we have examined fluence fit, we can move to performing a time-resolved analysis.
Selecting a temporal binning
We first get the brightest NaI detector and create time bins via the Bayesian blocks algorithm. We can use the fitted background to make sure that our intervals are chosen in an unbiased way.
[16]:
n3 = time_series["n3"]
[17]:
n3.create_time_bins(0, 60, method="bayesblocks", use_background=True, p0=0.2)
Sometimes, glitches in the GBM data cause spikes in the data that the Bayesian blocks algorithm detects as fast changes in the count rate. We will have to remove those intervals manually.
Note: In the future, 3ML will provide an automated method to remove these unwanted spikes.
[18]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
[19]:
bad_bins = []
for i, w in enumerate(n3.bins.widths):
if w < 5e-2:
bad_bins.append(i)
edges = [n3.bins.starts[0]]
for i, b in enumerate(n3.bins):
if i not in bad_bins:
edges.append(b.stop)
starts = edges[:-1]
stops = edges[1:]
n3.create_time_bins(starts, stops, method="custom")
Now our light curve looks much more acceptable.
[20]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
The time series objects can read time bins from each other, so we will map these time bins onto the other detectors’ time series and create a list of time plugins for each detector and each time bin created above.
[21]:
time_resolved_plugins = {}
for k, v in time_series.items():
v.read_bins(n3)
time_resolved_plugins[k] = v.to_spectrumlike(from_bins=True)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Setting up the model
For the time-resolved analysis, we will fit the classic Band function to the data. We will set some principled priors.
[22]:
band = Band()
band.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5)
band.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2, sigma=0.5)
band.xp.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
band.xp.bounds = (None, None)
band.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(lower_bound=1e-10, upper_bound=1e3)
ps = PointSource("grb", 0, 0, spectral_shape=band)
band_model = Model(ps)
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Perform the fits
One way to perform Bayesian spectral fits to all the intervals is to loop through each one. There can are many ways to do this, so find an analysis pattern that works for you.
[23]:
models = []
results = []
analysis = []
for interval in range(12):
# clone the model above so that we have a separate model
# for each fit
this_model = clone_model(band_model)
# for each detector set up the plugin
# for this time interval
this_data_list = []
for k, v in time_resolved_plugins.items():
pi = v[interval]
if k.startswith("b"):
pi.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
pi.set_active_measurements("9-900")
pi.rebin_on_background(1.0)
this_data_list.append(pi)
# create a data list
dlist = DataList(*this_data_list)
# set up the sampler and fit
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(this_model, dlist)
# get some speed with share spectrum
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=500)
bayes.sample()
# at this stage we coudl also
# save the analysis result to
# disk but we will simply hold
# onto them in memory
analysis.append(bayes)
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -144485.396526
Acceptance Rate: 0.975610
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 615
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6885.120848
Acceptance Rate: 0.964392
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1245.924794
Acceptance Rate: 0.933333
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1244.182461
Acceptance Rate: 0.886525
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.624909
Acceptance Rate: 0.866739
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.297962
Acceptance Rate: 0.828460
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.072933
Acceptance Rate: 0.821918
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.905393
Acceptance Rate: 0.811966
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.774523
Acceptance Rate: 0.807754
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.668703
Acceptance Rate: 0.796662
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.579941
Acceptance Rate: 0.791367
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.502086
Acceptance Rate: 0.782313
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.424082
Acceptance Rate: 0.776197
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.328618
Acceptance Rate: 0.772082
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.183727
Acceptance Rate: 0.765156
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1241.897766
Acceptance Rate: 0.761851
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1241.069975
Acceptance Rate: 0.758397
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1238.956439
Acceptance Rate: 0.752856
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1235.685505
Acceptance Rate: 0.751127
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1229.139298
Acceptance Rate: 0.747348
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1220.257634
Acceptance Rate: 0.747314
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1210.559022
Acceptance Rate: 0.747283
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1200.280666
Acceptance Rate: 0.741064
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1187.579764
Acceptance Rate: 0.739958
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1176.123517
Acceptance Rate: 0.736498
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1162.944747
Acceptance Rate: 0.730359
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1148.053928
Acceptance Rate: 0.726300
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1134.107908
Acceptance Rate: 0.722490
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1122.192560
Acceptance Rate: 0.716846
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1112.120754
Acceptance Rate: 0.717536
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1099.313677
Acceptance Rate: 0.714529
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2939
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1086.714744
Acceptance Rate: 0.709337
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1076.501894
Acceptance Rate: 0.707168
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1065.555911
Acceptance Rate: 0.706215
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1056.371048
Acceptance Rate: 0.703149
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1046.409837
Acceptance Rate: 0.699405
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1035.415489
Acceptance Rate: 0.693842
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1024.661174
Acceptance Rate: 0.690335
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1015.920913
Acceptance Rate: 0.687002
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1007.671639
Acceptance Rate: 0.684932
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -997.919728
Acceptance Rate: 0.682057
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3812
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -989.635559
Acceptance Rate: 0.679661
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -982.457064
Acceptance Rate: 0.676522
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -975.493339
Acceptance Rate: 0.675676
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -969.016039
Acceptance Rate: 0.673239
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -963.197681
Acceptance Rate: 0.669958
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.825881
Acceptance Rate: 0.669437
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4332
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.695096
Acceptance Rate: 0.667421
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -947.617444
Acceptance Rate: 0.665484
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -942.537076
Acceptance Rate: 0.663043
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -938.360137
Acceptance Rate: 0.661545
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4686
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -934.205231
Acceptance Rate: 0.659686
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.242223
Acceptance Rate: 0.658979
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.952977
Acceptance Rate: 0.655771
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.526950
Acceptance Rate: 0.653207
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.463838
Acceptance Rate: 0.651624
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.588234
Acceptance Rate: 0.649723
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.934661
Acceptance Rate: 0.648740
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.379152
Acceptance Rate: 0.647070
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.319050
Acceptance Rate: 0.645337
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.114679
Acceptance Rate: 0.644353
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -902.601717
Acceptance Rate: 0.642719
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -900.374961
Acceptance Rate: 0.639696
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898.244081
Acceptance Rate: 0.636132
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -896.270737
Acceptance Rate: 0.635983
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -894.473404
Acceptance Rate: 0.635838
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -892.854677
Acceptance Rate: 0.635179
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -891.089104
Acceptance Rate: 0.633927
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -889.554992
Acceptance Rate: 0.631313
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -887.844941
Acceptance Rate: 0.630448
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -886.204971
Acceptance Rate: 0.627968
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -884.827828
Acceptance Rate: 0.626037
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -883.538932
Acceptance Rate: 0.625372
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -882.302912
Acceptance Rate: 0.623350
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -881.064371
Acceptance Rate: 0.621837
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -879.650582
Acceptance Rate: 0.620542
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -878.750430
Acceptance Rate: 0.619108
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -877.879034
Acceptance Rate: 0.616002
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -877.110308
Acceptance Rate: 0.615006
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -876.418486
Acceptance Rate: 0.611559
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.751465
Acceptance Rate: 0.610728
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.072347
Acceptance Rate: 0.609836
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -874.385942
Acceptance Rate: 0.607706
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.734187
Acceptance Rate: 0.608117
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.131990
Acceptance Rate: 0.607903
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.586923
Acceptance Rate: 0.606705
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.090032
Acceptance Rate: 0.604640
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.534167
Acceptance Rate: 0.604322
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -870.945493
Acceptance Rate: 0.603064
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8291
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -870.330112
Acceptance Rate: 0.603201
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -869.418728
Acceptance Rate: 0.603479
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -867.773265
Acceptance Rate: 0.602480
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -865.956899
Acceptance Rate: 0.602131
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -863.738822
Acceptance Rate: 0.601237
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -861.440634
Acceptance Rate: 0.600362
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -859.262440
Acceptance Rate: 0.600179
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -857.092144
Acceptance Rate: 0.600067
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -855.057773
Acceptance Rate: 0.600088
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -853.053796
Acceptance Rate: 0.599586
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.904361
Acceptance Rate: 0.600649
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.621938
Acceptance Rate: 0.599893
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.552020
Acceptance Rate: 0.599724
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9421
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.518610
Acceptance Rate: 0.598739
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.655563
Acceptance Rate: 0.598958
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -840.986335
Acceptance Rate: 0.598247
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.338325
Acceptance Rate: 0.598221
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.849372
Acceptance Rate: 0.597589
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.271023
Acceptance Rate: 0.597690
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.658981
Acceptance Rate: 0.598086
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.061631
Acceptance Rate: 0.597826
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.502196
Acceptance Rate: 0.597863
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.087936
Acceptance Rate: 0.597145
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.854381
Acceptance Rate: 0.597303
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.377143
Acceptance Rate: 0.597857
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.996825
Acceptance Rate: 0.598347
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.710754
Acceptance Rate: 0.598718
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.372474
Acceptance Rate: 0.599083
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.020377
Acceptance Rate: 0.599665
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.473614
Acceptance Rate: 0.599963
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.037998
Acceptance Rate: 0.599323
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.702615
Acceptance Rate: 0.599455
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.465773
Acceptance Rate: 0.599747
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.516299
Acceptance Rate: 0.599928
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.534388
Acceptance Rate: 0.600801
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11235
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.484446
Acceptance Rate: 0.601451
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11306
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.430758
Acceptance Rate: 0.602039
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.369875
Acceptance Rate: 0.601884
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.490666
Acceptance Rate: 0.601992
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.484028
Acceptance Rate: 0.602461
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.466109
Acceptance Rate: 0.603183
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.576915
Acceptance Rate: 0.603382
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.813126
Acceptance Rate: 0.604038
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.121833
Acceptance Rate: 0.604636
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.448866
Acceptance Rate: 0.604923
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.720628
Acceptance Rate: 0.605508
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.994140
Acceptance Rate: 0.606336
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.348595
Acceptance Rate: 0.606607
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.700017
Acceptance Rate: 0.607320
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.043427
Acceptance Rate: 0.607780
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.428804
Acceptance Rate: 0.608282
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12412
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.853469
Acceptance Rate: 0.608828
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12483
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.307602
Acceptance Rate: 0.609076
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.765909
Acceptance Rate: 0.609467
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.219480
Acceptance Rate: 0.609852
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.680667
Acceptance Rate: 0.609804
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.173646
Acceptance Rate: 0.609993
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.730825
Acceptance Rate: 0.610416
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.311751
Acceptance Rate: 0.609616
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.930427
Acceptance Rate: 0.609942
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.582917
Acceptance Rate: 0.609987
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.241279
Acceptance Rate: 0.610537
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.921413
Acceptance Rate: 0.610670
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.599834
Acceptance Rate: 0.611210
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.269142
Acceptance Rate: 0.611428
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.946361
Acceptance Rate: 0.611824
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13566
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.638295
Acceptance Rate: 0.612439
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.341816
Acceptance Rate: 0.612602
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.042028
Acceptance Rate: 0.612097
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13805
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.769912
Acceptance Rate: 0.612524
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13877
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.521472
Acceptance Rate: 0.612947
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.296596
Acceptance Rate: 0.612885
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.083496
Acceptance Rate: 0.612780
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.874435
Acceptance Rate: 0.612719
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.676135
Acceptance Rate: 0.613089
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14272
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.490492
Acceptance Rate: 0.613326
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.320367
Acceptance Rate: 0.613476
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.155560
Acceptance Rate: 0.613539
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.001935
Acceptance Rate: 0.614065
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14575
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.860272
Acceptance Rate: 0.613832
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.729548
Acceptance Rate: 0.614226
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.607629
Acceptance Rate: 0.614948
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.495503
Acceptance Rate: 0.615498
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.388165
Acceptance Rate: 0.615590
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 14945
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.286041
Acceptance Rate: 0.616092
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.188124
Acceptance Rate: 0.616629
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.095909
Acceptance Rate: 0.616958
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.007743
Acceptance Rate: 0.617568
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.925353
Acceptance Rate: 0.617768
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.847979
Acceptance Rate: 0.618409
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.776000
Acceptance Rate: 0.618924
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.708572
Acceptance Rate: 0.619195
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.644918
Acceptance Rate: 0.619026
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.584081
Acceptance Rate: 0.618741
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.526091
Acceptance Rate: 0.619323
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.471247
Acceptance Rate: 0.619391
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 15822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.418817
Acceptance Rate: 0.619069
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 15911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.368633
Acceptance Rate: 0.619098
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 15991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.321306
Acceptance Rate: 0.618935
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.277282
Acceptance Rate: 0.618850
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.236099
Acceptance Rate: 0.619338
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.197963
Acceptance Rate: 0.619822
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.162413
Acceptance Rate: 0.619431
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.129325
Acceptance Rate: 0.619496
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.098284
Acceptance Rate: 0.619523
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.069079
Acceptance Rate: 0.619251
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16633
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.042033
Acceptance Rate: 0.619188
Replacements: 10320
Total Samples: 16667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.031795
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -789.74531620172877 +/- 0.18350835826709500
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 16667
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (3.7 -0.5 +0.9) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-5.3 -1.5 +1.2) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.0 -0.5 +0.6) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.014 -0.18 +0.017 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval0 | -250.070726 |
| n4_interval0 | -267.918004 |
| b0_interval0 | -285.659969 |
| total | -803.648699 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1615.410712 |
| BIC | 1630.819530 |
| DIC | 1569.057126 |
| PDIC | 1.566459 |
| log(Z) | -342.982033 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -768275.532506
Acceptance Rate: 0.996678
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -20656.334060
Acceptance Rate: 0.974513
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10225.288652
Acceptance Rate: 0.949796
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.590254
Acceptance Rate: 0.916870
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.215341
Acceptance Rate: 0.886918
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.966038
Acceptance Rate: 0.863821
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.782834
Acceptance Rate: 0.845865
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.637946
Acceptance Rate: 0.828248
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.512077
Acceptance Rate: 0.812348
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.378991
Acceptance Rate: 0.797267
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.165334
Acceptance Rate: 0.791937
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10222.582654
Acceptance Rate: 0.784983
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10219.406260
Acceptance Rate: 0.776699
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10208.832279
Acceptance Rate: 0.776398
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10181.141110
Acceptance Rate: 0.769231
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10145.530693
Acceptance Rate: 0.761421
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10095.914321
Acceptance Rate: 0.754310
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10037.371138
Acceptance Rate: 0.748580
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9946.260807
Acceptance Rate: 0.745156
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9801.180177
Acceptance Rate: 0.743049
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9678.371645
Acceptance Rate: 0.739713
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9474.023303
Acceptance Rate: 0.736936
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9241.022465
Acceptance Rate: 0.736249
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8963.481669
Acceptance Rate: 0.734060
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8759.771153
Acceptance Rate: 0.734994
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8542.093484
Acceptance Rate: 0.730071
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8307.484632
Acceptance Rate: 0.727691
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8032.498833
Acceptance Rate: 0.723562
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7801.446350
Acceptance Rate: 0.718649
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2783
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7550.144619
Acceptance Rate: 0.715782
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2864
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7325.054900
Acceptance Rate: 0.713800
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7122.153983
Acceptance Rate: 0.709571
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6943.929716
Acceptance Rate: 0.705581
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6724.205390
Acceptance Rate: 0.703565
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6565.028237
Acceptance Rate: 0.700152
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6353.852204
Acceptance Rate: 0.698989
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6221.104213
Acceptance Rate: 0.694043
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3458
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6087.239851
Acceptance Rate: 0.693265
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5962.168122
Acceptance Rate: 0.692713
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5837.382600
Acceptance Rate: 0.689562
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3698
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5693.479091
Acceptance Rate: 0.688742
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5597.037333
Acceptance Rate: 0.685463
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5458.864807
Acceptance Rate: 0.682680
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5330.797030
Acceptance Rate: 0.681030
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4038
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5240.133291
Acceptance Rate: 0.679612
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5107.664026
Acceptance Rate: 0.677926
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5008.424446
Acceptance Rate: 0.675047
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4892.767136
Acceptance Rate: 0.673516
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4790.982129
Acceptance Rate: 0.672797
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4694.244079
Acceptance Rate: 0.670477
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4617.883002
Acceptance Rate: 0.667816
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4537.776829
Acceptance Rate: 0.667514
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4462.466951
Acceptance Rate: 0.668617
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4390.767691
Acceptance Rate: 0.666393
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4877
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4325.129192
Acceptance Rate: 0.665457
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4256.846402
Acceptance Rate: 0.665475
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4192.229188
Acceptance Rate: 0.662381
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4137.512680
Acceptance Rate: 0.661426
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4086.936727
Acceptance Rate: 0.660377
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5300
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4043.205410
Acceptance Rate: 0.659484
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3997.792966
Acceptance Rate: 0.659703
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3936.145005
Acceptance Rate: 0.658845
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3885.454523
Acceptance Rate: 0.656610
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3846.834582
Acceptance Rate: 0.655594
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5720
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3808.644163
Acceptance Rate: 0.653595
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3772.118984
Acceptance Rate: 0.651438
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3737.149697
Acceptance Rate: 0.652283
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3696.236875
Acceptance Rate: 0.650956
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3667.919170
Acceptance Rate: 0.650830
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3638.890644
Acceptance Rate: 0.649872
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3613.407217
Acceptance Rate: 0.649042
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3586.116356
Acceptance Rate: 0.648539
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6399
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3560.550636
Acceptance Rate: 0.647449
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3537.207544
Acceptance Rate: 0.645897
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3511.799788
Acceptance Rate: 0.645743
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3487.184913
Acceptance Rate: 0.645018
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3466.923021
Acceptance Rate: 0.644500
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3444.994612
Acceptance Rate: 0.643622
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3428.826032
Acceptance Rate: 0.642674
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3413.593861
Acceptance Rate: 0.641658
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3399.246321
Acceptance Rate: 0.641026
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3384.672967
Acceptance Rate: 0.640055
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3370.039422
Acceptance Rate: 0.639369
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7351
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3360.835772
Acceptance Rate: 0.638012
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3347.260675
Acceptance Rate: 0.636689
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3335.533162
Acceptance Rate: 0.635732
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3323.512429
Acceptance Rate: 0.635621
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3314.143143
Acceptance Rate: 0.635675
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3303.116167
Acceptance Rate: 0.635970
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3295.376180
Acceptance Rate: 0.635860
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 7942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3286.066228
Acceptance Rate: 0.635910
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3278.577353
Acceptance Rate: 0.635567
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3270.403073
Acceptance Rate: 0.634456
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3263.308672
Acceptance Rate: 0.634518
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3254.846955
Acceptance Rate: 0.634199
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3245.075113
Acceptance Rate: 0.633661
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3237.947679
Acceptance Rate: 0.632986
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3229.497658
Acceptance Rate: 0.632471
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3223.099004
Acceptance Rate: 0.632402
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3212.277749
Acceptance Rate: 0.632046
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 8781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3183.830306
Acceptance Rate: 0.632840
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 8849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3160.944025
Acceptance Rate: 0.633053
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 8925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3134.162306
Acceptance Rate: 0.634179
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 8988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3111.121525
Acceptance Rate: 0.634658
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3082.508009
Acceptance Rate: 0.634434
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9142
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3059.788518
Acceptance Rate: 0.634284
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3024.012636
Acceptance Rate: 0.634272
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3001.585573
Acceptance Rate: 0.633720
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2978.396387
Acceptance Rate: 0.634048
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2959.446730
Acceptance Rate: 0.633773
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2933.984604
Acceptance Rate: 0.633371
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2911.783356
Acceptance Rate: 0.632977
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 9716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2890.020483
Acceptance Rate: 0.632976
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 9795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2866.723027
Acceptance Rate: 0.632975
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 9874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2841.411648
Acceptance Rate: 0.633612
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 9943
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2814.056692
Acceptance Rate: 0.634112
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2792.204664
Acceptance Rate: 0.634166
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2765.712646
Acceptance Rate: 0.633658
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2744.677461
Acceptance Rate: 0.632850
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2720.694987
Acceptance Rate: 0.632300
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2702.292548
Acceptance Rate: 0.632717
Replacements: 6641
Total Samples: 10496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2657.514610
Acceptance Rate: 0.633434
Replacements: 6741
Total Samples: 10642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2590.710597
Acceptance Rate: 0.633837
Replacements: 6841
Total Samples: 10793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2536.520479
Acceptance Rate: 0.633748
Replacements: 6982
Total Samples: 11017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2483.853880
Acceptance Rate: 0.633505
Replacements: 7132
Total Samples: 11258
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2417.253833
Acceptance Rate: 0.633493
Replacements: 7282
Total Samples: 11495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2350.204834
Acceptance Rate: 0.632457
Replacements: 7432
Total Samples: 11751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2303.025438
Acceptance Rate: 0.632730
Replacements: 7582
Total Samples: 11983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2263.208456
Acceptance Rate: 0.633874
Replacements: 7732
Total Samples: 12198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2229.546010
Acceptance Rate: 0.634673
Replacements: 7882
Total Samples: 12419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2199.107852
Acceptance Rate: 0.634539
Replacements: 8032
Total Samples: 12658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2178.404749
Acceptance Rate: 0.635545
Replacements: 8182
Total Samples: 12874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2162.395681
Acceptance Rate: 0.636808
Replacements: 8332
Total Samples: 13084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2144.733013
Acceptance Rate: 0.636978
Replacements: 8482
Total Samples: 13316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2131.303392
Acceptance Rate: 0.638178
Replacements: 8632
Total Samples: 13526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2118.655323
Acceptance Rate: 0.638134
Replacements: 8782
Total Samples: 13762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.395018
Acceptance Rate: 0.639462
Replacements: 8932
Total Samples: 13968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2083.660343
Acceptance Rate: 0.639803
Replacements: 9082
Total Samples: 14195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.264962
Acceptance Rate: 0.640889
Replacements: 9232
Total Samples: 14405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.874110
Acceptance Rate: 0.642163
Replacements: 9382
Total Samples: 14610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2052.998044
Acceptance Rate: 0.642448
Replacements: 9532
Total Samples: 14837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2048.724114
Acceptance Rate: 0.643836
Replacements: 9682
Total Samples: 15038
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2045.352106
Acceptance Rate: 0.644679
Replacements: 9832
Total Samples: 15251
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2040.508369
Acceptance Rate: 0.645040
Replacements: 9982
Total Samples: 15475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2036.373203
Acceptance Rate: 0.644406
Replacements: 10132
Total Samples: 15723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2028.398008
Acceptance Rate: 0.645206
Replacements: 10282
Total Samples: 15936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2020.802092
Acceptance Rate: 0.646625
Replacements: 10432
Total Samples: 16133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2013.931981
Acceptance Rate: 0.646861
Replacements: 10582
Total Samples: 16359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2007.689591
Acceptance Rate: 0.648107
Replacements: 10732
Total Samples: 16559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2002.010410
Acceptance Rate: 0.649284
Replacements: 10882
Total Samples: 16760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1995.555238
Acceptance Rate: 0.650050
Replacements: 11032
Total Samples: 16971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1989.279699
Acceptance Rate: 0.651423
Replacements: 11168
Total Samples: 17144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1983.294988
Acceptance Rate: 0.651631
Replacements: 11268
Total Samples: 17292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.670439
Acceptance Rate: 0.651461
Replacements: 11368
Total Samples: 17450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1975.105190
Acceptance Rate: 0.651369
Replacements: 11468
Total Samples: 17606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1971.896986
Acceptance Rate: 0.651718
Replacements: 11568
Total Samples: 17750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1969.076671
Acceptance Rate: 0.651334
Replacements: 11668
Total Samples: 17914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.805617
Acceptance Rate: 0.650957
Replacements: 11768
Total Samples: 18078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.861086
Acceptance Rate: 0.650587
Replacements: 11868
Total Samples: 18242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.091343
Acceptance Rate: 0.650965
Replacements: 11968
Total Samples: 18385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.693520
Acceptance Rate: 0.650671
Replacements: 12068
Total Samples: 18547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.512807
Acceptance Rate: 0.650556
Replacements: 12168
Total Samples: 18704
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.711150
Acceptance Rate: 0.649823
Replacements: 12268
Total Samples: 18879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.303358
Acceptance Rate: 0.649034
Replacements: 12368
Total Samples: 19056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.233979
Acceptance Rate: 0.647722
Replacements: 12468
Total Samples: 19249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.298150
Acceptance Rate: 0.648002
Replacements: 12568
Total Samples: 19395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1952.463623
Acceptance Rate: 0.648079
Replacements: 12668
Total Samples: 19547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.794503
Acceptance Rate: 0.648188
Replacements: 12768
Total Samples: 19698
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.228406
Acceptance Rate: 0.648001
Replacements: 12868
Total Samples: 19858
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.710098
Acceptance Rate: 0.647203
Replacements: 12968
Total Samples: 20037
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.276793
Acceptance Rate: 0.647283
Replacements: 13068
Total Samples: 20189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.901702
Acceptance Rate: 0.647426
Replacements: 13168
Total Samples: 20339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.567289
Acceptance Rate: 0.647599
Replacements: 13268
Total Samples: 20488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.267153
Acceptance Rate: 0.647267
Replacements: 13368
Total Samples: 20653
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.003507
Acceptance Rate: 0.647251
Replacements: 13468
Total Samples: 20808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.772229
Acceptance Rate: 0.647575
Replacements: 13568
Total Samples: 20952
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.581602
Acceptance Rate: 0.647865
Replacements: 13668
Total Samples: 21097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.418655
Acceptance Rate: 0.648211
Replacements: 13768
Total Samples: 21240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.274372
Acceptance Rate: 0.647933
Replacements: 13869
Total Samples: 21405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.151492
Acceptance Rate: 0.648098
Replacements: 14019
Total Samples: 21631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.046338
Acceptance Rate: 0.648348
Replacements: 14169
Total Samples: 21854
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.956933
Acceptance Rate: 0.648504
Replacements: 14282
Total Samples: 22023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.881135
Acceptance Rate: 0.648276
Replacements: 14382
Total Samples: 22185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.816038
Acceptance Rate: 0.648167
Replacements: 14482
Total Samples: 22343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.761244
Acceptance Rate: 0.648262
Replacements: 14582
Total Samples: 22494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.715115
Acceptance Rate: 0.648844
Replacements: 14647
Total Samples: 22574
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.702635
Acceptance Rate: 0.649333
Replacements: 14697
Total Samples: 22634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.702635
Acceptance Rate: 0.649819
Replacements: 14747
Total Samples: 22694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.702635
Acceptance Rate: 0.650218
Replacements: 14797
Total Samples: 22757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.702635
Acceptance Rate: 0.650528
Replacements: 14847
Total Samples: 22823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.702635
Acceptance Rate: 0.650894
Replacements: 14897
Total Samples: 22887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.702635
Acceptance Rate: 0.650973
Replacements: 14947
Total Samples: 22961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.702635
Acceptance Rate: 0.651194
Replacements: 14997
Total Samples: 23030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.702635
Acceptance Rate: 0.651293
Replacements: 15011
Total Samples: 23048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.702635
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1947.4826106008491 +/- 0.22178890520028258
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 23048
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (3.92 -0.08 +0.10) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.99 -0.15 +0.24) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (7.3 -0.4 +0.5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.419 -0.18 -0.033 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval1 | -643.584536 |
| n4_interval1 | -647.801999 |
| b0_interval1 | -674.967877 |
| total | -1966.354412 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3940.822139 |
| BIC | 3956.230956 |
| DIC | 3878.983755 |
| PDIC | 2.299368 |
| log(Z) | -845.780951 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.990991
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -238577.304916
Acceptance Rate: 0.985222
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8415.336323
Acceptance Rate: 0.961538
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1562.546227
Acceptance Rate: 0.943396
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1561.377302
Acceptance Rate: 0.916870
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.892584
Acceptance Rate: 0.893855
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.594244
Acceptance Rate: 0.877193
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.384225
Acceptance Rate: 0.853081
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.225395
Acceptance Rate: 0.842199
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.099497
Acceptance Rate: 0.839631
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.995251
Acceptance Rate: 0.824176
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.903925
Acceptance Rate: 0.813008
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.815620
Acceptance Rate: 0.804196
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.704368
Acceptance Rate: 0.793126
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.506978
Acceptance Rate: 0.779788
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.066702
Acceptance Rate: 0.772889
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1557.718671
Acceptance Rate: 0.765306
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1553.131864
Acceptance Rate: 0.758397
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1544.325540
Acceptance Rate: 0.756390
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1534.241537
Acceptance Rate: 0.754527
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1519.946138
Acceptance Rate: 0.746269
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2077
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1501.802236
Acceptance Rate: 0.741084
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1483.453863
Acceptance Rate: 0.734639
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1454.498592
Acceptance Rate: 0.728676
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1427.599826
Acceptance Rate: 0.722543
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1396.716100
Acceptance Rate: 0.720288
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2499
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1365.189266
Acceptance Rate: 0.713184
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1339.384090
Acceptance Rate: 0.711610
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2670
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1318.108974
Acceptance Rate: 0.708833
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1301.823910
Acceptance Rate: 0.705219
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1280.879864
Acceptance Rate: 0.700855
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1262.103356
Acceptance Rate: 0.699068
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1248.666701
Acceptance Rate: 0.697147
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1230.985766
Acceptance Rate: 0.692913
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1215.930884
Acceptance Rate: 0.689127
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1203.414009
Acceptance Rate: 0.686362
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3351
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1187.340132
Acceptance Rate: 0.683935
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3436
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1174.126293
Acceptance Rate: 0.680465
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1162.197628
Acceptance Rate: 0.677170
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3618
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1151.813733
Acceptance Rate: 0.676590
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1139.910777
Acceptance Rate: 0.674425
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1131.786016
Acceptance Rate: 0.672530
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1121.956625
Acceptance Rate: 0.670377
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1111.446478
Acceptance Rate: 0.669311
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1101.905282
Acceptance Rate: 0.665215
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1094.014861
Acceptance Rate: 0.661469
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1087.101533
Acceptance Rate: 0.658655
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1081.019907
Acceptance Rate: 0.657746
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1072.267223
Acceptance Rate: 0.656869
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1064.745299
Acceptance Rate: 0.656024
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4573
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1057.668876
Acceptance Rate: 0.654226
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1049.180113
Acceptance Rate: 0.651124
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1044.562509
Acceptance Rate: 0.649485
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1039.038121
Acceptance Rate: 0.648824
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1033.087762
Acceptance Rate: 0.646509
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1028.048904
Acceptance Rate: 0.643902
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1022.273943
Acceptance Rate: 0.642501
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1018.142093
Acceptance Rate: 0.639579
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1013.776235
Acceptance Rate: 0.639244
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1010.238081
Acceptance Rate: 0.637639
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1006.506466
Acceptance Rate: 0.636886
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5574
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1003.842402
Acceptance Rate: 0.636267
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1001.208944
Acceptance Rate: 0.635335
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -997.812553
Acceptance Rate: 0.634213
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -994.870299
Acceptance Rate: 0.632378
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -991.884246
Acceptance Rate: 0.631649
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -988.865871
Acceptance Rate: 0.631769
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -985.824789
Acceptance Rate: 0.631681
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -983.413382
Acceptance Rate: 0.630487
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -981.465007
Acceptance Rate: 0.629822
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6351
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -979.404566
Acceptance Rate: 0.627323
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -977.333333
Acceptance Rate: 0.625572
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -975.468364
Acceptance Rate: 0.625377
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -973.688747
Acceptance Rate: 0.625186
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -972.366493
Acceptance Rate: 0.623899
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6812
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -971.283504
Acceptance Rate: 0.623550
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -970.082042
Acceptance Rate: 0.622318
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -968.881930
Acceptance Rate: 0.621118
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -967.794669
Acceptance Rate: 0.620209
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -966.774169
Acceptance Rate: 0.620347
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -965.758264
Acceptance Rate: 0.618543
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -964.825119
Acceptance Rate: 0.619195
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -963.972643
Acceptance Rate: 0.619587
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7505
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -963.176008
Acceptance Rate: 0.619644
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -962.404350
Acceptance Rate: 0.618973
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -961.582519
Acceptance Rate: 0.617920
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -960.778783
Acceptance Rate: 0.618071
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7847
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -960.094183
Acceptance Rate: 0.618141
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -959.401506
Acceptance Rate: 0.618132
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.777355
Acceptance Rate: 0.617208
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8101
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.212471
Acceptance Rate: 0.614729
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.703058
Acceptance Rate: 0.614828
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.213264
Acceptance Rate: 0.614339
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.772635
Acceptance Rate: 0.613497
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8476
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.362295
Acceptance Rate: 0.613103
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.980132
Acceptance Rate: 0.612717
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.630164
Acceptance Rate: 0.612759
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.279250
Acceptance Rate: 0.613218
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.940445
Acceptance Rate: 0.612773
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.604662
Acceptance Rate: 0.613087
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.272533
Acceptance Rate: 0.612718
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9058
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.950524
Acceptance Rate: 0.612290
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.637726
Acceptance Rate: 0.610613
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.360565
Acceptance Rate: 0.609560
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9351
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.109020
Acceptance Rate: 0.609950
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.862060
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.612004
Acceptance Rate: 0.610010
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.371719
Acceptance Rate: 0.609567
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.124839
Acceptance Rate: 0.609819
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.849276
Acceptance Rate: 0.610128
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.379044
Acceptance Rate: 0.610310
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -950.506056
Acceptance Rate: 0.610305
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -949.451562
Acceptance Rate: 0.610180
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -948.361022
Acceptance Rate: 0.610116
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -947.169762
Acceptance Rate: 0.609637
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -945.970702
Acceptance Rate: 0.610524
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -944.676407
Acceptance Rate: 0.610460
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -943.373741
Acceptance Rate: 0.611095
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10473
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -942.186464
Acceptance Rate: 0.610275
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -940.999715
Acceptance Rate: 0.610443
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -939.562123
Acceptance Rate: 0.611121
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -938.463546
Acceptance Rate: 0.611338
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -937.477850
Acceptance Rate: 0.611550
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -936.535238
Acceptance Rate: 0.611425
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -935.599592
Acceptance Rate: 0.612300
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -934.822149
Acceptance Rate: 0.612337
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -934.028706
Acceptance Rate: 0.613250
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.310560
Acceptance Rate: 0.613551
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -932.591513
Acceptance Rate: 0.613903
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -931.845193
Acceptance Rate: 0.613874
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -931.151332
Acceptance Rate: 0.613417
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.430757
Acceptance Rate: 0.614134
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.758368
Acceptance Rate: 0.614156
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.135588
Acceptance Rate: 0.614439
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -928.540877
Acceptance Rate: 0.614928
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -927.937888
Acceptance Rate: 0.615411
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -927.327724
Acceptance Rate: 0.615681
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 11938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.714480
Acceptance Rate: 0.615846
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.154513
Acceptance Rate: 0.616263
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.648793
Acceptance Rate: 0.616929
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.157328
Acceptance Rate: 0.617587
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12225
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.674556
Acceptance Rate: 0.618087
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.194641
Acceptance Rate: 0.618682
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.760119
Acceptance Rate: 0.618921
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.372541
Acceptance Rate: 0.619207
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.014550
Acceptance Rate: 0.619835
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.654622
Acceptance Rate: 0.619965
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.312897
Acceptance Rate: 0.620435
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.972091
Acceptance Rate: 0.621094
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.609535
Acceptance Rate: 0.621070
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 12881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.272296
Acceptance Rate: 0.621046
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 12962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.975004
Acceptance Rate: 0.621166
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.703586
Acceptance Rate: 0.621473
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.449535
Acceptance Rate: 0.622249
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.211478
Acceptance Rate: 0.622360
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.965586
Acceptance Rate: 0.622843
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.726064
Acceptance Rate: 0.623786
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.500282
Acceptance Rate: 0.624396
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.279879
Acceptance Rate: 0.624538
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.060794
Acceptance Rate: 0.624862
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.854831
Acceptance Rate: 0.625274
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.665096
Acceptance Rate: 0.625773
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 13743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.489000
Acceptance Rate: 0.626267
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 13812
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.317058
Acceptance Rate: 0.626530
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 13886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.148396
Acceptance Rate: 0.627015
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 13955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.980143
Acceptance Rate: 0.627540
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.816128
Acceptance Rate: 0.628150
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.660844
Acceptance Rate: 0.628265
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14166
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.513134
Acceptance Rate: 0.629086
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.372879
Acceptance Rate: 0.629591
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.240344
Acceptance Rate: 0.630135
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.111030
Acceptance Rate: 0.630631
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.981867
Acceptance Rate: 0.631078
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14499
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.858779
Acceptance Rate: 0.631825
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 14561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.734595
Acceptance Rate: 0.632306
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 14629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.612964
Acceptance Rate: 0.632782
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 14697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.491173
Acceptance Rate: 0.633383
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 14762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.372578
Acceptance Rate: 0.633637
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 14835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.254737
Acceptance Rate: 0.633633
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 14914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.138314
Acceptance Rate: 0.634221
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 14979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.026677
Acceptance Rate: 0.634636
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.916443
Acceptance Rate: 0.634711
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.810448
Acceptance Rate: 0.634701
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.709779
Acceptance Rate: 0.635649
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.612054
Acceptance Rate: 0.636174
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.517048
Acceptance Rate: 0.636529
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 15396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.424317
Acceptance Rate: 0.636634
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 15472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.334496
Acceptance Rate: 0.637025
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 15541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.244314
Acceptance Rate: 0.637575
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 15606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.157104
Acceptance Rate: 0.638244
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 15668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.074633
Acceptance Rate: 0.638825
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 15732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.995410
Acceptance Rate: 0.639605
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 15791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.916698
Acceptance Rate: 0.640298
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 15852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.841193
Acceptance Rate: 0.641026
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 15912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.770295
Acceptance Rate: 0.641668
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 15974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.702259
Acceptance Rate: 0.642105
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.636634
Acceptance Rate: 0.642578
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 16107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.574638
Acceptance Rate: 0.642809
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 16179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.515747
Acceptance Rate: 0.643419
Replacements: 10471
Total Samples: 16274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.437193
Acceptance Rate: 0.644455
Replacements: 10571
Total Samples: 16403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.338188
Acceptance Rate: 0.645333
Replacements: 10668
Total Samples: 16531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.255148
Acceptance Rate: 0.645974
Replacements: 10718
Total Samples: 16592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.209466
Acceptance Rate: 0.646759
Replacements: 10786
Total Samples: 16677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.150937
Acceptance Rate: 0.647273
Replacements: 10836
Total Samples: 16741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.106477
Acceptance Rate: 0.647899
Replacements: 10886
Total Samples: 16802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.061956
Acceptance Rate: 0.648520
Replacements: 10936
Total Samples: 16863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.016601
Acceptance Rate: 0.649406
Replacements: 10986
Total Samples: 16917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.970411
Acceptance Rate: 0.649979
Replacements: 11036
Total Samples: 16979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.924106
Acceptance Rate: 0.650701
Replacements: 11086
Total Samples: 17037
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.878456
Acceptance Rate: 0.651342
Replacements: 11136
Total Samples: 17097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.832354
Acceptance Rate: 0.651903
Replacements: 11186
Total Samples: 17159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.785408
Acceptance Rate: 0.652270
Replacements: 11236
Total Samples: 17226
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.740006
Acceptance Rate: 0.652370
Replacements: 11286
Total Samples: 17300
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.696045
Acceptance Rate: 0.652807
Replacements: 11336
Total Samples: 17365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.653113
Acceptance Rate: 0.653279
Replacements: 11386
Total Samples: 17429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.611724
Acceptance Rate: 0.653672
Replacements: 11436
Total Samples: 17495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.572060
Acceptance Rate: 0.654324
Replacements: 11486
Total Samples: 17554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.532355
Acceptance Rate: 0.654971
Replacements: 11536
Total Samples: 17613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.494394
Acceptance Rate: 0.655502
Replacements: 11586
Total Samples: 17675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.458062
Acceptance Rate: 0.656067
Replacements: 11636
Total Samples: 17736
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.423034
Acceptance Rate: 0.656517
Replacements: 11686
Total Samples: 17800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.388031
Acceptance Rate: 0.657221
Replacements: 11736
Total Samples: 17857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.355412
Acceptance Rate: 0.657701
Replacements: 11786
Total Samples: 17920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.324780
Acceptance Rate: 0.658067
Replacements: 11836
Total Samples: 17986
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.296111
Acceptance Rate: 0.658650
Replacements: 11886
Total Samples: 18046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.268985
Acceptance Rate: 0.659047
Replacements: 11936
Total Samples: 18111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.243851
Acceptance Rate: 0.659368
Replacements: 11986
Total Samples: 18178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.220925
Acceptance Rate: 0.659579
Replacements: 12036
Total Samples: 18248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.199903
Acceptance Rate: 0.659980
Replacements: 12075
Total Samples: 18296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.184620
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -912.96561610959225 +/- 0.19723254806643203
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 18296
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (3.15 +0.06 +0.6) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.294 +0.008 +1.4) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.317 -0.8 -0.008) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.773 -0.07 +0.006 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval2 | -288.425091 |
| n4_interval2 | -310.612675 |
| b0_interval2 | -323.299191 |
| total | -922.336956 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1852.787227 |
| BIC | 1868.196045 |
| DIC | 1809.232480 |
| PDIC | 1.876567 |
| log(Z) | -396.495929 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.989209
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -170279.642914
Acceptance Rate: 0.977199
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5968.120548
Acceptance Rate: 0.962963
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1272.618945
Acceptance Rate: 0.937082
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1271.148469
Acceptance Rate: 0.914634
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.619667
Acceptance Rate: 0.883978
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.303670
Acceptance Rate: 0.847458
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.084374
Acceptance Rate: 0.810081
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.920286
Acceptance Rate: 0.803043
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.791506
Acceptance Rate: 0.798085
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.686167
Acceptance Rate: 0.789474
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.596704
Acceptance Rate: 0.783476
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.514433
Acceptance Rate: 0.772849
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.434144
Acceptance Rate: 0.761421
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1576
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.343116
Acceptance Rate: 0.753466
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.195124
Acceptance Rate: 0.744133
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1268.854576
Acceptance Rate: 0.743392
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1267.846989
Acceptance Rate: 0.739567
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1265.499959
Acceptance Rate: 0.736414
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1260.146617
Acceptance Rate: 0.733855
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1252.714309
Acceptance Rate: 0.727700
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.321955
Acceptance Rate: 0.729594
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1231.567572
Acceptance Rate: 0.727513
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1215.307193
Acceptance Rate: 0.719424
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1199.122175
Acceptance Rate: 0.719572
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2432
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1181.401442
Acceptance Rate: 0.717990
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1164.264219
Acceptance Rate: 0.713735
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1143.615577
Acceptance Rate: 0.710280
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1121.160319
Acceptance Rate: 0.709349
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1105.340190
Acceptance Rate: 0.702741
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1089.103121
Acceptance Rate: 0.699898
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1075.592138
Acceptance Rate: 0.697674
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1061.493294
Acceptance Rate: 0.692655
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1049.077796
Acceptance Rate: 0.690304
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3187
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1038.012522
Acceptance Rate: 0.689972
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1027.210805
Acceptance Rate: 0.687799
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1018.558219
Acceptance Rate: 0.686131
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1008.870482
Acceptance Rate: 0.684932
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -997.287743
Acceptance Rate: 0.683022
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -987.865103
Acceptance Rate: 0.680643
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -977.723498
Acceptance Rate: 0.678914
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -969.699455
Acceptance Rate: 0.678320
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -962.424929
Acceptance Rate: 0.676365
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.295614
Acceptance Rate: 0.675338
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -946.098834
Acceptance Rate: 0.674350
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -936.586101
Acceptance Rate: 0.675350
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.515944
Acceptance Rate: 0.673918
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.813652
Acceptance Rate: 0.673479
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4306
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.581116
Acceptance Rate: 0.671982
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.682748
Acceptance Rate: 0.668896
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.941100
Acceptance Rate: 0.670035
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -900.656106
Acceptance Rate: 0.669402
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -895.953387
Acceptance Rate: 0.666526
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -891.508749
Acceptance Rate: 0.667223
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -887.516539
Acceptance Rate: 0.666803
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -882.888153
Acceptance Rate: 0.665188
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -878.469991
Acceptance Rate: 0.663498
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -874.781622
Acceptance Rate: 0.662897
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.568944
Acceptance Rate: 0.664484
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -868.497871
Acceptance Rate: 0.663256
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5277
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -864.944373
Acceptance Rate: 0.662932
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -861.517966
Acceptance Rate: 0.660550
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -858.692627
Acceptance Rate: 0.659559
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -856.578531
Acceptance Rate: 0.659772
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -854.329879
Acceptance Rate: 0.658704
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -852.018384
Acceptance Rate: 0.657326
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -849.887752
Acceptance Rate: 0.656436
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -847.916482
Acceptance Rate: 0.656124
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -845.934985
Acceptance Rate: 0.654841
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.068493
Acceptance Rate: 0.653702
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.220470
Acceptance Rate: 0.650289
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -840.673452
Acceptance Rate: 0.649865
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.488040
Acceptance Rate: 0.648742
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.302631
Acceptance Rate: 0.647249
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.075048
Acceptance Rate: 0.645504
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.821673
Acceptance Rate: 0.644484
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.712975
Acceptance Rate: 0.643967
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.744312
Acceptance Rate: 0.642899
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.748798
Acceptance Rate: 0.639827
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.792340
Acceptance Rate: 0.639841
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7033
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.017582
Acceptance Rate: 0.638238
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.369036
Acceptance Rate: 0.637384
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.774791
Acceptance Rate: 0.635941
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.214863
Acceptance Rate: 0.634364
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.731342
Acceptance Rate: 0.634010
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.291167
Acceptance Rate: 0.634249
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.866735
Acceptance Rate: 0.632664
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7666
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.476624
Acceptance Rate: 0.631037
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7765
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.106074
Acceptance Rate: 0.629611
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.739294
Acceptance Rate: 0.628299
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.380605
Acceptance Rate: 0.627485
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.058423
Acceptance Rate: 0.625383
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.752370
Acceptance Rate: 0.623713
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.463569
Acceptance Rate: 0.622829
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8349
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.190367
Acceptance Rate: 0.622480
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.928814
Acceptance Rate: 0.621409
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.686196
Acceptance Rate: 0.621226
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.446707
Acceptance Rate: 0.619835
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.220453
Acceptance Rate: 0.618264
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.004219
Acceptance Rate: 0.617839
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.807972
Acceptance Rate: 0.615368
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.621043
Acceptance Rate: 0.614102
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.442384
Acceptance Rate: 0.612068
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.258895
Acceptance Rate: 0.610736
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.065563
Acceptance Rate: 0.609950
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.803742
Acceptance Rate: 0.608988
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.447442
Acceptance Rate: 0.608361
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.994706
Acceptance Rate: 0.608561
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.479917
Acceptance Rate: 0.608384
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.888607
Acceptance Rate: 0.608334
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.260575
Acceptance Rate: 0.607308
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.627915
Acceptance Rate: 0.607207
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.929879
Acceptance Rate: 0.606150
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.352511
Acceptance Rate: 0.606001
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.770694
Acceptance Rate: 0.606031
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.157197
Acceptance Rate: 0.605827
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10399
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.542104
Acceptance Rate: 0.605512
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.939886
Acceptance Rate: 0.605430
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.327127
Acceptance Rate: 0.606203
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.694120
Acceptance Rate: 0.606853
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.077982
Acceptance Rate: 0.606987
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.475929
Acceptance Rate: 0.606952
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.900162
Acceptance Rate: 0.607361
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.370236
Acceptance Rate: 0.606445
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.873697
Acceptance Rate: 0.606905
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.427491
Acceptance Rate: 0.606277
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.995035
Acceptance Rate: 0.606947
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11286
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.556955
Acceptance Rate: 0.606860
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.120888
Acceptance Rate: 0.606881
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.704221
Acceptance Rate: 0.607375
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.296638
Acceptance Rate: 0.606713
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.908209
Acceptance Rate: 0.607149
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.557017
Acceptance Rate: 0.607322
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.229002
Acceptance Rate: 0.608211
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.892923
Acceptance Rate: 0.608630
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.565930
Acceptance Rate: 0.608790
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.235806
Acceptance Rate: 0.609049
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.933452
Acceptance Rate: 0.609354
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.655619
Acceptance Rate: 0.610006
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.400971
Acceptance Rate: 0.610650
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12282
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.160340
Acceptance Rate: 0.611138
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.921221
Acceptance Rate: 0.611670
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.692004
Acceptance Rate: 0.612196
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.469181
Acceptance Rate: 0.612862
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.249833
Acceptance Rate: 0.613376
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.023613
Acceptance Rate: 0.614270
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12698
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.799287
Acceptance Rate: 0.614433
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.574619
Acceptance Rate: 0.615169
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.339266
Acceptance Rate: 0.615563
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.117520
Acceptance Rate: 0.615764
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 12992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.904596
Acceptance Rate: 0.615867
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.705288
Acceptance Rate: 0.616110
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.516442
Acceptance Rate: 0.615931
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.345307
Acceptance Rate: 0.615893
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.186997
Acceptance Rate: 0.616500
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.036441
Acceptance Rate: 0.617054
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.895221
Acceptance Rate: 0.617375
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.761774
Acceptance Rate: 0.617692
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.633569
Acceptance Rate: 0.617735
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.514084
Acceptance Rate: 0.618002
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13754
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.401584
Acceptance Rate: 0.618266
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.292470
Acceptance Rate: 0.619061
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 13892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.189785
Acceptance Rate: 0.619140
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 13971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.092561
Acceptance Rate: 0.619570
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.001112
Acceptance Rate: 0.619820
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14117
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.915254
Acceptance Rate: 0.620417
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.832616
Acceptance Rate: 0.620965
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.753512
Acceptance Rate: 0.621378
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.677591
Acceptance Rate: 0.622262
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.605765
Acceptance Rate: 0.622794
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.536609
Acceptance Rate: 0.623192
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.470560
Acceptance Rate: 0.623458
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.407482
Acceptance Rate: 0.623764
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.346873
Acceptance Rate: 0.623898
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 14746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.288096
Acceptance Rate: 0.624241
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 14818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.231794
Acceptance Rate: 0.624413
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 14894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.176823
Acceptance Rate: 0.625125
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 14957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.121725
Acceptance Rate: 0.625582
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.064410
Acceptance Rate: 0.626201
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.005195
Acceptance Rate: 0.626732
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.942952
Acceptance Rate: 0.626723
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.876849
Acceptance Rate: 0.627041
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.807512
Acceptance Rate: 0.626786
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.738180
Acceptance Rate: 0.626858
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.669869
Acceptance Rate: 0.627171
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.601005
Acceptance Rate: 0.627602
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 15615
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.532474
Acceptance Rate: 0.628189
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 15680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.465521
Acceptance Rate: 0.628731
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 15746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.401679
Acceptance Rate: 0.629428
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 15808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.338936
Acceptance Rate: 0.629445
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 15887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.279053
Acceptance Rate: 0.629857
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 15956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.220749
Acceptance Rate: 0.630344
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.163443
Acceptance Rate: 0.630905
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.106835
Acceptance Rate: 0.631266
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.052509
Acceptance Rate: 0.631391
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.000734
Acceptance Rate: 0.631476
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16311
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.950120
Acceptance Rate: 0.632061
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 16375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.901020
Acceptance Rate: 0.632373
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 16446
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.852273
Acceptance Rate: 0.632911
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 16511
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.804143
Acceptance Rate: 0.633408
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 16577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.758460
Acceptance Rate: 0.634129
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 16637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.713819
Acceptance Rate: 0.634503
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 16706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.670191
Acceptance Rate: 0.634835
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 16776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.627705
Acceptance Rate: 0.635241
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 16844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.585853
Acceptance Rate: 0.635531
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 16915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.545449
Acceptance Rate: 0.635893
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 16984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.505933
Acceptance Rate: 0.636588
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 17044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.467080
Acceptance Rate: 0.637241
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 17105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.428210
Acceptance Rate: 0.637740
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 17170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.389900
Acceptance Rate: 0.638347
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 17232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.351563
Acceptance Rate: 0.638691
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 17301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.313147
Acceptance Rate: 0.639180
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 17366
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.274962
Acceptance Rate: 0.639628
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 17432
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.238476
Acceptance Rate: 0.640183
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 17495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.202408
Acceptance Rate: 0.640478
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 17565
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.166718
Acceptance Rate: 0.640901
Replacements: 11301
Total Samples: 17633
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.129767
Acceptance Rate: 0.641227
Replacements: 11351
Total Samples: 17702
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.092973
Acceptance Rate: 0.641731
Replacements: 11401
Total Samples: 17766
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.056790
Acceptance Rate: 0.642160
Replacements: 11451
Total Samples: 17832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.020897
Acceptance Rate: 0.642729
Replacements: 11501
Total Samples: 17894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.984948
Acceptance Rate: 0.643295
Replacements: 11551
Total Samples: 17956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.949758
Acceptance Rate: 0.643713
Replacements: 11601
Total Samples: 18022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.915304
Acceptance Rate: 0.644057
Replacements: 11651
Total Samples: 18090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.882214
Acceptance Rate: 0.644612
Replacements: 11701
Total Samples: 18152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.850056
Acceptance Rate: 0.645198
Replacements: 11751
Total Samples: 18213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.818553
Acceptance Rate: 0.645816
Replacements: 11801
Total Samples: 18273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.787762
Acceptance Rate: 0.646148
Replacements: 11851
Total Samples: 18341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.757701
Acceptance Rate: 0.646618
Replacements: 11901
Total Samples: 18405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.728802
Acceptance Rate: 0.647154
Replacements: 11951
Total Samples: 18467
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.700772
Acceptance Rate: 0.647583
Replacements: 12001
Total Samples: 18532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.673246
Acceptance Rate: 0.648217
Replacements: 12051
Total Samples: 18591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.646373
Acceptance Rate: 0.648778
Replacements: 12101
Total Samples: 18652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.619856
Acceptance Rate: 0.649439
Replacements: 12151
Total Samples: 18710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.594090
Acceptance Rate: 0.649784
Replacements: 12201
Total Samples: 18777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.568727
Acceptance Rate: 0.650300
Replacements: 12251
Total Samples: 18839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.542787
Acceptance Rate: 0.650915
Replacements: 12301
Total Samples: 18898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.516099
Acceptance Rate: 0.651493
Replacements: 12351
Total Samples: 18958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.487810
Acceptance Rate: 0.652204
Replacements: 12401
Total Samples: 19014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.458092
Acceptance Rate: 0.652671
Replacements: 12451
Total Samples: 19077
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.427338
Acceptance Rate: 0.653271
Replacements: 12501
Total Samples: 19136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.396790
Acceptance Rate: 0.653732
Replacements: 12551
Total Samples: 19199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.365640
Acceptance Rate: 0.654258
Replacements: 12601
Total Samples: 19260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.334241
Acceptance Rate: 0.654780
Replacements: 12651
Total Samples: 19321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.304026
Acceptance Rate: 0.655062
Replacements: 12701
Total Samples: 19389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.275048
Acceptance Rate: 0.655578
Replacements: 12751
Total Samples: 19450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.247111
Acceptance Rate: 0.656192
Replacements: 12801
Total Samples: 19508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.220784
Acceptance Rate: 0.656903
Replacements: 12851
Total Samples: 19563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.195310
Acceptance Rate: 0.657409
Replacements: 12901
Total Samples: 19624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.170417
Acceptance Rate: 0.657745
Replacements: 12951
Total Samples: 19690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.146812
Acceptance Rate: 0.658179
Replacements: 13001
Total Samples: 19753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.124491
Acceptance Rate: 0.658576
Replacements: 13051
Total Samples: 19817
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.103624
Acceptance Rate: 0.658838
Replacements: 13101
Total Samples: 19885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.084214
Acceptance Rate: 0.659264
Replacements: 13151
Total Samples: 19948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.066141
Acceptance Rate: 0.659331
Replacements: 13182
Total Samples: 19993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.055518
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -797.85833079745692 +/- 0.20333665752528587
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19993
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.761 -0.025 +0.4) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.85 -0.7 -0.21) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.22 -0.8 +0.12) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.858 +0.006 +0.033 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval3 | -242.634283 |
| n4_interval3 | -262.030075 |
| b0_interval3 | -299.536762 |
| total | -804.201120 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1616.515555 |
| BIC | 1631.924372 |
| DIC | 1574.127742 |
| PDIC | 0.263936 |
| log(Z) | -346.505470 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.992780
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.978793
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -165755.880869
Acceptance Rate: 0.957290
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6235.062990
Acceptance Rate: 0.932091
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6233.131434
Acceptance Rate: 0.891795
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.558340
Acceptance Rate: 0.868621
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.225581
Acceptance Rate: 0.862069
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 986
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.997342
Acceptance Rate: 0.853890
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1054
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.827064
Acceptance Rate: 0.838482
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.691415
Acceptance Rate: 0.831255
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.574203
Acceptance Rate: 0.821596
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.457311
Acceptance Rate: 0.813008
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.295785
Acceptance Rate: 0.804196
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6230.712110
Acceptance Rate: 0.794176
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1511
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6228.250066
Acceptance Rate: 0.787650
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6222.737428
Acceptance Rate: 0.778910
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6213.996929
Acceptance Rate: 0.770988
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6197.045144
Acceptance Rate: 0.765864
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6168.993519
Acceptance Rate: 0.761955
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6128.851983
Acceptance Rate: 0.758342
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6078.549460
Acceptance Rate: 0.753525
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6013.230023
Acceptance Rate: 0.748363
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5916.602158
Acceptance Rate: 0.743913
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5804.544933
Acceptance Rate: 0.740741
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5689.202702
Acceptance Rate: 0.735294
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5533.988369
Acceptance Rate: 0.731707
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5416.222557
Acceptance Rate: 0.726060
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5229.458683
Acceptance Rate: 0.723534
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5077.911558
Acceptance Rate: 0.719027
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4962.371211
Acceptance Rate: 0.715564
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4836.380743
Acceptance Rate: 0.714037
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4729.075519
Acceptance Rate: 0.713800
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4614.680604
Acceptance Rate: 0.712156
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4481.249522
Acceptance Rate: 0.707395
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3110
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4370.177030
Acceptance Rate: 0.705993
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3187
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4273.960256
Acceptance Rate: 0.700579
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4177.883895
Acceptance Rate: 0.697951
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4086.432371
Acceptance Rate: 0.696056
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3998.876457
Acceptance Rate: 0.690725
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3910.019145
Acceptance Rate: 0.689655
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3842.270658
Acceptance Rate: 0.686591
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3776.431853
Acceptance Rate: 0.686378
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3710.191599
Acceptance Rate: 0.682814
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3653.685721
Acceptance Rate: 0.681474
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3600.382743
Acceptance Rate: 0.678008
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3545.552039
Acceptance Rate: 0.676329
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3487.914159
Acceptance Rate: 0.674237
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3440.733035
Acceptance Rate: 0.672230
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3385.807927
Acceptance Rate: 0.668934
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3341.054039
Acceptance Rate: 0.665188
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3300.354443
Acceptance Rate: 0.662036
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3253.777306
Acceptance Rate: 0.659574
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3212.878652
Acceptance Rate: 0.656250
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3171.242771
Acceptance Rate: 0.653862
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3131.781839
Acceptance Rate: 0.651042
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.699026
Acceptance Rate: 0.650759
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3072.261406
Acceptance Rate: 0.647969
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3046.048335
Acceptance Rate: 0.644428
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3019.607171
Acceptance Rate: 0.643057
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2998.041139
Acceptance Rate: 0.641261
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5458
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2973.025586
Acceptance Rate: 0.639986
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2954.451236
Acceptance Rate: 0.638524
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2936.692645
Acceptance Rate: 0.635999
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2914.592413
Acceptance Rate: 0.633562
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2896.035623
Acceptance Rate: 0.632698
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2874.565645
Acceptance Rate: 0.631544
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2857.867215
Acceptance Rate: 0.631251
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2843.740052
Acceptance Rate: 0.628525
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2828.038690
Acceptance Rate: 0.628281
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2814.761309
Acceptance Rate: 0.627845
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2798.933827
Acceptance Rate: 0.626547
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2785.897461
Acceptance Rate: 0.625000
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2776.146536
Acceptance Rate: 0.623030
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2765.768411
Acceptance Rate: 0.622130
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2758.135772
Acceptance Rate: 0.621345
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2749.468308
Acceptance Rate: 0.620759
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2739.477045
Acceptance Rate: 0.618161
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7037
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2731.221873
Acceptance Rate: 0.616333
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2723.466446
Acceptance Rate: 0.616002
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2716.041138
Acceptance Rate: 0.614502
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2708.147464
Acceptance Rate: 0.612712
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2701.094010
Acceptance Rate: 0.612028
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2694.218734
Acceptance Rate: 0.611681
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2688.292557
Acceptance Rate: 0.609677
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2682.868584
Acceptance Rate: 0.608117
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2677.613578
Acceptance Rate: 0.606980
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2671.258739
Acceptance Rate: 0.604211
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2666.808418
Acceptance Rate: 0.601744
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2661.646113
Acceptance Rate: 0.599056
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8263
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2656.997321
Acceptance Rate: 0.598946
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2652.871631
Acceptance Rate: 0.598129
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2646.135859
Acceptance Rate: 0.595934
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2638.627822
Acceptance Rate: 0.595445
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2624.278036
Acceptance Rate: 0.595170
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2611.413548
Acceptance Rate: 0.593690
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2598.431058
Acceptance Rate: 0.592576
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2587.562280
Acceptance Rate: 0.592338
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2572.550242
Acceptance Rate: 0.591133
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2558.463290
Acceptance Rate: 0.590530
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2547.374590
Acceptance Rate: 0.589433
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9331
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2536.260754
Acceptance Rate: 0.588547
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2524.967162
Acceptance Rate: 0.587803
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2515.287503
Acceptance Rate: 0.588052
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2506.821114
Acceptance Rate: 0.586601
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2496.322965
Acceptance Rate: 0.586675
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2484.521035
Acceptance Rate: 0.585977
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2475.467977
Acceptance Rate: 0.586231
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2466.282952
Acceptance Rate: 0.585666
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2456.681501
Acceptance Rate: 0.584882
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2449.020545
Acceptance Rate: 0.584738
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2441.453531
Acceptance Rate: 0.583470
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2434.540652
Acceptance Rate: 0.582283
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10476
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2427.682743
Acceptance Rate: 0.581725
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2421.134339
Acceptance Rate: 0.580687
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2415.025925
Acceptance Rate: 0.579885
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2408.114272
Acceptance Rate: 0.579417
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2403.101737
Acceptance Rate: 0.579168
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2397.307855
Acceptance Rate: 0.578714
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2392.007700
Acceptance Rate: 0.577853
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2387.286447
Acceptance Rate: 0.578601
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2382.635860
Acceptance Rate: 0.578673
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2377.430125
Acceptance Rate: 0.577832
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2373.636310
Acceptance Rate: 0.577809
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11509
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2368.237194
Acceptance Rate: 0.577835
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11595
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2363.521845
Acceptance Rate: 0.578505
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2360.266540
Acceptance Rate: 0.578625
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2356.154674
Acceptance Rate: 0.578157
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2352.693420
Acceptance Rate: 0.578132
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11935
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2349.043481
Acceptance Rate: 0.578492
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2346.124066
Acceptance Rate: 0.578847
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2343.303070
Acceptance Rate: 0.579055
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2340.103529
Acceptance Rate: 0.579355
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2336.886957
Acceptance Rate: 0.579182
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2334.368277
Acceptance Rate: 0.579104
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2332.003002
Acceptance Rate: 0.579073
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2329.675988
Acceptance Rate: 0.578401
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2327.245618
Acceptance Rate: 0.578467
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2324.750036
Acceptance Rate: 0.578351
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2322.773334
Acceptance Rate: 0.578776
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2320.848140
Acceptance Rate: 0.578882
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2318.963002
Acceptance Rate: 0.579077
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 13038
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2317.191191
Acceptance Rate: 0.579180
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2315.140013
Acceptance Rate: 0.579194
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2313.207539
Acceptance Rate: 0.579950
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13277
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2311.818804
Acceptance Rate: 0.580698
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2310.465471
Acceptance Rate: 0.580876
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2308.873022
Acceptance Rate: 0.581309
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2307.492175
Acceptance Rate: 0.581738
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2306.113498
Acceptance Rate: 0.582034
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2304.511432
Acceptance Rate: 0.581480
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2302.923327
Acceptance Rate: 0.581479
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2301.612976
Acceptance Rate: 0.581938
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2300.158615
Acceptance Rate: 0.582018
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 14003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2298.661862
Acceptance Rate: 0.581437
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2297.277492
Acceptance Rate: 0.581395
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2296.061967
Acceptance Rate: 0.581599
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2294.680053
Acceptance Rate: 0.581963
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2293.475138
Acceptance Rate: 0.581677
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2292.283953
Acceptance Rate: 0.580996
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.171209
Acceptance Rate: 0.581117
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2290.207300
Acceptance Rate: 0.581119
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2289.288905
Acceptance Rate: 0.580728
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2288.514567
Acceptance Rate: 0.580810
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.724808
Acceptance Rate: 0.581046
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2286.946866
Acceptance Rate: 0.580508
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2286.182894
Acceptance Rate: 0.580552
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 15158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2285.332022
Acceptance Rate: 0.580290
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 15251
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2284.492609
Acceptance Rate: 0.580561
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 15330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2283.819004
Acceptance Rate: 0.580679
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 15413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2283.207217
Acceptance Rate: 0.579934
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.577411
Acceptance Rate: 0.579942
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.950076
Acceptance Rate: 0.579655
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.389891
Acceptance Rate: 0.579371
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.862657
Acceptance Rate: 0.579053
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.370501
Acceptance Rate: 0.579175
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.897475
Acceptance Rate: 0.578574
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 16074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.435788
Acceptance Rate: 0.578518
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 16162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.998081
Acceptance Rate: 0.578960
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 16236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.560682
Acceptance Rate: 0.578796
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 16327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.147971
Acceptance Rate: 0.578492
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 16422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.758274
Acceptance Rate: 0.578648
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.377044
Acceptance Rate: 0.578348
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.016647
Acceptance Rate: 0.578225
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.677846
Acceptance Rate: 0.577725
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.350571
Acceptance Rate: 0.577162
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.057721
Acceptance Rate: 0.577218
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.789174
Acceptance Rate: 0.576833
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 17076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.543403
Acceptance Rate: 0.576755
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 17165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.319980
Acceptance Rate: 0.576745
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 17252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.098991
Acceptance Rate: 0.576435
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.878426
Acceptance Rate: 0.576460
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.674761
Acceptance Rate: 0.576484
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.474810
Acceptance Rate: 0.576181
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 17616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.290862
Acceptance Rate: 0.576076
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 17706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.112344
Acceptance Rate: 0.576393
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 17783
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.944422
Acceptance Rate: 0.576030
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 17881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.781581
Acceptance Rate: 0.575384
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 17988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.628563
Acceptance Rate: 0.574935
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 18089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.487595
Acceptance Rate: 0.574618
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 18186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.351927
Acceptance Rate: 0.574618
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 18273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.221823
Acceptance Rate: 0.574650
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 18359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.098324
Acceptance Rate: 0.573904
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 18470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.980820
Acceptance Rate: 0.573135
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 18582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.871583
Acceptance Rate: 0.572284
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 18697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.769104
Acceptance Rate: 0.571535
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 18809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.671126
Acceptance Rate: 0.571006
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 18914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.580172
Acceptance Rate: 0.570602
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 19015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.493682
Acceptance Rate: 0.570621
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 19102
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.410757
Acceptance Rate: 0.570848
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 19182
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.334404
Acceptance Rate: 0.570539
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 19280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.263745
Acceptance Rate: 0.570352
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 19374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.198130
Acceptance Rate: 0.570079
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 19471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.136834
Acceptance Rate: 0.570128
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 19557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.078235
Acceptance Rate: 0.569946
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 19651
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.022673
Acceptance Rate: 0.569793
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 19744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.969620
Acceptance Rate: 0.570016
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 19824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.919214
Acceptance Rate: 0.570180
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 19906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.871664
Acceptance Rate: 0.570143
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 19995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.825837
Acceptance Rate: 0.570134
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 20083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.782406
Acceptance Rate: 0.569984
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 20176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.741461
Acceptance Rate: 0.569639
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 20276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.702931
Acceptance Rate: 0.569801
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 20358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.666680
Acceptance Rate: 0.569682
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 20450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.632432
Acceptance Rate: 0.569703
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 20537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.600417
Acceptance Rate: 0.569669
Replacements: 11750
Total Samples: 20626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.570541
Acceptance Rate: 0.569443
Replacements: 11800
Total Samples: 20722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.542628
Acceptance Rate: 0.569164
Replacements: 11850
Total Samples: 20820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.516544
Acceptance Rate: 0.568806
Replacements: 11900
Total Samples: 20921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.492080
Acceptance Rate: 0.568155
Replacements: 11950
Total Samples: 21033
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.469164
Acceptance Rate: 0.568278
Replacements: 11981
Total Samples: 21083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.455562
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -2271.1922752191736 +/- 0.19951805547310589
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 21083
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.08 -0.17 +0.09) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.70 -0.6 +0.23) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.88 -0.33 +0.9) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.98 -0.19 +0.05 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval4 | -757.283155 |
| n4_interval4 | -746.486719 |
| b0_interval4 | -778.398176 |
| total | -2282.168049 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4572.449412 |
| BIC | 4587.858230 |
| DIC | 4528.597411 |
| PDIC | 3.366098 |
| log(Z) | -986.366272 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.985663
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -484240.205846
Acceptance Rate: 0.969305
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6308.033406
Acceptance Rate: 0.943396
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3700.707995
Acceptance Rate: 0.922266
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.886146
Acceptance Rate: 0.906892
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.475976
Acceptance Rate: 0.889878
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.210144
Acceptance Rate: 0.850851
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.018268
Acceptance Rate: 0.829493
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.870690
Acceptance Rate: 0.824653
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.751383
Acceptance Rate: 0.810373
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.649736
Acceptance Rate: 0.804598
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.553395
Acceptance Rate: 0.803506
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.433413
Acceptance Rate: 0.798057
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.224220
Acceptance Rate: 0.783801
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3697.569098
Acceptance Rate: 0.770179
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3695.673048
Acceptance Rate: 0.763359
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1703
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3691.616968
Acceptance Rate: 0.756303
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3679.934491
Acceptance Rate: 0.754717
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1855
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3665.874622
Acceptance Rate: 0.747038
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3644.883064
Acceptance Rate: 0.741473
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3618.451287
Acceptance Rate: 0.739504
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2096
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3577.593544
Acceptance Rate: 0.737327
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3527.783316
Acceptance Rate: 0.736936
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3477.821481
Acceptance Rate: 0.728363
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3402.628277
Acceptance Rate: 0.726141
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3314.715942
Acceptance Rate: 0.723764
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3233.303541
Acceptance Rate: 0.722374
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3164.703961
Acceptance Rate: 0.721063
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3109.032298
Acceptance Rate: 0.719292
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3015.989754
Acceptance Rate: 0.718133
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2955.893099
Acceptance Rate: 0.711806
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2879.412312
Acceptance Rate: 0.708024
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2828.500846
Acceptance Rate: 0.705612
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2765.655453
Acceptance Rate: 0.703100
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2728.087024
Acceptance Rate: 0.701590
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2675.963862
Acceptance Rate: 0.698663
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2633.612642
Acceptance Rate: 0.697743
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2578.954931
Acceptance Rate: 0.697067
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2527.194029
Acceptance Rate: 0.693265
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2482.209485
Acceptance Rate: 0.692137
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2444.091629
Acceptance Rate: 0.689748
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2400.923363
Acceptance Rate: 0.689290
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2365.424305
Acceptance Rate: 0.684047
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2323.498586
Acceptance Rate: 0.682163
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2285.788699
Acceptance Rate: 0.679348
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2247.262757
Acceptance Rate: 0.675024
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2218.934968
Acceptance Rate: 0.674237
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2187.528512
Acceptance Rate: 0.670986
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2157.192209
Acceptance Rate: 0.669846
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2138.165138
Acceptance Rate: 0.669045
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2111.629525
Acceptance Rate: 0.665939
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2091.415381
Acceptance Rate: 0.662393
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.880056
Acceptance Rate: 0.657757
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.410386
Acceptance Rate: 0.655872
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2040.873781
Acceptance Rate: 0.653135
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2025.720770
Acceptance Rate: 0.652561
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2012.850309
Acceptance Rate: 0.650680
Replacements: 3351
Total Samples: 5150
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2002.128670
Acceptance Rate: 0.642166
Replacements: 3451
Total Samples: 5374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1621.853390
Acceptance Rate: 0.633881
Replacements: 3551
Total Samples: 5602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.722539
Acceptance Rate: 0.630242
Replacements: 3622
Total Samples: 5747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.630278
Replacements: 3672
Total Samples: 5826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.629780
Replacements: 3722
Total Samples: 5910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.628248
Replacements: 3772
Total Samples: 6004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.627277
Replacements: 3822
Total Samples: 6093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.625727
Replacements: 3872
Total Samples: 6188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.623133
Replacements: 3922
Total Samples: 6294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.622083
Replacements: 3972
Total Samples: 6385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.619627
Replacements: 4022
Total Samples: 6491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.617063
Replacements: 4072
Total Samples: 6599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.614582
Replacements: 4122
Total Samples: 6707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.613981
Replacements: 4172
Total Samples: 6795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.613039
Replacements: 4222
Total Samples: 6887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.613705
Replacements: 4272
Total Samples: 6961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.613050
Replacements: 4322
Total Samples: 7050
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.611554
Replacements: 4372
Total Samples: 7149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.610942
Replacements: 4422
Total Samples: 7238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.610512
Replacements: 4472
Total Samples: 7325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.608942
Replacements: 4522
Total Samples: 7426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.608060
Replacements: 4572
Total Samples: 7519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.607119
Replacements: 4622
Total Samples: 7613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.605888
Replacements: 4672
Total Samples: 7711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.605695
Replacements: 4722
Total Samples: 7796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.603974
Replacements: 4772
Total Samples: 7901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.602599
Replacements: 4822
Total Samples: 8002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.600888
Replacements: 4872
Total Samples: 8108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.599951
Replacements: 4922
Total Samples: 8204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.599325
Replacements: 4972
Total Samples: 8296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.598641
Replacements: 5022
Total Samples: 8389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597831
Replacements: 5072
Total Samples: 8484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596067
Replacements: 5122
Total Samples: 8593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595715
Replacements: 5172
Total Samples: 8682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595235
Replacements: 5222
Total Samples: 8773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.593493
Replacements: 5272
Total Samples: 8883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.593973
Replacements: 5322
Total Samples: 8960
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.593132
Replacements: 5372
Total Samples: 9057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.593282
Replacements: 5422
Total Samples: 9139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.593557
Replacements: 5472
Total Samples: 9219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.593508
Replacements: 5522
Total Samples: 9304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.594093
Replacements: 5572
Total Samples: 9379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.594229
Replacements: 5622
Total Samples: 9461
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.594736
Replacements: 5672
Total Samples: 9537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595174
Replacements: 5722
Total Samples: 9614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595604
Replacements: 5772
Total Samples: 9691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595784
Replacements: 5822
Total Samples: 9772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595719
Replacements: 5872
Total Samples: 9857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595535
Replacements: 5922
Total Samples: 9944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595889
Replacements: 5972
Total Samples: 10022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595412
Replacements: 6022
Total Samples: 10114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595411
Replacements: 6072
Total Samples: 10198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595236
Replacements: 6122
Total Samples: 10285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595925
Replacements: 6172
Total Samples: 10357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595407
Replacements: 6222
Total Samples: 10450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595575
Replacements: 6272
Total Samples: 10531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595909
Replacements: 6322
Total Samples: 10609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596350
Replacements: 6372
Total Samples: 10685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596840
Replacements: 6422
Total Samples: 10760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596718
Replacements: 6472
Total Samples: 10846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597417
Replacements: 6522
Total Samples: 10917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597400
Replacements: 6572
Total Samples: 11001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597438
Replacements: 6622
Total Samples: 11084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597903
Replacements: 6672
Total Samples: 11159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597670
Replacements: 6722
Total Samples: 11247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597125
Replacements: 6772
Total Samples: 11341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596485
Replacements: 6822
Total Samples: 11437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596269
Replacements: 6872
Total Samples: 11525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596570
Replacements: 6922
Total Samples: 11603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596713
Replacements: 6972
Total Samples: 11684
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596906
Replacements: 7022
Total Samples: 11764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597045
Replacements: 7072
Total Samples: 11845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597784
Replacements: 7122
Total Samples: 11914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.598016
Replacements: 7172
Total Samples: 11993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.598690
Replacements: 7222
Total Samples: 12063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597977
Replacements: 7272
Total Samples: 12161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.598349
Replacements: 7322
Total Samples: 12237
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.598522
Replacements: 7372
Total Samples: 12317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.598162
Replacements: 7422
Total Samples: 12408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597664
Replacements: 7472
Total Samples: 12502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597506
Replacements: 7522
Total Samples: 12589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597349
Replacements: 7572
Total Samples: 12676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597335
Replacements: 7622
Total Samples: 12760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597601
Replacements: 7672
Total Samples: 12838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597447
Replacements: 7722
Total Samples: 12925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597662
Replacements: 7772
Total Samples: 13004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597875
Replacements: 7822
Total Samples: 13083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597813
Replacements: 7872
Total Samples: 13168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597751
Replacements: 7922
Total Samples: 13253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.598229
Replacements: 7972
Total Samples: 13326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.597497
Replacements: 8022
Total Samples: 13426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596865
Replacements: 8072
Total Samples: 13524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596198
Replacements: 8122
Total Samples: 13623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596366
Replacements: 8172
Total Samples: 13703
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595970
Replacements: 8222
Total Samples: 13796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.596051
Replacements: 8272
Total Samples: 13878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.595620
Replacements: 8322
Total Samples: 13972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095805
Acceptance Rate: 0.594983
Replacements: 8372
Total Samples: 14071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095804
Acceptance Rate: 0.594648
Replacements: 8422
Total Samples: 14163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095803
Acceptance Rate: 0.593693
Replacements: 8472
Total Samples: 14270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095800
Acceptance Rate: 0.593454
Replacements: 8522
Total Samples: 14360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095794
Acceptance Rate: 0.593547
Replacements: 8572
Total Samples: 14442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095785
Acceptance Rate: 0.593597
Replacements: 8622
Total Samples: 14525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095770
Acceptance Rate: 0.593647
Replacements: 8672
Total Samples: 14608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095745
Acceptance Rate: 0.592970
Replacements: 8722
Total Samples: 14709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095708
Acceptance Rate: 0.592983
Replacements: 8772
Total Samples: 14793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095647
Acceptance Rate: 0.593116
Replacements: 8822
Total Samples: 14874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095542
Acceptance Rate: 0.593246
Replacements: 8872
Total Samples: 14955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095370
Acceptance Rate: 0.593258
Replacements: 8922
Total Samples: 15039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.095086
Acceptance Rate: 0.593033
Replacements: 8972
Total Samples: 15129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.094636
Acceptance Rate: 0.593084
Replacements: 9022
Total Samples: 15212
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.093940
Acceptance Rate: 0.592631
Replacements: 9072
Total Samples: 15308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.092954
Acceptance Rate: 0.592222
Replacements: 9122
Total Samples: 15403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.091589
Acceptance Rate: 0.591056
Replacements: 9172
Total Samples: 15518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.089632
Acceptance Rate: 0.590737
Replacements: 9222
Total Samples: 15611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.087164
Acceptance Rate: 0.590197
Replacements: 9272
Total Samples: 15710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.083899
Acceptance Rate: 0.590598
Replacements: 9322
Total Samples: 15784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.079719
Acceptance Rate: 0.590809
Replacements: 9372
Total Samples: 15863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.074438
Acceptance Rate: 0.590906
Replacements: 9422
Total Samples: 15945
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.067668
Acceptance Rate: 0.591003
Replacements: 9472
Total Samples: 16027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.058967
Acceptance Rate: 0.591172
Replacements: 9522
Total Samples: 16107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.048124
Acceptance Rate: 0.590718
Replacements: 9572
Total Samples: 16204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.034382
Acceptance Rate: 0.590524
Replacements: 9622
Total Samples: 16294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.017144
Acceptance Rate: 0.589972
Replacements: 9672
Total Samples: 16394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.997558
Acceptance Rate: 0.589319
Replacements: 9722
Total Samples: 16497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.974757
Acceptance Rate: 0.589456
Replacements: 9772
Total Samples: 16578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.947389
Acceptance Rate: 0.589414
Replacements: 9822
Total Samples: 16664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.916813
Acceptance Rate: 0.589549
Replacements: 9872
Total Samples: 16745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.883898
Acceptance Rate: 0.589472
Replacements: 9922
Total Samples: 16832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.849326
Acceptance Rate: 0.588770
Replacements: 9972
Total Samples: 16937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.813118
Acceptance Rate: 0.588733
Replacements: 10022
Total Samples: 17023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.775425
Acceptance Rate: 0.588180
Replacements: 10072
Total Samples: 17124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.733247
Acceptance Rate: 0.587941
Replacements: 10122
Total Samples: 17216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.688187
Acceptance Rate: 0.587298
Replacements: 10172
Total Samples: 17320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.642474
Acceptance Rate: 0.586595
Replacements: 10222
Total Samples: 17426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.596009
Acceptance Rate: 0.586234
Replacements: 10272
Total Samples: 17522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.549168
Acceptance Rate: 0.586444
Replacements: 10322
Total Samples: 17601
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.503844
Acceptance Rate: 0.586154
Replacements: 10372
Total Samples: 17695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.459317
Acceptance Rate: 0.586032
Replacements: 10422
Total Samples: 17784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.415437
Acceptance Rate: 0.584995
Replacements: 10472
Total Samples: 17901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.373245
Acceptance Rate: 0.584491
Replacements: 10522
Total Samples: 18002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.332475
Acceptance Rate: 0.584056
Replacements: 10572
Total Samples: 18101
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.293268
Acceptance Rate: 0.584397
Replacements: 10622
Total Samples: 18176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.256186
Acceptance Rate: 0.584575
Replacements: 10672
Total Samples: 18256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.221144
Acceptance Rate: 0.584815
Replacements: 10722
Total Samples: 18334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.187431
Acceptance Rate: 0.585403
Replacements: 10772
Total Samples: 18401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.155298
Acceptance Rate: 0.585923
Replacements: 10822
Total Samples: 18470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.124187
Acceptance Rate: 0.586250
Replacements: 10872
Total Samples: 18545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.094635
Acceptance Rate: 0.586227
Replacements: 10922
Total Samples: 18631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.066620
Acceptance Rate: 0.586268
Replacements: 10972
Total Samples: 18715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.039775
Acceptance Rate: 0.585996
Replacements: 11022
Total Samples: 18809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.014482
Acceptance Rate: 0.585789
Replacements: 11072
Total Samples: 18901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.990797
Acceptance Rate: 0.585307
Replacements: 11122
Total Samples: 19002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.968470
Acceptance Rate: 0.585565
Replacements: 11172
Total Samples: 19079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.947140
Acceptance Rate: 0.585119
Replacements: 11222
Total Samples: 19179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.926876
Acceptance Rate: 0.585254
Replacements: 11272
Total Samples: 19260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.907730
Acceptance Rate: 0.585177
Replacements: 11322
Total Samples: 19348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.889823
Acceptance Rate: 0.585190
Replacements: 11372
Total Samples: 19433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.873202
Acceptance Rate: 0.585623
Replacements: 11422
Total Samples: 19504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.857655
Acceptance Rate: 0.585509
Replacements: 11435
Total Samples: 19530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1573.853782
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1573.5869683912308 +/- 0.19222058991957341
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19530
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.80 -0.15 +0.21) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.2 -0.4 +0.6) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.2 -0.5 +0.6) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.11 -0.5 +0.09 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval5 | -523.321920 |
| n4_interval5 | -527.879848 |
| b0_interval5 | -536.802083 |
| total | -1588.003851 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3184.121017 |
| BIC | 3199.529834 |
| DIC | 3137.486139 |
| PDIC | 3.515035 |
| log(Z) | -683.400137 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.992780
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -339447.836408
Acceptance Rate: 0.972447
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -11009.358944
Acceptance Rate: 0.958702
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3558.726560
Acceptance Rate: 0.935829
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.888255
Acceptance Rate: 0.902527
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.473784
Acceptance Rate: 0.874317
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.205977
Acceptance Rate: 0.862069
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 986
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.013000
Acceptance Rate: 0.849057
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.864803
Acceptance Rate: 0.834065
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.744247
Acceptance Rate: 0.819001
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.640121
Acceptance Rate: 0.803366
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.537211
Acceptance Rate: 0.798258
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.409317
Acceptance Rate: 0.792011
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.181069
Acceptance Rate: 0.783290
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3555.048501
Acceptance Rate: 0.775916
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.478657
Acceptance Rate: 0.765156
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3542.903895
Acceptance Rate: 0.760135
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3530.028002
Acceptance Rate: 0.755124
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1854
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3509.253524
Acceptance Rate: 0.751295
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3470.509129
Acceptance Rate: 0.743310
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3431.368445
Acceptance Rate: 0.733554
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3382.779504
Acceptance Rate: 0.729262
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3333.431842
Acceptance Rate: 0.724320
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3270.655623
Acceptance Rate: 0.721868
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3198.925158
Acceptance Rate: 0.721055
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.059447
Acceptance Rate: 0.719424
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3030.141928
Acceptance Rate: 0.716776
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2960.349403
Acceptance Rate: 0.708427
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2906.958423
Acceptance Rate: 0.704480
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2859.223303
Acceptance Rate: 0.702988
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2799.960317
Acceptance Rate: 0.697516
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2939
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2758.763524
Acceptance Rate: 0.694674
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2706.415189
Acceptance Rate: 0.691096
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2653.757045
Acceptance Rate: 0.685999
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2605.456568
Acceptance Rate: 0.680169
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2556.703782
Acceptance Rate: 0.679468
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2523.750273
Acceptance Rate: 0.673352
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2488.097046
Acceptance Rate: 0.671329
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3575
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2453.291787
Acceptance Rate: 0.667939
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2419.338055
Acceptance Rate: 0.664540
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2385.398375
Acceptance Rate: 0.660622
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2354.091941
Acceptance Rate: 0.657895
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3952
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2329.145759
Acceptance Rate: 0.656753
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 4035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2304.394239
Acceptance Rate: 0.653911
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.467951
Acceptance Rate: 0.652587
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2253.013987
Acceptance Rate: 0.648148
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2231.835484
Acceptance Rate: 0.646405
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2211.991565
Acceptance Rate: 0.644588
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4499
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2193.175384
Acceptance Rate: 0.642842
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2173.686605
Acceptance Rate: 0.642123
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2150.947999
Acceptance Rate: 0.639011
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2137.054192
Acceptance Rate: 0.634986
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2122.827261
Acceptance Rate: 0.632784
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.151773
Acceptance Rate: 0.630666
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 5074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2090.541587
Acceptance Rate: 0.628627
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.282170
Acceptance Rate: 0.625474
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.882873
Acceptance Rate: 0.622792
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.936552
Acceptance Rate: 0.620778
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2046.892653
Acceptance Rate: 0.618280
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2038.017232
Acceptance Rate: 0.616414
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2030.192185
Acceptance Rate: 0.614187
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2023.206155
Acceptance Rate: 0.612662
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2013.888558
Acceptance Rate: 0.610981
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2005.699348
Acceptance Rate: 0.606557
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 6100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1999.581792
Acceptance Rate: 0.603185
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1994.799987
Acceptance Rate: 0.597954
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1987.975719
Acceptance Rate: 0.591307
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6511
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1982.179564
Acceptance Rate: 0.584883
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1977.705369
Acceptance Rate: 0.579349
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.789225
Acceptance Rate: 0.570207
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 7015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1968.698327
Acceptance Rate: 0.562188
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 7204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.942063
Acceptance Rate: 0.547323
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 7491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.109390
Acceptance Rate: 0.543906
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 7630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.133620
Acceptance Rate: 0.539915
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 7779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1952.881496
Acceptance Rate: 0.537975
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 7900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.073067
Acceptance Rate: 0.534294
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 8048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.305315
Acceptance Rate: 0.529648
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 8213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.202620
Acceptance Rate: 0.524621
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 8387
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.598475
Acceptance Rate: 0.519072
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 8573
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1938.344960
Acceptance Rate: 0.516707
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 8709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1936.252305
Acceptance Rate: 0.515289
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 8830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1933.933126
Acceptance Rate: 0.513622
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 8956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1931.505701
Acceptance Rate: 0.510708
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 9105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1929.540130
Acceptance Rate: 0.509044
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 9233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1927.980543
Acceptance Rate: 0.505857
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 9390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1926.290327
Acceptance Rate: 0.502302
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 9556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1924.921607
Acceptance Rate: 0.498407
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 9731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1923.576303
Acceptance Rate: 0.495350
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 9892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1922.337987
Acceptance Rate: 0.493421
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 10032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1921.168134
Acceptance Rate: 0.492514
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 10152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1920.068728
Acceptance Rate: 0.492155
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 10261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1919.078342
Acceptance Rate: 0.491756
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 10371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1918.113128
Acceptance Rate: 0.492540
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 10456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1917.250010
Acceptance Rate: 0.492424
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 10560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1916.425514
Acceptance Rate: 0.492218
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 10666
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1915.487362
Acceptance Rate: 0.491742
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 10778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1914.502748
Acceptance Rate: 0.491638
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 10882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1913.524668
Acceptance Rate: 0.491311
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 10991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1912.532861
Acceptance Rate: 0.491079
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 11098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1911.643362
Acceptance Rate: 0.490590
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 11211
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1910.691426
Acceptance Rate: 0.491107
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 11301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1909.693303
Acceptance Rate: 0.491142
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 11402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1908.438044
Acceptance Rate: 0.491048
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 11506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1906.072157
Acceptance Rate: 0.491083
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 11607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1903.620761
Acceptance Rate: 0.491789
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 11692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1901.211289
Acceptance Rate: 0.491859
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 11792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1898.637196
Acceptance Rate: 0.492590
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 11876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1895.576138
Acceptance Rate: 0.492817
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 11972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.241978
Acceptance Rate: 0.493244
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 12063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.816602
Acceptance Rate: 0.494275
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 12139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.317659
Acceptance Rate: 0.494685
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 12230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.945793
Acceptance Rate: 0.494488
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 12336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.757393
Acceptance Rate: 0.494731
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 12431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.757976
Acceptance Rate: 0.495683
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 12508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.602062
Acceptance Rate: 0.496150
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 12597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1875.953074
Acceptance Rate: 0.496493
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 12689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1873.791775
Acceptance Rate: 0.496870
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 12780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1871.452730
Acceptance Rate: 0.497280
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 12870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1868.910687
Acceptance Rate: 0.497417
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 12967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1866.685516
Acceptance Rate: 0.497589
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 13063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1864.620212
Acceptance Rate: 0.497834
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 13157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1862.153164
Acceptance Rate: 0.498567
Replacements: 6611
Total Samples: 13260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1859.342174
Acceptance Rate: 0.500112
Replacements: 6711
Total Samples: 13419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1848.324430
Acceptance Rate: 0.502027
Replacements: 6811
Total Samples: 13567
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1839.562033
Acceptance Rate: 0.503680
Replacements: 6911
Total Samples: 13721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1832.347771
Acceptance Rate: 0.505552
Replacements: 7011
Total Samples: 13868
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1827.040353
Acceptance Rate: 0.506806
Replacements: 7111
Total Samples: 14031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1823.388155
Acceptance Rate: 0.507745
Replacements: 7211
Total Samples: 14202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1821.689651
Acceptance Rate: 0.509264
Replacements: 7311
Total Samples: 14356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1820.728042
Acceptance Rate: 0.511068
Replacements: 7411
Total Samples: 14501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1820.065213
Acceptance Rate: 0.512333
Replacements: 7498
Total Samples: 14635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.796475
Acceptance Rate: 0.513085
Replacements: 7548
Total Samples: 14711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.796475
Acceptance Rate: 0.513621
Replacements: 7598
Total Samples: 14793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.796475
Acceptance Rate: 0.513978
Replacements: 7648
Total Samples: 14880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.796475
Acceptance Rate: 0.514641
Replacements: 7698
Total Samples: 14958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.796473
Acceptance Rate: 0.515502
Replacements: 7748
Total Samples: 15030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.796445
Acceptance Rate: 0.516355
Replacements: 7798
Total Samples: 15102
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.796128
Acceptance Rate: 0.516962
Replacements: 7848
Total Samples: 15181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.794495
Acceptance Rate: 0.517596
Replacements: 7898
Total Samples: 15259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.780975
Acceptance Rate: 0.518190
Replacements: 7948
Total Samples: 15338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.695444
Acceptance Rate: 0.518744
Replacements: 7998
Total Samples: 15418
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.201807
Acceptance Rate: 0.519159
Replacements: 8048
Total Samples: 15502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1818.032944
Acceptance Rate: 0.520069
Replacements: 8098
Total Samples: 15571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1816.611225
Acceptance Rate: 0.520639
Replacements: 8148
Total Samples: 15650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1815.182780
Acceptance Rate: 0.521568
Replacements: 8198
Total Samples: 15718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1813.760291
Acceptance Rate: 0.522554
Replacements: 8248
Total Samples: 15784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1812.420126
Acceptance Rate: 0.523401
Replacements: 8298
Total Samples: 15854
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1810.948059
Acceptance Rate: 0.524372
Replacements: 8348
Total Samples: 15920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1809.290196
Acceptance Rate: 0.525039
Replacements: 8398
Total Samples: 15995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1807.819566
Acceptance Rate: 0.525995
Replacements: 8448
Total Samples: 16061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1806.562065
Acceptance Rate: 0.526648
Replacements: 8498
Total Samples: 16136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1805.324268
Acceptance Rate: 0.527622
Replacements: 8548
Total Samples: 16201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1804.174355
Acceptance Rate: 0.528198
Replacements: 8598
Total Samples: 16278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1802.939635
Acceptance Rate: 0.528962
Replacements: 8648
Total Samples: 16349
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1801.934788
Acceptance Rate: 0.529752
Replacements: 8698
Total Samples: 16419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1800.766596
Acceptance Rate: 0.530053
Replacements: 8748
Total Samples: 16504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1799.600346
Acceptance Rate: 0.530607
Replacements: 8798
Total Samples: 16581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1798.607016
Acceptance Rate: 0.531092
Replacements: 8848
Total Samples: 16660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1797.802963
Acceptance Rate: 0.531859
Replacements: 8898
Total Samples: 16730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1797.046147
Acceptance Rate: 0.532524
Replacements: 8948
Total Samples: 16803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1796.334027
Acceptance Rate: 0.533341
Replacements: 8998
Total Samples: 16871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1795.599625
Acceptance Rate: 0.534152
Replacements: 9048
Total Samples: 16939
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1794.948699
Acceptance Rate: 0.534862
Replacements: 9098
Total Samples: 17010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1794.224873
Acceptance Rate: 0.535629
Replacements: 9148
Total Samples: 17079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1793.510338
Acceptance Rate: 0.536233
Replacements: 9198
Total Samples: 17153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1792.925511
Acceptance Rate: 0.536832
Replacements: 9248
Total Samples: 17227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1792.363356
Acceptance Rate: 0.537550
Replacements: 9298
Total Samples: 17297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1791.875224
Acceptance Rate: 0.538324
Replacements: 9348
Total Samples: 17365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1791.415035
Acceptance Rate: 0.538845
Replacements: 9398
Total Samples: 17441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1790.924825
Acceptance Rate: 0.539516
Replacements: 9448
Total Samples: 17512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1790.425095
Acceptance Rate: 0.540242
Replacements: 9498
Total Samples: 17581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1789.994809
Acceptance Rate: 0.540810
Replacements: 9548
Total Samples: 17655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1789.582247
Acceptance Rate: 0.541617
Replacements: 9598
Total Samples: 17721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1789.195834
Acceptance Rate: 0.541870
Replacements: 9648
Total Samples: 17805
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1788.839021
Acceptance Rate: 0.542424
Replacements: 9698
Total Samples: 17879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1788.484151
Acceptance Rate: 0.543246
Replacements: 9748
Total Samples: 17944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1788.139191
Acceptance Rate: 0.543971
Replacements: 9798
Total Samples: 18012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1787.788421
Acceptance Rate: 0.544720
Replacements: 9848
Total Samples: 18079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1787.452762
Acceptance Rate: 0.545164
Replacements: 9898
Total Samples: 18156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1787.147138
Acceptance Rate: 0.545814
Replacements: 9948
Total Samples: 18226
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1786.867643
Acceptance Rate: 0.546190
Replacements: 9998
Total Samples: 18305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1786.603459
Acceptance Rate: 0.546443
Replacements: 10048
Total Samples: 18388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1786.331761
Acceptance Rate: 0.546932
Replacements: 10098
Total Samples: 18463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1786.063193
Acceptance Rate: 0.547416
Replacements: 10148
Total Samples: 18538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1785.806551
Acceptance Rate: 0.548162
Replacements: 10198
Total Samples: 18604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1785.567773
Acceptance Rate: 0.548814
Replacements: 10248
Total Samples: 18673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1785.342008
Acceptance Rate: 0.549461
Replacements: 10298
Total Samples: 18742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1785.105245
Acceptance Rate: 0.550250
Replacements: 10348
Total Samples: 18806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1784.870055
Acceptance Rate: 0.550742
Replacements: 10398
Total Samples: 18880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1784.654187
Acceptance Rate: 0.551462
Replacements: 10448
Total Samples: 18946
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1784.453185
Acceptance Rate: 0.551737
Replacements: 10531
Total Samples: 19087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1784.179764
Acceptance Rate: 0.552388
Replacements: 10581
Total Samples: 19155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.978307
Acceptance Rate: 0.552949
Replacements: 10631
Total Samples: 19226
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.773180
Acceptance Rate: 0.553305
Replacements: 10681
Total Samples: 19304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.570132
Acceptance Rate: 0.553801
Replacements: 10731
Total Samples: 19377
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.379936
Acceptance Rate: 0.554350
Replacements: 10781
Total Samples: 19448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.205199
Acceptance Rate: 0.554924
Replacements: 10831
Total Samples: 19518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.039908
Acceptance Rate: 0.555578
Replacements: 10881
Total Samples: 19585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.883296
Acceptance Rate: 0.555889
Replacements: 10931
Total Samples: 19664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.731245
Acceptance Rate: 0.556282
Replacements: 10981
Total Samples: 19740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.584496
Acceptance Rate: 0.556896
Replacements: 11031
Total Samples: 19808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.444175
Acceptance Rate: 0.557787
Replacements: 11081
Total Samples: 19866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.307110
Acceptance Rate: 0.558337
Replacements: 11131
Total Samples: 19936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.178824
Acceptance Rate: 0.558687
Replacements: 11181
Total Samples: 20013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.058686
Acceptance Rate: 0.559285
Replacements: 11231
Total Samples: 20081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.943712
Acceptance Rate: 0.560008
Replacements: 11292
Total Samples: 20164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.810281
Acceptance Rate: 0.561182
Replacements: 11392
Total Samples: 20300
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.608097
Acceptance Rate: 0.562057
Replacements: 11498
Total Samples: 20457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.431960
Acceptance Rate: 0.563347
Replacements: 11641
Total Samples: 20664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.215437
Acceptance Rate: 0.564017
Replacements: 11709
Total Samples: 20760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.090955
Acceptance Rate: 0.564522
Replacements: 11759
Total Samples: 20830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.976249
Acceptance Rate: 0.564538
Replacements: 11809
Total Samples: 20918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.859348
Acceptance Rate: 0.564956
Replacements: 11859
Total Samples: 20991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.742120
Acceptance Rate: 0.565345
Replacements: 11909
Total Samples: 21065
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.619700
Acceptance Rate: 0.565999
Replacements: 11959
Total Samples: 21129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.502301
Acceptance Rate: 0.566489
Replacements: 12009
Total Samples: 21199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.386199
Acceptance Rate: 0.566602
Replacements: 12059
Total Samples: 21283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.274105
Acceptance Rate: 0.567299
Replacements: 12109
Total Samples: 21345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.169413
Acceptance Rate: 0.567674
Replacements: 12159
Total Samples: 21419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.071866
Acceptance Rate: 0.568389
Replacements: 12209
Total Samples: 21480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.981283
Acceptance Rate: 0.568890
Replacements: 12259
Total Samples: 21549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.897604
Acceptance Rate: 0.569281
Replacements: 12309
Total Samples: 21622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.821551
Acceptance Rate: 0.569697
Replacements: 12359
Total Samples: 21694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.752345
Acceptance Rate: 0.570031
Replacements: 12409
Total Samples: 21769
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.689170
Acceptance Rate: 0.570493
Replacements: 12459
Total Samples: 21839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.633062
Acceptance Rate: 0.571057
Replacements: 12509
Total Samples: 21905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.583384
Acceptance Rate: 0.571513
Replacements: 12559
Total Samples: 21975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.540031
Acceptance Rate: 0.572226
Replacements: 12609
Total Samples: 22035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.502083
Acceptance Rate: 0.572702
Replacements: 12659
Total Samples: 22104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.468090
Acceptance Rate: 0.573288
Replacements: 12727
Total Samples: 22200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.428300
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1779.1944739288208 +/- 0.21109903005283950
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 22200
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.44 -0.06 +0.14) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.93 -0.4 +0.19) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (2.51 -0.30 +0.06) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.6716 +0.0017 +0.011 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval6 | -585.880722 |
| n4_interval6 | -575.315825 |
| b0_interval6 | -621.016949 |
| total | -1782.213496 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3572.540306 |
| BIC | 3587.949123 |
| DIC | 3533.338375 |
| PDIC | 1.558016 |
| log(Z) | -772.694342 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 1.000000
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.988468
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -108602.883704
Acceptance Rate: 0.978916
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6000.822488
Acceptance Rate: 0.944669
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3822.689552
Acceptance Rate: 0.922509
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3822.024561
Acceptance Rate: 0.881057
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.660244
Acceptance Rate: 0.841584
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.416233
Acceptance Rate: 0.834879
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.237075
Acceptance Rate: 0.828248
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.097955
Acceptance Rate: 0.823045
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.984815
Acceptance Rate: 0.815217
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.885841
Acceptance Rate: 0.809419
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.787011
Acceptance Rate: 0.803073
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1432
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.658670
Acceptance Rate: 0.794702
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.404430
Acceptance Rate: 0.789141
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3819.606424
Acceptance Rate: 0.786449
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1653
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3816.669325
Acceptance Rate: 0.781702
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3810.751762
Acceptance Rate: 0.770925
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3800.311674
Acceptance Rate: 0.767196
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3786.534370
Acceptance Rate: 0.765697
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3770.360662
Acceptance Rate: 0.762420
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2033
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3739.465535
Acceptance Rate: 0.760095
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3701.571794
Acceptance Rate: 0.757576
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3640.104532
Acceptance Rate: 0.757576
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3586.469830
Acceptance Rate: 0.751718
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2328
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3508.228012
Acceptance Rate: 0.749064
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3434.900987
Acceptance Rate: 0.745667
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3364.102374
Acceptance Rate: 0.743931
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3286.463242
Acceptance Rate: 0.739477
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3206.195605
Acceptance Rate: 0.733945
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3123.442126
Acceptance Rate: 0.731098
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3041.693563
Acceptance Rate: 0.728155
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2987.811908
Acceptance Rate: 0.725616
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2943.155924
Acceptance Rate: 0.722733
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2889.478952
Acceptance Rate: 0.717474
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2845.176041
Acceptance Rate: 0.714508
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2802.806938
Acceptance Rate: 0.709755
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3311
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2758.112853
Acceptance Rate: 0.706922
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2711.123051
Acceptance Rate: 0.702811
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3486
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2672.116052
Acceptance Rate: 0.701262
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3565
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2636.152566
Acceptance Rate: 0.700742
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2597.275709
Acceptance Rate: 0.698737
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2559.443518
Acceptance Rate: 0.694263
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3817
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2523.888459
Acceptance Rate: 0.689303
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2493.119994
Acceptance Rate: 0.684080
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2466.258833
Acceptance Rate: 0.679942
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2435.037503
Acceptance Rate: 0.675516
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2411.539637
Acceptance Rate: 0.672542
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2391.427634
Acceptance Rate: 0.671676
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2368.834149
Acceptance Rate: 0.668151
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2347.187410
Acceptance Rate: 0.665358
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2324.768337
Acceptance Rate: 0.664096
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2309.206475
Acceptance Rate: 0.660932
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4766
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2294.413006
Acceptance Rate: 0.657760
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.448524
Acceptance Rate: 0.655771
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2264.472183
Acceptance Rate: 0.652948
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5054
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2253.876652
Acceptance Rate: 0.652259
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2243.075387
Acceptance Rate: 0.650469
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2231.150039
Acceptance Rate: 0.648862
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2221.741480
Acceptance Rate: 0.641489
Replacements: 3516
Total Samples: 5481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.091059
Acceptance Rate: 0.629526
Replacements: 3616
Total Samples: 5744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.579222
Acceptance Rate: 0.617584
Replacements: 3716
Total Samples: 6017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.463184
Acceptance Rate: 0.616642
Replacements: 3772
Total Samples: 6117
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.615360
Replacements: 3822
Total Samples: 6211
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.614798
Replacements: 3872
Total Samples: 6298
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.613388
Replacements: 3922
Total Samples: 6394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.611265
Replacements: 3972
Total Samples: 6498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.609394
Replacements: 4022
Total Samples: 6600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.609125
Replacements: 4072
Total Samples: 6685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.608144
Replacements: 4122
Total Samples: 6778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.606484
Replacements: 4172
Total Samples: 6879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.604958
Replacements: 4222
Total Samples: 6979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.603560
Replacements: 4272
Total Samples: 7078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.602537
Replacements: 4322
Total Samples: 7173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.601045
Replacements: 4372
Total Samples: 7274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.599268
Replacements: 4422
Total Samples: 7379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.597302
Replacements: 4472
Total Samples: 7487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.595941
Replacements: 4522
Total Samples: 7588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.593304
Replacements: 4572
Total Samples: 7706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.591805
Replacements: 4622
Total Samples: 7810
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.590197
Replacements: 4672
Total Samples: 7916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.589366
Replacements: 4722
Total Samples: 8012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.587830
Replacements: 4772
Total Samples: 8118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.586261
Replacements: 4822
Total Samples: 8225
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.584523
Replacements: 4872
Total Samples: 8335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.582761
Replacements: 4922
Total Samples: 8446
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.581316
Replacements: 4972
Total Samples: 8553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.579573
Replacements: 5022
Total Samples: 8665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.575971
Replacements: 5072
Total Samples: 8806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.574151
Replacements: 5122
Total Samples: 8921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.571744
Replacements: 5172
Total Samples: 9046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.571460
Replacements: 5222
Total Samples: 9138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.569515
Replacements: 5272
Total Samples: 9257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.569076
Replacements: 5322
Total Samples: 9352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.567325
Replacements: 5372
Total Samples: 9469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.566089
Replacements: 5422
Total Samples: 9578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.564881
Replacements: 5472
Total Samples: 9687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.564853
Replacements: 5522
Total Samples: 9776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.564425
Replacements: 5572
Total Samples: 9872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.562650
Replacements: 5622
Total Samples: 9992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.562085
Replacements: 5672
Total Samples: 10091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.562083
Replacements: 5722
Total Samples: 10180
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560824
Replacements: 5772
Total Samples: 10292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560454
Replacements: 5822
Total Samples: 10388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.561055
Replacements: 5872
Total Samples: 10466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.561061
Replacements: 5922
Total Samples: 10555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560330
Replacements: 5972
Total Samples: 10658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560186
Replacements: 6022
Total Samples: 10750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560199
Replacements: 6072
Total Samples: 10839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.559700
Replacements: 6122
Total Samples: 10938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560123
Replacements: 6172
Total Samples: 11019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.559208
Replacements: 6243
Total Samples: 11164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556794
Replacements: 6343
Total Samples: 11392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556761
Replacements: 6415
Total Samples: 11522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556368
Replacements: 6465
Total Samples: 11620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556457
Replacements: 6515
Total Samples: 11708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556262
Replacements: 6565
Total Samples: 11802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556631
Replacements: 6615
Total Samples: 11884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556669
Replacements: 6665
Total Samples: 11973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556661
Replacements: 6715
Total Samples: 12063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556561
Replacements: 6765
Total Samples: 12155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556145
Replacements: 6815
Total Samples: 12254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.555241
Replacements: 6865
Total Samples: 12364
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.554531
Replacements: 6915
Total Samples: 12470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.553833
Replacements: 6965
Total Samples: 12576
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.553626
Replacements: 7015
Total Samples: 12671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.553944
Replacements: 7065
Total Samples: 12754
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.554430
Replacements: 7115
Total Samples: 12833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.554867
Replacements: 7165
Total Samples: 12913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.555427
Replacements: 7215
Total Samples: 12990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.554538
Replacements: 7265
Total Samples: 13101
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.554377
Replacements: 7315
Total Samples: 13195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.554593
Replacements: 7365
Total Samples: 13280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.554393
Replacements: 7415
Total Samples: 13375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.554936
Replacements: 7465
Total Samples: 13452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.555063
Replacements: 7515
Total Samples: 13539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.555189
Replacements: 7565
Total Samples: 13626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.555515
Replacements: 7615
Total Samples: 13708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.555797
Replacements: 7665
Total Samples: 13791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.555796
Replacements: 7715
Total Samples: 13881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.555476
Replacements: 7765
Total Samples: 13979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556307
Replacements: 7815
Total Samples: 14048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556538
Replacements: 7865
Total Samples: 14132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556024
Replacements: 7915
Total Samples: 14235
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556370
Replacements: 7965
Total Samples: 14316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.556791
Replacements: 8015
Total Samples: 14395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.557283
Replacements: 8065
Total Samples: 14472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.557655
Replacements: 8115
Total Samples: 14552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.558482
Replacements: 8165
Total Samples: 14620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.558350
Replacements: 8215
Total Samples: 14713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.558861
Replacements: 8265
Total Samples: 14789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.559142
Replacements: 8315
Total Samples: 14871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.559233
Replacements: 8365
Total Samples: 14958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.559396
Replacements: 8415
Total Samples: 15043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.559929
Replacements: 8465
Total Samples: 15118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.559866
Replacements: 8515
Total Samples: 15209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.559804
Replacements: 8565
Total Samples: 15300
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.559815
Replacements: 8615
Total Samples: 15389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560044
Replacements: 8665
Total Samples: 15472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560198
Replacements: 8715
Total Samples: 15557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560458
Replacements: 8765
Total Samples: 15639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.560644
Replacements: 8815
Total Samples: 15723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.561289
Replacements: 8865
Total Samples: 15794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.561858
Replacements: 8915
Total Samples: 15867
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.562669
Replacements: 8965
Total Samples: 15933
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.563473
Replacements: 9015
Total Samples: 15999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.563779
Replacements: 9065
Total Samples: 16079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.564012
Replacements: 9115
Total Samples: 16161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.564347
Replacements: 9165
Total Samples: 16240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.564679
Replacements: 9215
Total Samples: 16319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.565146
Replacements: 9265
Total Samples: 16394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.565883
Replacements: 9315
Total Samples: 16461
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.566272
Replacements: 9365
Total Samples: 16538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.567169
Replacements: 9415
Total Samples: 16600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.567786
Replacements: 9465
Total Samples: 16670
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.568331
Replacements: 9515
Total Samples: 16742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.569040
Replacements: 9565
Total Samples: 16809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.569272
Replacements: 9615
Total Samples: 16890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.570106
Replacements: 9665
Total Samples: 16953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.570766
Replacements: 9715
Total Samples: 17021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.571119
Replacements: 9765
Total Samples: 17098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.571470
Replacements: 9815
Total Samples: 17175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.571851
Replacements: 9865
Total Samples: 17251
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.572129
Replacements: 9915
Total Samples: 17330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.572767
Replacements: 9965
Total Samples: 17398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.573465
Replacements: 10015
Total Samples: 17464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.573897
Replacements: 10065
Total Samples: 17538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.574259
Replacements: 10115
Total Samples: 17614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.574651
Replacements: 10165
Total Samples: 17689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.575072
Replacements: 10215
Total Samples: 17763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.574978
Replacements: 10276
Total Samples: 17872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.576070
Replacements: 10337
Total Samples: 17944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.576127
Replacements: 10387
Total Samples: 18029
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.575962
Replacements: 10437
Total Samples: 18121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.576335
Replacements: 10487
Total Samples: 18196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.576637
Replacements: 10549
Total Samples: 18294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.577290
Replacements: 10651
Total Samples: 18450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.578011
Replacements: 10751
Total Samples: 18600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.578473
Replacements: 10851
Total Samples: 18758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.579295
Replacements: 10951
Total Samples: 18904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.580128
Replacements: 11070
Total Samples: 19082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.580169
Replacements: 11170
Total Samples: 19253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.580808
Replacements: 11270
Total Samples: 19404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.581764
Replacements: 11370
Total Samples: 19544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.582825
Replacements: 11470
Total Samples: 19680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.583577
Replacements: 11570
Total Samples: 19826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.584669
Replacements: 11670
Total Samples: 19960
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.585427
Replacements: 11770
Total Samples: 20105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.586115
Replacements: 11870
Total Samples: 20252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.586960
Replacements: 11964
Total Samples: 20383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.587338
Replacements: 12014
Total Samples: 20455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.587914
Replacements: 12064
Total Samples: 20520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.588573
Replacements: 12114
Total Samples: 20582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.589170
Replacements: 12164
Total Samples: 20646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.589763
Replacements: 12214
Total Samples: 20710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.590296
Replacements: 12264
Total Samples: 20776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.590798
Replacements: 12314
Total Samples: 20843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.591239
Replacements: 12364
Total Samples: 20912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
Acceptance Rate: 0.591378
Replacements: 12374
Total Samples: 20924
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.293377
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1940.0327653238526 +/- 0.19638691872080463
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 20924
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.67 -0.09 +0.08) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.026 -0.06 +0.023 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.5 +/- 0.5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.4073 -0.17 +0.0004 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval7 | -640.850314 |
| n4_interval7 | -651.437050 |
| b0_interval7 | -662.570872 |
| total | -1954.858237 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3917.829788 |
| BIC | 3933.238605 |
| DIC | 3868.265663 |
| PDIC | 2.843365 |
| log(Z) | -842.545525 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.985663
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834403.140894
Acceptance Rate: 0.977199
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -30657.523125
Acceptance Rate: 0.950292
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 684
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3551.712271
Acceptance Rate: 0.922266
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.543344
Acceptance Rate: 0.897129
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.058625
Acceptance Rate: 0.888889
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.760281
Acceptance Rate: 0.869121
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.550328
Acceptance Rate: 0.853081
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.391556
Acceptance Rate: 0.838482
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.265200
Acceptance Rate: 0.827130
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.157284
Acceptance Rate: 0.815217
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.050544
Acceptance Rate: 0.801165
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.921539
Acceptance Rate: 0.799166
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.686365
Acceptance Rate: 0.793651
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3547.591381
Acceptance Rate: 0.789640
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1583
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3544.119444
Acceptance Rate: 0.782190
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3537.504924
Acceptance Rate: 0.773639
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3528.067485
Acceptance Rate: 0.768386
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3512.454162
Acceptance Rate: 0.763962
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3495.355115
Acceptance Rate: 0.760264
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3461.417099
Acceptance Rate: 0.753158
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2058
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3437.393369
Acceptance Rate: 0.750821
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3406.344409
Acceptance Rate: 0.744921
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3367.282231
Acceptance Rate: 0.740741
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3322.083028
Acceptance Rate: 0.736532
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3284.084801
Acceptance Rate: 0.730223
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3236.009355
Acceptance Rate: 0.724354
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3169.171527
Acceptance Rate: 0.721884
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3125.665122
Acceptance Rate: 0.716648
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3083.685788
Acceptance Rate: 0.715308
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3047.747046
Acceptance Rate: 0.713292
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3015.164477
Acceptance Rate: 0.709699
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2976.312058
Acceptance Rate: 0.704687
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2939.479900
Acceptance Rate: 0.701978
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2905.537964
Acceptance Rate: 0.696810
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2867.784744
Acceptance Rate: 0.692146
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2839.980104
Acceptance Rate: 0.688544
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2814.022674
Acceptance Rate: 0.686695
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2782.205865
Acceptance Rate: 0.685698
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3573
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2751.511299
Acceptance Rate: 0.683620
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3657
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2728.148508
Acceptance Rate: 0.681636
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2703.047805
Acceptance Rate: 0.678851
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2683.229296
Acceptance Rate: 0.677749
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2660.937034
Acceptance Rate: 0.674831
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2638.716808
Acceptance Rate: 0.674847
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2619.661975
Acceptance Rate: 0.673401
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2599.043612
Acceptance Rate: 0.669171
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2582.825000
Acceptance Rate: 0.668357
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2565.116727
Acceptance Rate: 0.665014
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4436
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2551.602872
Acceptance Rate: 0.663423
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2533.016413
Acceptance Rate: 0.660745
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2515.713387
Acceptance Rate: 0.659434
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2496.792604
Acceptance Rate: 0.657895
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2484.830911
Acceptance Rate: 0.656814
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2469.077889
Acceptance Rate: 0.655110
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2455.902842
Acceptance Rate: 0.652174
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2437.840882
Acceptance Rate: 0.649477
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2425.911860
Acceptance Rate: 0.647619
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2416.411411
Acceptance Rate: 0.644378
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2407.617995
Acceptance Rate: 0.642910
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2399.801106
Acceptance Rate: 0.640101
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2389.758204
Acceptance Rate: 0.640342
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2379.008608
Acceptance Rate: 0.638894
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2370.835639
Acceptance Rate: 0.637931
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2363.595033
Acceptance Rate: 0.636780
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5889
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2356.018304
Acceptance Rate: 0.635770
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5977
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2349.530529
Acceptance Rate: 0.633641
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2340.915489
Acceptance Rate: 0.630864
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6182
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2335.362566
Acceptance Rate: 0.630386
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2328.651886
Acceptance Rate: 0.628733
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2322.537631
Acceptance Rate: 0.627810
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2318.006162
Acceptance Rate: 0.627583
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2313.200962
Acceptance Rate: 0.626604
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2308.443594
Acceptance Rate: 0.626025
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2303.902667
Acceptance Rate: 0.624449
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2300.408233
Acceptance Rate: 0.622918
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2296.089824
Acceptance Rate: 0.621784
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.968984
Acceptance Rate: 0.620592
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2288.652263
Acceptance Rate: 0.618657
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2286.049477
Acceptance Rate: 0.618642
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2283.368410
Acceptance Rate: 0.615364
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.763915
Acceptance Rate: 0.614480
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7486
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.434253
Acceptance Rate: 0.612164
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.667938
Acceptance Rate: 0.609677
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.333813
Acceptance Rate: 0.608117
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.363541
Acceptance Rate: 0.606673
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2269.833486
Acceptance Rate: 0.604361
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2267.867087
Acceptance Rate: 0.602929
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2266.226929
Acceptance Rate: 0.601970
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2264.597632
Acceptance Rate: 0.601251
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2263.110579
Acceptance Rate: 0.600190
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2261.684027
Acceptance Rate: 0.598662
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2260.300257
Acceptance Rate: 0.597309
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2258.836934
Acceptance Rate: 0.596467
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2257.788621
Acceptance Rate: 0.595036
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2256.745508
Acceptance Rate: 0.592841
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2255.582275
Acceptance Rate: 0.592929
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2254.444496
Acceptance Rate: 0.592300
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9117
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2253.212993
Acceptance Rate: 0.593036
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2251.418455
Acceptance Rate: 0.592928
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2247.273605
Acceptance Rate: 0.593329
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2242.081366
Acceptance Rate: 0.594038
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2237.276986
Acceptance Rate: 0.593674
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9517
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2232.659128
Acceptance Rate: 0.594307
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2228.310755
Acceptance Rate: 0.594438
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2222.884149
Acceptance Rate: 0.594567
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2217.877847
Acceptance Rate: 0.594754
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2212.599003
Acceptance Rate: 0.595839
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2206.978068
Acceptance Rate: 0.596192
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2202.384785
Acceptance Rate: 0.596303
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2196.676430
Acceptance Rate: 0.596706
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2191.508980
Acceptance Rate: 0.597863
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2186.796547
Acceptance Rate: 0.598191
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2182.549580
Acceptance Rate: 0.598456
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2177.833686
Acceptance Rate: 0.599003
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2173.003960
Acceptance Rate: 0.599087
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2168.433412
Acceptance Rate: 0.599057
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2164.254157
Acceptance Rate: 0.599195
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2159.764816
Acceptance Rate: 0.599331
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2156.223089
Acceptance Rate: 0.599299
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2152.450554
Acceptance Rate: 0.599487
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2148.484532
Acceptance Rate: 0.600055
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2145.200721
Acceptance Rate: 0.600451
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2141.191949
Acceptance Rate: 0.601113
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2137.960365
Acceptance Rate: 0.601443
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2135.046096
Acceptance Rate: 0.602143
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2132.100466
Acceptance Rate: 0.602834
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2128.469959
Acceptance Rate: 0.603463
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2125.421168
Acceptance Rate: 0.603718
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2122.578260
Acceptance Rate: 0.604543
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11579
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2120.299184
Acceptance Rate: 0.604579
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2118.189653
Acceptance Rate: 0.604770
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2115.345252
Acceptance Rate: 0.605265
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2112.726631
Acceptance Rate: 0.605908
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2110.450399
Acceptance Rate: 0.606492
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2108.465291
Acceptance Rate: 0.607069
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.565447
Acceptance Rate: 0.607589
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.829381
Acceptance Rate: 0.608303
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2102.986668
Acceptance Rate: 0.608263
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.078144
Acceptance Rate: 0.608667
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2099.077509
Acceptance Rate: 0.609166
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.394505
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.706129
Acceptance Rate: 0.609853
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.937132
Acceptance Rate: 0.610094
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2092.402138
Acceptance Rate: 0.609612
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2090.900793
Acceptance Rate: 0.610090
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2089.566199
Acceptance Rate: 0.610610
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2088.368278
Acceptance Rate: 0.611029
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2086.877819
Acceptance Rate: 0.611821
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2085.447966
Acceptance Rate: 0.612464
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2084.187126
Acceptance Rate: 0.613006
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2082.874044
Acceptance Rate: 0.612986
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.574355
Acceptance Rate: 0.613059
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2080.461976
Acceptance Rate: 0.613038
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.449636
Acceptance Rate: 0.613520
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2078.531483
Acceptance Rate: 0.613542
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.499954
Acceptance Rate: 0.613835
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2076.427689
Acceptance Rate: 0.614125
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2075.505511
Acceptance Rate: 0.614814
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.732700
Acceptance Rate: 0.615140
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2073.895569
Acceptance Rate: 0.614533
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2073.119995
Acceptance Rate: 0.614461
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 13996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2072.380591
Acceptance Rate: 0.614783
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2071.656179
Acceptance Rate: 0.614971
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2070.973597
Acceptance Rate: 0.614768
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2070.340489
Acceptance Rate: 0.614998
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.754318
Acceptance Rate: 0.614968
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.197302
Acceptance Rate: 0.615874
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.640262
Acceptance Rate: 0.616052
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.034850
Acceptance Rate: 0.616396
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14601
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.449468
Acceptance Rate: 0.616821
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.882264
Acceptance Rate: 0.616698
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.333971
Acceptance Rate: 0.616785
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.785795
Acceptance Rate: 0.616994
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 14911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.288606
Acceptance Rate: 0.617160
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 14988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.846813
Acceptance Rate: 0.617448
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.444227
Acceptance Rate: 0.616877
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.071333
Acceptance Rate: 0.616960
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.731320
Acceptance Rate: 0.617405
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15306
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.425737
Acceptance Rate: 0.617605
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.125963
Acceptance Rate: 0.617164
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.839012
Acceptance Rate: 0.617125
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.584590
Acceptance Rate: 0.617166
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.352438
Acceptance Rate: 0.617205
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.120669
Acceptance Rate: 0.617401
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.902852
Acceptance Rate: 0.617090
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 15881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.700667
Acceptance Rate: 0.616318
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 15982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.511743
Acceptance Rate: 0.616630
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.326562
Acceptance Rate: 0.616787
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.142763
Acceptance Rate: 0.616523
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.969242
Acceptance Rate: 0.616073
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.808275
Acceptance Rate: 0.616606
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.653125
Acceptance Rate: 0.616796
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.503824
Acceptance Rate: 0.616240
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.360683
Acceptance Rate: 0.616356
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.219054
Acceptance Rate: 0.616582
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16705
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.083467
Acceptance Rate: 0.615851
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 16806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.956946
Acceptance Rate: 0.616333
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 16874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.837844
Acceptance Rate: 0.616556
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 16949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.726172
Acceptance Rate: 0.616414
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 17034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.621779
Acceptance Rate: 0.615950
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 17128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.523843
Acceptance Rate: 0.615957
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 17209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.430152
Acceptance Rate: 0.615963
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 17290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.341899
Acceptance Rate: 0.615898
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 17373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.260071
Acceptance Rate: 0.616364
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 17441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.184605
Acceptance Rate: 0.616157
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 17528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.114654
Acceptance Rate: 0.616232
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 17607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.048096
Acceptance Rate: 0.616063
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 17693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.986268
Acceptance Rate: 0.615999
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 17776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.928616
Acceptance Rate: 0.616281
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 17849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.873527
Acceptance Rate: 0.616320
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 17929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.821055
Acceptance Rate: 0.616153
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 18015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.772335
Acceptance Rate: 0.616431
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 18088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.726883
Acceptance Rate: 0.616265
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 18174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.684388
Acceptance Rate: 0.616202
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 18257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.644985
Acceptance Rate: 0.615569
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 18357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.608342
Acceptance Rate: 0.615543
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 18439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.574173
Acceptance Rate: 0.615750
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 18514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.542426
Acceptance Rate: 0.616022
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 18587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.512796
Acceptance Rate: 0.616259
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 18661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.485347
Acceptance Rate: 0.616263
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 18742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.459825
Acceptance Rate: 0.615907
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 18834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.435915
Acceptance Rate: 0.615523
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 18927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.413605
Acceptance Rate: 0.615401
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 19012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.393033
Acceptance Rate: 0.615736
Replacements: 11731
Total Samples: 19052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.381014
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -2058.1465417941467 +/- 0.19683024600474713
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19052
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.64 -0.08 +0.14) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.0 -0.4 +0.6) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.30 -0.4 +0.19) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.032 +0.017 +0.10 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval8 | -698.483908 |
| n4_interval8 | -665.392085 |
| b0_interval8 | -702.607562 |
| total | -2066.483554 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4141.080423 |
| BIC | 4156.489241 |
| DIC | 4099.422633 |
| PDIC | 2.327102 |
| log(Z) | -893.841686 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.989209
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898443.289827
Acceptance Rate: 0.978793
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -68192.116646
Acceptance Rate: 0.968703
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4789.429015
Acceptance Rate: 0.948509
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 738
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.834386
Acceptance Rate: 0.929368
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.858997
Acceptance Rate: 0.900901
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.411956
Acceptance Rate: 0.872690
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.129642
Acceptance Rate: 0.844278
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.928649
Acceptance Rate: 0.805768
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.776002
Acceptance Rate: 0.803213
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.655057
Acceptance Rate: 0.793051
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.555854
Acceptance Rate: 0.793651
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.471680
Acceptance Rate: 0.790378
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.394892
Acceptance Rate: 0.786885
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.318991
Acceptance Rate: 0.783208
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.235538
Acceptance Rate: 0.773349
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.118272
Acceptance Rate: 0.767045
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.868454
Acceptance Rate: 0.765027
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.181074
Acceptance Rate: 0.754030
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.246581
Acceptance Rate: 0.753012
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2098.531197
Acceptance Rate: 0.752793
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2094.158323
Acceptance Rate: 0.751527
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2088.550094
Acceptance Rate: 0.745931
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2212
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.592765
Acceptance Rate: 0.741710
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2073.925717
Acceptance Rate: 0.734985
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.026845
Acceptance Rate: 0.733496
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.398822
Acceptance Rate: 0.730071
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2049.808595
Acceptance Rate: 0.725745
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2618
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2041.727735
Acceptance Rate: 0.724638
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2033.074803
Acceptance Rate: 0.724113
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2020.619691
Acceptance Rate: 0.723615
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2012.314171
Acceptance Rate: 0.723140
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2004.650684
Acceptance Rate: 0.720993
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1997.109737
Acceptance Rate: 0.719895
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1990.037820
Acceptance Rate: 0.718391
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1983.437229
Acceptance Rate: 0.715397
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.373862
Acceptance Rate: 0.715591
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.645077
Acceptance Rate: 0.714073
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.697794
Acceptance Rate: 0.712831
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.239419
Acceptance Rate: 0.710026
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3521
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.813733
Acceptance Rate: 0.709713
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.306708
Acceptance Rate: 0.709220
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3666
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.835392
Acceptance Rate: 0.709125
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.446607
Acceptance Rate: 0.705698
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1934.252497
Acceptance Rate: 0.702068
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1930.279161
Acceptance Rate: 0.699475
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1926.971867
Acceptance Rate: 0.696481
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1923.396713
Acceptance Rate: 0.694611
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1920.338872
Acceptance Rate: 0.692651
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1917.647683
Acceptance Rate: 0.686342
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1915.046341
Acceptance Rate: 0.684317
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1912.455250
Acceptance Rate: 0.682519
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4542
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1910.360499
Acceptance Rate: 0.680346
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1908.173468
Acceptance Rate: 0.677392
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4724
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1905.917097
Acceptance Rate: 0.676801
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1903.520712
Acceptance Rate: 0.674847
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1901.692409
Acceptance Rate: 0.672556
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 4981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1899.955845
Acceptance Rate: 0.670083
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1898.632445
Acceptance Rate: 0.664868
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1897.474970
Acceptance Rate: 0.662502
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1896.422087
Acceptance Rate: 0.660588
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1895.512995
Acceptance Rate: 0.657294
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1894.593082
Acceptance Rate: 0.656947
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1893.747650
Acceptance Rate: 0.652212
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.991283
Acceptance Rate: 0.646552
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.312079
Acceptance Rate: 0.643305
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1891.655894
Acceptance Rate: 0.641560
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1891.001334
Acceptance Rate: 0.638821
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.367144
Acceptance Rate: 0.636173
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.822117
Acceptance Rate: 0.632511
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.326301
Acceptance Rate: 0.632417
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.873713
Acceptance Rate: 0.629800
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.465353
Acceptance Rate: 0.627267
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.105611
Acceptance Rate: 0.623886
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.795001
Acceptance Rate: 0.622073
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.488635
Acceptance Rate: 0.619954
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.219171
Acceptance Rate: 0.617810
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.974630
Acceptance Rate: 0.617371
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.732237
Acceptance Rate: 0.615066
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7235
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.506550
Acceptance Rate: 0.612578
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.298331
Acceptance Rate: 0.610902
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.104878
Acceptance Rate: 0.609352
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.921987
Acceptance Rate: 0.608002
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.762810
Acceptance Rate: 0.607628
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.613487
Acceptance Rate: 0.605867
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.468767
Acceptance Rate: 0.605067
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7933
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.331390
Acceptance Rate: 0.604361
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.200666
Acceptance Rate: 0.602632
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.065820
Acceptance Rate: 0.601093
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8235
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.918739
Acceptance Rate: 0.600817
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.741364
Acceptance Rate: 0.599549
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8423
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.538915
Acceptance Rate: 0.598451
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.315238
Acceptance Rate: 0.597032
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.075656
Acceptance Rate: 0.596672
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.821238
Acceptance Rate: 0.596455
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.544482
Acceptance Rate: 0.595238
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.274172
Acceptance Rate: 0.594312
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.995570
Acceptance Rate: 0.593472
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.705527
Acceptance Rate: 0.592456
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.447737
Acceptance Rate: 0.591271
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.194139
Acceptance Rate: 0.590740
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.944464
Acceptance Rate: 0.588730
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.709170
Acceptance Rate: 0.587379
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.485280
Acceptance Rate: 0.586601
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.279050
Acceptance Rate: 0.585778
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.094695
Acceptance Rate: 0.585149
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.921632
Acceptance Rate: 0.584299
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.763544
Acceptance Rate: 0.583523
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.616716
Acceptance Rate: 0.583391
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.480286
Acceptance Rate: 0.582298
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.353406
Acceptance Rate: 0.581899
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.235615
Acceptance Rate: 0.581285
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.125718
Acceptance Rate: 0.580901
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.023327
Acceptance Rate: 0.580090
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.925332
Acceptance Rate: 0.579455
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.833980
Acceptance Rate: 0.578194
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.749625
Acceptance Rate: 0.577535
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.671316
Acceptance Rate: 0.577044
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.597756
Acceptance Rate: 0.575790
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.529457
Acceptance Rate: 0.575731
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.465911
Acceptance Rate: 0.575318
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.406786
Acceptance Rate: 0.574563
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.352221
Acceptance Rate: 0.574365
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.301876
Acceptance Rate: 0.573974
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.255545
Acceptance Rate: 0.573248
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.213034
Acceptance Rate: 0.572535
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11877
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.173357
Acceptance Rate: 0.571119
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.136247
Acceptance Rate: 0.569777
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 12110
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.101433
Acceptance Rate: 0.569159
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12211
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.069051
Acceptance Rate: 0.568366
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.039147
Acceptance Rate: 0.567313
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.011358
Acceptance Rate: 0.566595
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.985402
Acceptance Rate: 0.566157
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.960965
Acceptance Rate: 0.565549
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.938320
Acceptance Rate: 0.564928
Replacements: 7213
Total Samples: 12768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.932655
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1878.6741013961969 +/- 0.14533612973924889
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 12768
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (0.98 -0.26 +1.2) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.2 -1.5 +4) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.2 +/- 0.5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.87 -0.4 +0.12 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval9 | -617.171611 |
| n4_interval9 | -616.252556 |
| b0_interval9 | -648.638836 |
| total | -1882.063003 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3772.239321 |
| BIC | 3787.648139 |
| DIC | 3694.675985 |
| PDIC | -52.550233 |
| log(Z) | -815.897796 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -359387.895505
Acceptance Rate: 0.993377
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -16681.136680
Acceptance Rate: 0.978916
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1772.628284
Acceptance Rate: 0.965517
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.580609
Acceptance Rate: 0.932836
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.999463
Acceptance Rate: 0.894855
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.663840
Acceptance Rate: 0.872690
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.434301
Acceptance Rate: 0.864553
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.263949
Acceptance Rate: 0.847458
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.131070
Acceptance Rate: 0.843170
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.023660
Acceptance Rate: 0.833995
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.934144
Acceptance Rate: 0.823353
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.856710
Acceptance Rate: 0.815603
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.785035
Acceptance Rate: 0.800000
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.711082
Acceptance Rate: 0.787650
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.617955
Acceptance Rate: 0.782661
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.463034
Acceptance Rate: 0.776308
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.125814
Acceptance Rate: 0.771775
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.131329
Acceptance Rate: 0.769231
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.773197
Acceptance Rate: 0.767263
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.959968
Acceptance Rate: 0.761297
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1750.476515
Acceptance Rate: 0.754361
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1738.003349
Acceptance Rate: 0.750000
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1727.752016
Acceptance Rate: 0.741387
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1712.351339
Acceptance Rate: 0.739020
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1697.818693
Acceptance Rate: 0.735595
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1681.757868
Acceptance Rate: 0.733836
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2521
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1666.145334
Acceptance Rate: 0.728528
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1649.487748
Acceptance Rate: 0.725177
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1631.614825
Acceptance Rate: 0.722022
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2770
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1619.751063
Acceptance Rate: 0.718794
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1605.875415
Acceptance Rate: 0.719671
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1595.316138
Acceptance Rate: 0.714048
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.668650
Acceptance Rate: 0.712205
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1564.179614
Acceptance Rate: 0.707770
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1549.890202
Acceptance Rate: 0.705521
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1539.158110
Acceptance Rate: 0.703804
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1528.819143
Acceptance Rate: 0.701139
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3423
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1517.386652
Acceptance Rate: 0.698802
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1507.924224
Acceptance Rate: 0.694059
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1499.229143
Acceptance Rate: 0.692370
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1491.867745
Acceptance Rate: 0.690938
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1485.991499
Acceptance Rate: 0.685286
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3867
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1478.153143
Acceptance Rate: 0.681474
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1473.584044
Acceptance Rate: 0.680693
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1466.501422
Acceptance Rate: 0.678295
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1460.817754
Acceptance Rate: 0.673440
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1453.185515
Acceptance Rate: 0.671296
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1448.361973
Acceptance Rate: 0.668177
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4415
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1442.732573
Acceptance Rate: 0.667854
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1436.998560
Acceptance Rate: 0.662036
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1430.340331
Acceptance Rate: 0.658454
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1424.828117
Acceptance Rate: 0.656250
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1419.784364
Acceptance Rate: 0.654397
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1416.332944
Acceptance Rate: 0.650000
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1412.572476
Acceptance Rate: 0.648585
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1409.583443
Acceptance Rate: 0.645472
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1405.979634
Acceptance Rate: 0.642965
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1403.084815
Acceptance Rate: 0.639126
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1400.482652
Acceptance Rate: 0.637523
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1398.085324
Acceptance Rate: 0.635745
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1396.080402
Acceptance Rate: 0.633803
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1393.390874
Acceptance Rate: 0.630833
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1391.091842
Acceptance Rate: 0.629466
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1389.176835
Acceptance Rate: 0.627510
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1387.309377
Acceptance Rate: 0.625411
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1385.661166
Acceptance Rate: 0.623583
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1383.930744
Acceptance Rate: 0.622010
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1382.115270
Acceptance Rate: 0.621069
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1380.675215
Acceptance Rate: 0.619771
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1379.476930
Acceptance Rate: 0.618888
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1378.228606
Acceptance Rate: 0.617098
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6644
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1377.047074
Acceptance Rate: 0.616001
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1375.857824
Acceptance Rate: 0.615204
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1374.761214
Acceptance Rate: 0.613276
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1373.842604
Acceptance Rate: 0.612972
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1373.035424
Acceptance Rate: 0.610013
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1372.174019
Acceptance Rate: 0.608660
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1371.405185
Acceptance Rate: 0.607840
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1370.687794
Acceptance Rate: 0.605490
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7432
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1370.038384
Acceptance Rate: 0.605375
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1369.437676
Acceptance Rate: 0.605104
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1368.884939
Acceptance Rate: 0.603896
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1368.323569
Acceptance Rate: 0.602332
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.756831
Acceptance Rate: 0.601342
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.145835
Acceptance Rate: 0.601805
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1366.532310
Acceptance Rate: 0.601289
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1365.952001
Acceptance Rate: 0.600270
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1365.313925
Acceptance Rate: 0.599855
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1364.221032
Acceptance Rate: 0.598372
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1362.759423
Acceptance Rate: 0.597775
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1361.234494
Acceptance Rate: 0.597470
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1359.497641
Acceptance Rate: 0.597171
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1357.878923
Acceptance Rate: 0.596194
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1356.170955
Acceptance Rate: 0.595711
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1354.392708
Acceptance Rate: 0.595439
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1352.707564
Acceptance Rate: 0.595503
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1350.847087
Acceptance Rate: 0.594648
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1349.342124
Acceptance Rate: 0.594005
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1347.839915
Acceptance Rate: 0.594017
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1346.446534
Acceptance Rate: 0.594282
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1344.931499
Acceptance Rate: 0.592655
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1343.440295
Acceptance Rate: 0.592740
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1342.241643
Acceptance Rate: 0.592146
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1341.048135
Acceptance Rate: 0.589683
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1339.971242
Acceptance Rate: 0.589611
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1338.985921
Acceptance Rate: 0.589777
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1338.106421
Acceptance Rate: 0.589941
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1337.267019
Acceptance Rate: 0.588876
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1336.472854
Acceptance Rate: 0.588408
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1335.722785
Acceptance Rate: 0.587151
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.946542
Acceptance Rate: 0.586426
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.151968
Acceptance Rate: 0.585882
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1333.307539
Acceptance Rate: 0.584685
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1332.519826
Acceptance Rate: 0.583785
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.767167
Acceptance Rate: 0.583928
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.114856
Acceptance Rate: 0.582783
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1330.494656
Acceptance Rate: 0.582401
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10989
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.889558
Acceptance Rate: 0.581972
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.346127
Acceptance Rate: 0.580928
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.861041
Acceptance Rate: 0.580622
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.377467
Acceptance Rate: 0.580373
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.937307
Acceptance Rate: 0.580330
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.520171
Acceptance Rate: 0.580237
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.115117
Acceptance Rate: 0.579897
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.752408
Acceptance Rate: 0.579908
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.425645
Acceptance Rate: 0.580017
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11810
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.114569
Acceptance Rate: 0.579248
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.826472
Acceptance Rate: 0.579263
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.563074
Acceptance Rate: 0.577510
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.316875
Acceptance Rate: 0.576498
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.090818
Acceptance Rate: 0.576392
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.873452
Acceptance Rate: 0.575731
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.670910
Acceptance Rate: 0.575218
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12517
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.475047
Acceptance Rate: 0.574622
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.295048
Acceptance Rate: 0.573719
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12724
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.137060
Acceptance Rate: 0.573368
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.989759
Acceptance Rate: 0.572711
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.854120
Acceptance Rate: 0.572769
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 13007
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.727171
Acceptance Rate: 0.571908
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 13114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.606035
Acceptance Rate: 0.571883
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 13202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.491607
Acceptance Rate: 0.571557
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.382752
Acceptance Rate: 0.571023
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.278872
Acceptance Rate: 0.570497
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.179499
Acceptance Rate: 0.569979
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.085096
Acceptance Rate: 0.568306
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.997041
Acceptance Rate: 0.567976
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.914004
Acceptance Rate: 0.567081
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13931
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.836459
Acceptance Rate: 0.566603
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 14031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.762941
Acceptance Rate: 0.565771
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 14140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.693532
Acceptance Rate: 0.565349
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 14239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.629538
Acceptance Rate: 0.564381
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 14352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.569540
Acceptance Rate: 0.563507
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 14463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.513470
Acceptance Rate: 0.563690
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.461454
Acceptance Rate: 0.563255
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.413307
Acceptance Rate: 0.562903
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.368801
Acceptance Rate: 0.562365
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.327359
Acceptance Rate: 0.561460
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.288998
Acceptance Rate: 0.561536
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 15048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.253166
Acceptance Rate: 0.561130
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 15148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.219885
Acceptance Rate: 0.560252
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 15261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.188759
Acceptance Rate: 0.559459
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 15372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.159863
Acceptance Rate: 0.558209
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 15496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.133406
Acceptance Rate: 0.557943
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 15593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.108879
Acceptance Rate: 0.558145
Replacements: 8716
Total Samples: 15616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.101412
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1321.8302977629680 +/- 0.16513260521145828
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 15616
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.1 -0.4 +0.5) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-7.2 -1.6 +1.3) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (2.2 -0.4 +0.7) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.96 -0.4 +0.12 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval10 | -437.627839 |
| n4_interval10 | -433.317997 |
| b0_interval10 | -460.807666 |
| total | -1331.753503 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 2671.620320 |
| BIC | 2687.029137 |
| DIC | 2634.059794 |
| PDIC | 0.260645 |
| log(Z) | -574.063604 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.992780
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -156306.929164
Acceptance Rate: 0.983607
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6195.139617
Acceptance Rate: 0.967262
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.404850
Acceptance Rate: 0.943396
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -906.220749
Acceptance Rate: 0.903614
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.631312
Acceptance Rate: 0.875274
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.292711
Acceptance Rate: 0.839921
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.061671
Acceptance Rate: 0.831025
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.890488
Acceptance Rate: 0.816853
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.757278
Acceptance Rate: 0.802568
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.650092
Acceptance Rate: 0.782414
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.561448
Acceptance Rate: 0.773015
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1423
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.486109
Acceptance Rate: 0.765136
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.419787
Acceptance Rate: 0.760938
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.356720
Acceptance Rate: 0.750751
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.291686
Acceptance Rate: 0.747556
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.217061
Acceptance Rate: 0.746681
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.122978
Acceptance Rate: 0.742312
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.989657
Acceptance Rate: 0.741688
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.737298
Acceptance Rate: 0.730994
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.159428
Acceptance Rate: 0.729412
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -902.132714
Acceptance Rate: 0.730260
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -900.723434
Acceptance Rate: 0.728155
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898.826455
Acceptance Rate: 0.722789
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -896.406292
Acceptance Rate: 0.721649
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -893.476900
Acceptance Rate: 0.719424
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -890.114363
Acceptance Rate: 0.716499
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -886.326394
Acceptance Rate: 0.714823
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -882.075902
Acceptance Rate: 0.708833
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -879.057858
Acceptance Rate: 0.705467
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.444165
Acceptance Rate: 0.704225
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.842408
Acceptance Rate: 0.703753
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -870.006543
Acceptance Rate: 0.702385
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -867.815172
Acceptance Rate: 0.699078
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -865.012216
Acceptance Rate: 0.696810
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -862.818570
Acceptance Rate: 0.697816
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -860.302585
Acceptance Rate: 0.695678
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -857.568484
Acceptance Rate: 0.692441
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -855.313661
Acceptance Rate: 0.690530
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -853.036804
Acceptance Rate: 0.689275
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.940286
Acceptance Rate: 0.684932
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.702381
Acceptance Rate: 0.686016
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.692548
Acceptance Rate: 0.684047
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.767759
Acceptance Rate: 0.681818
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3960
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -843.002502
Acceptance Rate: 0.677006
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -841.538553
Acceptance Rate: 0.674861
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -840.155153
Acceptance Rate: 0.675516
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.943946
Acceptance Rate: 0.673166
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.610433
Acceptance Rate: 0.669846
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.414793
Acceptance Rate: 0.666223
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.381638
Acceptance Rate: 0.664343
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.566512
Acceptance Rate: 0.662393
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.715169
Acceptance Rate: 0.661348
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.805639
Acceptance Rate: 0.658572
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4859
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.904918
Acceptance Rate: 0.655506
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.158580
Acceptance Rate: 0.654632
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.452755
Acceptance Rate: 0.651624
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.747925
Acceptance Rate: 0.648731
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.111752
Acceptance Rate: 0.645463
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.516096
Acceptance Rate: 0.643974
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.984466
Acceptance Rate: 0.643582
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.519173
Acceptance Rate: 0.642169
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.070441
Acceptance Rate: 0.638000
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.641533
Acceptance Rate: 0.635957
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.260187
Acceptance Rate: 0.633018
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5924
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.871791
Acceptance Rate: 0.631964
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.506877
Acceptance Rate: 0.631458
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.180624
Acceptance Rate: 0.631886
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.878728
Acceptance Rate: 0.629984
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.590767
Acceptance Rate: 0.629921
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.316672
Acceptance Rate: 0.628687
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.071174
Acceptance Rate: 0.628834
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.848855
Acceptance Rate: 0.627837
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.636512
Acceptance Rate: 0.627428
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.436644
Acceptance Rate: 0.627492
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.255723
Acceptance Rate: 0.624637
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.089428
Acceptance Rate: 0.622763
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.931781
Acceptance Rate: 0.621381
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.786214
Acceptance Rate: 0.620468
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.649300
Acceptance Rate: 0.618302
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.519657
Acceptance Rate: 0.614367
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.393231
Acceptance Rate: 0.613906
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.271203
Acceptance Rate: 0.612084
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.151135
Acceptance Rate: 0.610548
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7698
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.030638
Acceptance Rate: 0.608896
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.893946
Acceptance Rate: 0.607595
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.708338
Acceptance Rate: 0.607161
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.491378
Acceptance Rate: 0.607488
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.225810
Acceptance Rate: 0.607436
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.926335
Acceptance Rate: 0.608273
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.601806
Acceptance Rate: 0.607848
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.241307
Acceptance Rate: 0.608302
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.859361
Acceptance Rate: 0.608100
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.487096
Acceptance Rate: 0.606273
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.097137
Acceptance Rate: 0.606726
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8653
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.744708
Acceptance Rate: 0.605714
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.403790
Acceptance Rate: 0.605546
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.082003
Acceptance Rate: 0.604974
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.768875
Acceptance Rate: 0.604951
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.461487
Acceptance Rate: 0.604462
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.163268
Acceptance Rate: 0.604509
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.887679
Acceptance Rate: 0.604882
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9258
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.642011
Acceptance Rate: 0.604925
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.394011
Acceptance Rate: 0.604582
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.142983
Acceptance Rate: 0.604119
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.911324
Acceptance Rate: 0.603726
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.690176
Acceptance Rate: 0.603466
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.470212
Acceptance Rate: 0.602287
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.259368
Acceptance Rate: 0.602227
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.059970
Acceptance Rate: 0.600601
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.875915
Acceptance Rate: 0.600556
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.688130
Acceptance Rate: 0.600039
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10166
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.501539
Acceptance Rate: 0.598016
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.325606
Acceptance Rate: 0.597475
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10377
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.159224
Acceptance Rate: 0.596431
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.004194
Acceptance Rate: 0.595632
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.860798
Acceptance Rate: 0.595573
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.727892
Acceptance Rate: 0.595460
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.604518
Acceptance Rate: 0.595128
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.489332
Acceptance Rate: 0.594911
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.383448
Acceptance Rate: 0.595130
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.284163
Acceptance Rate: 0.594702
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.191971
Acceptance Rate: 0.593962
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.105290
Acceptance Rate: 0.593183
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.023886
Acceptance Rate: 0.592885
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.949119
Acceptance Rate: 0.591716
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.880933
Acceptance Rate: 0.591690
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.818794
Acceptance Rate: 0.591006
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.762078
Acceptance Rate: 0.591540
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.710175
Acceptance Rate: 0.590917
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.662825
Acceptance Rate: 0.590997
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.619774
Acceptance Rate: 0.591174
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.580089
Acceptance Rate: 0.590811
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12102
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.543797
Acceptance Rate: 0.590793
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12187
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.510484
Acceptance Rate: 0.590776
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12272
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.480200
Acceptance Rate: 0.590574
Replacements: 7280
Total Samples: 12327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.463270
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -812.16584738058214 +/- 0.14900406032543353
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 12327
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.9 -0.8 +1.7) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-4.6 -1.9 +2.5) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.27 -0.25 +0.32) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.11 -0.5 +0.06 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval11 | -272.327900 |
| n4_interval11 | -255.945132 |
| b0_interval11 | -292.411584 |
| total | -820.684616 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1649.482546 |
| BIC | 1664.891364 |
| DIC | 1617.723538 |
| PDIC | 0.461043 |
| log(Z) | -352.719146 |
Examine the fits
Now we can look at the fits in count space to make sure they are ok.
[24]:
for a in analysis:
a.restore_median_fit()
_ = display_spectrum_model_counts(a, min_rate=[20, 20, 20], step=False)
Finally, we can plot the models together to see how the spectra evolve with time.
[25]:
fig = plot_spectra(
*[a.results for a in analysis[::1]],
flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)",
fit_cmap="viridis",
contour_cmap="viridis",
contour_style_kwargs=dict(alpha=0.1),
)
This example can serve as a template for performing analysis on GBM data. However, as 3ML provides an abstract interface and modular building blocks, similar analysis pipelines can be built for any time series data.