Analyzing GRB 080916C with Fermi-GBM
(NASA/Swift/Cruz deWilde)
To demonstrate the capabilities and features of 3ML in, we will go through a time-integrated and time-resolved analysis. This example serves as a standard way to analyze Fermi-GBM data with 3ML as well as a template for how you can design your instrument’s analysis pipeline with 3ML if you have similar data.
3ML provides utilities to reduce time series data to plugins in a correct and statistically justified way (e.g., background fitting of Poisson data is done with a Poisson likelihood). The approach is generic and can be extended. For more details, see the time series documentation.
[1]:
import warnings
warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
[2]:
%%capture
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
np.seterr(all="ignore")
from threeML import *
from threeML.io.package_data import get_path_of_data_file
[3]:
silence_warnings()
%matplotlib inline
from jupyterthemes import jtplot
jtplot.style(context="talk", fscale=1, ticks=True, grid=False)
set_threeML_style()
Examining the catalog
As with Swift and Fermi-LAT, 3ML provides a simple interface to the on-line Fermi-GBM catalog. Let’s get the information for GRB 080916C.
[4]:
gbm_catalog = FermiGBMBurstCatalog()
gbm_catalog.query_sources("GRB080916009")
[4]:
Table length=1
| name | ra | dec | trigger_time | t90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| object | float64 | float64 | float64 | float64 |
| GRB080916009 | 119.800 | -56.600 | 54725.0088613 | 62.977 |
To aid in quickly replicating the catalog analysis, and thanks to the tireless efforts of the Fermi-GBM team, we have added the ability to extract the analysis parameters from the catalog as well as build an astromodels model with the best fit parameters baked in. Using this information, one can quickly run through the catalog an replicate the entire analysis with a script. Let’s give it a try.
[5]:
grb_info = gbm_catalog.get_detector_information()["GRB080916009"]
gbm_detectors = grb_info["detectors"]
source_interval = grb_info["source"]["fluence"]
background_interval = grb_info["background"]["full"]
best_fit_model = grb_info["best fit model"]["fluence"]
model = gbm_catalog.get_model(best_fit_model, "fluence")["GRB080916009"]
[6]:
model
[6]:
Model summary:
Free parameters (5):
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
| N | |
|---|---|
| Point sources | 1 |
| Extended sources | 0 |
| Particle sources | 0 |
Free parameters (5):
| value | min_value | max_value | unit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.K | 0.012255 | 0.0 | None | keV-1 s-1 cm-2 |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.alpha | -1.130424 | -1.5 | 2.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy | 309.2031 | 10.0 | None | keV |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_scale | 0.3 | 0.0 | 10.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.beta | -2.096931 | -5.0 | -1.6 |
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
Downloading the data
We provide a simple interface to download the Fermi-GBM data. Using the information from the catalog that we have extracted, we can download just the data from the detectors that were used for the catalog analysis. This will download the CSPEC, TTE and instrument response files from the on-line database.
[7]:
dload = download_GBM_trigger_data("bn080916009", detectors=gbm_detectors)
Let’s first examine the catalog fluence fit. Using the TimeSeriesBuilder, we can fit the background, set the source interval, and create a 3ML plugin for the analysis. We will loop through the detectors, set their appropriate channel selections, and ensure there are enough counts in each bin to make the PGStat profile likelihood valid.
First we use the CSPEC data to fit the background using the background selections. We use CSPEC because it has a longer duration for fitting the background.
The background is saved to an HDF5 file that stores the polynomial coefficients and selections which we can read in to the TTE file later.
The light curve is plotted.
The source selection from the catalog is set and DispersionSpectrumLike plugin is created.
The plugin has the standard GBM channel selections for spectral analysis set.
[8]:
fluence_plugins = []
time_series = {}
for det in gbm_detectors:
ts_cspec = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_cspec_or_ctime(
det, cspec_or_ctime_file=dload[det]["cspec"], rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"]
)
ts_cspec.set_background_interval(*background_interval.split(","))
ts_cspec.save_background(f"{det}_bkg.h5", overwrite=True)
ts_tte = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_tte(
det,
tte_file=dload[det]["tte"],
rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"],
restore_background=f"{det}_bkg.h5",
)
time_series[det] = ts_tte
ts_tte.set_active_time_interval(source_interval)
ts_tte.view_lightcurve(-40, 100)
fluence_plugin = ts_tte.to_spectrumlike()
if det.startswith("b"):
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("9-900")
fluence_plugin.rebin_on_background(1.0)
fluence_plugins.append(fluence_plugin)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n4_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Setting up the fit
Let’s see if we can reproduce the results from the catalog.
Set priors for the model
We will fit the spectrum using Bayesian analysis, so we must set priors on the model parameters.
[9]:
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2.25, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.bounds = (None, None)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-3, upper_bound=1e1
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_scale.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-4, upper_bound=10
)
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Clone the model and setup the Bayesian analysis class
Next, we clone the model we built from the catalog so that we can look at the results later and fit the cloned model. We pass this model and the DataList of the plugins to a BayesianAnalysis class and set the sampler to MultiNest.
[10]:
new_model = clone_model(model)
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(new_model, DataList(*fluence_plugins))
# share spectrum gives a linear speed up when
# spectrumlike plugins have the same RSP input energies
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
Examine at the catalog fitted model
We can quickly examine how well the catalog fit matches the data. There appears to be a discrepancy between the data and the model! Let’s refit to see if we can fix it.
[11]:
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20, step=False)
Run the sampler
We let MultiNest condition the model on the data
[12]:
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=400)
bayes.sample()
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 400
dimensionality = 5
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.995575
Replacements: 450
Total Samples: 452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.972763
Replacements: 500
Total Samples: 514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.938567
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 586
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.918836
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 653
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.889193
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.875000
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -678967.430569
Acceptance Rate: 0.863061
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -344780.744278
Acceptance Rate: 0.856531
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 934
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -191674.809258
Acceptance Rate: 0.850000
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -95832.667822
Acceptance Rate: 0.841121
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -46581.975032
Acceptance Rate: 0.839965
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -27464.008868
Acceptance Rate: 0.833333
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -16224.617387
Acceptance Rate: 0.824176
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -12065.193644
Acceptance Rate: 0.809419
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10913.391421
Acceptance Rate: 0.795848
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10318.090217
Acceptance Rate: 0.789474
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9809.135770
Acceptance Rate: 0.779302
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9445.429184
Acceptance Rate: 0.773810
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9049.642559
Acceptance Rate: 0.768793
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8705.624367
Acceptance Rate: 0.759631
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8476.322999
Acceptance Rate: 0.755208
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8189.429206
Acceptance Rate: 0.744786
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7890.853347
Acceptance Rate: 0.739857
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7632.618674
Acceptance Rate: 0.728597
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7363.766882
Acceptance Rate: 0.727193
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7083.267115
Acceptance Rate: 0.720950
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6857.597680
Acceptance Rate: 0.715746
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6655.020227
Acceptance Rate: 0.710339
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6459.971527
Acceptance Rate: 0.706376
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6287.418256
Acceptance Rate: 0.703183
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2702
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6084.562645
Acceptance Rate: 0.698925
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5887.708816
Acceptance Rate: 0.696379
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5662.467916
Acceptance Rate: 0.689539
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5527.768183
Acceptance Rate: 0.687848
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5391.686702
Acceptance Rate: 0.683625
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5226.940759
Acceptance Rate: 0.678175
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5108.689554
Acceptance Rate: 0.676895
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4974.242858
Acceptance Rate: 0.676869
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4839.908878
Acceptance Rate: 0.676259
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4731.009857
Acceptance Rate: 0.672834
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3567
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4610.249108
Acceptance Rate: 0.668121
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4510.757028
Acceptance Rate: 0.660502
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4422.946501
Acceptance Rate: 0.656709
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4317.210279
Acceptance Rate: 0.653924
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4225.825540
Acceptance Rate: 0.649828
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 4078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4157.853211
Acceptance Rate: 0.648882
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4087.595595
Acceptance Rate: 0.644330
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4014.113031
Acceptance Rate: 0.638978
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3953.509879
Acceptance Rate: 0.635735
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4483
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3904.350374
Acceptance Rate: 0.631946
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3851.903462
Acceptance Rate: 0.629132
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3796.866352
Acceptance Rate: 0.625261
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3754.446666
Acceptance Rate: 0.619289
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3728.327946
Acceptance Rate: 0.611560
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 5069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3695.665333
Acceptance Rate: 0.608696
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 5175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3669.743031
Acceptance Rate: 0.606061
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 5280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3637.324474
Acceptance Rate: 0.604202
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3607.646233
Acceptance Rate: 0.598802
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5511
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3582.550098
Acceptance Rate: 0.594393
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3561.304988
Acceptance Rate: 0.588032
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3541.982735
Acceptance Rate: 0.586236
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3521.946377
Acceptance Rate: 0.581589
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 6018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3501.495182
Acceptance Rate: 0.578364
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 6138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3484.117667
Acceptance Rate: 0.574163
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 6270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3464.177330
Acceptance Rate: 0.569423
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 6410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3446.743254
Acceptance Rate: 0.566529
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 6531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3429.113393
Acceptance Rate: 0.563995
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3413.243814
Acceptance Rate: 0.560886
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3400.113337
Acceptance Rate: 0.557890
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3386.032394
Acceptance Rate: 0.554135
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 7038
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3372.590114
Acceptance Rate: 0.550446
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 7176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3356.870913
Acceptance Rate: 0.547645
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 7304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3345.093082
Acceptance Rate: 0.543770
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 7448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3331.373678
Acceptance Rate: 0.540968
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 7579
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3320.106573
Acceptance Rate: 0.539171
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 7697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3309.723458
Acceptance Rate: 0.537153
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 7819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3300.381048
Acceptance Rate: 0.534524
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 7951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3290.172550
Acceptance Rate: 0.530995
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 8098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3280.529787
Acceptance Rate: 0.528490
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 8231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3272.028306
Acceptance Rate: 0.526694
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 8354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3262.919550
Acceptance Rate: 0.522669
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 8514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3255.125545
Acceptance Rate: 0.520773
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 8641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3246.747176
Acceptance Rate: 0.518400
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 8777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3240.268573
Acceptance Rate: 0.515695
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 8920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3233.103598
Acceptance Rate: 0.512453
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 9074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3226.595928
Acceptance Rate: 0.510592
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 9205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3220.792947
Acceptance Rate: 0.508348
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 9344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3215.567024
Acceptance Rate: 0.505849
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 9489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3210.212032
Acceptance Rate: 0.504578
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 9612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3205.089073
Acceptance Rate: 0.502667
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 9748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3200.380268
Acceptance Rate: 0.498942
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 9921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3194.864252
Acceptance Rate: 0.495491
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 10091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3190.394216
Acceptance Rate: 0.493260
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 10238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3185.022347
Acceptance Rate: 0.490290
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 10402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3180.424585
Acceptance Rate: 0.487366
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 10567
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3176.242294
Acceptance Rate: 0.484984
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 10722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3173.090831
Acceptance Rate: 0.482182
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 10888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3169.800310
Acceptance Rate: 0.479855
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 11045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3166.541522
Acceptance Rate: 0.477380
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 11207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3163.312417
Acceptance Rate: 0.474142
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 11389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3160.054855
Acceptance Rate: 0.471331
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 11563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3157.083147
Acceptance Rate: 0.470246
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 11696
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3154.829408
Acceptance Rate: 0.467250
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 11878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3151.366689
Acceptance Rate: 0.465426
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 12032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3148.373605
Acceptance Rate: 0.462811
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 12208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3145.906995
Acceptance Rate: 0.458457
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 12433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3143.911011
Acceptance Rate: 0.456712
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 12590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3141.788628
Acceptance Rate: 0.455688
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 12728
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3139.050277
Acceptance Rate: 0.451807
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 12948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3136.617865
Acceptance Rate: 0.449969
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 13112
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3134.535101
Acceptance Rate: 0.448515
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 13266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3132.433437
Acceptance Rate: 0.447027
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 13422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3130.590048
Acceptance Rate: 0.444200
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 13620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3128.758798
Acceptance Rate: 0.441453
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 13818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3126.960245
Acceptance Rate: 0.439757
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 13985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3125.405697
Acceptance Rate: 0.436835
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 14193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3124.077939
Acceptance Rate: 0.434450
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 14386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3122.726661
Acceptance Rate: 0.433586
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 14530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3121.340177
Acceptance Rate: 0.430801
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 14740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3119.993247
Acceptance Rate: 0.429444
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 14903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3118.671863
Acceptance Rate: 0.427520
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 15087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3117.405016
Acceptance Rate: 0.424587
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 15309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3116.369352
Acceptance Rate: 0.422308
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 15510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3115.489991
Acceptance Rate: 0.420195
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 15707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3114.602574
Acceptance Rate: 0.418450
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 15892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.746050
Acceptance Rate: 0.417082
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 16064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.950743
Acceptance Rate: 0.415078
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 16262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.228982
Acceptance Rate: 0.412972
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 16466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3111.530683
Acceptance Rate: 0.411436
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 16649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3110.908298
Acceptance Rate: 0.410494
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 16809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3110.311054
Acceptance Rate: 0.408824
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 17000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3109.795827
Acceptance Rate: 0.407356
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 17184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3109.282101
Acceptance Rate: 0.406973
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 17323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.776767
Acceptance Rate: 0.405552
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 17507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.321779
Acceptance Rate: 0.403750
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 17709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3107.901979
Acceptance Rate: 0.402775
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 17876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3107.507829
Acceptance Rate: 0.401440
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 18060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3107.146595
Acceptance Rate: 0.399781
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 18260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.794162
Acceptance Rate: 0.397813
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 18476
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.464017
Acceptance Rate: 0.396825
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 18648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.153614
Acceptance Rate: 0.394597
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 18880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.875166
Acceptance Rate: 0.392588
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 19104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.608800
Acceptance Rate: 0.391801
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 19270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.354862
Acceptance Rate: 0.389584
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 19508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.128023
Acceptance Rate: 0.388502
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 19691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.912785
Acceptance Rate: 0.386682
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 19913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.705067
Acceptance Rate: 0.385189
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 20120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.514656
Acceptance Rate: 0.383707
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 20328
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.336953
Acceptance Rate: 0.382647
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 20515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.169990
Acceptance Rate: 0.382122
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 20674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.017339
Acceptance Rate: 0.380966
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 20868
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.874942
Acceptance Rate: 0.380518
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 21024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.734358
Acceptance Rate: 0.379878
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 21191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.600370
Acceptance Rate: 0.379302
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 21355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.471257
Acceptance Rate: 0.378524
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 21531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.346213
Acceptance Rate: 0.377950
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 21696
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.226995
Acceptance Rate: 0.377074
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 21879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.108441
Acceptance Rate: 0.375940
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 22078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.986103
Acceptance Rate: 0.374843
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 22276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.866564
Acceptance Rate: 0.374098
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 22454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.748660
Acceptance Rate: 0.373068
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 22650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.635060
Acceptance Rate: 0.372122
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 22842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.523490
Acceptance Rate: 0.371303
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 23027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.416134
Acceptance Rate: 0.370259
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 23227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.309924
Acceptance Rate: 0.369169
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 23431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.207878
Acceptance Rate: 0.367865
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 23650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.111856
Acceptance Rate: 0.365650
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 23930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.019274
Acceptance Rate: 0.364359
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 24152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.932461
Acceptance Rate: 0.363689
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 24334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.852241
Acceptance Rate: 0.363058
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 24514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.776372
Acceptance Rate: 0.361953
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 24727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.705683
Acceptance Rate: 0.361330
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 24908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.640613
Acceptance Rate: 0.360515
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 25103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.580421
Acceptance Rate: 0.359471
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 25315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.524459
Acceptance Rate: 0.358374
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 25532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.473438
Acceptance Rate: 0.357963
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 25701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.426755
Acceptance Rate: 0.357101
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 25903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.383058
Acceptance Rate: 0.356035
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 26121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.341554
Acceptance Rate: 0.355865
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 26274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.302556
Acceptance Rate: 0.355213
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 26463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.266572
Acceptance Rate: 0.355183
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 26606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.233519
Acceptance Rate: 0.354411
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 26805
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.202968
Acceptance Rate: 0.354150
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 26966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.174838
Acceptance Rate: 0.353435
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 27162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.148890
Acceptance Rate: 0.352499
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 27376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.125216
Acceptance Rate: 0.352085
Replacements: 9695
Total Samples: 27536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.105600
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -3100.8878707983440 +/- 0.22215973716320678
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 27536
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| GRB080916009...K | (1.4518 -0.0016 +0.04) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| GRB080916009...alpha | -1.103 +0.009 +0.05 | |
| GRB080916009...break_energy | (1.94 +0.07 +0.7) x 10^2 | keV |
| GRB080916009...break_scale | (0.0 +1.7 +3.5) x 10^-1 | |
| GRB080916009...beta | -1.96 -0.26 -0.05 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3 | -1018.367374 |
| n4 | -1010.972375 |
| b0 | -1050.650453 |
| total | -3079.990202 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 6170.150859 |
| BIC | 6189.383069 |
| DIC | 6180.305055 |
| PDIC | 4.485208 |
| log(Z) | -1346.698491 |
Now our model seems to match much better with the data!
[13]:
bayes.restore_median_fit()
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20)
But how different are we from the catalog model? Let’s plot our fit along with the catalog model. Luckily, 3ML can handle all the units for is
[14]:
conversion = u.Unit("keV2/(cm2 s keV)").to("erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
energy_grid = np.logspace(1, 4, 100) * u.keV
vFv = (energy_grid**2 * model.get_point_source_fluxes(0, energy_grid)).to(
"erg2/(cm2 s keV)"
)
[15]:
fig = plot_spectra(bayes.results, flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
ax = fig.get_axes()[0]
_ = ax.loglog(energy_grid, vFv, color="blue", label="catalog model")
Time Resolved Analysis
Now that we have examined fluence fit, we can move to performing a time-resolved analysis.
Selecting a temporal binning
We first get the brightest NaI detector and create time bins via the Bayesian blocks algorithm. We can use the fitted background to make sure that our intervals are chosen in an unbiased way.
[16]:
n3 = time_series["n3"]
[17]:
n3.create_time_bins(0, 60, method="bayesblocks", use_background=True, p0=0.2)
Sometimes, glitches in the GBM data cause spikes in the data that the Bayesian blocks algorithm detects as fast changes in the count rate. We will have to remove those intervals manually.
Note: In the future, 3ML will provide an automated method to remove these unwanted spikes.
[18]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
[19]:
bad_bins = []
for i, w in enumerate(n3.bins.widths):
if w < 5e-2:
bad_bins.append(i)
edges = [n3.bins.starts[0]]
for i, b in enumerate(n3.bins):
if i not in bad_bins:
edges.append(b.stop)
starts = edges[:-1]
stops = edges[1:]
n3.create_time_bins(starts, stops, method="custom")
Now our light curve looks much more acceptable.
[20]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
The time series objects can read time bins from each other, so we will map these time bins onto the other detectors’ time series and create a list of time plugins for each detector and each time bin created above.
[21]:
time_resolved_plugins = {}
for k, v in time_series.items():
v.read_bins(n3)
time_resolved_plugins[k] = v.to_spectrumlike(from_bins=True)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Setting up the model
For the time-resolved analysis, we will fit the classic Band function to the data. We will set some principled priors.
[22]:
band = Band()
band.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5)
band.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2, sigma=0.5)
band.xp.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
band.xp.bounds = (None, None)
band.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(lower_bound=1e-10, upper_bound=1e3)
ps = PointSource("grb", 0, 0, spectral_shape=band)
band_model = Model(ps)
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Perform the fits
One way to perform Bayesian spectral fits to all the intervals is to loop through each one. There can are many ways to do this, so find an analysis pattern that works for you.
[23]:
models = []
results = []
analysis = []
for interval in range(12):
# clone the model above so that we have a separate model
# for each fit
this_model = clone_model(band_model)
# for each detector set up the plugin
# for this time interval
this_data_list = []
for k, v in time_resolved_plugins.items():
pi = v[interval]
if k.startswith("b"):
pi.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
pi.set_active_measurements("9-900")
pi.rebin_on_background(1.0)
this_data_list.append(pi)
# create a data list
dlist = DataList(*this_data_list)
# set up the sampler and fit
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(this_model, dlist)
# get some speed with share spectrum
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=500)
bayes.sample()
# at this stage we coudl also
# save the analysis result to
# disk but we will simply hold
# onto them in memory
analysis.append(bayes)
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.992780
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -120418.749158
Acceptance Rate: 0.980392
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2642.938094
Acceptance Rate: 0.955882
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1244.805700
Acceptance Rate: 0.937082
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.874172
Acceptance Rate: 0.905797
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.436962
Acceptance Rate: 0.874317
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.158964
Acceptance Rate: 0.835792
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.960383
Acceptance Rate: 0.826446
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.809235
Acceptance Rate: 0.818966
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.689383
Acceptance Rate: 0.813670
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.591252
Acceptance Rate: 0.809561
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.508311
Acceptance Rate: 0.797679
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.434259
Acceptance Rate: 0.791466
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.364430
Acceptance Rate: 0.785855
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.291223
Acceptance Rate: 0.781250
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.202709
Acceptance Rate: 0.776583
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.050883
Acceptance Rate: 0.771870
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1241.511088
Acceptance Rate: 0.765864
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1239.944371
Acceptance Rate: 0.756390
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1237.251655
Acceptance Rate: 0.752634
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1231.220037
Acceptance Rate: 0.749154
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1224.445886
Acceptance Rate: 0.744879
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1217.966324
Acceptance Rate: 0.744249
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1210.091138
Acceptance Rate: 0.741387
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1197.438154
Acceptance Rate: 0.738397
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1180.108380
Acceptance Rate: 0.735595
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1164.141969
Acceptance Rate: 0.732383
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1150.804524
Acceptance Rate: 0.729087
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1136.154844
Acceptance Rate: 0.727341
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1123.679698
Acceptance Rate: 0.718907
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1110.086415
Acceptance Rate: 0.714535
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1099.534808
Acceptance Rate: 0.710419
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1084.809238
Acceptance Rate: 0.705612
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1075.711152
Acceptance Rate: 0.703775
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3126
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1066.460752
Acceptance Rate: 0.702466
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1056.803427
Acceptance Rate: 0.698876
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3291
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1047.441521
Acceptance Rate: 0.696296
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1038.722411
Acceptance Rate: 0.694645
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1030.412371
Acceptance Rate: 0.694051
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1022.764663
Acceptance Rate: 0.691181
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1013.678637
Acceptance Rate: 0.689189
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1006.241958
Acceptance Rate: 0.684391
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3799
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1000.480632
Acceptance Rate: 0.680884
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -993.948866
Acceptance Rate: 0.678222
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -988.326397
Acceptance Rate: 0.678845
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -981.598964
Acceptance Rate: 0.677474
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -975.540002
Acceptance Rate: 0.675195
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -968.856965
Acceptance Rate: 0.673010
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -962.727407
Acceptance Rate: 0.672748
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.429726
Acceptance Rate: 0.672646
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -950.091081
Acceptance Rate: 0.672102
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -945.470095
Acceptance Rate: 0.670560
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -939.986011
Acceptance Rate: 0.667232
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -935.617383
Acceptance Rate: 0.663900
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.771321
Acceptance Rate: 0.663536
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.985344
Acceptance Rate: 0.661720
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.216622
Acceptance Rate: 0.661925
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.079901
Acceptance Rate: 0.659426
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.638206
Acceptance Rate: 0.657895
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.587135
Acceptance Rate: 0.653839
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.051463
Acceptance Rate: 0.652094
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -906.572097
Acceptance Rate: 0.650289
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.499588
Acceptance Rate: 0.649929
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -902.279584
Acceptance Rate: 0.647873
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -899.815407
Acceptance Rate: 0.646106
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -897.864034
Acceptance Rate: 0.644286
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -896.180525
Acceptance Rate: 0.642095
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -894.422112
Acceptance Rate: 0.640920
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -892.611812
Acceptance Rate: 0.640402
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -890.906967
Acceptance Rate: 0.639080
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -889.320772
Acceptance Rate: 0.638197
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -887.950711
Acceptance Rate: 0.636745
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -886.651711
Acceptance Rate: 0.635334
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -885.297533
Acceptance Rate: 0.634825
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -883.969142
Acceptance Rate: 0.633194
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -882.782804
Acceptance Rate: 0.631146
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -881.777823
Acceptance Rate: 0.629340
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -880.848123
Acceptance Rate: 0.628931
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -879.890573
Acceptance Rate: 0.628975
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -878.833914
Acceptance Rate: 0.627878
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -877.887281
Acceptance Rate: 0.626549
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -877.102721
Acceptance Rate: 0.626362
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -876.398065
Acceptance Rate: 0.624413
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.746473
Acceptance Rate: 0.623425
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.096046
Acceptance Rate: 0.621891
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -874.454992
Acceptance Rate: 0.619995
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.771328
Acceptance Rate: 0.619175
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.091679
Acceptance Rate: 0.618219
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.465845
Acceptance Rate: 0.618286
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.858001
Acceptance Rate: 0.615764
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.243388
Acceptance Rate: 0.615779
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -870.455632
Acceptance Rate: 0.614236
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -869.023219
Acceptance Rate: 0.613168
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8399
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -867.194433
Acceptance Rate: 0.612918
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -865.363972
Acceptance Rate: 0.611461
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8586
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -863.373622
Acceptance Rate: 0.603131
Replacements: 5316
Total Samples: 8814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -841.419614
Acceptance Rate: 0.602782
Replacements: 5416
Total Samples: 8985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.106696
Acceptance Rate: 0.603046
Replacements: 5504
Total Samples: 9127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.602844
Replacements: 5554
Total Samples: 9213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.602905
Replacements: 5604
Total Samples: 9295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.602643
Replacements: 5654
Total Samples: 9382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.602260
Replacements: 5704
Total Samples: 9471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.602198
Replacements: 5754
Total Samples: 9555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.601825
Replacements: 5804
Total Samples: 9644
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.602387
Replacements: 5854
Total Samples: 9718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.602080
Replacements: 5904
Total Samples: 9806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.601961
Replacements: 5954
Total Samples: 9891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.601603
Replacements: 6004
Total Samples: 9980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.601610
Replacements: 6054
Total Samples: 10063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.601261
Replacements: 6104
Total Samples: 10152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.602153
Replacements: 6154
Total Samples: 10220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.601746
Replacements: 6204
Total Samples: 10310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549302
Acceptance Rate: 0.601693
Replacements: 6254
Total Samples: 10394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549301
Acceptance Rate: 0.602101
Replacements: 6304
Total Samples: 10470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549300
Acceptance Rate: 0.601876
Replacements: 6354
Total Samples: 10557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549294
Acceptance Rate: 0.601484
Replacements: 6404
Total Samples: 10647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549248
Acceptance Rate: 0.601491
Replacements: 6454
Total Samples: 10730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.549036
Acceptance Rate: 0.601331
Replacements: 6504
Total Samples: 10816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.548111
Acceptance Rate: 0.600403
Replacements: 6554
Total Samples: 10916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.545302
Acceptance Rate: 0.599982
Replacements: 6604
Total Samples: 11007
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.535804
Acceptance Rate: 0.600271
Replacements: 6654
Total Samples: 11085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.502085
Acceptance Rate: 0.599481
Replacements: 6704
Total Samples: 11183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.378797
Acceptance Rate: 0.599929
Replacements: 6754
Total Samples: 11258
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.981908
Acceptance Rate: 0.600053
Replacements: 6804
Total Samples: 11339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.308051
Acceptance Rate: 0.600280
Replacements: 6854
Total Samples: 11418
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.411129
Acceptance Rate: 0.600557
Replacements: 6904
Total Samples: 11496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.481795
Acceptance Rate: 0.600570
Replacements: 6954
Total Samples: 11579
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.526412
Acceptance Rate: 0.601253
Replacements: 7004
Total Samples: 11649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.579117
Acceptance Rate: 0.601826
Replacements: 7054
Total Samples: 11721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.637377
Acceptance Rate: 0.602289
Replacements: 7104
Total Samples: 11795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.830740
Acceptance Rate: 0.602645
Replacements: 7154
Total Samples: 11871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.934771
Acceptance Rate: 0.603300
Replacements: 7204
Total Samples: 11941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.999147
Acceptance Rate: 0.603896
Replacements: 7254
Total Samples: 12012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.115629
Acceptance Rate: 0.604036
Replacements: 7304
Total Samples: 12092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.263501
Acceptance Rate: 0.604471
Replacements: 7354
Total Samples: 12166
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.460282
Acceptance Rate: 0.603669
Replacements: 7404
Total Samples: 12265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.686495
Acceptance Rate: 0.604150
Replacements: 7454
Total Samples: 12338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.014966
Acceptance Rate: 0.604820
Replacements: 7504
Total Samples: 12407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.406059
Acceptance Rate: 0.604804
Replacements: 7554
Total Samples: 12490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.769398
Acceptance Rate: 0.604981
Replacements: 7604
Total Samples: 12569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.127515
Acceptance Rate: 0.605682
Replacements: 7654
Total Samples: 12637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.581713
Acceptance Rate: 0.606185
Replacements: 7704
Total Samples: 12709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.047505
Acceptance Rate: 0.605639
Replacements: 7754
Total Samples: 12803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.518619
Acceptance Rate: 0.604914
Replacements: 7804
Total Samples: 12901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.025121
Acceptance Rate: 0.604433
Replacements: 7854
Total Samples: 12994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.563119
Acceptance Rate: 0.604790
Replacements: 7904
Total Samples: 13069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.112088
Acceptance Rate: 0.605097
Replacements: 7954
Total Samples: 13145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.696827
Acceptance Rate: 0.605538
Replacements: 8004
Total Samples: 13218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.324733
Acceptance Rate: 0.605746
Replacements: 8054
Total Samples: 13296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.993807
Acceptance Rate: 0.605454
Replacements: 8104
Total Samples: 13385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.692923
Acceptance Rate: 0.605705
Replacements: 8154
Total Samples: 13462
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.418530
Acceptance Rate: 0.605729
Replacements: 8204
Total Samples: 13544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.169656
Acceptance Rate: 0.605176
Replacements: 8254
Total Samples: 13639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.941398
Acceptance Rate: 0.605160
Replacements: 8304
Total Samples: 13722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.728484
Acceptance Rate: 0.605538
Replacements: 8354
Total Samples: 13796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.515303
Acceptance Rate: 0.605606
Replacements: 8404
Total Samples: 13877
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.303184
Acceptance Rate: 0.605544
Replacements: 8454
Total Samples: 13961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.091752
Acceptance Rate: 0.605138
Replacements: 8504
Total Samples: 14053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.885249
Acceptance Rate: 0.604950
Replacements: 8554
Total Samples: 14140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.678562
Acceptance Rate: 0.605234
Replacements: 8604
Total Samples: 14216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.492901
Acceptance Rate: 0.604667
Replacements: 8654
Total Samples: 14312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.319454
Acceptance Rate: 0.604738
Replacements: 8704
Total Samples: 14393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.158327
Acceptance Rate: 0.604976
Replacements: 8754
Total Samples: 14470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.009554
Acceptance Rate: 0.605252
Replacements: 8804
Total Samples: 14546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.868230
Acceptance Rate: 0.605567
Replacements: 8854
Total Samples: 14621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.735420
Acceptance Rate: 0.605550
Replacements: 8904
Total Samples: 14704
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.611459
Acceptance Rate: 0.606147
Replacements: 8954
Total Samples: 14772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.494228
Acceptance Rate: 0.606412
Replacements: 9004
Total Samples: 14848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.381532
Acceptance Rate: 0.606999
Replacements: 9054
Total Samples: 14916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.273048
Acceptance Rate: 0.607136
Replacements: 9104
Total Samples: 14995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.169549
Acceptance Rate: 0.607271
Replacements: 9154
Total Samples: 15074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.071356
Acceptance Rate: 0.607485
Replacements: 9204
Total Samples: 15151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.981943
Acceptance Rate: 0.607856
Replacements: 9254
Total Samples: 15224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.899762
Acceptance Rate: 0.608264
Replacements: 9304
Total Samples: 15296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.823669
Acceptance Rate: 0.607995
Replacements: 9354
Total Samples: 15385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.751391
Acceptance Rate: 0.608279
Replacements: 9404
Total Samples: 15460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.684245
Acceptance Rate: 0.608170
Replacements: 9454
Total Samples: 15545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.621196
Acceptance Rate: 0.608490
Replacements: 9504
Total Samples: 15619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.561841
Acceptance Rate: 0.608962
Replacements: 9554
Total Samples: 15689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.505210
Acceptance Rate: 0.609352
Replacements: 9604
Total Samples: 15761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.450779
Acceptance Rate: 0.609624
Replacements: 9654
Total Samples: 15836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.398049
Acceptance Rate: 0.609854
Replacements: 9704
Total Samples: 15912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.345181
Acceptance Rate: 0.610121
Replacements: 9754
Total Samples: 15987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.294181
Acceptance Rate: 0.610537
Replacements: 9804
Total Samples: 16058
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.245096
Acceptance Rate: 0.610911
Replacements: 9854
Total Samples: 16130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.198743
Acceptance Rate: 0.611358
Replacements: 9904
Total Samples: 16200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.154341
Acceptance Rate: 0.611575
Replacements: 9954
Total Samples: 16276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.112316
Acceptance Rate: 0.611491
Replacements: 10004
Total Samples: 16360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.072920
Acceptance Rate: 0.611594
Replacements: 10054
Total Samples: 16439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.035911
Acceptance Rate: 0.611326
Replacements: 10104
Total Samples: 16528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.000755
Acceptance Rate: 0.611834
Replacements: 10154
Total Samples: 16596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.967497
Acceptance Rate: 0.611971
Replacements: 10204
Total Samples: 16674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.936455
Acceptance Rate: 0.611960
Replacements: 10254
Total Samples: 16756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.907515
Acceptance Rate: 0.611876
Replacements: 10304
Total Samples: 16840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.880177
Acceptance Rate: 0.612156
Replacements: 10354
Total Samples: 16914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.854769
Acceptance Rate: 0.612360
Replacements: 10404
Total Samples: 16990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.831225
Acceptance Rate: 0.611922
Replacements: 10440
Total Samples: 17061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.815389
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -790.55953686144130 +/- 0.18309687493113733
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 17061
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (3.84 -0.28 +0.6) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-5.0 +/- 0.9) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (2.91 -0.6 +0.12) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.004 +0.016 +0.22 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval0 | -250.014636 |
| n4_interval0 | -267.923757 |
| b0_interval0 | -285.602336 |
| total | -803.540729 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1615.194773 |
| BIC | 1630.603591 |
| DIC | 1571.089584 |
| PDIC | 2.664071 |
| log(Z) | -343.335644 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.985222
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -29922.170692
Acceptance Rate: 0.971599
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10225.642747
Acceptance Rate: 0.944669
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.750801
Acceptance Rate: 0.910194
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.322881
Acceptance Rate: 0.888889
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.048864
Acceptance Rate: 0.872690
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.851744
Acceptance Rate: 0.849858
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.698878
Acceptance Rate: 0.839965
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.567579
Acceptance Rate: 0.831947
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.433263
Acceptance Rate: 0.822884
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.235460
Acceptance Rate: 0.811209
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10222.780506
Acceptance Rate: 0.801394
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10220.863456
Acceptance Rate: 0.791557
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10215.906914
Acceptance Rate: 0.785669
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10201.590701
Acceptance Rate: 0.779844
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10179.795679
Acceptance Rate: 0.777650
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1736
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10136.680341
Acceptance Rate: 0.771775
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10073.977638
Acceptance Rate: 0.766790
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9917.169653
Acceptance Rate: 0.757959
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9810.802053
Acceptance Rate: 0.746988
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9661.160031
Acceptance Rate: 0.742459
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9495.355481
Acceptance Rate: 0.736607
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9292.643030
Acceptance Rate: 0.733391
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8974.288472
Acceptance Rate: 0.732218
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8718.164078
Acceptance Rate: 0.729927
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8499.542760
Acceptance Rate: 0.725206
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8270.147093
Acceptance Rate: 0.721884
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8059.677214
Acceptance Rate: 0.721154
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2704
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7842.099481
Acceptance Rate: 0.719942
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7612.495861
Acceptance Rate: 0.719046
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2851
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7416.690153
Acceptance Rate: 0.713800
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7198.202983
Acceptance Rate: 0.708169
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6964.053318
Acceptance Rate: 0.704902
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6808.395196
Acceptance Rate: 0.704887
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6633.111575
Acceptance Rate: 0.703579
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6483.534553
Acceptance Rate: 0.702121
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6269.368912
Acceptance Rate: 0.699301
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3432
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6126.103482
Acceptance Rate: 0.696221
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5990.023164
Acceptance Rate: 0.695024
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5849.750760
Acceptance Rate: 0.693878
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5698.861527
Acceptance Rate: 0.692595
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3754
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5546.536779
Acceptance Rate: 0.690464
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5426.505391
Acceptance Rate: 0.689479
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5284.762829
Acceptance Rate: 0.687328
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5164.576690
Acceptance Rate: 0.684429
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5044.045284
Acceptance Rate: 0.681166
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4930.238568
Acceptance Rate: 0.680432
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4828.926830
Acceptance Rate: 0.675830
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4739.258893
Acceptance Rate: 0.676285
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4436
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4657.695057
Acceptance Rate: 0.671067
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4580.240889
Acceptance Rate: 0.668968
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4501.197337
Acceptance Rate: 0.667656
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4426.221209
Acceptance Rate: 0.665696
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4353.448915
Acceptance Rate: 0.664894
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4273.892887
Acceptance Rate: 0.664519
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4203.009207
Acceptance Rate: 0.662317
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5058
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4133.509174
Acceptance Rate: 0.662252
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4073.873453
Acceptance Rate: 0.661426
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4021.685451
Acceptance Rate: 0.661376
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3980.433016
Acceptance Rate: 0.658627
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3936.141314
Acceptance Rate: 0.657174
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3885.961464
Acceptance Rate: 0.655532
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3845.915327
Acceptance Rate: 0.652903
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3808.820498
Acceptance Rate: 0.651268
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3765.128406
Acceptance Rate: 0.650240
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3722.655391
Acceptance Rate: 0.649351
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3687.591451
Acceptance Rate: 0.647518
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3650.208101
Acceptance Rate: 0.646587
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3617.383322
Acceptance Rate: 0.646308
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3589.530899
Acceptance Rate: 0.643879
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3562.760650
Acceptance Rate: 0.642633
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3534.226631
Acceptance Rate: 0.640333
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3509.839850
Acceptance Rate: 0.639951
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3486.870782
Acceptance Rate: 0.637851
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6663
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3465.014058
Acceptance Rate: 0.636377
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3441.876054
Acceptance Rate: 0.635222
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3421.207254
Acceptance Rate: 0.634646
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6933
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3404.926939
Acceptance Rate: 0.634717
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3387.291793
Acceptance Rate: 0.633446
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3371.771161
Acceptance Rate: 0.633440
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3357.861648
Acceptance Rate: 0.633173
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3342.672234
Acceptance Rate: 0.631450
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7364
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3331.018794
Acceptance Rate: 0.630196
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7458
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3316.448542
Acceptance Rate: 0.630141
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3303.646562
Acceptance Rate: 0.629178
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3293.898295
Acceptance Rate: 0.628645
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3283.604167
Acceptance Rate: 0.627883
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3272.834675
Acceptance Rate: 0.625395
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3263.442436
Acceptance Rate: 0.624220
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3254.662974
Acceptance Rate: 0.623072
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3247.144760
Acceptance Rate: 0.622331
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3239.155419
Acceptance Rate: 0.621605
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3229.591732
Acceptance Rate: 0.622158
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3216.431187
Acceptance Rate: 0.621891
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3195.628318
Acceptance Rate: 0.621555
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3171.594811
Acceptance Rate: 0.620938
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3138.613147
Acceptance Rate: 0.620618
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.652917
Acceptance Rate: 0.620588
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3086.222091
Acceptance Rate: 0.620697
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3053.186231
Acceptance Rate: 0.620736
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 8941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3022.011778
Acceptance Rate: 0.619812
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2998.726566
Acceptance Rate: 0.618297
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2978.233919
Acceptance Rate: 0.617284
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2953.013408
Acceptance Rate: 0.616887
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2930.406438
Acceptance Rate: 0.616562
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2907.296075
Acceptance Rate: 0.615530
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2878.226079
Acceptance Rate: 0.614391
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2855.240865
Acceptance Rate: 0.614479
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2831.749593
Acceptance Rate: 0.614565
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2810.371034
Acceptance Rate: 0.614213
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2785.492356
Acceptance Rate: 0.614733
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2761.426847
Acceptance Rate: 0.614508
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2737.987945
Acceptance Rate: 0.615018
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2716.638038
Acceptance Rate: 0.614794
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10166
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2698.352040
Acceptance Rate: 0.615535
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10235
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2678.801398
Acceptance Rate: 0.615668
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2654.450370
Acceptance Rate: 0.615089
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2638.032757
Acceptance Rate: 0.615517
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2618.609059
Acceptance Rate: 0.616231
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2595.360950
Acceptance Rate: 0.616993
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2572.365929
Acceptance Rate: 0.617284
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2552.598764
Acceptance Rate: 0.617513
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10769
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2534.687059
Acceptance Rate: 0.617853
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2516.354443
Acceptance Rate: 0.617792
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 10926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2498.418430
Acceptance Rate: 0.617789
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11007
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2486.257202
Acceptance Rate: 0.618287
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2470.791883
Acceptance Rate: 0.618113
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2455.246903
Acceptance Rate: 0.618382
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2442.494474
Acceptance Rate: 0.618757
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2427.955420
Acceptance Rate: 0.619018
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2416.257401
Acceptance Rate: 0.619168
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11467
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2401.909944
Acceptance Rate: 0.619477
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11542
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2390.312072
Acceptance Rate: 0.619568
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2377.529122
Acceptance Rate: 0.618812
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2366.063263
Acceptance Rate: 0.618225
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2353.981373
Acceptance Rate: 0.618219
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 11889
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2341.337328
Acceptance Rate: 0.618522
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 11964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2329.434555
Acceptance Rate: 0.618463
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2320.223231
Acceptance Rate: 0.618863
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2310.568671
Acceptance Rate: 0.619411
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2302.809888
Acceptance Rate: 0.619700
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12264
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2290.383578
Acceptance Rate: 0.619985
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.886479
Acceptance Rate: 0.620018
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.756065
Acceptance Rate: 0.619703
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2260.028604
Acceptance Rate: 0.620328
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12574
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2247.571046
Acceptance Rate: 0.620455
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2237.001716
Acceptance Rate: 0.620972
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2228.918188
Acceptance Rate: 0.621579
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2221.809030
Acceptance Rate: 0.622036
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 12861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2215.385148
Acceptance Rate: 0.622246
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 12937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2208.007137
Acceptance Rate: 0.622789
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2198.882270
Acceptance Rate: 0.623697
Replacements: 8196
Total Samples: 13141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2148.218792
Acceptance Rate: 0.624229
Replacements: 8296
Total Samples: 13290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2130.410831
Acceptance Rate: 0.624470
Replacements: 8396
Total Samples: 13445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2114.636127
Acceptance Rate: 0.625718
Replacements: 8496
Total Samples: 13578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.195981
Acceptance Rate: 0.626302
Replacements: 8596
Total Samples: 13725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.178803
Acceptance Rate: 0.627462
Replacements: 8696
Total Samples: 13859
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2099.527898
Acceptance Rate: 0.627837
Replacements: 8796
Total Samples: 14010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2098.506802
Acceptance Rate: 0.628471
Replacements: 8896
Total Samples: 14155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2098.024364
Acceptance Rate: 0.629443
Replacements: 8996
Total Samples: 14292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.709492
Acceptance Rate: 0.629681
Replacements: 9080
Total Samples: 14420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.483132
Acceptance Rate: 0.630090
Replacements: 9130
Total Samples: 14490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.482878
Acceptance Rate: 0.630321
Replacements: 9180
Total Samples: 14564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.411510
Acceptance Rate: 0.630335
Replacements: 9230
Total Samples: 14643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.516516
Acceptance Rate: 0.630563
Replacements: 9280
Total Samples: 14717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2087.513237
Acceptance Rate: 0.630746
Replacements: 9330
Total Samples: 14792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.827333
Acceptance Rate: 0.630800
Replacements: 9380
Total Samples: 14870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.366568
Acceptance Rate: 0.631445
Replacements: 9430
Total Samples: 14934
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.645325
Acceptance Rate: 0.631285
Replacements: 9480
Total Samples: 15017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.849655
Acceptance Rate: 0.631293
Replacements: 9530
Total Samples: 15096
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.439863
Acceptance Rate: 0.631426
Replacements: 9580
Total Samples: 15172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2053.402225
Acceptance Rate: 0.631641
Replacements: 9630
Total Samples: 15246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2047.146835
Acceptance Rate: 0.632266
Replacements: 9680
Total Samples: 15310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2041.728559
Acceptance Rate: 0.632147
Replacements: 9730
Total Samples: 15392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2037.168309
Acceptance Rate: 0.632232
Replacements: 9780
Total Samples: 15469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2032.166087
Acceptance Rate: 0.632317
Replacements: 9830
Total Samples: 15546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2027.599438
Acceptance Rate: 0.632441
Replacements: 9880
Total Samples: 15622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2023.836082
Acceptance Rate: 0.632404
Replacements: 9930
Total Samples: 15702
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2019.638248
Acceptance Rate: 0.632807
Replacements: 9980
Total Samples: 15771
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2015.993585
Acceptance Rate: 0.633207
Replacements: 10030
Total Samples: 15840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2011.815264
Acceptance Rate: 0.633524
Replacements: 10080
Total Samples: 15911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2008.513694
Acceptance Rate: 0.633363
Replacements: 10130
Total Samples: 15994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2005.168522
Acceptance Rate: 0.633952
Replacements: 10180
Total Samples: 16058
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2001.776248
Acceptance Rate: 0.634340
Replacements: 10230
Total Samples: 16127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1998.868435
Acceptance Rate: 0.634372
Replacements: 10280
Total Samples: 16205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1996.123527
Acceptance Rate: 0.634443
Replacements: 10330
Total Samples: 16282
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1993.655185
Acceptance Rate: 0.634397
Replacements: 10380
Total Samples: 16362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1990.919881
Acceptance Rate: 0.634312
Replacements: 10430
Total Samples: 16443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1987.923674
Acceptance Rate: 0.634421
Replacements: 10480
Total Samples: 16519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1985.848704
Acceptance Rate: 0.634758
Replacements: 10530
Total Samples: 16589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1983.927666
Acceptance Rate: 0.635054
Replacements: 10580
Total Samples: 16660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1981.762061
Acceptance Rate: 0.634930
Replacements: 10630
Total Samples: 16742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.526177
Acceptance Rate: 0.635298
Replacements: 10680
Total Samples: 16811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1977.450857
Acceptance Rate: 0.635513
Replacements: 10730
Total Samples: 16884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1975.421085
Acceptance Rate: 0.635801
Replacements: 10780
Total Samples: 16955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.663344
Acceptance Rate: 0.635262
Replacements: 10856
Total Samples: 17089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.882604
Acceptance Rate: 0.634684
Replacements: 10921
Total Samples: 17207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.122776
Acceptance Rate: 0.634786
Replacements: 10971
Total Samples: 17283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.939256
Acceptance Rate: 0.634997
Replacements: 11021
Total Samples: 17356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.235000
Acceptance Rate: 0.635534
Replacements: 11071
Total Samples: 17420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1965.237551
Acceptance Rate: 0.635740
Replacements: 11121
Total Samples: 17493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.170727
Acceptance Rate: 0.636198
Replacements: 11171
Total Samples: 17559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.065955
Acceptance Rate: 0.636255
Replacements: 11221
Total Samples: 17636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1962.063536
Acceptance Rate: 0.636240
Replacements: 11271
Total Samples: 17715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.035693
Acceptance Rate: 0.636261
Replacements: 11321
Total Samples: 17793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.052056
Acceptance Rate: 0.636353
Replacements: 11371
Total Samples: 17869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.051025
Acceptance Rate: 0.636232
Replacements: 11421
Total Samples: 17951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.957084
Acceptance Rate: 0.636600
Replacements: 11497
Total Samples: 18060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.005802
Acceptance Rate: 0.636428
Replacements: 11597
Total Samples: 18222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.200698
Acceptance Rate: 0.636675
Replacements: 11697
Total Samples: 18372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.993171
Acceptance Rate: 0.636781
Replacements: 11797
Total Samples: 18526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.362477
Acceptance Rate: 0.636671
Replacements: 11865
Total Samples: 18636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.119299
Acceptance Rate: 0.636655
Replacements: 11915
Total Samples: 18715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.882003
Acceptance Rate: 0.636775
Replacements: 11965
Total Samples: 18790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.489013
Acceptance Rate: 0.636725
Replacements: 12015
Total Samples: 18870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.002441
Acceptance Rate: 0.636944
Replacements: 12065
Total Samples: 18942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.475588
Acceptance Rate: 0.636794
Replacements: 12115
Total Samples: 19025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.973456
Acceptance Rate: 0.636911
Replacements: 12165
Total Samples: 19100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.513264
Acceptance Rate: 0.636529
Replacements: 12215
Total Samples: 19190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.106478
Acceptance Rate: 0.636482
Replacements: 12265
Total Samples: 19270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.736953
Acceptance Rate: 0.636994
Replacements: 12315
Total Samples: 19333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.389719
Acceptance Rate: 0.636912
Replacements: 12365
Total Samples: 19414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.073708
Acceptance Rate: 0.637189
Replacements: 12415
Total Samples: 19484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.798869
Acceptance Rate: 0.637140
Replacements: 12465
Total Samples: 19564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.545194
Acceptance Rate: 0.637058
Replacements: 12515
Total Samples: 19645
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.312890
Acceptance Rate: 0.636847
Replacements: 12565
Total Samples: 19730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.101599
Acceptance Rate: 0.636382
Replacements: 12615
Total Samples: 19823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.906691
Acceptance Rate: 0.635921
Replacements: 12665
Total Samples: 19916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.725035
Acceptance Rate: 0.635909
Replacements: 12715
Total Samples: 19995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.563104
Acceptance Rate: 0.635676
Replacements: 12765
Total Samples: 20081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.417526
Acceptance Rate: 0.635728
Replacements: 12815
Total Samples: 20158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.283257
Acceptance Rate: 0.635403
Replacements: 12865
Total Samples: 20247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.162486
Acceptance Rate: 0.635112
Replacements: 12915
Total Samples: 20335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.052479
Acceptance Rate: 0.634730
Replacements: 12965
Total Samples: 20426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.953654
Acceptance Rate: 0.634290
Replacements: 13015
Total Samples: 20519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.864806
Acceptance Rate: 0.633485
Replacements: 13065
Total Samples: 20624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.784277
Acceptance Rate: 0.632902
Replacements: 13115
Total Samples: 20722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.711134
Acceptance Rate: 0.631930
Replacements: 13165
Total Samples: 20833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.644109
Acceptance Rate: 0.631360
Replacements: 13215
Total Samples: 20931
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.582834
Acceptance Rate: 0.631006
Replacements: 13265
Total Samples: 21022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.526441
Acceptance Rate: 0.629729
Replacements: 13315
Total Samples: 21144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.474698
Acceptance Rate: 0.628912
Replacements: 13365
Total Samples: 21251
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.427371
Acceptance Rate: 0.628543
Replacements: 13415
Total Samples: 21343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.383960
Acceptance Rate: 0.628442
Replacements: 13465
Total Samples: 21426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.344784
Acceptance Rate: 0.627787
Replacements: 13515
Total Samples: 21528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.309525
Acceptance Rate: 0.627428
Replacements: 13565
Total Samples: 21620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.277745
Acceptance Rate: 0.627292
Replacements: 13579
Total Samples: 21647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.269397
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1943.9937765770999 +/- 0.21721347593260176
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 21647
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (4.12 -0.07 +0.16) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.56 -0.12 +0.28) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (6.21 -0.5 +0.23) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.14 +/- 0.06 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval1 | -641.762019 |
| n4_interval1 | -645.452842 |
| b0_interval1 | -673.946580 |
| total | -1961.161441 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3930.436196 |
| BIC | 3945.845014 |
| DIC | 3871.547948 |
| PDIC | 2.750916 |
| log(Z) | -844.265770 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.990991
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -162591.964734
Acceptance Rate: 0.980392
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10889.524803
Acceptance Rate: 0.974513
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1562.888736
Acceptance Rate: 0.957592
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1561.471732
Acceptance Rate: 0.930521
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.949685
Acceptance Rate: 0.908059
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.636328
Acceptance Rate: 0.875386
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.418421
Acceptance Rate: 0.856327
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.255169
Acceptance Rate: 0.842946
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.126969
Acceptance Rate: 0.834028
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.022155
Acceptance Rate: 0.822884
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.931797
Acceptance Rate: 0.805271
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1366
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.848553
Acceptance Rate: 0.801953
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.761262
Acceptance Rate: 0.797872
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.640844
Acceptance Rate: 0.790639
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.402569
Acceptance Rate: 0.783133
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1558.588120
Acceptance Rate: 0.781250
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1728
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1555.236306
Acceptance Rate: 0.770501
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1817
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1549.269702
Acceptance Rate: 0.768415
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1540.086845
Acceptance Rate: 0.761808
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1528.940266
Acceptance Rate: 0.756836
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1513.269046
Acceptance Rate: 0.755073
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1497.906678
Acceptance Rate: 0.753769
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1475.872263
Acceptance Rate: 0.753212
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1455.978459
Acceptance Rate: 0.752688
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1429.284275
Acceptance Rate: 0.747508
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1403.145548
Acceptance Rate: 0.742972
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1379.840145
Acceptance Rate: 0.740164
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2567
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1352.129704
Acceptance Rate: 0.736127
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.343419
Acceptance Rate: 0.730194
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1303.226189
Acceptance Rate: 0.727466
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1282.960858
Acceptance Rate: 0.724138
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1261.656653
Acceptance Rate: 0.721234
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.800458
Acceptance Rate: 0.718250
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1229.604594
Acceptance Rate: 0.720000
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1209.606041
Acceptance Rate: 0.717853
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1193.369766
Acceptance Rate: 0.714720
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1176.597999
Acceptance Rate: 0.714073
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1157.690518
Acceptance Rate: 0.712209
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1146.833412
Acceptance Rate: 0.711035
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1136.797805
Acceptance Rate: 0.709516
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1124.717775
Acceptance Rate: 0.707676
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1112.580394
Acceptance Rate: 0.702918
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3770
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1104.591695
Acceptance Rate: 0.699482
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1095.634809
Acceptance Rate: 0.694620
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1087.621554
Acceptance Rate: 0.690676
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4054
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1080.532375
Acceptance Rate: 0.688406
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1071.557216
Acceptance Rate: 0.686391
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4225
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1063.591245
Acceptance Rate: 0.684137
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1055.891335
Acceptance Rate: 0.679348
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1047.697094
Acceptance Rate: 0.676575
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1042.090810
Acceptance Rate: 0.674793
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1036.310294
Acceptance Rate: 0.672072
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1029.844825
Acceptance Rate: 0.670157
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1024.505727
Acceptance Rate: 0.667900
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1019.776098
Acceptance Rate: 0.663317
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1015.921678
Acceptance Rate: 0.659968
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1011.195843
Acceptance Rate: 0.656624
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1007.159984
Acceptance Rate: 0.653781
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5277
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1002.641110
Acceptance Rate: 0.650316
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -999.377948
Acceptance Rate: 0.649232
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -996.609294
Acceptance Rate: 0.647366
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -993.471786
Acceptance Rate: 0.645789
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -990.583426
Acceptance Rate: 0.645049
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5736
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -988.097598
Acceptance Rate: 0.642894
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -985.151526
Acceptance Rate: 0.640054
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -982.342533
Acceptance Rate: 0.636785
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -980.160153
Acceptance Rate: 0.634869
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -978.088786
Acceptance Rate: 0.633114
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -975.781719
Acceptance Rate: 0.631313
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -973.934566
Acceptance Rate: 0.630645
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -972.123208
Acceptance Rate: 0.628834
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -970.475823
Acceptance Rate: 0.628883
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -969.153821
Acceptance Rate: 0.628084
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -967.995031
Acceptance Rate: 0.623441
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6817
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -966.700071
Acceptance Rate: 0.621477
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -965.641637
Acceptance Rate: 0.619923
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -964.561755
Acceptance Rate: 0.618151
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -963.567991
Acceptance Rate: 0.616856
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -962.644762
Acceptance Rate: 0.615258
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -961.797363
Acceptance Rate: 0.611806
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -960.967018
Acceptance Rate: 0.609594
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -960.095936
Acceptance Rate: 0.608559
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -959.375216
Acceptance Rate: 0.606686
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.750602
Acceptance Rate: 0.605250
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.157642
Acceptance Rate: 0.604078
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7946
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.583697
Acceptance Rate: 0.601737
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.034943
Acceptance Rate: 0.601079
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.519673
Acceptance Rate: 0.600801
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.054524
Acceptance Rate: 0.599233
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.605859
Acceptance Rate: 0.598838
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.174709
Acceptance Rate: 0.598802
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8517
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.761998
Acceptance Rate: 0.598907
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.381582
Acceptance Rate: 0.596741
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.019917
Acceptance Rate: 0.595981
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.673483
Acceptance Rate: 0.595439
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.341760
Acceptance Rate: 0.594048
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.026717
Acceptance Rate: 0.592560
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.730400
Acceptance Rate: 0.591363
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.428474
Acceptance Rate: 0.590763
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.142879
Acceptance Rate: 0.589735
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.878503
Acceptance Rate: 0.588854
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.599520
Acceptance Rate: 0.588358
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.279046
Acceptance Rate: 0.588843
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -950.798362
Acceptance Rate: 0.588295
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9774
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -950.208428
Acceptance Rate: 0.587223
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9877
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -949.546618
Acceptance Rate: 0.587585
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -948.666982
Acceptance Rate: 0.587708
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -947.717618
Acceptance Rate: 0.588468
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -946.764880
Acceptance Rate: 0.588928
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -945.976243
Acceptance Rate: 0.588980
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10272
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -945.094273
Acceptance Rate: 0.588349
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -944.192273
Acceptance Rate: 0.588968
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -943.245244
Acceptance Rate: 0.587845
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -942.332449
Acceptance Rate: 0.587737
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -941.359251
Acceptance Rate: 0.587632
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -940.635149
Acceptance Rate: 0.587691
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10805
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -939.998287
Acceptance Rate: 0.587965
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -939.413716
Acceptance Rate: 0.588182
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -938.824407
Acceptance Rate: 0.588076
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -938.217384
Acceptance Rate: 0.588500
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -937.577594
Acceptance Rate: 0.589444
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -936.818077
Acceptance Rate: 0.589748
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -936.005107
Acceptance Rate: 0.589945
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -935.225854
Acceptance Rate: 0.590138
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -934.529963
Acceptance Rate: 0.590637
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.859884
Acceptance Rate: 0.590874
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.167621
Acceptance Rate: 0.590956
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -932.495880
Acceptance Rate: 0.590986
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -931.754805
Acceptance Rate: 0.591166
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -931.090848
Acceptance Rate: 0.592039
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.470412
Acceptance Rate: 0.591765
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.840377
Acceptance Rate: 0.591594
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.230750
Acceptance Rate: 0.592105
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -928.644562
Acceptance Rate: 0.592127
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -928.099217
Acceptance Rate: 0.591716
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -927.537156
Acceptance Rate: 0.592264
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.965299
Acceptance Rate: 0.592379
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.416450
Acceptance Rate: 0.592398
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12576
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.908689
Acceptance Rate: 0.593354
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.396025
Acceptance Rate: 0.593553
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12720
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.882281
Acceptance Rate: 0.594447
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.317181
Acceptance Rate: 0.594267
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.794007
Acceptance Rate: 0.594549
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.297364
Acceptance Rate: 0.594508
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.798059
Acceptance Rate: 0.595102
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.346186
Acceptance Rate: 0.596006
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.904225
Acceptance Rate: 0.596316
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.476034
Acceptance Rate: 0.596041
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.089954
Acceptance Rate: 0.596792
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.683064
Acceptance Rate: 0.596650
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.220407
Acceptance Rate: 0.597081
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13566
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.794097
Acceptance Rate: 0.597157
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.398264
Acceptance Rate: 0.597973
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.026443
Acceptance Rate: 0.598346
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.658132
Acceptance Rate: 0.599191
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.302408
Acceptance Rate: 0.599426
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.941922
Acceptance Rate: 0.599443
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.550786
Acceptance Rate: 0.599972
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.153699
Acceptance Rate: 0.600325
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.764249
Acceptance Rate: 0.600843
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.385555
Acceptance Rate: 0.601020
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.004361
Acceptance Rate: 0.601446
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.632176
Acceptance Rate: 0.601826
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.262859
Acceptance Rate: 0.602037
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.911201
Acceptance Rate: 0.601915
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.570952
Acceptance Rate: 0.602246
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.242807
Acceptance Rate: 0.602695
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.900450
Acceptance Rate: 0.602937
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.583388
Acceptance Rate: 0.602975
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.286867
Acceptance Rate: 0.603012
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.998951
Acceptance Rate: 0.603408
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.716950
Acceptance Rate: 0.603960
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15150
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.453857
Acceptance Rate: 0.604111
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.212706
Acceptance Rate: 0.604378
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.979995
Acceptance Rate: 0.604642
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.758768
Acceptance Rate: 0.604787
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.537348
Acceptance Rate: 0.605007
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.327066
Acceptance Rate: 0.604877
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.129924
Acceptance Rate: 0.604903
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15705
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.933532
Acceptance Rate: 0.605043
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.745664
Acceptance Rate: 0.604648
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15877
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.565271
Acceptance Rate: 0.604674
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.385370
Acceptance Rate: 0.603985
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.217755
Acceptance Rate: 0.604164
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.059921
Acceptance Rate: 0.604230
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.912248
Acceptance Rate: 0.604814
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16286
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.772722
Acceptance Rate: 0.604765
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.643418
Acceptance Rate: 0.604900
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.517990
Acceptance Rate: 0.605473
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.395847
Acceptance Rate: 0.605568
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.283184
Acceptance Rate: 0.605915
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.175968
Acceptance Rate: 0.606187
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.072715
Acceptance Rate: 0.606313
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.973049
Acceptance Rate: 0.605756
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.879686
Acceptance Rate: 0.606132
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.791124
Acceptance Rate: 0.606398
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 17068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.708120
Acceptance Rate: 0.606626
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 17144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.629180
Acceptance Rate: 0.606747
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 17223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.555472
Acceptance Rate: 0.606341
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 17317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.487076
Acceptance Rate: 0.606322
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 17400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.424242
Acceptance Rate: 0.606061
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 17490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.365428
Acceptance Rate: 0.606112
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 17571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.310259
Acceptance Rate: 0.606129
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 17653
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.258124
Acceptance Rate: 0.606454
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 17726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.208338
Acceptance Rate: 0.607049
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 17791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.160483
Acceptance Rate: 0.607061
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 17873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.115653
Acceptance Rate: 0.607344
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 17947
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.073473
Acceptance Rate: 0.607692
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 18019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.033241
Acceptance Rate: 0.607701
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 18101
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.995059
Acceptance Rate: 0.607777
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 18181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.958876
Acceptance Rate: 0.608119
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 18253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.924446
Acceptance Rate: 0.608791
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 18315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.891196
Acceptance Rate: 0.609027
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 18390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.858560
Acceptance Rate: 0.609228
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 18466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.826435
Acceptance Rate: 0.609789
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 18531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.795391
Acceptance Rate: 0.610149
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 18602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.766062
Acceptance Rate: 0.610344
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 18678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.737908
Acceptance Rate: 0.610862
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 18744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.711049
Acceptance Rate: 0.611182
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 18816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.685475
Acceptance Rate: 0.611370
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 18892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.661330
Acceptance Rate: 0.611943
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 18956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.638641
Acceptance Rate: 0.611998
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 19036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.617233
Acceptance Rate: 0.612245
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 19110
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.597306
Acceptance Rate: 0.612490
Replacements: 11750
Total Samples: 19184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.578639
Acceptance Rate: 0.613083
Replacements: 11800
Total Samples: 19247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.561154
Acceptance Rate: 0.613354
Replacements: 11850
Total Samples: 19320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.544847
Acceptance Rate: 0.613339
Replacements: 11900
Total Samples: 19402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.529597
Acceptance Rate: 0.613859
Replacements: 11950
Total Samples: 19467
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.515193
Acceptance Rate: 0.614093
Replacements: 12000
Total Samples: 19541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.501606
Acceptance Rate: 0.614300
Replacements: 12028
Total Samples: 19580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.494336
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -907.32172097439172 +/- 0.19537099004560041
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19580
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.513 -0.034 +0.4) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.053 -0.029 +0.10 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (5.9 -1.8 +0.5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.88 -0.09 +0.08 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval2 | -289.182701 |
| n4_interval2 | -312.273199 |
| b0_interval2 | -324.517091 |
| total | -925.972991 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1860.059296 |
| BIC | 1875.468113 |
| DIC | 1803.950131 |
| PDIC | 2.243161 |
| log(Z) | -394.044817 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -166474.451750
Acceptance Rate: 0.981997
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4937.996776
Acceptance Rate: 0.958702
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1271.911467
Acceptance Rate: 0.930851
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.936223
Acceptance Rate: 0.889680
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.489213
Acceptance Rate: 0.862069
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.206906
Acceptance Rate: 0.842418
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.005883
Acceptance Rate: 0.803571
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.853169
Acceptance Rate: 0.785773
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.732081
Acceptance Rate: 0.779423
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.632696
Acceptance Rate: 0.774908
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.547480
Acceptance Rate: 0.770308
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.468186
Acceptance Rate: 0.764120
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1505
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.385478
Acceptance Rate: 0.753296
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.273242
Acceptance Rate: 0.747161
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.051315
Acceptance Rate: 0.745413
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1268.491988
Acceptance Rate: 0.738916
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1266.692299
Acceptance Rate: 0.735294
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1261.028276
Acceptance Rate: 0.734921
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1253.855768
Acceptance Rate: 0.733138
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.123539
Acceptance Rate: 0.726336
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1231.743209
Acceptance Rate: 0.724638
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1217.379426
Acceptance Rate: 0.719581
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1199.496836
Acceptance Rate: 0.714886
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1184.012675
Acceptance Rate: 0.713412
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1164.354349
Acceptance Rate: 0.708104
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2542
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1144.548135
Acceptance Rate: 0.705837
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1122.436421
Acceptance Rate: 0.699816
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1107.115314
Acceptance Rate: 0.699928
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1090.129813
Acceptance Rate: 0.696379
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1072.949587
Acceptance Rate: 0.692100
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1053.485259
Acceptance Rate: 0.688976
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1040.441346
Acceptance Rate: 0.686243
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1028.258653
Acceptance Rate: 0.686427
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1018.254081
Acceptance Rate: 0.684515
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1009.373232
Acceptance Rate: 0.682493
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -997.339560
Acceptance Rate: 0.683140
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -985.719899
Acceptance Rate: 0.679309
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -975.686081
Acceptance Rate: 0.678482
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -964.828409
Acceptance Rate: 0.677323
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.632256
Acceptance Rate: 0.675139
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -946.739707
Acceptance Rate: 0.671488
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -939.744429
Acceptance Rate: 0.668180
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.814202
Acceptance Rate: 0.665680
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -927.321749
Acceptance Rate: 0.664572
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.258729
Acceptance Rate: 0.663664
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.177289
Acceptance Rate: 0.662021
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.020907
Acceptance Rate: 0.659841
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -901.935371
Acceptance Rate: 0.658923
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -897.128808
Acceptance Rate: 0.658183
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -892.307155
Acceptance Rate: 0.657044
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -888.396947
Acceptance Rate: 0.657197
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -884.385271
Acceptance Rate: 0.655158
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -879.712366
Acceptance Rate: 0.653461
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.919719
Acceptance Rate: 0.650651
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.180551
Acceptance Rate: 0.648840
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -867.659080
Acceptance Rate: 0.646718
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5180
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -864.913320
Acceptance Rate: 0.645651
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -861.994646
Acceptance Rate: 0.643897
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -859.540352
Acceptance Rate: 0.641613
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -857.412438
Acceptance Rate: 0.639986
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -855.208103
Acceptance Rate: 0.639773
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -853.187329
Acceptance Rate: 0.639229
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.995397
Acceptance Rate: 0.637162
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.733677
Acceptance Rate: 0.636024
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.618855
Acceptance Rate: 0.635133
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.845478
Acceptance Rate: 0.632392
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -843.244285
Acceptance Rate: 0.631784
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -841.952515
Acceptance Rate: 0.628881
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -840.831913
Acceptance Rate: 0.628239
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.693075
Acceptance Rate: 0.626838
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6461
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.569956
Acceptance Rate: 0.626432
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.391170
Acceptance Rate: 0.624624
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6644
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.329165
Acceptance Rate: 0.624257
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6728
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.394481
Acceptance Rate: 0.622255
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.550370
Acceptance Rate: 0.620759
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.652121
Acceptance Rate: 0.620896
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.779199
Acceptance Rate: 0.619980
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.907836
Acceptance Rate: 0.617712
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.112767
Acceptance Rate: 0.616101
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.340192
Acceptance Rate: 0.614616
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.550475
Acceptance Rate: 0.613497
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.899617
Acceptance Rate: 0.613133
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.260903
Acceptance Rate: 0.612458
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.631864
Acceptance Rate: 0.611798
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.996951
Acceptance Rate: 0.611387
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7851
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.413988
Acceptance Rate: 0.610370
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7946
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.896145
Acceptance Rate: 0.609908
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.408355
Acceptance Rate: 0.609306
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.949817
Acceptance Rate: 0.607607
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.508761
Acceptance Rate: 0.605661
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.072895
Acceptance Rate: 0.604051
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.673822
Acceptance Rate: 0.602128
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.278843
Acceptance Rate: 0.600046
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8666
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.852327
Acceptance Rate: 0.597882
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.236401
Acceptance Rate: 0.596243
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8889
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.210907
Acceptance Rate: 0.595238
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.954292
Acceptance Rate: 0.593211
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.865045
Acceptance Rate: 0.592585
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.831102
Acceptance Rate: 0.591589
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.700371
Acceptance Rate: 0.589360
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.523282
Acceptance Rate: 0.588483
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.436592
Acceptance Rate: 0.587990
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.472884
Acceptance Rate: 0.586782
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.512804
Acceptance Rate: 0.585659
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.498914
Acceptance Rate: 0.585504
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.579269
Acceptance Rate: 0.584532
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.625720
Acceptance Rate: 0.583350
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.729591
Acceptance Rate: 0.582021
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.715825
Acceptance Rate: 0.581283
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.885391
Acceptance Rate: 0.580614
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.089904
Acceptance Rate: 0.579683
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10523
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.405719
Acceptance Rate: 0.579260
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.731302
Acceptance Rate: 0.578412
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.123785
Acceptance Rate: 0.578436
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10805
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.509916
Acceptance Rate: 0.577770
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.997379
Acceptance Rate: 0.577430
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.492478
Acceptance Rate: 0.576836
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.006436
Acceptance Rate: 0.576975
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.527307
Acceptance Rate: 0.576701
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.082625
Acceptance Rate: 0.575976
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.634439
Acceptance Rate: 0.575816
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11462
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.207733
Acceptance Rate: 0.574862
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.799852
Acceptance Rate: 0.574614
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.374632
Acceptance Rate: 0.574566
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.996427
Acceptance Rate: 0.573937
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.633882
Acceptance Rate: 0.573558
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11943
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.247729
Acceptance Rate: 0.572519
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 12052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.849660
Acceptance Rate: 0.572111
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.476182
Acceptance Rate: 0.571895
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.140644
Acceptance Rate: 0.571869
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12328
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.833671
Acceptance Rate: 0.571521
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12423
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.532115
Acceptance Rate: 0.571086
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.241033
Acceptance Rate: 0.570930
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.952541
Acceptance Rate: 0.571001
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.678265
Acceptance Rate: 0.570937
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.400578
Acceptance Rate: 0.570342
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.143457
Acceptance Rate: 0.569581
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.884501
Acceptance Rate: 0.570008
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 13070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.621091
Acceptance Rate: 0.570603
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 13144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.356309
Acceptance Rate: 0.570328
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 13238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.103301
Acceptance Rate: 0.569972
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.865066
Acceptance Rate: 0.569620
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.634020
Acceptance Rate: 0.569148
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.406402
Acceptance Rate: 0.569183
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.194783
Acceptance Rate: 0.568389
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.003957
Acceptance Rate: 0.568264
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.815221
Acceptance Rate: 0.568223
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.633864
Acceptance Rate: 0.568670
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.465611
Acceptance Rate: 0.568747
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 14066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.300441
Acceptance Rate: 0.569106
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 14145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.146088
Acceptance Rate: 0.569580
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 14221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.002951
Acceptance Rate: 0.569771
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 14304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.867425
Acceptance Rate: 0.569761
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.734323
Acceptance Rate: 0.569830
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.606495
Acceptance Rate: 0.570016
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.486068
Acceptance Rate: 0.570277
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.371750
Acceptance Rate: 0.570381
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.260461
Acceptance Rate: 0.570560
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14810
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.150517
Acceptance Rate: 0.570278
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.043921
Acceptance Rate: 0.570266
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.942987
Acceptance Rate: 0.570216
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 15082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.847385
Acceptance Rate: 0.570392
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 15165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.756976
Acceptance Rate: 0.570380
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 15253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.667684
Acceptance Rate: 0.570776
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.580899
Acceptance Rate: 0.570798
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 15417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.496978
Acceptance Rate: 0.571152
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 15495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.416902
Acceptance Rate: 0.571319
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 15578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.341104
Acceptance Rate: 0.571995
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 15647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.269023
Acceptance Rate: 0.571828
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.199387
Acceptance Rate: 0.571338
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.133124
Acceptance Rate: 0.571213
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15931
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.069494
Acceptance Rate: 0.571161
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 16020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.009591
Acceptance Rate: 0.571358
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 16102
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.953363
Acceptance Rate: 0.571376
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 16189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.901144
Acceptance Rate: 0.572026
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 16258
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.852513
Acceptance Rate: 0.572075
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 16344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.806750
Acceptance Rate: 0.572229
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 16427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.762866
Acceptance Rate: 0.572519
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 16506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.721856
Acceptance Rate: 0.572324
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 16599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.682912
Acceptance Rate: 0.572302
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.646817
Acceptance Rate: 0.572041
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.613224
Acceptance Rate: 0.572496
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.581287
Acceptance Rate: 0.572305
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.550801
Acceptance Rate: 0.572116
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 17042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.521444
Acceptance Rate: 0.572196
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 17127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.494091
Acceptance Rate: 0.572808
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 17196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.468694
Acceptance Rate: 0.573282
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 17269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.444893
Acceptance Rate: 0.573223
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 17358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.422570
Acceptance Rate: 0.573362
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.401805
Acceptance Rate: 0.573565
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.382189
Acceptance Rate: 0.573554
Replacements: 10098
Total Samples: 17606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.364557
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -789.14409448307424 +/- 0.17781632756886670
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 17606
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.89 -0.15 +0.6) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.2 -0.5 +1.4) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.40 -0.8 +0.35) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.22 -0.04 +0.26 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval3 | -242.472738 |
| n4_interval3 | -262.542221 |
| b0_interval3 | -298.400632 |
| total | -803.415591 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1614.944496 |
| BIC | 1630.353314 |
| DIC | 1569.953205 |
| PDIC | 2.625555 |
| log(Z) | -342.720926 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.994575
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.983607
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -242830.065580
Acceptance Rate: 0.974513
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -16789.593821
Acceptance Rate: 0.962861
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6233.689888
Acceptance Rate: 0.936330
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.834442
Acceptance Rate: 0.920598
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.415571
Acceptance Rate: 0.895680
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.145645
Acceptance Rate: 0.867052
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1038
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.951121
Acceptance Rate: 0.848972
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.800850
Acceptance Rate: 0.839631
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.676950
Acceptance Rate: 0.827423
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.566006
Acceptance Rate: 0.816630
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.441879
Acceptance Rate: 0.805886
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.227937
Acceptance Rate: 0.801603
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6230.496080
Acceptance Rate: 0.787650
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6227.215213
Acceptance Rate: 0.782661
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6220.531662
Acceptance Rate: 0.775862
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6203.671343
Acceptance Rate: 0.767544
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6171.701143
Acceptance Rate: 0.765576
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6120.346878
Acceptance Rate: 0.762970
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6063.195390
Acceptance Rate: 0.759060
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5968.801398
Acceptance Rate: 0.752941
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5880.534387
Acceptance Rate: 0.749319
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5718.072288
Acceptance Rate: 0.746924
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5589.506032
Acceptance Rate: 0.744681
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5450.193314
Acceptance Rate: 0.740741
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5301.738100
Acceptance Rate: 0.736172
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5172.120081
Acceptance Rate: 0.734441
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5038.641736
Acceptance Rate: 0.735017
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2653
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4894.935570
Acceptance Rate: 0.734484
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4748.511495
Acceptance Rate: 0.732666
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4649.668726
Acceptance Rate: 0.728155
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4535.469189
Acceptance Rate: 0.723175
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4423.282513
Acceptance Rate: 0.717547
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4320.216780
Acceptance Rate: 0.711350
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4222.463658
Acceptance Rate: 0.707692
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4160.554589
Acceptance Rate: 0.703593
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4058.892674
Acceptance Rate: 0.698080
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3957.904300
Acceptance Rate: 0.695233
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3891.607204
Acceptance Rate: 0.692713
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3813.742562
Acceptance Rate: 0.688445
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3704
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3737.268716
Acceptance Rate: 0.687285
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3783
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3672.415891
Acceptance Rate: 0.685640
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3592.631167
Acceptance Rate: 0.683198
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3952
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3540.759612
Acceptance Rate: 0.681537
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3484.168092
Acceptance Rate: 0.678788
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3438.238062
Acceptance Rate: 0.672011
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3385.349389
Acceptance Rate: 0.668973
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3342.179888
Acceptance Rate: 0.665163
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3301.459302
Acceptance Rate: 0.662983
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3250.197814
Acceptance Rate: 0.662180
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3213.470136
Acceptance Rate: 0.660840
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3186.718985
Acceptance Rate: 0.659134
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3153.957810
Acceptance Rate: 0.656007
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3120.363290
Acceptance Rate: 0.653660
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3083.111022
Acceptance Rate: 0.652819
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3054.880157
Acceptance Rate: 0.650991
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3025.569336
Acceptance Rate: 0.646265
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3000.426915
Acceptance Rate: 0.643777
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2980.617220
Acceptance Rate: 0.642202
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2957.530747
Acceptance Rate: 0.639986
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2938.857633
Acceptance Rate: 0.638298
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2921.083933
Acceptance Rate: 0.635556
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2899.702899
Acceptance Rate: 0.633670
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2883.357330
Acceptance Rate: 0.632165
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2864.641898
Acceptance Rate: 0.628931
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2847.268770
Acceptance Rate: 0.628469
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6126
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2830.118771
Acceptance Rate: 0.627312
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2818.339388
Acceptance Rate: 0.625990
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2803.615559
Acceptance Rate: 0.624610
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2790.377489
Acceptance Rate: 0.624229
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2779.146609
Acceptance Rate: 0.622911
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2768.139863
Acceptance Rate: 0.621816
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2757.546786
Acceptance Rate: 0.617920
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6797
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2746.145393
Acceptance Rate: 0.617374
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2736.289928
Acceptance Rate: 0.615517
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6986
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2728.090797
Acceptance Rate: 0.614320
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2719.944488
Acceptance Rate: 0.613070
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7177
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2712.166145
Acceptance Rate: 0.610593
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2706.537362
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2700.807095
Acceptance Rate: 0.608940
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2695.186288
Acceptance Rate: 0.608707
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2689.188900
Acceptance Rate: 0.608002
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2682.740539
Acceptance Rate: 0.607942
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2676.964554
Acceptance Rate: 0.605096
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2672.359430
Acceptance Rate: 0.602485
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2667.592590
Acceptance Rate: 0.601140
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2662.701566
Acceptance Rate: 0.600490
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2658.408417
Acceptance Rate: 0.598549
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2654.158592
Acceptance Rate: 0.597372
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2650.747214
Acceptance Rate: 0.595028
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2646.133803
Acceptance Rate: 0.594198
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8583
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2640.941531
Acceptance Rate: 0.594208
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2629.379897
Acceptance Rate: 0.593946
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2616.857462
Acceptance Rate: 0.594497
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2604.730655
Acceptance Rate: 0.594037
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2593.375011
Acceptance Rate: 0.592470
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2580.124713
Acceptance Rate: 0.592820
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2566.380489
Acceptance Rate: 0.591555
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2555.499729
Acceptance Rate: 0.589749
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2543.301603
Acceptance Rate: 0.589735
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2533.412627
Acceptance Rate: 0.588297
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2524.674136
Acceptance Rate: 0.587501
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2515.446250
Acceptance Rate: 0.586299
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2504.375942
Acceptance Rate: 0.586077
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2494.126462
Acceptance Rate: 0.585326
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2486.990753
Acceptance Rate: 0.584299
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2479.516002
Acceptance Rate: 0.583812
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2472.299611
Acceptance Rate: 0.584020
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2464.578556
Acceptance Rate: 0.583998
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2456.812957
Acceptance Rate: 0.584202
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2447.008405
Acceptance Rate: 0.584851
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2438.547042
Acceptance Rate: 0.584990
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2432.623744
Acceptance Rate: 0.584299
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2425.584494
Acceptance Rate: 0.584167
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2418.920002
Acceptance Rate: 0.583982
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2412.462037
Acceptance Rate: 0.583050
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2406.384424
Acceptance Rate: 0.582772
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2400.897869
Acceptance Rate: 0.581972
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2394.617417
Acceptance Rate: 0.582020
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2389.628270
Acceptance Rate: 0.582015
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2384.339974
Acceptance Rate: 0.581805
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2378.262506
Acceptance Rate: 0.581802
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11430
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2373.185739
Acceptance Rate: 0.581648
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2368.816662
Acceptance Rate: 0.581796
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2364.741091
Acceptance Rate: 0.581296
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11698
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2361.410124
Acceptance Rate: 0.581593
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2357.304607
Acceptance Rate: 0.581444
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11867
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2353.445470
Acceptance Rate: 0.582223
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2349.505186
Acceptance Rate: 0.581830
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2345.947584
Acceptance Rate: 0.581731
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2342.782781
Acceptance Rate: 0.581443
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12211
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2339.773788
Acceptance Rate: 0.581017
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12306
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2336.712409
Acceptance Rate: 0.581208
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2334.278025
Acceptance Rate: 0.581023
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2331.892181
Acceptance Rate: 0.580655
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2329.351834
Acceptance Rate: 0.581120
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2326.996506
Acceptance Rate: 0.581304
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2324.799075
Acceptance Rate: 0.581395
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2322.426271
Acceptance Rate: 0.581892
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12889
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2320.288318
Acceptance Rate: 0.582607
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2317.833938
Acceptance Rate: 0.583538
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2315.561688
Acceptance Rate: 0.583791
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2313.751673
Acceptance Rate: 0.583157
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2311.708910
Acceptance Rate: 0.583145
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2309.729487
Acceptance Rate: 0.583396
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2307.883607
Acceptance Rate: 0.583383
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2306.017522
Acceptance Rate: 0.583543
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2304.278569
Acceptance Rate: 0.583958
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2302.593932
Acceptance Rate: 0.583942
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2301.129980
Acceptance Rate: 0.583799
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2299.566791
Acceptance Rate: 0.584163
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2298.064065
Acceptance Rate: 0.584104
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2296.844022
Acceptance Rate: 0.583215
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2295.680640
Acceptance Rate: 0.582709
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2294.554725
Acceptance Rate: 0.582947
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2293.512407
Acceptance Rate: 0.582572
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2292.387407
Acceptance Rate: 0.582403
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14423
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.300614
Acceptance Rate: 0.582759
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2290.383028
Acceptance Rate: 0.582391
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14595
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2289.487166
Acceptance Rate: 0.582544
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2288.560655
Acceptance Rate: 0.582577
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.685796
Acceptance Rate: 0.582688
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2286.832742
Acceptance Rate: 0.582563
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14934
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2286.076512
Acceptance Rate: 0.581782
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2285.308327
Acceptance Rate: 0.581357
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 15137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2284.550592
Acceptance Rate: 0.581090
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 15230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2283.900052
Acceptance Rate: 0.581319
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 15310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2283.283839
Acceptance Rate: 0.580942
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 15406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.713849
Acceptance Rate: 0.580983
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.136008
Acceptance Rate: 0.581022
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15576
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.586449
Acceptance Rate: 0.580431
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.040121
Acceptance Rate: 0.579995
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.464666
Acceptance Rate: 0.579564
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.941517
Acceptance Rate: 0.579647
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.476380
Acceptance Rate: 0.579367
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 16052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.060050
Acceptance Rate: 0.578339
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 16167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.668615
Acceptance Rate: 0.578462
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 16250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.313328
Acceptance Rate: 0.578371
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 16339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.976470
Acceptance Rate: 0.577964
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 16437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.651648
Acceptance Rate: 0.577283
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.336529
Acceptance Rate: 0.576992
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.020958
Acceptance Rate: 0.575810
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.714047
Acceptance Rate: 0.575122
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.428785
Acceptance Rate: 0.574543
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.134278
Acceptance Rate: 0.574140
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 17069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.838890
Acceptance Rate: 0.573708
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 17169
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.547098
Acceptance Rate: 0.573713
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 17256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.283001
Acceptance Rate: 0.574215
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 17328
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.041048
Acceptance Rate: 0.574284
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.805432
Acceptance Rate: 0.573991
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17509
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.581529
Acceptance Rate: 0.573635
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.359697
Acceptance Rate: 0.573608
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 17695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.150218
Acceptance Rate: 0.573388
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 17789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.952122
Acceptance Rate: 0.572754
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 17896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.762978
Acceptance Rate: 0.572381
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 17995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.586713
Acceptance Rate: 0.572392
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 18082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.427737
Acceptance Rate: 0.571931
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 18184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.274212
Acceptance Rate: 0.571288
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 18292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.126967
Acceptance Rate: 0.571056
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 18387
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.992239
Acceptance Rate: 0.570949
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 18478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.861708
Acceptance Rate: 0.570629
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 18576
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.737568
Acceptance Rate: 0.569915
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 18687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.619157
Acceptance Rate: 0.569300
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 18795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.507389
Acceptance Rate: 0.568663
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 18904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.399491
Acceptance Rate: 0.567764
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 19022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.297454
Acceptance Rate: 0.567528
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 19118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.201143
Acceptance Rate: 0.567088
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 19221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.112831
Acceptance Rate: 0.566888
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 19316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.030247
Acceptance Rate: 0.566864
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 19405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.952540
Acceptance Rate: 0.566667
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 19500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.879501
Acceptance Rate: 0.566847
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 19582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.811340
Acceptance Rate: 0.566940
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 19667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.748357
Acceptance Rate: 0.567117
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 19749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.690597
Acceptance Rate: 0.567151
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 19836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.637290
Acceptance Rate: 0.566899
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 19933
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.587130
Acceptance Rate: 0.566622
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 20031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.540470
Acceptance Rate: 0.566066
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 20139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.497097
Acceptance Rate: 0.565991
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 20230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.456535
Acceptance Rate: 0.565861
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 20323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.418105
Acceptance Rate: 0.565511
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 20424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.382236
Acceptance Rate: 0.565771
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 20503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.349019
Acceptance Rate: 0.565424
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 20604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.318118
Acceptance Rate: 0.564073
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 20742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.289096
Acceptance Rate: 0.563630
Replacements: 11750
Total Samples: 20847
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.262131
Acceptance Rate: 0.563434
Replacements: 11800
Total Samples: 20943
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.237169
Acceptance Rate: 0.563427
Replacements: 11850
Total Samples: 21032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.213993
Acceptance Rate: 0.562814
Replacements: 11881
Total Samples: 21110
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.200352
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -2270.9406807783116 +/- 0.19921790504773543
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 21110
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.06 -0.07 +0.13) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.76 -0.25 +0.4) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.96 -0.4 +0.29) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.95 -0.10 +0.06 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval4 | -757.069307 |
| n4_interval4 | -746.718905 |
| b0_interval4 | -778.511801 |
| total | -2282.300013 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4572.713340 |
| BIC | 4588.122158 |
| DIC | 4527.173390 |
| PDIC | 3.188424 |
| log(Z) | -986.257006 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.994575
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -487939.186995
Acceptance Rate: 0.980392
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -44878.275913
Acceptance Rate: 0.971599
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3702.529965
Acceptance Rate: 0.948509
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 738
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3700.345855
Acceptance Rate: 0.922509
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.756409
Acceptance Rate: 0.901917
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.417773
Acceptance Rate: 0.878099
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.186599
Acceptance Rate: 0.861244
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.014805
Acceptance Rate: 0.848972
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.878958
Acceptance Rate: 0.829187
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1206
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.759650
Acceptance Rate: 0.818394
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.638262
Acceptance Rate: 0.805861
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.492040
Acceptance Rate: 0.799722
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.260324
Acceptance Rate: 0.789474
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3697.463771
Acceptance Rate: 0.786658
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3693.613700
Acceptance Rate: 0.774732
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3684.130846
Acceptance Rate: 0.768793
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3670.762373
Acceptance Rate: 0.760870
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3653.639430
Acceptance Rate: 0.759560
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3627.116571
Acceptance Rate: 0.753769
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3589.595339
Acceptance Rate: 0.752062
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3540.743986
Acceptance Rate: 0.748713
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3478.314757
Acceptance Rate: 0.746606
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2210
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3421.464567
Acceptance Rate: 0.734341
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3346.405346
Acceptance Rate: 0.730994
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3278.024487
Acceptance Rate: 0.726099
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3207.308919
Acceptance Rate: 0.726060
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3138.804829
Acceptance Rate: 0.724085
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3046.896094
Acceptance Rate: 0.719292
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2975.314631
Acceptance Rate: 0.716076
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2915.108836
Acceptance Rate: 0.710572
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2867.812651
Acceptance Rate: 0.708024
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2808.053586
Acceptance Rate: 0.703764
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2745.506250
Acceptance Rate: 0.701307
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2694.890026
Acceptance Rate: 0.702028
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2632.272317
Acceptance Rate: 0.702934
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3272
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2586.426092
Acceptance Rate: 0.700238
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2544.898742
Acceptance Rate: 0.701344
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2494.105612
Acceptance Rate: 0.700801
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2453.683854
Acceptance Rate: 0.696767
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2411.046304
Acceptance Rate: 0.693123
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2371.240611
Acceptance Rate: 0.689655
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3770
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2338.819505
Acceptance Rate: 0.686884
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3858
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2305.130766
Acceptance Rate: 0.685279
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.445909
Acceptance Rate: 0.682213
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2252.815648
Acceptance Rate: 0.678130
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2226.299975
Acceptance Rate: 0.673440
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2205.009088
Acceptance Rate: 0.668973
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2186.478477
Acceptance Rate: 0.668177
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4415
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2162.892715
Acceptance Rate: 0.665779
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2136.318812
Acceptance Rate: 0.663332
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4598
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2116.027094
Acceptance Rate: 0.659434
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.315853
Acceptance Rate: 0.658307
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.218037
Acceptance Rate: 0.656276
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.621089
Acceptance Rate: 0.655638
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2044.150188
Acceptance Rate: 0.653077
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2023.031517
Acceptance Rate: 0.651497
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5142
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2007.221753
Acceptance Rate: 0.650718
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5225
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1994.159471
Acceptance Rate: 0.648740
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.613737
Acceptance Rate: 0.648629
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.958527
Acceptance Rate: 0.647220
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.769793
Acceptance Rate: 0.646552
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.246119
Acceptance Rate: 0.643739
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5670
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1931.539516
Acceptance Rate: 0.642473
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1922.176804
Acceptance Rate: 0.641355
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5847
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1914.242792
Acceptance Rate: 0.638441
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5952
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1905.897311
Acceptance Rate: 0.635628
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1897.473348
Acceptance Rate: 0.633220
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.447427
Acceptance Rate: 0.631091
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.570666
Acceptance Rate: 0.630716
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1877.190460
Acceptance Rate: 0.629468
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1870.627373
Acceptance Rate: 0.628160
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1864.359932
Acceptance Rate: 0.626415
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1859.788421
Acceptance Rate: 0.624071
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1855.219868
Acceptance Rate: 0.622346
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1850.995617
Acceptance Rate: 0.622106
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1846.848460
Acceptance Rate: 0.621962
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1843.329689
Acceptance Rate: 0.622348
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1839.419862
Acceptance Rate: 0.621248
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1835.507959
Acceptance Rate: 0.620861
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1831.632441
Acceptance Rate: 0.619469
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1827.876644
Acceptance Rate: 0.619028
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1824.867292
Acceptance Rate: 0.617858
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1822.056975
Acceptance Rate: 0.615425
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.069250
Acceptance Rate: 0.614887
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1815.912175
Acceptance Rate: 0.613027
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1813.110824
Acceptance Rate: 0.611756
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1810.558321
Acceptance Rate: 0.610516
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1808.412087
Acceptance Rate: 0.607735
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1806.339812
Acceptance Rate: 0.606428
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1804.346992
Acceptance Rate: 0.606097
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8332
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1802.252165
Acceptance Rate: 0.606133
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1800.548912
Acceptance Rate: 0.604460
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1797.941947
Acceptance Rate: 0.604019
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1794.597782
Acceptance Rate: 0.603379
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1788.956866
Acceptance Rate: 0.603645
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.208187
Acceptance Rate: 0.601664
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1775.502742
Acceptance Rate: 0.601002
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.240243
Acceptance Rate: 0.600551
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.557368
Acceptance Rate: 0.599913
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.896486
Acceptance Rate: 0.599676
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1752.487641
Acceptance Rate: 0.599251
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1745.879655
Acceptance Rate: 0.598390
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1739.905307
Acceptance Rate: 0.598425
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1734.457740
Acceptance Rate: 0.597527
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1728.827363
Acceptance Rate: 0.597445
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1723.043248
Acceptance Rate: 0.597487
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1716.549437
Acceptance Rate: 0.596683
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1709.912123
Acceptance Rate: 0.596252
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1705.268074
Acceptance Rate: 0.596421
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1700.493180
Acceptance Rate: 0.595180
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1695.781240
Acceptance Rate: 0.594948
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1691.262736
Acceptance Rate: 0.594835
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1687.387942
Acceptance Rate: 0.595124
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10418
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1682.896581
Acceptance Rate: 0.594615
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10511
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1677.525562
Acceptance Rate: 0.594115
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1673.134831
Acceptance Rate: 0.592682
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1669.089474
Acceptance Rate: 0.592209
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1665.112674
Acceptance Rate: 0.590930
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1661.875165
Acceptance Rate: 0.591447
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1659.105588
Acceptance Rate: 0.591529
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1655.481900
Acceptance Rate: 0.592034
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1651.517154
Acceptance Rate: 0.592480
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1648.185061
Acceptance Rate: 0.592763
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1645.332764
Acceptance Rate: 0.592417
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1642.651658
Acceptance Rate: 0.592334
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1639.389870
Acceptance Rate: 0.592151
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1636.714695
Acceptance Rate: 0.592631
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1634.633463
Acceptance Rate: 0.592751
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1632.586685
Acceptance Rate: 0.593371
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11797
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1629.923229
Acceptance Rate: 0.593085
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1627.954126
Acceptance Rate: 0.593348
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1626.124248
Acceptance Rate: 0.593706
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1624.309299
Acceptance Rate: 0.593619
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1622.589586
Acceptance Rate: 0.593678
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12212
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1620.898757
Acceptance Rate: 0.594124
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1619.346057
Acceptance Rate: 0.594612
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1617.599553
Acceptance Rate: 0.594712
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1616.081334
Acceptance Rate: 0.594431
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1614.369262
Acceptance Rate: 0.594625
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1612.523910
Acceptance Rate: 0.595097
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1610.964694
Acceptance Rate: 0.595798
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1609.540953
Acceptance Rate: 0.595980
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1608.233960
Acceptance Rate: 0.596021
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1607.043917
Acceptance Rate: 0.596246
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1605.915520
Acceptance Rate: 0.596194
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1604.776298
Acceptance Rate: 0.596641
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1603.742659
Acceptance Rate: 0.597263
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1602.705255
Acceptance Rate: 0.597295
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1601.609593
Acceptance Rate: 0.597729
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1600.561829
Acceptance Rate: 0.598157
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13458
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1599.594523
Acceptance Rate: 0.598758
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1598.607011
Acceptance Rate: 0.599221
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13601
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1597.698055
Acceptance Rate: 0.599634
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1596.820894
Acceptance Rate: 0.599826
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13754
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1595.941015
Acceptance Rate: 0.600362
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1595.063904
Acceptance Rate: 0.600374
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1594.197378
Acceptance Rate: 0.600644
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1593.369317
Acceptance Rate: 0.600142
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14080
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1592.478585
Acceptance Rate: 0.600282
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1591.595736
Acceptance Rate: 0.600379
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1590.831717
Acceptance Rate: 0.600559
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1590.137898
Acceptance Rate: 0.601195
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1589.498778
Acceptance Rate: 0.601327
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1588.842050
Acceptance Rate: 0.601664
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1588.204320
Acceptance Rate: 0.602162
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1587.474990
Acceptance Rate: 0.602738
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1586.779907
Acceptance Rate: 0.603022
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1586.137009
Acceptance Rate: 0.603344
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1585.573077
Acceptance Rate: 0.603419
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1584.991167
Acceptance Rate: 0.603816
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1584.393065
Acceptance Rate: 0.603729
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1583.738709
Acceptance Rate: 0.603761
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1583.134596
Acceptance Rate: 0.603635
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1582.653247
Acceptance Rate: 0.603825
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1582.203707
Acceptance Rate: 0.603975
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1581.766072
Acceptance Rate: 0.604083
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1581.339353
Acceptance Rate: 0.604035
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.912427
Acceptance Rate: 0.604143
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.529824
Acceptance Rate: 0.604364
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.172762
Acceptance Rate: 0.604507
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.831990
Acceptance Rate: 0.603812
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.507705
Acceptance Rate: 0.603842
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.204394
Acceptance Rate: 0.604173
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.931780
Acceptance Rate: 0.604276
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.669981
Acceptance Rate: 0.604491
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16212
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.421464
Acceptance Rate: 0.604480
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.179794
Acceptance Rate: 0.603806
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.962518
Acceptance Rate: 0.604312
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.756852
Acceptance Rate: 0.605070
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.560935
Acceptance Rate: 0.604984
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.378417
Acceptance Rate: 0.605008
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.203377
Acceptance Rate: 0.604887
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.036013
Acceptance Rate: 0.604516
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.878736
Acceptance Rate: 0.604434
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.732211
Acceptance Rate: 0.604318
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 17044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.587726
Acceptance Rate: 0.604697
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 17116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.446674
Acceptance Rate: 0.604933
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 17192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.311219
Acceptance Rate: 0.604326
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 17292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.181977
Acceptance Rate: 0.603171
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 17408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.061200
Acceptance Rate: 0.602995
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 17496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.951570
Acceptance Rate: 0.603232
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 17572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.851917
Acceptance Rate: 0.602921
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 17664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.758435
Acceptance Rate: 0.602613
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 17756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.669418
Acceptance Rate: 0.602207
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 17851
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.585461
Acceptance Rate: 0.602175
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 17935
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.507071
Acceptance Rate: 0.602477
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 18009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.434590
Acceptance Rate: 0.601944
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 18108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.367554
Acceptance Rate: 0.601781
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 18196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.305750
Acceptance Rate: 0.602047
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 18271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.248578
Acceptance Rate: 0.601950
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 18357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.195856
Acceptance Rate: 0.602083
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 18436
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.146578
Acceptance Rate: 0.602052
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 18520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.100141
Acceptance Rate: 0.601989
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 18605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.056543
Acceptance Rate: 0.601797
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 18694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.015665
Acceptance Rate: 0.601384
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 18790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.977688
Acceptance Rate: 0.601165
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 18880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.942159
Acceptance Rate: 0.601456
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 18954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.908868
Acceptance Rate: 0.601682
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 19030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.877894
Acceptance Rate: 0.601779
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 19110
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.849120
Acceptance Rate: 0.601845
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 19191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.822487
Acceptance Rate: 0.602066
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 19267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.797837
Acceptance Rate: 0.602161
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 19347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.775154
Acceptance Rate: 0.602224
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 19428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.754077
Acceptance Rate: 0.602326
Replacements: 11705
Total Samples: 19433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.752046
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1574.5027911930920 +/- 0.19723994010940502
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19433
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.77 -0.09 +0.30) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.18 -0.32 +0.7) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.28 -0.7 +0.18) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.124 +0.014 +0.16 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval5 | -523.432579 |
| n4_interval5 | -527.787646 |
| b0_interval5 | -536.972384 |
| total | -1588.192610 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3184.498534 |
| BIC | 3199.907351 |
| DIC | 3135.570650 |
| PDIC | 2.754345 |
| log(Z) | -683.797874 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.992780
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -691042.205700
Acceptance Rate: 0.981997
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7366.601841
Acceptance Rate: 0.957290
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3558.587966
Acceptance Rate: 0.925926
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.825948
Acceptance Rate: 0.887574
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.432181
Acceptance Rate: 0.849257
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.173969
Acceptance Rate: 0.824442
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.986539
Acceptance Rate: 0.808625
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.842087
Acceptance Rate: 0.787075
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.724882
Acceptance Rate: 0.778816
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.623374
Acceptance Rate: 0.774908
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.522397
Acceptance Rate: 0.770308
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.388914
Acceptance Rate: 0.762599
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.116580
Acceptance Rate: 0.757576
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3555.399197
Acceptance Rate: 0.751202
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3551.946493
Acceptance Rate: 0.744133
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3547.944816
Acceptance Rate: 0.745445
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3538.169319
Acceptance Rate: 0.743100
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3527.049514
Acceptance Rate: 0.738665
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3503.792099
Acceptance Rate: 0.733138
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3479.136433
Acceptance Rate: 0.731132
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3431.473865
Acceptance Rate: 0.723982
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2210
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3397.044641
Acceptance Rate: 0.720839
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3349.959586
Acceptance Rate: 0.718209
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3298.740929
Acceptance Rate: 0.715454
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2446
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3219.020107
Acceptance Rate: 0.712307
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3160.062677
Acceptance Rate: 0.708812
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.414930
Acceptance Rate: 0.707372
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2686
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3033.846505
Acceptance Rate: 0.703463
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2969.284289
Acceptance Rate: 0.703235
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2897.659706
Acceptance Rate: 0.704225
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2843.534035
Acceptance Rate: 0.700935
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2792.626463
Acceptance Rate: 0.700782
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2747.549860
Acceptance Rate: 0.698413
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3150
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2709.747890
Acceptance Rate: 0.695733
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2667.365870
Acceptance Rate: 0.693398
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2624.946737
Acceptance Rate: 0.692807
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2578.791269
Acceptance Rate: 0.693041
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2531.775198
Acceptance Rate: 0.690530
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2489.252052
Acceptance Rate: 0.687947
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2457.466160
Acceptance Rate: 0.686591
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2411.163763
Acceptance Rate: 0.686741
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2375.570528
Acceptance Rate: 0.687241
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2345.040466
Acceptance Rate: 0.685279
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2314.307804
Acceptance Rate: 0.684420
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2290.223116
Acceptance Rate: 0.681597
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2268.110968
Acceptance Rate: 0.678571
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2241.116313
Acceptance Rate: 0.677412
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2217.564079
Acceptance Rate: 0.675830
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2193.206509
Acceptance Rate: 0.674309
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2177.319986
Acceptance Rate: 0.669153
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2161.140890
Acceptance Rate: 0.666810
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2142.417685
Acceptance Rate: 0.663997
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2126.634497
Acceptance Rate: 0.660611
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2109.497038
Acceptance Rate: 0.657628
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.546774
Acceptance Rate: 0.656455
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.003651
Acceptance Rate: 0.653914
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5123
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.149859
Acceptance Rate: 0.651216
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.187112
Acceptance Rate: 0.648253
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2048.924555
Acceptance Rate: 0.646592
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2037.805232
Acceptance Rate: 0.643933
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2029.572835
Acceptance Rate: 0.642398
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2020.604602
Acceptance Rate: 0.640351
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2012.373475
Acceptance Rate: 0.638592
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2005.127048
Acceptance Rate: 0.635270
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1997.716362
Acceptance Rate: 0.633017
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1991.194262
Acceptance Rate: 0.632184
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1985.619641
Acceptance Rate: 0.629235
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.778079
Acceptance Rate: 0.627084
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1974.068948
Acceptance Rate: 0.624512
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.391105
Acceptance Rate: 0.623749
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1965.908948
Acceptance Rate: 0.622627
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.711297
Acceptance Rate: 0.621630
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.615253
Acceptance Rate: 0.620201
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.855143
Acceptance Rate: 0.617015
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.407244
Acceptance Rate: 0.615341
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.849731
Acceptance Rate: 0.613281
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.143406
Acceptance Rate: 0.611706
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1937.978497
Acceptance Rate: 0.611432
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1935.006228
Acceptance Rate: 0.610749
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1932.339560
Acceptance Rate: 0.609022
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1930.146858
Acceptance Rate: 0.607582
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1928.331852
Acceptance Rate: 0.606337
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1926.071959
Acceptance Rate: 0.605748
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1924.176409
Acceptance Rate: 0.603558
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1922.013746
Acceptance Rate: 0.602712
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1919.998603
Acceptance Rate: 0.601066
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1918.313452
Acceptance Rate: 0.600343
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1916.939173
Acceptance Rate: 0.599491
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1915.454863
Acceptance Rate: 0.599449
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1913.634459
Acceptance Rate: 0.598199
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1911.785121
Acceptance Rate: 0.597330
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1909.855954
Acceptance Rate: 0.596272
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1904.839198
Acceptance Rate: 0.595238
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8736
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1898.174040
Acceptance Rate: 0.593690
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.786799
Acceptance Rate: 0.593173
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8935
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.982807
Acceptance Rate: 0.593061
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.373931
Acceptance Rate: 0.593211
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1875.040588
Acceptance Rate: 0.591555
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1870.112461
Acceptance Rate: 0.589939
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1864.064305
Acceptance Rate: 0.589109
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9421
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1858.310302
Acceptance Rate: 0.589288
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1853.424154
Acceptance Rate: 0.587990
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1849.970668
Acceptance Rate: 0.586842
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1845.530690
Acceptance Rate: 0.585004
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1841.937046
Acceptance Rate: 0.583677
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1838.106450
Acceptance Rate: 0.582727
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1834.547051
Acceptance Rate: 0.581854
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1830.523056
Acceptance Rate: 0.579809
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1826.280701
Acceptance Rate: 0.580327
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1823.644643
Acceptance Rate: 0.579780
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1821.148477
Acceptance Rate: 0.578803
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1818.829719
Acceptance Rate: 0.578606
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1816.469427
Acceptance Rate: 0.576583
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1814.183695
Acceptance Rate: 0.575772
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10855
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1812.082251
Acceptance Rate: 0.575132
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1810.375466
Acceptance Rate: 0.574401
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 11055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1808.675744
Acceptance Rate: 0.574506
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1806.318604
Acceptance Rate: 0.573843
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1804.107372
Acceptance Rate: 0.573344
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1801.803984
Acceptance Rate: 0.573154
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1800.083829
Acceptance Rate: 0.572718
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1798.195967
Acceptance Rate: 0.571257
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1796.488240
Acceptance Rate: 0.570407
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1795.044988
Acceptance Rate: 0.569572
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11851
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1793.821213
Acceptance Rate: 0.569038
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11950
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1792.535055
Acceptance Rate: 0.568748
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 12044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1791.208124
Acceptance Rate: 0.568463
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 12138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1789.856345
Acceptance Rate: 0.567625
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1788.432675
Acceptance Rate: 0.567951
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1787.198983
Acceptance Rate: 0.568503
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1786.135433
Acceptance Rate: 0.567727
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1785.039162
Acceptance Rate: 0.567731
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.869616
Acceptance Rate: 0.566439
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.752871
Acceptance Rate: 0.565964
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12810
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.732092
Acceptance Rate: 0.566155
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.817558
Acceptance Rate: 0.565385
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 13000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.913624
Acceptance Rate: 0.565922
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 13076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.012666
Acceptance Rate: 0.565980
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 13163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1778.082758
Acceptance Rate: 0.565696
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 13258
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1777.112001
Acceptance Rate: 0.565543
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 13350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1776.112946
Acceptance Rate: 0.565392
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1775.198376
Acceptance Rate: 0.565452
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1774.433888
Acceptance Rate: 0.564972
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1773.705932
Acceptance Rate: 0.564745
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1772.949662
Acceptance Rate: 0.564073
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1772.232393
Acceptance Rate: 0.563937
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1771.476101
Acceptance Rate: 0.563843
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 14011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.815630
Acceptance Rate: 0.563191
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 14116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.167523
Acceptance Rate: 0.563182
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 14205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.588661
Acceptance Rate: 0.563213
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 14293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.969701
Acceptance Rate: 0.562071
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 14411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.303355
Acceptance Rate: 0.560793
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 14533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.651716
Acceptance Rate: 0.560071
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.066501
Acceptance Rate: 0.559019
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1766.483463
Acceptance Rate: 0.558396
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14864
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.964087
Acceptance Rate: 0.558192
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.454283
Acceptance Rate: 0.557880
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 15057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.941378
Acceptance Rate: 0.557461
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 15158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.470759
Acceptance Rate: 0.557377
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 15250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.999653
Acceptance Rate: 0.556568
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 15362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.573085
Acceptance Rate: 0.555951
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 15469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.179689
Acceptance Rate: 0.555877
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 15561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.826050
Acceptance Rate: 0.555911
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 15650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.453687
Acceptance Rate: 0.555626
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.107549
Acceptance Rate: 0.555907
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 15830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.789972
Acceptance Rate: 0.555939
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 15919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.479692
Acceptance Rate: 0.556250
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 16000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.173283
Acceptance Rate: 0.556419
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 16085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.867290
Acceptance Rate: 0.556449
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 16174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.569112
Acceptance Rate: 0.555897
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 16280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.286453
Acceptance Rate: 0.555522
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 16381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.001846
Acceptance Rate: 0.554512
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 16501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.744029
Acceptance Rate: 0.553983
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 16607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.505284
Acceptance Rate: 0.552701
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 16736
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.282142
Acceptance Rate: 0.552880
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 16821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.072017
Acceptance Rate: 0.552829
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 16913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.867048
Acceptance Rate: 0.552714
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 17007
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.667141
Acceptance Rate: 0.551181
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 17145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.470539
Acceptance Rate: 0.551044
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 17240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.284206
Acceptance Rate: 0.550686
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 17342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.107795
Acceptance Rate: 0.550617
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 17435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.943478
Acceptance Rate: 0.550108
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 17542
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.790664
Acceptance Rate: 0.550011
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 17636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.646353
Acceptance Rate: 0.550039
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 17726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.505224
Acceptance Rate: 0.549574
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 17832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.368690
Acceptance Rate: 0.549665
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 17920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.238802
Acceptance Rate: 0.549054
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 18031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.115272
Acceptance Rate: 0.549056
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 18122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.998942
Acceptance Rate: 0.548637
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 18227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.891795
Acceptance Rate: 0.548401
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 18326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.791815
Acceptance Rate: 0.548436
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 18416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.697658
Acceptance Rate: 0.548086
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 18519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.609826
Acceptance Rate: 0.547445
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 18632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.527055
Acceptance Rate: 0.547221
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 18731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.448391
Acceptance Rate: 0.547639
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 18808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.374779
Acceptance Rate: 0.547445
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 18906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.306251
Acceptance Rate: 0.547340
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 19001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.242482
Acceptance Rate: 0.547550
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 19085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.183141
Acceptance Rate: 0.546932
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 19198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.127551
Acceptance Rate: 0.546321
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 19311
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.074307
Acceptance Rate: 0.546420
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 19399
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.022355
Acceptance Rate: 0.545622
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 19519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.972576
Acceptance Rate: 0.545863
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 19602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.926177
Acceptance Rate: 0.545630
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 19702
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.882613
Acceptance Rate: 0.544355
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 19840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.841094
Acceptance Rate: 0.544460
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 19928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.802430
Acceptance Rate: 0.544320
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 20025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.765949
Acceptance Rate: 0.543667
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 20141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.731725
Acceptance Rate: 0.542567
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 20274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.699699
Acceptance Rate: 0.542198
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 20380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.669774
Acceptance Rate: 0.542310
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 20468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.641932
Acceptance Rate: 0.541999
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 20572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.615952
Acceptance Rate: 0.541350
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 20689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.591790
Acceptance Rate: 0.541282
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 20784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.569396
Acceptance Rate: 0.540881
Replacements: 11299
Total Samples: 20890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.548991
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1755.3037946955792 +/- 0.19238293810099930
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 20890
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.95 -0.09 +0.16) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.013 -0.035 +0.06 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.5 +/- 0.6) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.33 -0.4 +0.17 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval6 | -584.314457 |
| n4_interval6 | -576.771547 |
| b0_interval6 | -609.475366 |
| total | -1770.561371 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3549.236056 |
| BIC | 3564.644873 |
| DIC | 3500.895224 |
| PDIC | 3.203101 |
| log(Z) | -762.318752 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.990991
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -451463.654949
Acceptance Rate: 0.981997
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9105.712789
Acceptance Rate: 0.954479
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3823.011232
Acceptance Rate: 0.932091
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3822.119295
Acceptance Rate: 0.900360
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.691411
Acceptance Rate: 0.887902
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.417528
Acceptance Rate: 0.874486
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.221088
Acceptance Rate: 0.863724
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.070724
Acceptance Rate: 0.855086
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.949880
Acceptance Rate: 0.841751
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.847730
Acceptance Rate: 0.826772
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.753978
Acceptance Rate: 0.819672
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.644515
Acceptance Rate: 0.795848
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.457915
Acceptance Rate: 0.788436
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3819.908641
Acceptance Rate: 0.772559
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1618
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3817.805698
Acceptance Rate: 0.766509
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1696
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3813.213469
Acceptance Rate: 0.760135
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3805.331594
Acceptance Rate: 0.755940
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3792.730210
Acceptance Rate: 0.753638
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1924
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3770.174719
Acceptance Rate: 0.750751
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3743.238947
Acceptance Rate: 0.749879
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3707.853550
Acceptance Rate: 0.743494
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3658.825621
Acceptance Rate: 0.737925
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3597.091217
Acceptance Rate: 0.730868
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3544.981047
Acceptance Rate: 0.727046
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3473.784392
Acceptance Rate: 0.721732
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3407.486259
Acceptance Rate: 0.722092
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3340.826821
Acceptance Rate: 0.722159
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3274.459673
Acceptance Rate: 0.723026
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3213.190759
Acceptance Rate: 0.719683
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3139.032386
Acceptance Rate: 0.718290
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2854
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3075.369862
Acceptance Rate: 0.715259
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3011.711723
Acceptance Rate: 0.713811
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2960.481505
Acceptance Rate: 0.711514
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2907.666703
Acceptance Rate: 0.708438
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2844.128340
Acceptance Rate: 0.705521
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2792.938250
Acceptance Rate: 0.702331
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2739.555794
Acceptance Rate: 0.699913
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2693.278651
Acceptance Rate: 0.695035
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2658.544334
Acceptance Rate: 0.692137
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2615.809968
Acceptance Rate: 0.689189
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2583.401118
Acceptance Rate: 0.683851
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2555.728300
Acceptance Rate: 0.681409
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3889
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2533.068381
Acceptance Rate: 0.680272
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2505.804116
Acceptance Rate: 0.677006
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2480.704124
Acceptance Rate: 0.674374
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2456.846922
Acceptance Rate: 0.673122
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2434.828886
Acceptance Rate: 0.671296
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2406.144164
Acceptance Rate: 0.669390
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2384.812503
Acceptance Rate: 0.668449
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2368.955383
Acceptance Rate: 0.664199
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2354.651758
Acceptance Rate: 0.662818
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2339.993858
Acceptance Rate: 0.659548
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2322.439009
Acceptance Rate: 0.657760
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2307.176484
Acceptance Rate: 0.655110
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2289.540287
Acceptance Rate: 0.652690
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.570574
Acceptance Rate: 0.649351
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2262.641649
Acceptance Rate: 0.648484
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2251.531731
Acceptance Rate: 0.647280
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2241.496055
Acceptance Rate: 0.646114
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2230.990881
Acceptance Rate: 0.644868
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5505
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2220.414671
Acceptance Rate: 0.643547
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2211.376460
Acceptance Rate: 0.639678
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2203.751038
Acceptance Rate: 0.637601
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2195.871747
Acceptance Rate: 0.634982
Replacements: 3761
Total Samples: 5923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2130.888419
Acceptance Rate: 0.628725
Replacements: 3861
Total Samples: 6141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2006.361498
Acceptance Rate: 0.623583
Replacements: 3961
Total Samples: 6352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.049649
Acceptance Rate: 0.616613
Replacements: 4053
Total Samples: 6573
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.614590
Replacements: 4103
Total Samples: 6676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.613170
Replacements: 4153
Total Samples: 6773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.611790
Replacements: 4203
Total Samples: 6870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.612119
Replacements: 4253
Total Samples: 6948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.610009
Replacements: 4303
Total Samples: 7054
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.609067
Replacements: 4353
Total Samples: 7147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.609075
Replacements: 4403
Total Samples: 7229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.606510
Replacements: 4453
Total Samples: 7342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.605975
Replacements: 4503
Total Samples: 7431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.605130
Replacements: 4553
Total Samples: 7524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.604068
Replacements: 4603
Total Samples: 7620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.602174
Replacements: 4653
Total Samples: 7727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.600332
Replacements: 4703
Total Samples: 7834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.598992
Replacements: 4753
Total Samples: 7935
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.598356
Replacements: 4803
Total Samples: 8027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.596925
Replacements: 4853
Total Samples: 8130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.596762
Replacements: 4903
Total Samples: 8216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.596029
Replacements: 4953
Total Samples: 8310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.595524
Replacements: 5003
Total Samples: 8401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.594261
Replacements: 5053
Total Samples: 8503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.594201
Replacements: 5103
Total Samples: 8588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.593732
Replacements: 5153
Total Samples: 8679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.592462
Replacements: 5203
Total Samples: 8782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.591354
Replacements: 5253
Total Samples: 8883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.590075
Replacements: 5303
Total Samples: 8987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.589797
Replacements: 5353
Total Samples: 9076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.588947
Replacements: 5403
Total Samples: 9174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.588051
Replacements: 5453
Total Samples: 9273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.587488
Replacements: 5503
Total Samples: 9367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.587495
Replacements: 5553
Total Samples: 9452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.588056
Replacements: 5603
Total Samples: 9528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.587936
Replacements: 5653
Total Samples: 9615
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.587030
Replacements: 5703
Total Samples: 9715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586144
Replacements: 5753
Total Samples: 9815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586162
Replacements: 5803
Total Samples: 9900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586121
Replacements: 5853
Total Samples: 9986
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586663
Replacements: 5903
Total Samples: 10062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586271
Replacements: 5953
Total Samples: 10154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586059
Replacements: 6003
Total Samples: 10243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586133
Replacements: 6053
Total Samples: 10327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586376
Replacements: 6103
Total Samples: 10408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586782
Replacements: 6153
Total Samples: 10486
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.587294
Replacements: 6203
Total Samples: 10562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.586695
Replacements: 6253
Total Samples: 10658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.587035
Replacements: 6303
Total Samples: 10737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.587914
Replacements: 6353
Total Samples: 10806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.587647
Replacements: 6403
Total Samples: 10896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.588294
Replacements: 6453
Total Samples: 10969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.589200
Replacements: 6503
Total Samples: 11037
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.589299
Replacements: 6553
Total Samples: 11120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.589290
Replacements: 6603
Total Samples: 11205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.589544
Replacements: 6653
Total Samples: 11285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.590313
Replacements: 6703
Total Samples: 11355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.591124
Replacements: 6753
Total Samples: 11424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.591051
Replacements: 6803
Total Samples: 11510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.591541
Replacements: 6853
Total Samples: 11585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.592278
Replacements: 6903
Total Samples: 11655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.591896
Replacements: 6953
Total Samples: 11747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.592671
Replacements: 7003
Total Samples: 11816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.592390
Replacements: 7053
Total Samples: 11906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.592509
Replacements: 7103
Total Samples: 11988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.593167
Replacements: 7153
Total Samples: 12059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.593572
Replacements: 7203
Total Samples: 12135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.594167
Replacements: 7253
Total Samples: 12207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.594513
Replacements: 7303
Total Samples: 12284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.595047
Replacements: 7353
Total Samples: 12357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.595384
Replacements: 7403
Total Samples: 12434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.596192
Replacements: 7453
Total Samples: 12501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.596328
Replacements: 7503
Total Samples: 12582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.596651
Replacements: 7553
Total Samples: 12659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.597157
Replacements: 7603
Total Samples: 12732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.597610
Replacements: 7653
Total Samples: 12806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.598477
Replacements: 7703
Total Samples: 12871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.598872
Replacements: 7753
Total Samples: 12946
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.599263
Replacements: 7803
Total Samples: 13021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.599649
Replacements: 7853
Total Samples: 13096
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.600213
Replacements: 7903
Total Samples: 13167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.600998
Replacements: 7953
Total Samples: 13233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.601639
Replacements: 8003
Total Samples: 13302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.602184
Replacements: 8053
Total Samples: 13373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.602319
Replacements: 8103
Total Samples: 13453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.602854
Replacements: 8153
Total Samples: 13524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.603872
Replacements: 8203
Total Samples: 13584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.604571
Replacements: 8253
Total Samples: 13651
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.605307
Replacements: 8303
Total Samples: 13717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.606212
Replacements: 8353
Total Samples: 13779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.606715
Replacements: 8403
Total Samples: 13850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.607169
Replacements: 8453
Total Samples: 13922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.607748
Replacements: 8503
Total Samples: 13991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.608148
Replacements: 8553
Total Samples: 14064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.608631
Replacements: 8603
Total Samples: 14135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.608381
Replacements: 8653
Total Samples: 14223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.608516
Replacements: 8703
Total Samples: 14302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.609328
Replacements: 8753
Total Samples: 14365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.609922
Replacements: 8803
Total Samples: 14433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.610552
Replacements: 8853
Total Samples: 14500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.610882
Replacements: 8903
Total Samples: 14574
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.611418
Replacements: 8953
Total Samples: 14643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.611866
Replacements: 9003
Total Samples: 14714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.612600
Replacements: 9053
Total Samples: 14778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.613244
Replacements: 9103
Total Samples: 14844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.613595
Replacements: 9153
Total Samples: 14917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.613984
Replacements: 9203
Total Samples: 14989
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.614450
Replacements: 9253
Total Samples: 15059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.615115
Replacements: 9303
Total Samples: 15124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.615612
Replacements: 9353
Total Samples: 15193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246541
Acceptance Rate: 0.616226
Replacements: 9403
Total Samples: 15259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246540
Acceptance Rate: 0.616393
Replacements: 9453
Total Samples: 15336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246540
Acceptance Rate: 0.616718
Replacements: 9503
Total Samples: 15409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246539
Acceptance Rate: 0.617358
Replacements: 9553
Total Samples: 15474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246537
Acceptance Rate: 0.617954
Replacements: 9603
Total Samples: 15540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246535
Acceptance Rate: 0.618505
Replacements: 9653
Total Samples: 15607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246531
Acceptance Rate: 0.618774
Replacements: 9703
Total Samples: 15681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246526
Acceptance Rate: 0.619120
Replacements: 9753
Total Samples: 15753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246520
Acceptance Rate: 0.619345
Replacements: 9803
Total Samples: 15828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246511
Acceptance Rate: 0.619452
Replacements: 9853
Total Samples: 15906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246500
Acceptance Rate: 0.619751
Replacements: 9903
Total Samples: 15979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246485
Acceptance Rate: 0.620357
Replacements: 9953
Total Samples: 16044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246466
Acceptance Rate: 0.621034
Replacements: 10003
Total Samples: 16107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246445
Acceptance Rate: 0.621668
Replacements: 10053
Total Samples: 16171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246418
Acceptance Rate: 0.622106
Replacements: 10103
Total Samples: 16240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246385
Acceptance Rate: 0.622387
Replacements: 10153
Total Samples: 16313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246348
Acceptance Rate: 0.622742
Replacements: 10203
Total Samples: 16384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246306
Acceptance Rate: 0.622677
Replacements: 10253
Total Samples: 16466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246254
Acceptance Rate: 0.623253
Replacements: 10303
Total Samples: 16531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246195
Acceptance Rate: 0.623712
Replacements: 10353
Total Samples: 16599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246128
Acceptance Rate: 0.624093
Replacements: 10403
Total Samples: 16669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.246051
Acceptance Rate: 0.624470
Replacements: 10453
Total Samples: 16739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.245965
Acceptance Rate: 0.624658
Replacements: 10503
Total Samples: 16814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.245869
Acceptance Rate: 0.625104
Replacements: 10553
Total Samples: 16882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.245765
Acceptance Rate: 0.625656
Replacements: 10603
Total Samples: 16947
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.245654
Acceptance Rate: 0.625617
Replacements: 10653
Total Samples: 17028
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.245535
Acceptance Rate: 0.626016
Replacements: 10703
Total Samples: 17097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.245399
Acceptance Rate: 0.626632
Replacements: 10753
Total Samples: 17160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.245250
Acceptance Rate: 0.627061
Replacements: 10803
Total Samples: 17228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.245089
Acceptance Rate: 0.627486
Replacements: 10853
Total Samples: 17296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.244918
Acceptance Rate: 0.627800
Replacements: 10903
Total Samples: 17367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.244731
Acceptance Rate: 0.628147
Replacements: 10953
Total Samples: 17437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.244533
Acceptance Rate: 0.628420
Replacements: 11003
Total Samples: 17509
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.244325
Acceptance Rate: 0.628583
Replacements: 11053
Total Samples: 17584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.244106
Acceptance Rate: 0.628069
Replacements: 11103
Total Samples: 17678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.243876
Acceptance Rate: 0.628196
Replacements: 11153
Total Samples: 17754
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.243640
Acceptance Rate: 0.628076
Replacements: 11203
Total Samples: 17837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.243403
Acceptance Rate: 0.628273
Replacements: 11253
Total Samples: 17911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.243165
Acceptance Rate: 0.628189
Replacements: 11303
Total Samples: 17993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.242926
Acceptance Rate: 0.628209
Replacements: 11353
Total Samples: 18072
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.242690
Acceptance Rate: 0.628091
Replacements: 11403
Total Samples: 18155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.242461
Acceptance Rate: 0.628491
Replacements: 11453
Total Samples: 18223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.242234
Acceptance Rate: 0.628614
Replacements: 11503
Total Samples: 18299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.242011
Acceptance Rate: 0.628735
Replacements: 11553
Total Samples: 18375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.241790
Acceptance Rate: 0.629093
Replacements: 11603
Total Samples: 18444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.241577
Acceptance Rate: 0.629416
Replacements: 11653
Total Samples: 18514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.241374
Acceptance Rate: 0.629701
Replacements: 11703
Total Samples: 18585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.241177
Acceptance Rate: 0.630289
Replacements: 11753
Total Samples: 18647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.240987
Acceptance Rate: 0.630300
Replacements: 11803
Total Samples: 18726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.240804
Acceptance Rate: 0.630613
Replacements: 11853
Total Samples: 18796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.240628
Acceptance Rate: 0.631224
Replacements: 11903
Total Samples: 18857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.240460
Acceptance Rate: 0.632033
Replacements: 11953
Total Samples: 18912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.240300
Acceptance Rate: 0.632403
Replacements: 12003
Total Samples: 18980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.240148
Acceptance Rate: 0.632571
Replacements: 12053
Total Samples: 19054
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.240003
Acceptance Rate: 0.632671
Replacements: 12103
Total Samples: 19130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.239864
Acceptance Rate: 0.633057
Replacements: 12149
Total Samples: 19191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.239744
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1938.9371299503787 +/- 0.19291863539869797
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19191
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.654 -0.11 +0.014) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.058 -0.04 +0.017 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.48 -0.15 +0.9) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.340 -0.4 +0.034 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval7 | -641.487508 |
| n4_interval7 | -650.350597 |
| b0_interval7 | -662.482601 |
| total | -1954.320706 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3916.754726 |
| BIC | 3932.163544 |
| DIC | 3868.328270 |
| PDIC | 2.649005 |
| log(Z) | -842.069696 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.977199
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -72272.432694
Acceptance Rate: 0.943396
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3552.462082
Acceptance Rate: 0.917431
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.722363
Acceptance Rate: 0.891795
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.165042
Acceptance Rate: 0.874317
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.838158
Acceptance Rate: 0.857719
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.613039
Acceptance Rate: 0.836431
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.445089
Acceptance Rate: 0.821089
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.313222
Acceptance Rate: 0.809061
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.204607
Acceptance Rate: 0.809561
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.108944
Acceptance Rate: 0.803506
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.016381
Acceptance Rate: 0.792011
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.890324
Acceptance Rate: 0.785340
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.625492
Acceptance Rate: 0.777847
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3547.495392
Acceptance Rate: 0.769231
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3543.289689
Acceptance Rate: 0.765306
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3534.890954
Acceptance Rate: 0.758397
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3521.638742
Acceptance Rate: 0.752465
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3509.141927
Acceptance Rate: 0.750375
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3488.017344
Acceptance Rate: 0.748069
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2072
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3462.906969
Acceptance Rate: 0.745226
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3430.690518
Acceptance Rate: 0.742240
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3386.797394
Acceptance Rate: 0.737527
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3342.833077
Acceptance Rate: 0.734060
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3305.147286
Acceptance Rate: 0.727273
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3261.890242
Acceptance Rate: 0.725206
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3210.566490
Acceptance Rate: 0.726022
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3149.295088
Acceptance Rate: 0.721421
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2703
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.451440
Acceptance Rate: 0.719424
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3060.709137
Acceptance Rate: 0.717285
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2858
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3021.712374
Acceptance Rate: 0.711623
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2972.988773
Acceptance Rate: 0.710979
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2940.258904
Acceptance Rate: 0.708991
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2901.368848
Acceptance Rate: 0.703785
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2874.653896
Acceptance Rate: 0.701433
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3279
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2841.942061
Acceptance Rate: 0.696296
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2807.227962
Acceptance Rate: 0.695451
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2781.036544
Acceptance Rate: 0.692873
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2749.606215
Acceptance Rate: 0.689275
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2725.227711
Acceptance Rate: 0.685300
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2699.230105
Acceptance Rate: 0.683132
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2674.376861
Acceptance Rate: 0.682111
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2655.034171
Acceptance Rate: 0.680787
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2627.375476
Acceptance Rate: 0.678677
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2607.938413
Acceptance Rate: 0.676655
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2588.335958
Acceptance Rate: 0.675516
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2566.161340
Acceptance Rate: 0.672386
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2544.983000
Acceptance Rate: 0.668783
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2528.509007
Acceptance Rate: 0.666963
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2515.493887
Acceptance Rate: 0.666812
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4574
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2500.504051
Acceptance Rate: 0.663243
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2486.524551
Acceptance Rate: 0.663997
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2471.416839
Acceptance Rate: 0.660066
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2461.217804
Acceptance Rate: 0.659631
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2450.397816
Acceptance Rate: 0.657764
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2436.728122
Acceptance Rate: 0.657636
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2426.163962
Acceptance Rate: 0.655611
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2412.425169
Acceptance Rate: 0.653904
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2401.165461
Acceptance Rate: 0.652133
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2391.386806
Acceptance Rate: 0.648283
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5476
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2382.263811
Acceptance Rate: 0.648766
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2373.247110
Acceptance Rate: 0.648543
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2366.103367
Acceptance Rate: 0.647306
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2357.692287
Acceptance Rate: 0.646775
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2349.705839
Acceptance Rate: 0.644833
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2342.578188
Acceptance Rate: 0.644351
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2337.425612
Acceptance Rate: 0.642398
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2329.933499
Acceptance Rate: 0.641963
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2324.418686
Acceptance Rate: 0.640512
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2319.663048
Acceptance Rate: 0.640519
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2315.007318
Acceptance Rate: 0.639526
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2311.095956
Acceptance Rate: 0.638855
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2306.651170
Acceptance Rate: 0.638589
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2302.432237
Acceptance Rate: 0.637468
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2297.603449
Acceptance Rate: 0.636471
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2293.985537
Acceptance Rate: 0.636244
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2290.664522
Acceptance Rate: 0.636390
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.171960
Acceptance Rate: 0.635623
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2284.322405
Acceptance Rate: 0.635593
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7080
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.701487
Acceptance Rate: 0.633970
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7177
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.087993
Acceptance Rate: 0.632216
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.823517
Acceptance Rate: 0.631450
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7364
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.544682
Acceptance Rate: 0.630619
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.442563
Acceptance Rate: 0.630308
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.228288
Acceptance Rate: 0.630583
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2267.720432
Acceptance Rate: 0.630116
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2265.658421
Acceptance Rate: 0.629416
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2263.474779
Acceptance Rate: 0.627854
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2261.488228
Acceptance Rate: 0.627746
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7965
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2259.635321
Acceptance Rate: 0.627875
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2257.699467
Acceptance Rate: 0.627461
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2255.790936
Acceptance Rate: 0.626521
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2253.562308
Acceptance Rate: 0.625526
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2250.254338
Acceptance Rate: 0.625223
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2244.234671
Acceptance Rate: 0.625147
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2237.315679
Acceptance Rate: 0.624271
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8570
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2231.276681
Acceptance Rate: 0.623701
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2225.789854
Acceptance Rate: 0.623213
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2220.714104
Acceptance Rate: 0.622172
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2215.092582
Acceptance Rate: 0.620944
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 8938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2209.829533
Acceptance Rate: 0.620843
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2204.647947
Acceptance Rate: 0.620130
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2198.314842
Acceptance Rate: 0.619498
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2192.810429
Acceptance Rate: 0.619412
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2187.346265
Acceptance Rate: 0.619327
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2182.669719
Acceptance Rate: 0.618982
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2177.023189
Acceptance Rate: 0.619098
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2173.009958
Acceptance Rate: 0.619663
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2167.761174
Acceptance Rate: 0.619259
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2161.977257
Acceptance Rate: 0.618926
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2157.692748
Acceptance Rate: 0.618410
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9864
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2152.885431
Acceptance Rate: 0.618153
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 9949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2148.630932
Acceptance Rate: 0.617161
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2143.321766
Acceptance Rate: 0.616189
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2139.277593
Acceptance Rate: 0.615836
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2135.865916
Acceptance Rate: 0.615310
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2132.432506
Acceptance Rate: 0.615385
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2128.569751
Acceptance Rate: 0.614871
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2124.892481
Acceptance Rate: 0.613787
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2121.126129
Acceptance Rate: 0.614274
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10663
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2117.592072
Acceptance Rate: 0.614525
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2114.415627
Acceptance Rate: 0.614944
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2111.029941
Acceptance Rate: 0.614679
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2108.385434
Acceptance Rate: 0.614698
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 10981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.090158
Acceptance Rate: 0.614495
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.609016
Acceptance Rate: 0.614019
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.338262
Acceptance Rate: 0.614262
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2099.364141
Acceptance Rate: 0.614120
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.397727
Acceptance Rate: 0.614466
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.472408
Acceptance Rate: 0.614433
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.742767
Acceptance Rate: 0.614719
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2091.831309
Acceptance Rate: 0.614631
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11633
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2089.932434
Acceptance Rate: 0.614544
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2088.227503
Acceptance Rate: 0.614876
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2086.848704
Acceptance Rate: 0.615255
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2085.143194
Acceptance Rate: 0.614857
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 11954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2083.232501
Acceptance Rate: 0.613751
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.386339
Acceptance Rate: 0.614028
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.846291
Acceptance Rate: 0.614200
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12211
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2078.568381
Acceptance Rate: 0.614121
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.379767
Acceptance Rate: 0.614042
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12377
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2076.236795
Acceptance Rate: 0.614557
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2075.242045
Acceptance Rate: 0.614280
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12535
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.254572
Acceptance Rate: 0.614007
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2073.355886
Acceptance Rate: 0.614077
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12702
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2072.415050
Acceptance Rate: 0.612946
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2071.511799
Acceptance Rate: 0.613068
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2070.723247
Acceptance Rate: 0.613237
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2070.034925
Acceptance Rate: 0.612933
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.291900
Acceptance Rate: 0.612866
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.616137
Acceptance Rate: 0.612893
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.027935
Acceptance Rate: 0.613059
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.500927
Acceptance Rate: 0.613222
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.010475
Acceptance Rate: 0.612745
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.523070
Acceptance Rate: 0.613134
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.064030
Acceptance Rate: 0.612844
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.612818
Acceptance Rate: 0.612602
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.186770
Acceptance Rate: 0.612141
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.820190
Acceptance Rate: 0.612436
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.462248
Acceptance Rate: 0.612991
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.090021
Acceptance Rate: 0.613191
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.721340
Acceptance Rate: 0.613214
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.348137
Acceptance Rate: 0.613540
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14180
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.001192
Acceptance Rate: 0.613132
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.661178
Acceptance Rate: 0.613326
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.332761
Acceptance Rate: 0.613646
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.016672
Acceptance Rate: 0.613286
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.689980
Acceptance Rate: 0.612636
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.396530
Acceptance Rate: 0.612537
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.127612
Acceptance Rate: 0.611776
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.874234
Acceptance Rate: 0.611354
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.633435
Acceptance Rate: 0.611836
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.397960
Acceptance Rate: 0.612028
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.181575
Acceptance Rate: 0.611449
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.974458
Acceptance Rate: 0.611118
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.769787
Acceptance Rate: 0.611031
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.567402
Acceptance Rate: 0.610985
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.371357
Acceptance Rate: 0.611532
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.187318
Acceptance Rate: 0.611680
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.012367
Acceptance Rate: 0.611435
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.847476
Acceptance Rate: 0.611816
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.691523
Acceptance Rate: 0.612271
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.543004
Acceptance Rate: 0.611717
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.403496
Acceptance Rate: 0.611630
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.269166
Acceptance Rate: 0.612079
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.135495
Acceptance Rate: 0.612448
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.008618
Acceptance Rate: 0.612093
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.884950
Acceptance Rate: 0.612232
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.766912
Acceptance Rate: 0.612257
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.657053
Acceptance Rate: 0.612320
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.555029
Acceptance Rate: 0.612753
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16483
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.459065
Acceptance Rate: 0.613108
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.368956
Acceptance Rate: 0.613349
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.284556
Acceptance Rate: 0.613515
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.205547
Acceptance Rate: 0.613789
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.132227
Acceptance Rate: 0.613806
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 16862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.062267
Acceptance Rate: 0.613750
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 16945
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.994408
Acceptance Rate: 0.613947
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 17021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.930881
Acceptance Rate: 0.614287
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 17093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.871756
Acceptance Rate: 0.614623
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 17165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.816317
Acceptance Rate: 0.614564
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 17248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.763915
Acceptance Rate: 0.615003
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 17317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.714431
Acceptance Rate: 0.615438
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 17386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.667568
Acceptance Rate: 0.615376
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 17469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.623304
Acceptance Rate: 0.615665
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 17542
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.580927
Acceptance Rate: 0.616092
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 17611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.539358
Acceptance Rate: 0.616516
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 17680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.499036
Acceptance Rate: 0.616971
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 17748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.459769
Acceptance Rate: 0.617423
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 17816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.422595
Acceptance Rate: 0.617905
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 17883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.386842
Acceptance Rate: 0.618247
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 17954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.352112
Acceptance Rate: 0.618277
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 18034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.319156
Acceptance Rate: 0.618579
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 18106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.287766
Acceptance Rate: 0.618642
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 18185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.257251
Acceptance Rate: 0.618873
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 18259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.228051
Acceptance Rate: 0.619035
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 18335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.200175
Acceptance Rate: 0.619464
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 18403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.172618
Acceptance Rate: 0.619790
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 18474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.145575
Acceptance Rate: 0.620147
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 18544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.119746
Acceptance Rate: 0.620334
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 18619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.094604
Acceptance Rate: 0.620752
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 18687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.070497
Acceptance Rate: 0.620894
Replacements: 11643
Total Samples: 18752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.050534
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -2055.7633016288587 +/- 0.19475680522988534
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 18752
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.52 -0.09 +0.26) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.6 -0.4 +1.2) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.8 -0.8 +0.5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.45 -0.25 +0.23 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval8 | -698.712814 |
| n4_interval8 | -666.636368 |
| b0_interval8 | -702.312125 |
| total | -2067.661307 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4143.435928 |
| BIC | 4158.844745 |
| DIC | 4098.031929 |
| PDIC | 2.650821 |
| log(Z) | -892.806658 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.987433
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -493370.789630
Acceptance Rate: 0.970874
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 618
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8513.401366
Acceptance Rate: 0.940666
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2107.244430
Acceptance Rate: 0.918635
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.922272
Acceptance Rate: 0.892857
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.413256
Acceptance Rate: 0.868621
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.105052
Acceptance Rate: 0.855992
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.889890
Acceptance Rate: 0.836431
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.728351
Acceptance Rate: 0.822511
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.601414
Acceptance Rate: 0.813670
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.498018
Acceptance Rate: 0.807692
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1300
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.410240
Acceptance Rate: 0.800582
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.332041
Acceptance Rate: 0.787671
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.256630
Acceptance Rate: 0.780742
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.179166
Acceptance Rate: 0.768758
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.079182
Acceptance Rate: 0.759346
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.894924
Acceptance Rate: 0.756726
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.467484
Acceptance Rate: 0.749866
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1867
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2102.536769
Acceptance Rate: 0.740552
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2100.829280
Acceptance Rate: 0.738552
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.974134
Acceptance Rate: 0.735643
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.365545
Acceptance Rate: 0.731930
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2087.730861
Acceptance Rate: 0.728155
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.662399
Acceptance Rate: 0.723712
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2349
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.578016
Acceptance Rate: 0.721947
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.453633
Acceptance Rate: 0.719712
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.153146
Acceptance Rate: 0.717611
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2047.528555
Acceptance Rate: 0.714017
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2037.462676
Acceptance Rate: 0.708318
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2029.953781
Acceptance Rate: 0.705965
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2022.800824
Acceptance Rate: 0.704952
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2014.673032
Acceptance Rate: 0.702341
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2006.434587
Acceptance Rate: 0.700098
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1997.941990
Acceptance Rate: 0.696864
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1990.688835
Acceptance Rate: 0.698324
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1984.988947
Acceptance Rate: 0.695705
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3306
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.418099
Acceptance Rate: 0.693625
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1974.025078
Acceptance Rate: 0.691244
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.258888
Acceptance Rate: 0.689752
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1962.280202
Acceptance Rate: 0.688705
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.302409
Acceptance Rate: 0.687702
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.291927
Acceptance Rate: 0.683671
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.622992
Acceptance Rate: 0.682990
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.957672
Acceptance Rate: 0.682853
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.067602
Acceptance Rate: 0.681368
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1937.402728
Acceptance Rate: 0.680768
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1934.096286
Acceptance Rate: 0.679380
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1930.764412
Acceptance Rate: 0.677887
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1927.927546
Acceptance Rate: 0.676916
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1924.518685
Acceptance Rate: 0.677048
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1921.212312
Acceptance Rate: 0.676275
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1918.485627
Acceptance Rate: 0.674353
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1916.100017
Acceptance Rate: 0.672789
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1913.422390
Acceptance Rate: 0.671282
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1911.076380
Acceptance Rate: 0.669965
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4851
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1908.986307
Acceptance Rate: 0.670323
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1907.238735
Acceptance Rate: 0.668796
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1905.364836
Acceptance Rate: 0.667059
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1903.751939
Acceptance Rate: 0.663717
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1902.288090
Acceptance Rate: 0.662126
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5286
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1900.840346
Acceptance Rate: 0.659361
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1899.634352
Acceptance Rate: 0.658256
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1898.465144
Acceptance Rate: 0.657658
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1897.312619
Acceptance Rate: 0.657778
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1896.306486
Acceptance Rate: 0.657549
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5703
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1895.409871
Acceptance Rate: 0.655625
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1894.449052
Acceptance Rate: 0.654873
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1893.538555
Acceptance Rate: 0.651629
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.653824
Acceptance Rate: 0.649244
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1891.934316
Acceptance Rate: 0.647144
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1891.185974
Acceptance Rate: 0.646139
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.526035
Acceptance Rate: 0.643339
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.945866
Acceptance Rate: 0.640729
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.440696
Acceptance Rate: 0.638298
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.011995
Acceptance Rate: 0.636609
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.633637
Acceptance Rate: 0.634593
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.281527
Acceptance Rate: 0.633649
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.960591
Acceptance Rate: 0.632820
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.666904
Acceptance Rate: 0.631474
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.398666
Acceptance Rate: 0.630782
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.153073
Acceptance Rate: 0.629584
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.917666
Acceptance Rate: 0.628244
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.690527
Acceptance Rate: 0.627023
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.479846
Acceptance Rate: 0.624585
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.281557
Acceptance Rate: 0.623196
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.091384
Acceptance Rate: 0.621198
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.920740
Acceptance Rate: 0.618465
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.754703
Acceptance Rate: 0.616585
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7947
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.583764
Acceptance Rate: 0.615748
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.409649
Acceptance Rate: 0.612895
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.213123
Acceptance Rate: 0.612270
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.985924
Acceptance Rate: 0.611804
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.721272
Acceptance Rate: 0.611494
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.434523
Acceptance Rate: 0.610615
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.128409
Acceptance Rate: 0.609685
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.822029
Acceptance Rate: 0.608985
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8703
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.533020
Acceptance Rate: 0.607540
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.253863
Acceptance Rate: 0.606673
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.981432
Acceptance Rate: 0.605825
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.718616
Acceptance Rate: 0.604927
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.461188
Acceptance Rate: 0.603589
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.207750
Acceptance Rate: 0.603383
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.974970
Acceptance Rate: 0.603117
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.752583
Acceptance Rate: 0.602346
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.532620
Acceptance Rate: 0.601590
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.328785
Acceptance Rate: 0.601535
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.132749
Acceptance Rate: 0.599385
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.943660
Acceptance Rate: 0.598863
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.770232
Acceptance Rate: 0.597690
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.614655
Acceptance Rate: 0.596125
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10065
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.470597
Acceptance Rate: 0.594011
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.339770
Acceptance Rate: 0.593674
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.220064
Acceptance Rate: 0.592143
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.109719
Acceptance Rate: 0.591885
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.006975
Acceptance Rate: 0.592193
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.911305
Acceptance Rate: 0.590994
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.822334
Acceptance Rate: 0.590368
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.740219
Acceptance Rate: 0.589807
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10851
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.664510
Acceptance Rate: 0.588719
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.594073
Acceptance Rate: 0.587226
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.529106
Acceptance Rate: 0.586655
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.469584
Acceptance Rate: 0.585210
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.414395
Acceptance Rate: 0.584102
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.363589
Acceptance Rate: 0.582558
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.317099
Acceptance Rate: 0.581195
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.273899
Acceptance Rate: 0.579858
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.234085
Acceptance Rate: 0.578645
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.197510
Acceptance Rate: 0.577744
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11943
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.163604
Acceptance Rate: 0.577290
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.132129
Acceptance Rate: 0.576369
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.102837
Acceptance Rate: 0.574759
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.075396
Acceptance Rate: 0.574109
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.049632
Acceptance Rate: 0.572825
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12482
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.025648
Acceptance Rate: 0.571792
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.003278
Acceptance Rate: 0.570596
Replacements: 7242
Total Samples: 12692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.985778
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1878.7366499920224 +/- 0.14562393623365574
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 12692
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.2 -0.4 +1.2) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.3 -1.9 +2.9) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.1 +/- 0.4) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.87 -0.28 +0.15 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval9 | -616.921936 |
| n4_interval9 | -616.311936 |
| b0_interval9 | -648.300328 |
| total | -1881.534200 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3771.181714 |
| BIC | 3786.590532 |
| DIC | 3716.903699 |
| PDIC | -29.773280 |
| log(Z) | -815.924960 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -476094.576519
Acceptance Rate: 0.977199
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6862.740644
Acceptance Rate: 0.955882
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1771.422620
Acceptance Rate: 0.935829
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.316854
Acceptance Rate: 0.909091
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.843493
Acceptance Rate: 0.880088
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.549904
Acceptance Rate: 0.855992
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.342661
Acceptance Rate: 0.843486
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.185937
Acceptance Rate: 0.826087
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1150
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.062068
Acceptance Rate: 0.814996
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.960314
Acceptance Rate: 0.811437
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.872833
Acceptance Rate: 0.807043
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.792399
Acceptance Rate: 0.795848
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.705503
Acceptance Rate: 0.789993
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.579155
Acceptance Rate: 0.782228
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1598
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.306829
Acceptance Rate: 0.777512
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.303861
Acceptance Rate: 0.768355
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.242156
Acceptance Rate: 0.767544
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.793056
Acceptance Rate: 0.764365
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1754.066846
Acceptance Rate: 0.756811
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1744.661977
Acceptance Rate: 0.750605
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2065
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1734.753147
Acceptance Rate: 0.748363
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1722.076181
Acceptance Rate: 0.743578
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1707.593734
Acceptance Rate: 0.738809
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1696.645749
Acceptance Rate: 0.734985
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1681.898556
Acceptance Rate: 0.732899
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1666.978437
Acceptance Rate: 0.729208
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1647.921884
Acceptance Rate: 0.724914
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1633.295543
Acceptance Rate: 0.719027
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1620.619044
Acceptance Rate: 0.717875
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1609.438667
Acceptance Rate: 0.715283
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1597.266942
Acceptance Rate: 0.710419
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1585.554457
Acceptance Rate: 0.708402
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.483209
Acceptance Rate: 0.704000
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1561.365777
Acceptance Rate: 0.702905
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1550.235531
Acceptance Rate: 0.701006
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1540.049478
Acceptance Rate: 0.696709
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1530.855330
Acceptance Rate: 0.695652
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1519.990147
Acceptance Rate: 0.689752
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1510.256412
Acceptance Rate: 0.686625
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1502.655044
Acceptance Rate: 0.685300
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1494.311755
Acceptance Rate: 0.683132
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1487.701834
Acceptance Rate: 0.682638
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1479.595522
Acceptance Rate: 0.680615
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1473.056812
Acceptance Rate: 0.677841
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1465.232764
Acceptance Rate: 0.675350
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1457.822433
Acceptance Rate: 0.673759
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1452.972710
Acceptance Rate: 0.670520
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1447.309683
Acceptance Rate: 0.668328
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1441.498665
Acceptance Rate: 0.666223
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1435.808362
Acceptance Rate: 0.665213
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1430.662001
Acceptance Rate: 0.665093
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1426.864453
Acceptance Rate: 0.663997
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1422.627921
Acceptance Rate: 0.660884
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1418.226364
Acceptance Rate: 0.657628
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1414.448816
Acceptance Rate: 0.654892
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1410.857277
Acceptance Rate: 0.652132
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1407.204209
Acceptance Rate: 0.650344
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1404.096207
Acceptance Rate: 0.646309
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1401.250794
Acceptance Rate: 0.643501
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1398.733147
Acceptance Rate: 0.640447
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1396.084762
Acceptance Rate: 0.638524
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1393.783101
Acceptance Rate: 0.637666
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5724
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1391.529550
Acceptance Rate: 0.637711
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1389.474035
Acceptance Rate: 0.635809
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1387.692518
Acceptance Rate: 0.634391
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1386.014505
Acceptance Rate: 0.633745
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1384.690781
Acceptance Rate: 0.632706
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1383.279930
Acceptance Rate: 0.630990
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1381.961387
Acceptance Rate: 0.628634
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1380.601902
Acceptance Rate: 0.628297
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6446
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1379.382130
Acceptance Rate: 0.627968
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1378.145384
Acceptance Rate: 0.626037
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1377.015888
Acceptance Rate: 0.623423
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1376.025543
Acceptance Rate: 0.621345
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1375.020535
Acceptance Rate: 0.619954
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1374.117411
Acceptance Rate: 0.617986
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1373.240811
Acceptance Rate: 0.615729
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1372.440150
Acceptance Rate: 0.614047
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1371.694900
Acceptance Rate: 0.612996
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1371.003615
Acceptance Rate: 0.611313
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1370.347613
Acceptance Rate: 0.610322
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1369.649239
Acceptance Rate: 0.609596
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1369.030605
Acceptance Rate: 0.607942
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1368.392239
Acceptance Rate: 0.606641
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.809337
Acceptance Rate: 0.605831
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.294567
Acceptance Rate: 0.603534
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1366.785379
Acceptance Rate: 0.601448
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1366.337156
Acceptance Rate: 0.599637
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1365.896945
Acceptance Rate: 0.598015
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1365.436804
Acceptance Rate: 0.596997
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1364.934277
Acceptance Rate: 0.595516
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1364.247037
Acceptance Rate: 0.595307
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8651
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1363.167889
Acceptance Rate: 0.594218
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1361.876562
Acceptance Rate: 0.594362
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1360.528886
Acceptance Rate: 0.594570
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1358.944115
Acceptance Rate: 0.594643
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1357.599920
Acceptance Rate: 0.594125
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1356.403094
Acceptance Rate: 0.593488
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1355.173623
Acceptance Rate: 0.594017
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1354.047852
Acceptance Rate: 0.593202
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1352.889494
Acceptance Rate: 0.593346
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1351.545615
Acceptance Rate: 0.593924
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1350.444955
Acceptance Rate: 0.594059
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9595
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1349.320857
Acceptance Rate: 0.594561
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1348.305264
Acceptance Rate: 0.594811
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1347.210206
Acceptance Rate: 0.595178
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1346.067479
Acceptance Rate: 0.595539
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1344.999659
Acceptance Rate: 0.595238
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1343.912045
Acceptance Rate: 0.595829
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1342.920757
Acceptance Rate: 0.595824
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1341.970944
Acceptance Rate: 0.595761
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1341.049284
Acceptance Rate: 0.595699
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1340.213415
Acceptance Rate: 0.596039
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1339.471918
Acceptance Rate: 0.596374
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1338.667379
Acceptance Rate: 0.595970
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1337.862418
Acceptance Rate: 0.595350
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10666
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1337.057607
Acceptance Rate: 0.594796
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1336.283135
Acceptance Rate: 0.595128
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1335.547037
Acceptance Rate: 0.595620
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.853057
Acceptance Rate: 0.595563
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.144284
Acceptance Rate: 0.595775
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1333.558547
Acceptance Rate: 0.595611
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1332.900657
Acceptance Rate: 0.595714
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1332.263511
Acceptance Rate: 0.595974
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.548077
Acceptance Rate: 0.595864
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11412
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1330.850357
Acceptance Rate: 0.596430
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1330.283741
Acceptance Rate: 0.595958
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.794364
Acceptance Rate: 0.595850
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.353228
Acceptance Rate: 0.595694
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.948482
Acceptance Rate: 0.595590
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.568795
Acceptance Rate: 0.595938
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.227040
Acceptance Rate: 0.596281
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.893470
Acceptance Rate: 0.596273
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.578739
Acceptance Rate: 0.596315
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.270737
Acceptance Rate: 0.596454
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.983394
Acceptance Rate: 0.595817
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.718501
Acceptance Rate: 0.595813
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.488568
Acceptance Rate: 0.595714
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.283809
Acceptance Rate: 0.596327
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.095828
Acceptance Rate: 0.596791
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12651
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.902582
Acceptance Rate: 0.596827
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.719934
Acceptance Rate: 0.597096
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12812
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.541502
Acceptance Rate: 0.596899
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.375771
Acceptance Rate: 0.597164
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.224286
Acceptance Rate: 0.596969
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.083023
Acceptance Rate: 0.597094
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.951772
Acceptance Rate: 0.596857
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.827045
Acceptance Rate: 0.596936
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.704252
Acceptance Rate: 0.597015
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.588333
Acceptance Rate: 0.597447
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.477716
Acceptance Rate: 0.597742
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.370997
Acceptance Rate: 0.597683
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.271223
Acceptance Rate: 0.597929
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.179579
Acceptance Rate: 0.598129
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.093286
Acceptance Rate: 0.598371
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.014729
Acceptance Rate: 0.598266
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.939635
Acceptance Rate: 0.598504
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.868150
Acceptance Rate: 0.598357
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.802220
Acceptance Rate: 0.598423
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.740104
Acceptance Rate: 0.598991
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.681316
Acceptance Rate: 0.599136
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.626599
Acceptance Rate: 0.599113
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.575350
Acceptance Rate: 0.599256
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.526982
Acceptance Rate: 0.599561
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.481844
Acceptance Rate: 0.599496
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.439708
Acceptance Rate: 0.599919
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.400583
Acceptance Rate: 0.599933
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.364043
Acceptance Rate: 0.599987
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.329780
Acceptance Rate: 0.600200
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.298265
Acceptance Rate: 0.600850
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.269067
Acceptance Rate: 0.600779
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.241654
Acceptance Rate: 0.601183
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.216266
Acceptance Rate: 0.601189
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.192863
Acceptance Rate: 0.601693
Replacements: 9239
Total Samples: 15355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.175805
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1322.9222881717462 +/- 0.17053178875586492
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 15355
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.00 -0.26 +0.5) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-7.5 -1.0 +1.3) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (2.2 -0.5 +0.4) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.97 -0.6 +0.19 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval10 | -437.681578 |
| n4_interval10 | -433.312733 |
| b0_interval10 | -460.809838 |
| total | -1331.804149 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 2671.721612 |
| BIC | 2687.130429 |
| DIC | 2635.828273 |
| PDIC | 1.741931 |
| log(Z) | -574.537850 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -236878.580095
Acceptance Rate: 0.986842
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -12718.178787
Acceptance Rate: 0.980392
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 663
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1275.343110
Acceptance Rate: 0.952381
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.237023
Acceptance Rate: 0.930521
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -906.068102
Acceptance Rate: 0.920598
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.583392
Acceptance Rate: 0.894737
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 950
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.285086
Acceptance Rate: 0.881489
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.075317
Acceptance Rate: 0.872360
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.917237
Acceptance Rate: 0.860585
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.792903
Acceptance Rate: 0.847458
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.692186
Acceptance Rate: 0.842266
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1306
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.608704
Acceptance Rate: 0.829128
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1387
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.538201
Acceptance Rate: 0.823610
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.477422
Acceptance Rate: 0.814332
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1535
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.423338
Acceptance Rate: 0.807453
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.373551
Acceptance Rate: 0.807899
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.324600
Acceptance Rate: 0.800915
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.267936
Acceptance Rate: 0.792783
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.185718
Acceptance Rate: 0.790722
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.058538
Acceptance Rate: 0.789608
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 1963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.861354
Acceptance Rate: 0.787789
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.415807
Acceptance Rate: 0.783476
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -902.341665
Acceptance Rate: 0.780533
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -900.427691
Acceptance Rate: 0.779163
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898.121575
Acceptance Rate: 0.777538
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -895.526527
Acceptance Rate: 0.771476
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -892.056839
Acceptance Rate: 0.763359
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -889.042869
Acceptance Rate: 0.760530
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -886.121980
Acceptance Rate: 0.757289
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -883.505433
Acceptance Rate: 0.755900
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -880.739478
Acceptance Rate: 0.752418
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -878.048569
Acceptance Rate: 0.751223
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.472468
Acceptance Rate: 0.750853
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 2930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.606872
Acceptance Rate: 0.747012
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -870.316093
Acceptance Rate: 0.743374
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -868.374824
Acceptance Rate: 0.744142
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -866.084654
Acceptance Rate: 0.740284
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -863.185411
Acceptance Rate: 0.736621
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -861.256629
Acceptance Rate: 0.732923
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -859.370959
Acceptance Rate: 0.731078
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -857.456297
Acceptance Rate: 0.729517
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -855.342116
Acceptance Rate: 0.729224
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -853.431606
Acceptance Rate: 0.725611
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -851.719835
Acceptance Rate: 0.725402
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.055400
Acceptance Rate: 0.722394
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 3876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.390544
Acceptance Rate: 0.720789
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 3954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.675422
Acceptance Rate: 0.719246
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -845.012130
Acceptance Rate: 0.719863
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -843.620528
Acceptance Rate: 0.717360
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4182
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.313461
Acceptance Rate: 0.715962
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -841.105388
Acceptance Rate: 0.714450
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.792510
Acceptance Rate: 0.712025
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.567087
Acceptance Rate: 0.708278
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.432370
Acceptance Rate: 0.706061
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.268484
Acceptance Rate: 0.706487
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.201213
Acceptance Rate: 0.706751
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 4740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.234239
Acceptance Rate: 0.706420
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 4813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.326071
Acceptance Rate: 0.704369
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 4898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.436903
Acceptance Rate: 0.702106
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 4985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.672585
Acceptance Rate: 0.700750
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.016040
Acceptance Rate: 0.699301
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.382232
Acceptance Rate: 0.697630
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.739439
Acceptance Rate: 0.695489
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.191540
Acceptance Rate: 0.695475
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.697445
Acceptance Rate: 0.694064
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.230740
Acceptance Rate: 0.692322
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.757239
Acceptance Rate: 0.692349
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5633
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.343747
Acceptance Rate: 0.689956
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 5725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.971129
Acceptance Rate: 0.689417
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 5802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.602674
Acceptance Rate: 0.688307
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 5884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.230582
Acceptance Rate: 0.688728
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 5953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.898666
Acceptance Rate: 0.686518
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.600827
Acceptance Rate: 0.684597
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.324388
Acceptance Rate: 0.683390
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.057851
Acceptance Rate: 0.681674
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.803744
Acceptance Rate: 0.680751
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.563975
Acceptance Rate: 0.680062
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.333414
Acceptance Rate: 0.677527
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.113533
Acceptance Rate: 0.677711
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 6640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.906491
Acceptance Rate: 0.676882
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 6722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.715780
Acceptance Rate: 0.675378
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 6811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.539009
Acceptance Rate: 0.674793
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 6891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.360830
Acceptance Rate: 0.673352
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 6980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.194234
Acceptance Rate: 0.674141
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.023162
Acceptance Rate: 0.673212
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.847849
Acceptance Rate: 0.672118
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.658188
Acceptance Rate: 0.672154
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.427778
Acceptance Rate: 0.671095
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.176742
Acceptance Rate: 0.669523
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.876911
Acceptance Rate: 0.669406
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 7544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.554311
Acceptance Rate: 0.668765
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 7626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.191675
Acceptance Rate: 0.667964
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 7710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.816948
Acceptance Rate: 0.667351
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 7792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.445589
Acceptance Rate: 0.667175
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 7869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.090890
Acceptance Rate: 0.667506
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 7940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.754565
Acceptance Rate: 0.667249
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.424081
Acceptance Rate: 0.666914
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.080257
Acceptance Rate: 0.665852
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.729262
Acceptance Rate: 0.665860
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.394132
Acceptance Rate: 0.665707
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 8337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.074074
Acceptance Rate: 0.666349
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 8404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.777711
Acceptance Rate: 0.667218
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 8468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.504838
Acceptance Rate: 0.666355
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 8554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.255311
Acceptance Rate: 0.666435
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 8628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.004496
Acceptance Rate: 0.665596
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 8714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.756861
Acceptance Rate: 0.664773
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 8800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.522876
Acceptance Rate: 0.663816
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 8888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.297524
Acceptance Rate: 0.663248
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 8971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.076056
Acceptance Rate: 0.663497
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.863303
Acceptance Rate: 0.662796
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.664745
Acceptance Rate: 0.663116
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.475791
Acceptance Rate: 0.662359
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 9285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.293161
Acceptance Rate: 0.662535
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 9358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.120536
Acceptance Rate: 0.661516
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 9448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.955811
Acceptance Rate: 0.661209
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 9528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.798490
Acceptance Rate: 0.660976
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 9607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.650849
Acceptance Rate: 0.660202
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 9694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.506598
Acceptance Rate: 0.659105
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 9786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.368045
Acceptance Rate: 0.658428
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 9872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.240604
Acceptance Rate: 0.658424
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 9948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.120445
Acceptance Rate: 0.658617
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.008610
Acceptance Rate: 0.658481
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.906596
Acceptance Rate: 0.657766
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.810643
Acceptance Rate: 0.656168
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 10287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.719460
Acceptance Rate: 0.655738
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 10370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.633586
Acceptance Rate: 0.655314
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 10453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.554156
Acceptance Rate: 0.654401
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 10544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.479903
Acceptance Rate: 0.653748
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 10631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.410276
Acceptance Rate: 0.652681
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 10725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.345665
Acceptance Rate: 0.652476
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 10805
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.285677
Acceptance Rate: 0.652514
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 10881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.229854
Acceptance Rate: 0.652134
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 10964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.178408
Acceptance Rate: 0.651938
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.130167
Acceptance Rate: 0.651217
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.085239
Acceptance Rate: 0.650972
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.043948
Acceptance Rate: 0.651019
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 11290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.006074
Acceptance Rate: 0.650264
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 11380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.971102
Acceptance Rate: 0.650087
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 11460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.938874
Acceptance Rate: 0.649264
Replacements: 7499
Total Samples: 11550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.909749
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -812.60281855140227 +/- 0.15146891591421005
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 11550
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.7 -0.7 +2.7) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-5.2 -2.1 +4) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.34 -0.33 +0.21) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.16 -0.5 +0.06 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval11 | -272.794837 |
| n4_interval11 | -255.606019 |
| b0_interval11 | -292.422821 |
| total | -820.823677 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1649.760668 |
| BIC | 1665.169485 |
| DIC | 1615.849807 |
| PDIC | -1.873670 |
| log(Z) | -352.908920 |
Examine the fits
Now we can look at the fits in count space to make sure they are ok.
[24]:
for a in analysis:
a.restore_median_fit()
_ = display_spectrum_model_counts(a, min_rate=[20, 20, 20], step=False)
Finally, we can plot the models together to see how the spectra evolve with time.
[25]:
fig = plot_spectra(
*[a.results for a in analysis[::1]],
flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)",
fit_cmap="viridis",
contour_cmap="viridis",
contour_style_kwargs=dict(alpha=0.1),
)
This example can serve as a template for performing analysis on GBM data. However, as 3ML provides an abstract interface and modular building blocks, similar analysis pipelines can be built for any time series data.